Handout - K+S Aktiengesellschaft
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Jakarta 1975<br />
Cheuvreux German Corporate Conference<br />
Frankfurt am Main, 21 January 2013<br />
Jakarta 2010<br />
Experience growth.<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 0
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Experience Growth<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> is one of the world's leading suppliers of standard<br />
and speciality fertilizers. In the salt business, with sites<br />
in Europe as well as North and South America, <strong>K+S</strong> is<br />
the world’s leading producer.<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> offers a comprehensive range of goods and<br />
services for agriculture, industry and private<br />
consumers which provides growth opportunities in<br />
virtually every sphere of daily life.<br />
We assume active responsibility for the sustained<br />
growth of our world. Our more than 14,000 employees<br />
display their commitment towards this goal day by<br />
day – by applying their knowledge and experience.<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 1
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Content<br />
A. Corporate Structure & Strategy<br />
B. Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
C. Salt<br />
D. Complementary Activities<br />
E. Financial Data and Outlook<br />
F. <strong>K+S</strong> Share<br />
Appendix<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 2
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Corporate Structure<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Group revenues 2012e: about € 3.9 billion (2011: € 4.0 billion)<br />
Potash and Magnesium<br />
Products Business Segment<br />
Salt Business Segment<br />
Complementary<br />
Activities<br />
1.4<br />
Revenue development in € bn<br />
2.1<br />
2.4<br />
1.9<br />
1.0<br />
Revenue development in € bn<br />
1.7 1.7 1.5<br />
Revenue development in € bn<br />
0.12 0.13 0.15 0.15<br />
2009 2010 2011 LTM*<br />
2009 2010 2011 LTM*<br />
2009 2010 2011 LTM*<br />
January 2013 * LTM=Last twelve months as of 30 September 2012<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Group 3
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> is the Leading Player in its Markets<br />
Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
Potash<br />
Sulphate of potash and<br />
magnesium sulphate<br />
One of the leading suppliers worldwide<br />
• Leader in Europe<br />
• Fifth-largest producer worldwide<br />
• Leading position worldwide<br />
Salt<br />
Europe<br />
The leading supplier worldwide<br />
• With esco No. 1 in Europe<br />
South America<br />
North America<br />
• With SPL No. 1 in South America<br />
• With Morton Salt, Windsor and ISCO one of<br />
the leading suppliers in North America<br />
Sources: IFA, Roskill, <strong>K+S</strong><br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 4
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Worldwide Presence<br />
Production Sites and Sales Offices<br />
Kassel<br />
Revenues by Region 2011<br />
South America<br />
14%<br />
Asia<br />
10%<br />
Africa, Oceania<br />
3%<br />
Europe<br />
44%<br />
Production<br />
Sales<br />
North America<br />
29%<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 5
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Corporate Strategy<br />
Differentiation and Sustainable Margin<br />
Growth through Specialisation<br />
Expansion of Strategic Business Sectors<br />
through Acquisitions and Cooperations<br />
➨<br />
➨<br />
Consolidation and expansion of market<br />
positions by increased marketing of<br />
speciality products<br />
Realisation of more attractive margins<br />
through refinement strategy<br />
➨<br />
External growth in the core business<br />
sectors Fertilizers and Salt<br />
Expansion of a Balanced<br />
Regional Portfolio<br />
Setting Standards for Quality,<br />
Reliability and Service<br />
Increasing Efficiency and<br />
Exploiting Synergies<br />
➨<br />
➨<br />
➨<br />
Reduction of seasonal and regional<br />
fluctuations in demand for salt and<br />
fertilizers due to a balanced<br />
regional portfolio<br />
Fertilizers: Expansion of market<br />
presence in important overseas<br />
markets and tapping into new<br />
attractive sales markets in future<br />
growth regions<br />
Salt: Local production in the volumedriven<br />
Salt business<br />
➨<br />
➨<br />
The goal is to be our customers’<br />
preferred partner<br />
Strengthening of customer loyalty<br />
through service efforts, e.g.<br />
targeted advice to customers in the<br />
use of fertilizers<br />
➨<br />
➨<br />
Optimisation of the international<br />
production network<br />
Generation of synergies in the<br />
exchange of technical, geological<br />
and logistics know-how between<br />
the potash and salt production<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 6
