JPMorgan - KASE

JPMorgan - KASE JPMorgan - KASE

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Foreign Trade Following the devaluation of the tenge in 1999, Kazakhstan’s exports increased by 2.0 per cent. in 1999 to U.S.$5,988.5 million, while imports decreased by 15.3 per cent. to U.S.$5,648.2 million, resulting in a surplus trade balance of U.S.$340.3 million. In 2000, the surplus trade balance increased to U.S.$2.4 billion, with Kazakhstan’s exports increasing by 36 per cent. to U.S.$9.3 billion and imports increasing by 21 per cent. to U.S.$6.8 million. General merchandise trade data are based on external trade statistics compiled by the Statistics Agency from customs declarations. The data are adjusted by the NBK in respect of coverage classification and valuation for balance of payments purposes. The main adjustments are to exclude the cost of freight and insurance from imports, to include “shuttle” and undeclared trade and to adjust for barter operations. The following table sets out Kazakhstan’s foreign trade for the periods indicated: Year ended 31 December 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 (In U.S.$ millions) Exports ................................... 9,119.7 9,288.1 5,988.5 5,870.6 6,899.2 Imports ................................... (8,223.9) (6,848.2) (5,648.2) (6,671.5) (7,175.6) Tradebalance ............................. 895.7 2,439.9 340.3 (800.9) (276.4) Source: NBK Official International Reserves The NBK managed to increase its international reserves in 1999 while servicing Kazakhstan’s highest external debt volume over the past few years due to an improvement in external trade conditions and receipts from international borrowings and privatizations. Gross international reserves grew by 2.0 per cent. (U.S.$38.9 million) to U.S.$2.0 billion in 1999. Kazakhstan’s gross international reserves increased from 3.1 months of import coverage at the end of 1998 to 3.6 months at the end of 1999. In 2000, gross international reserves grew by U.S.$93.1 million to U.S.$2.1 billion. Kazakhstan’s international reserves are administered and controlled by the NBK, which is a separate legal entity. Kazakhstan’s law provides that such international reserves may not be pledged, nor may the NBK be required to make international reserves available to support the Government’s borrowings. The Government has established the National Fund of Kazakhstan (the “National Fund”) in August, 2000. The National Fund accumulates state revenues earned from the sale of Kazakhstan’s hydrocarbons and mineral resources. By December 2001, the National Fund had accumulated U.S.$1,240.4 million in assets and total international reserves, including the National Fund, were U.S.$3,748.4 million. By 30 June 2002, the National Fund had U.S.$1,655.6 million and total international reserves were U.S.$4,491.9 million. The following table sets forth Kazakhstan’s total gross international reserves as at the dates indicated: 30 June 31 December 2002 (2) 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 (In U.S.$ millions) Foreign exchange reserves . ............ 2,278.4 1,995.0 1,594.0 1,479.9 1,460.2 1,767.4 Gold (1) ............................... 555.7 510.7 501.8 522.8 503.6 523.9 Gross international reserves ............ 2,834.1 2,505.7 2,095.8 2,002.7 1,963.8 2,291.2 Import coverage (including gold) (months. ........................... N/A 3.6 3.0 3.6 3.1 3.3 Source: NBK Notes: (1) Gold is valued at the market price prevailing at the beginning of the relevant period. (2) Data as at 30 June 2002 does not include the National Fund. B-12

