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JPMorgan - KASE

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In addition, we have opened new routes such as Turkmenbashi, Turkmenistan to Batumi, Georgia<br />

(via Baku), Atyrau to Samara, and Atyrau to Odessa, Ukraine. We have also optimized the use of<br />

existing routes, such as Aktau via Baku to Batumi.<br />

Crude oil produced by Turgai Petroleum is transported in the same manner as the crude oil<br />

produced by us from the Kumkol and South Kumkol fields. Crude oil produced by Kazgermunai is<br />

transported by truck to rail loading stations in Dzhusaly and Kyzylorda.<br />

Crude Oil Revenue Optimization<br />

Depending on the market environment and international crude oil prices, the best crude oil<br />

netback for us can be obtained either by exporting crude oil or by processing the crude oil at the<br />

Shymkent refinery for sale in the domestic market.<br />

The planning and scheduling of the refinery is now integrated as a key component of our<br />

corporate value chain, to maximize the value of our crude oil production and all of the<br />

Downstream activities. During 2001 the refinery and the product market provided netbacks<br />

higher than the export or crude oil. This demonstrated the “cushion” role provided to us by the<br />

refinery, as detailed below:<br />

Nine Months Ended<br />

September 30, 2002 2001<br />

Crude Oil<br />

Exports<br />

Own Crude<br />

Oil Refined<br />

and Sold<br />

Crude Oil<br />

Exports<br />

Own Crude<br />

Oil Refined<br />

and Sold<br />

($/Bbl) ($/Bbl) ($/Bbl) ($/Bbl)<br />

Net sales price achieved ........................ 16.03 12.92 12.34 16.53<br />

Transportation expense ........................ (4.55) (1.02) (1.87) (0.84)<br />

Production and Refining costs ................... (1.19) (2.07) (1.17) (1.95)<br />

Royalty ...................................... (1.24) (1.25) (0.96) (0.96)<br />

Selling Costs .................................. (0.21) (0.78) (0.15) (0.86)<br />

General and Administrative costs ................ (0.71) (1.30) (0.86) (1.54)<br />

Tax expense .................................. (1.52) (2.30) (1.34) (1.96)<br />

NetBack ..................................... 6.61 4.20 5.99 8.42<br />

Competition<br />

The Shymkent refinery is the only refinery in the southern Kazakhstani market. The nearest<br />

competing refineries in Kazakhstan are Pavlodar and Atyrau, which are both located more than<br />

1,600 km away from Shymkent. Two additional refineries are located in Uzbekistan, one in<br />

Fergana, which is 450 km away from Shymkent, and the other in Bukhara, which is located 1,000<br />

km from Shymkent. Because of its location, the Shymkent refinery has a cost advantage when<br />

supplying product to the local market. In addition, the two Uzbekistan refineries currently do not<br />

compete with the Shymkent refinery because the Uzbekistan market is closed and the density of<br />

population in the Syr Darya and Amu Darya valleys causes the rail network to be significantly<br />

more congested than in Kazakhstan. This creates greater logistical difficulties in moving bulk oil<br />

through Uzbekistan. We also believe that the crude oil feedstock from our oil fields by pipeline<br />

creates an additional advantage in supplying refined products to the southern Kazakhstani<br />

market.<br />

Russia has supplied significant quantities of refined products to the Kazakhstani market from<br />

time to time. Russian refineries have supplied, on a regular basis, products which are not<br />

available or are in short supply from Kazakhstani refineries. These products include lubricants,<br />

bitumen and Ai95 gasoline and Ai98 gasoline. A Russian refinery located in Omsk supplies refined<br />

products to towns in northern Kazakhstan by pipeline. In addition, a Russian refinery located in<br />

Orsk has established exchanges of crude for refined products in the Aktyubinsk Oblast. Russian<br />

79

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