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Content<br />
A. Corporate Structure & Strategy<br />
B. Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
C. Salt<br />
D. Complementary Activities<br />
E. Financial Data and Outlook<br />
F. <strong>K+S</strong> Share<br />
Appendix<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 7
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
Revenues (€ billion) EBIT (€ million)<br />
Highlights 9M/12<br />
0.51<br />
Industrial<br />
products<br />
14%<br />
0.56<br />
Fertilizer<br />
specialities 38%<br />
1.59<br />
By product group<br />
1.81<br />
Q3/11 Q3/12 9M/11 9M/12<br />
1.9<br />
2.1<br />
2.4<br />
2010 2011 LTM*<br />
• After there was still cautious early stocking-up of<br />
fertilizers at the start of the year, the demand<br />
developed positively during Q2.<br />
• In Q3/12, due to the attractive prices for agricultural<br />
raw materials, demand was at a good level for<br />
agricultural raw materials demand was at a good level<br />
in the markets relevant for <strong>K+S</strong>. However, against the<br />
backdrop of still outstanding contract conclusions in<br />
China and India, international prices for potassium<br />
chloride came under pressure, but overall were<br />
moderately above those of Q3/11.<br />
Revenue split 2011 Outlook 2012**<br />
Potassium<br />
chloride 48%<br />
171<br />
476<br />
2010 2011 LTM*<br />
Asia<br />
20%<br />
159<br />
By region<br />
South<br />
America<br />
19%<br />
North America<br />
3%<br />
558<br />
608<br />
Q3/11 Q3/12 9M/11 9M/12<br />
740 789<br />
Africa, Oceania<br />
5%<br />
Europe<br />
53%<br />
• Sales volumes expected at 6.9 million t<br />
(2011: 6.9 million t)<br />
• Moderately increasing average price level<br />
expected compared to 2011**<br />
• Moderately increasing revenues and tangibly higher<br />
unit costs should result in stable operating earnings.<br />
* LTM=Last twelve months as of 30 September 2012<br />
January 2013<br />
* * Outlook as of 6 November 2012; In line with our customary, purely technical forecast policy, which maintains the<br />
currently achieved potash price level unchanged for the remainder of 2012<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Group 8
Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
Product Portfolio 2011 (Sales volumes in million tonnes)<br />
Non-potash-containing products<br />
2011: 1.24 million tonnes<br />
(2010: 1.26)<br />
● Fertilizer specialities<br />
- ESTA ® Kieserite<br />
- EPSO ® Product family<br />
● Industrial products<br />
- Magnesium sulphate<br />
- Magnesium chloride<br />
Fertilizer<br />
specialities<br />
3.06<br />
Industrial<br />
products<br />
0.81<br />
Potassium<br />
chloride<br />
3.07<br />
Potash-containing products<br />
2011: 5.70 million tonnes<br />
(2010: 5.80)<br />
● Potassium chloride<br />
- MOP - Standard<br />
- MOP - Granular<br />
● Fertilizer specialities<br />
- Potassium sulphate<br />
- Patentkali ®<br />
- Korn-Kali ® products<br />
- Magnesia-Kainit ®<br />
● Industrial products<br />
- Potassium chloride, 97% - 99% KCl<br />
- Potassium sulphate, > 95% K 2 SO 4<br />
- High purity salts<br />
Broad and less cyclical product portfolio allows flexible reaction on fluctuation in demand<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 9
Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
Development of Selected Cost Types<br />
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012e 2013e<br />
÷<br />
–<br />
=<br />
=<br />
Revenues (€ million) 1,408.9 2,397.4 1,421.7 1,867.0 2,133.6 + -<br />
EBIT (€ million) 177.9 1,203.2 231.7 475.9 739.5 ○ -<br />
Costs (€ million) 1,231.0 1,194.2 1,190.0 1,391.1 1,394.1 ++ ○<br />
thereof personnel (€ million) 435 465 440 506 535 + +<br />
thereof freight (€ million) 250 227 155 264 268 + ○<br />
thereof freight (€/t) 30 33 36 37 39 + ○<br />
thereof material (€ million) 210 265 183 229 249 ○ ○<br />
thereof energy (€ million) 141 186 144 172 195 +++ --<br />
thereof depreciation (€ million) 77 83 86 91 94 + ++<br />
thereof other (€ million) 118 (32) 182 129 53 +++ -<br />
Sales Volumes (million t) 8.22 6.99 4.35 7.06 6.94 6,9 ○<br />
Total Unit Costs (€/t) 149.6 170.8 273.6 197.0 200.9 ++ ○<br />
• In 2012, average unit costs are expected to rise tangibly, mainly because of strongly rising energy costs,<br />
costs related to the Legacy Project, a negative currency result and slightly increasing personnel costs.<br />
• In 2013, savings in energy costs will roughly make up for increasing personnel costs and depreciation. Costs connected<br />
with the Legacy Project should also remain on the 2012 level, so that in total, we expect a largely stable cost level.<br />
January 2013 ○: stable; -/+: slight to moderate; --/++: tangible; ---/+++: significant to strong<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Group 10
Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
Major Markets Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