Public Finance Introduction Fiscal policy since Kazakhstan’s independence has been characterized by fiscal tightening in order to reduce inflation and limit expenditure, initially to compensate for the loss of budgetary transfers from the former Soviet Union that amounted to 4.5 per cent. of GDP in 1991. The general Government deficit as a percentage of GDP has been reduced sharply, from 7.2 per cent. of GDP in 1996 to a deficit of 0.2 per cent. in 2001. The Government has increasingly financed this deficit through sales of Treasury bills and foreign borrowings. These fiscal deficits have historically been mitigated, in part, through postponement or cancellation of expenditures and increases in wage and pension arrears. However, the Government paid all wage and pension arrears by the end of 1997 and paid all pensions due in 1998, 1999 and 2000. The following table sets forth information on certain trends in Kazakhstan’s actual State revenues and expenditures (excluding quasi-fiscal operations) from 1996 through 2000: Six months Year ended 31 December ended 30 June 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 (in KZT millions) Revenues ......................... 259,303 743,550 598,700 430,900 379,623 405,623 Expenditures ...................... 250,501 749,092 602,000 498,978 451,594 469,622 Budget surplus (deficit) ............. 8,801 (5,542) (3,300) (68,078) (72,074) (63,998) Surplus (deficit) as a percentage of GDP............................ 0.5 (0.2) 0.1 (3.7) (4.2) (3.8) Source: Ministry of Finance Taxation Kazakhstan’s tax system has been significantly reformed and simplified during recent years. A comprehensive reform of the tax system took place in 1995 and as a result the principal taxes are now corporate income tax (“CIT”), personal income tax (“PIT”), a value added tax on goods and services (“VAT”) and various property taxes. The Government has developed a new tax code that is intended to further simplify the tax structure and facilitate tax administration in order to improve the collection rate which came into effect on 1 January 2002. The CIT rate is currently 30 per cent., reduced to 10 per cent. for farming corporations. Dividends are subject to a 15 per cent. withholding of CIT. PIT is levied at progressive rates, ranging from 5 per cent. to 30 per cent. This maximum PIT rate was reduced to 30 per cent. from 40 per cent. in 1998. In general, all business activity in Kazakhstan was subject to a flat rate VAT of 20 per cent. From 1 July 2001, VAT was reduced to 16 per cent. Corporations are subject to property tax at the rate of 1 per cent. of the value of basic production and non-production assets. The rate imposed on real property of individuals ranges from 0.1 per cent. to 0.3 per cent. Fees to the Government related to the extraction of oil, gas and other natural resources are established by individual agreements with the Government or its agencies. In 1998, the Government amended the tax code to provide tax-free periods to foreign investors investing in designated priority sectors of the economy, which do not include the oil and gas sector. Eligible investors receive exemption on income, property and land taxes on an individual basis. B-13

Public Finance<br />

Introduction<br />

Fiscal policy since Kazakhstan’s independence has been characterized by fiscal tightening in order<br />

to reduce inflation and limit expenditure, initially to compensate for the loss of budgetary<br />

transfers from the former Soviet Union that amounted to 4.5 per cent. of GDP in 1991. The<br />

general Government deficit as a percentage of GDP has been reduced sharply, from 7.2 per cent.<br />

of GDP in 1996 to a deficit of 0.2 per cent. in 2001. The Government has increasingly financed this<br />

deficit through sales of Treasury bills and foreign borrowings.<br />

These fiscal deficits have historically been mitigated, in part, through postponement or<br />

cancellation of expenditures and increases in wage and pension arrears. However, the<br />

Government paid all wage and pension arrears by the end of 1997 and paid all pensions due in<br />

1998, 1999 and 2000.<br />

The following table sets forth information on certain trends in Kazakhstan’s actual State<br />

revenues and expenditures (excluding quasi-fiscal operations) from 1996 through 2000:<br />

Six<br />

months<br />

Year ended 31 December<br />

ended<br />

30 June<br />

2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997<br />

(in KZT millions)<br />

Revenues ......................... 259,303 743,550 598,700 430,900 379,623 405,623<br />

Expenditures ...................... 250,501 749,092 602,000 498,978 451,594 469,622<br />

Budget surplus (deficit) ............. 8,801 (5,542) (3,300) (68,078) (72,074) (63,998)<br />

Surplus (deficit) as a percentage of<br />

GDP............................ 0.5 (0.2) 0.1 (3.7) (4.2) (3.8)<br />

Source: Ministry of Finance<br />

Taxation<br />

Kazakhstan’s tax system has been significantly reformed and simplified during recent years. A<br />

comprehensive reform of the tax system took place in 1995 and as a result the principal taxes are<br />

now corporate income tax (“CIT”), personal income tax (“PIT”), a value added tax on goods and<br />

services (“VAT”) and various property taxes. The Government has developed a new tax code that<br />

is intended to further simplify the tax structure and facilitate tax administration in order to<br />

improve the collection rate which came into effect on 1 January 2002.<br />

The CIT rate is currently 30 per cent., reduced to 10 per cent. for farming corporations. Dividends<br />

are subject to a 15 per cent. withholding of CIT. PIT is levied at progressive rates, ranging from 5<br />

per cent. to 30 per cent. This maximum PIT rate was reduced to 30 per cent. from 40 per cent. in<br />

1998.<br />

In general, all business activity in Kazakhstan was subject to a flat rate VAT of 20 per cent. From 1<br />

July 2001, VAT was reduced to 16 per cent. Corporations are subject to property tax at the rate of<br />

1 per cent. of the value of basic production and non-production assets. The rate imposed on real<br />

property of individuals ranges from 0.1 per cent. to 0.3 per cent. Fees to the Government related<br />

to the extraction of oil, gas and other natural resources are established by individual agreements<br />

with the Government or its agencies.<br />

In 1998, the Government amended the tax code to provide tax-free periods to foreign investors<br />

investing in designated priority sectors of the economy, which do not include the oil and gas<br />

sector. Eligible investors receive exemption on income, property and land taxes on an individual<br />

basis.<br />

B-13

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