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JPMorgan - KASE

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Revenues<br />

As a result of improved efficiency in tax administration, with the assistance of international<br />

advisers, including the World Bank and the IMP, tax revenues increased in 1997 by 18 per cent.<br />

compared to 1996. During 1999, tax revenues as a percentage of GDP decreased to 16.4 per cent.<br />

compared to 16.8 per cent. in 1998. However, in 2001, tax revenues increased to 19.9 per cent. of<br />

GDP. The Ministry of Finance attributes these increases to the impact of the new tax code and<br />

improved tax administration. Of particular importance were the increases in property tax rates,<br />

the extension of excise tax to further products, including crude oil and gas condensate and a<br />

change of method of tax calculation.<br />

Monetary and Financial System<br />

Overview<br />

Since mid-1994 Kazakhstan has adhered to a strict macro-economic stabilization program,<br />

combining tight budgetary discipline, stringent monetary policy and structural economic reforms,<br />

which has sharply reduced inflation and lowered interest rates. At the end of 1999, the<br />

annualized rate of consumer price inflation was 18.1 per cent., giving an average rate for the<br />

year of 8.3 per cent. There has been a significant overall decrease in the annualized rate of<br />

consumer price inflation over the last five years, during which it fell from 1,158.3 per cent. at<br />

year-end 1994, mainly as a result of co-ordinated policies by the Government and the NBK. The<br />

devaluation of the tenge following its flotation in April 1999, however, caused inflation to rise in<br />

1999 but by the end of 2000 the annualized rate of consumer price inflation had decreased to 9.8<br />

per cent. giving an average rate for the year of 13.2 per cent. Inflation continued to fall in 2001<br />

and the annualized rate of consumer price inflation decreased to 6.4 per cent., while the average<br />

rate for the year was 8.4 per cent.<br />

Monetary Policy<br />

The main targets of the monetary policy are maintenance of low inflation rates, maintenance of<br />

positive real interest rates and improvement of the quality of financial intermediation. The NBK<br />

has stated that it expects to continue policies aimed at financial stabilization and long-term price<br />

and exchange rate stability, as well as sustainable economic growth.<br />

Currently, the NBK implements monetary policy through instruments such as regulation of<br />

volume of credits to commercial banks; determination of the refinancing rate ; foreign exchange<br />

market interventions; and Treasury bill operations, including repo and reverse repo operations. In<br />

addition to the refinancing rate, the NBK also maintains Lombard and overnight rates.<br />

In February 2002, the NBK introduced a repurchase rate (“REPO”) as a new tool to regulate<br />

liquidity. The NBK currently establishes weekly overnight, seven day and 14 day REPO rates. After<br />

the banks become accustomed to the instrument, NBK will start to establish a monthly official<br />

REPO rate. On 7 February 2002, NBK established an indicative REPO rate at the level of 4.5 per<br />

cent. annually for the attraction of money and 7.5 per cent. for the provision of money.<br />

Currently, the NBK overnight rate is 9.0 per cent.<br />

Money Supply<br />

To counteract the effects of the financial crisis in Russia, a decrease in prices of main exported<br />

raw materials and increasing expectations of devaluation, the NBK implemented a variety of<br />

strict monetary and credit policies during the course of 1998 and 1999 aimed at preventing the<br />

negative influences that such crisis might have on Kazakhstan’s financial system. In addition,<br />

interest rates were raised from 18.5 per cent. to 25 per cent. The adoption of such policies<br />

mitigated the impact of the crisis on Kazakhstan.<br />

B-14

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