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Handout - K+S Aktiengesellschaft

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<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

Low Stocks-to-use Ratios of Agricultural Products<br />

Production and consumption development vs. stocks-to-use ratio (Wheat and coarse grains)<br />

1900<br />

1800<br />

Production Consumption Stocks-to-use<br />

45.0 45,0<br />

40.0 40,0<br />

1700<br />

35.0 35,0<br />

in million tonnes<br />

1600<br />

1500<br />

1400<br />

1300<br />

1200<br />

Critical Level<br />

30.0 30,0<br />

25.0 25,0<br />

20.0 20,0<br />

15.0 15,0<br />

10.0 10,0<br />

Stocks-to-use ratio<br />

1100<br />

5.0 5,0<br />

1000<br />

1982/83<br />

1987/88<br />

1992/93<br />

1997/98<br />

2002/03<br />

2007/08<br />

2011/12e<br />

e<br />

2012/13<br />

0.0 0,0<br />

Source: USDA; as of 11 January 2013<br />

• Over the past thirty years, annual global production of cereals has often fallen short of demand<br />

• Despite reasonable harvest levels during the last ten years, these structural supply and<br />

demand gaps have resulted in low stocks-to-use ratios on a historical basis<br />

• The production level for the agricultural year 2012/13 expected by the USDA will not be efficient to meet<br />

consumption, so that stocks-to-use ratio will remain very low<br />

January 2013<br />

<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

22

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