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JPMorgan - KASE

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Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of<br />

Operations<br />

The following management’s discussion and analysis of the financial condition and results of our<br />

operations should be read in conjunction with the selected financial and operating data, audited<br />

financial statements and related notes and unaudited financial statements and related notes<br />

appearing elsewhere in this offering memorandum. Our financial statements have been prepared<br />

in accordance with Canadian GAAP. Canadian GAAP differs in certain significant respects from<br />

U.S. GAAP. For a discussion of the most significant differences between Canadian GAAP and U.S.<br />

GAAP relevant to us, see the U.S. GAAP reconciliations contained in the notes to our consolidated<br />

financial statements included in this offering memorandum. This discussion and analysis contains<br />

forward-looking statements which involve risks and uncertainties. Our actual results could differ<br />

materially from those anticipated in the forward-looking statements as a result of certain factors,<br />

including those set forth under “Risk Factors” and elsewhere in this offering memorandum.<br />

Except as otherwise required by the context, references in this offering memorandum to “our”,<br />

“we” or “us” refer to the combined business of Hurricane Hydrocarbons Ltd. and all of its<br />

subsidiaries, including HKM and HOP.<br />

Overview<br />

General<br />

We are an integrated oil company that owns and operates oil and gas production and a refinery<br />

in Kazakhstan. We use the term “Upstream” to refer to the exploration for and production of oil<br />

and gas from our licenses in the South Turgai Basin, Kazakhstan. We use the term “Downstream”<br />

to refer to the operations of our refinery located in Shymkent, Kazakhstan and marketing<br />

activities relating to Upstream operations and the refinery.<br />

We acquired the Shymkent refinery, through our acquisition of HOP (then known as ShNOS), in<br />

March 2000, and assumed a greater role in the management of the Kazgermunai joint venture at<br />

the end of November 2000. Accordingly, our 2001 results reflect the inclusion of the Shymkent<br />

refinery and Kazgermunai for a full year, as compared to nine months (in the case of the<br />

Shymkent refinery) and one month (in the case of Kazgermunai) in 2000.<br />

Factors affecting our results<br />

Production. We derive our revenues principally from the sale of crude oil and refined products<br />

and to a lesser extent from refining crude oil on behalf of third parties, from which we derive<br />

processing fees, and production and ancillary support facilities provided to our Turgai Petroleum<br />

joint venture on a fee basis. Our results are dependent on the levels of our oil production and on<br />

prevailing prices for such production. Prices for oil are subject to large fluctuations in response to<br />

a variety of factors beyond our control.<br />

During the third quarter of 2002, our production volumes totaled 13.17 million barrels or an<br />

average of 143,175 BOPD, representing a 37.2% increase over the third quarter 2001 production<br />

rates of 104,379 BOPD and a 21.5% increase over the second quarter 2002 production rates of<br />

117,844 BOPD. Record export sales combined with enhanced performance from all fields led to<br />

these increases. Total production during 2002 was 49.6 MMbbls or an average of 135,842 BOPD,<br />

representing a 34.8% increase over the 36.8 MMbbls produced in 2001.<br />

In the third quarter of 2002, production increases were recorded in all fields. Major contributions<br />

came from the optimization of individual well rates in Kumkol South by pump optimization and<br />

off take control, the continued development drilling in Kumkol North and the enhanced<br />

performance of the South Kumkol field. Two new Kumkol South free water knockout facilities,<br />

commissioned in early October, relieve water handling issues at the Central Processing Facility,<br />

thereby increasing production. Our facilities are now handling some 275,000 barrels of fluid per<br />

day, with crude oil production of 116,000 BOPD. We currently have eight service rigs in operation<br />

throughout the producing fields that are contributing to the enhancement of daily production.<br />

These rigs are conducting artificial lift pump replacements and installations. At South Kumkol,<br />

with 21 wells now on production, all but one with artificial lift pumps, daily production<br />

31

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