> 1%<br />
Sales volumes > 5%<br />
Sales volumes by region<br />
2011 2010<br />
Europe 54% 57%<br />
- of which: Germany 16% 18%<br />
North America 2% 2%<br />
South America 18% 17%<br />
Asia 22% 22%<br />
Africa, Oceania 4% 2%<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 11
Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
Key Drivers of the Fertilizer Business<br />
• Despite decreasing availability of arable farm land, global production of agricultural products<br />
has to be increased:<br />
• steadily increasing world population<br />
• changing diets toward higher meat consumption (e.g. 1 kg beef = 8 kg animal feed)<br />
• increasing importance of renewable raw materials for the production of bio energy<br />
• Fertilizing with the key nutrients nitrogen (N), phosphate (P)<br />
and potash (K), but also increasingly magnesium (Mg) and sulphur (S)<br />
is necessary to cope with this challenge<br />
• Nutrients cannot be substituted and a balanced fertilization of all nutrients is<br />
necessary to achieve optimal yields. Emerging countries, in particular, should<br />
significantly increase the potash proportion of their total fertilizer application<br />
• Medium- and long-term increase in global fertilizer consumption (N, P and K)<br />
of 2% to 3% p.a. is expected (Source: IFA)<br />
Advantage:<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> offers its worldwide customers important nutrients<br />
in a market-oriented specialised product range<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 12
Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
World Potash Production and Sales by Region<br />
Million tonnes<br />
20.1<br />
19.7<br />
28.5<br />
10.2<br />
7.1 5.9<br />
4.4<br />
10.8<br />
10.5<br />
2.2<br />
0.7<br />
Incl. sulphate of potash<br />
and low-grade potash<br />
Sources: IFA, <strong>K+S</strong><br />
World potash production:<br />
2011: 59.9 million t<br />
2010: 55.5 million t<br />
2009: 33.7 million t<br />
World potash sales:<br />
2011: 60.2 million t<br />
2010: 58.3 million t<br />
2009: 31.0 million t<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 13
Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
Supplier Structure on the World Potash Market<br />
Figures in %<br />
32.8 32.9<br />
32.0<br />
30.7 30.4<br />
2009 2010 2011<br />
23.0<br />
13.9<br />
11.2<br />
9.9<br />
9.5<br />
8.6<br />
9.5<br />
8.6<br />
8.5<br />
9.3<br />
3.1<br />
3.6<br />
3.7<br />
2.7<br />
2.6<br />
2.6<br />
4.7<br />
3.2<br />
3.0<br />
BPC<br />
• Belaruskali<br />
• Uralkali/<br />
Silvinit<br />
Canpotex<br />
• Potash<br />
Corp<br />
• Mosaic<br />
• Agrium<br />
<strong>K+S</strong><br />
ICL<br />
• DSW<br />
• CPL<br />
• Iberpotash<br />
participation<br />
Sales volumes in metric tonnes<br />
of Potash<br />
Sources: IFA, <strong>K+S</strong><br />
Corp. in ICL<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 14<br />
APC<br />
participation<br />
of Potash<br />
Corp.<br />
SQM<br />
participation<br />
of Potash<br />
Corp.<br />
China<br />
• more<br />
than 20<br />
producers<br />
Others<br />
• Intrepid<br />
• Vale<br />
• Compass
Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
World Potash Capacity, Production and Sales<br />
Million tonnes<br />
100<br />
90<br />
80<br />
70<br />
60<br />
50<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
0<br />
Greenfield projects<br />
Brownfield projects<br />
Available capacity<br />
Production<br />
Sales<br />
52.6<br />
Soviet Union<br />
36.2<br />
China<br />
54.2 54.4 50.7<br />
49.1<br />
43.9 45.5<br />
58.7<br />
Financial<br />
crisis<br />
54.5<br />
31.0<br />
60.2<br />
58.3<br />
~54<br />
55.0 35.2 45.1 46.0 48.5 53.9 56.5 50.9 57.8 56.0 33.7 55.5 59.9<br />
Reliability of forecast<br />
quality questionable<br />
1988 ’93 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ‘13<br />
‘14 ‘15<br />
● Long-term demand growth<br />
of 3 to 5% p.a.<br />
● Therefore, available capacities<br />
not sufficient beyond 2015.<br />
● IFA data (basis for capacity<br />
expansion forecast) showed<br />
poor forecast quality in the past<br />
(due to project postponements<br />
and delays).<br />
● Brownfield projects shown<br />
are all in the hands of existing<br />
producers, who proved to<br />
consistently match supply with<br />
market demand.<br />
(e)<br />
Incl. potassium sulphate and potash grades with lower K 2 O content of around 3 million tonnes eff;<br />
Capacity development 2010-2015 based on IFA supply capability data.<br />
Sources: IFA, <strong>K+S</strong><br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 15<br />
India<br />
68<br />
65
Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
Market Forecast Quality: Capacity Estimates<br />
Significantly Lower as Time Approaches<br />
Million tonnes<br />
85<br />
IFA Supply Capability Data 2009<br />
IFA Supply Capability Data 2012<br />
80<br />
Year 2013<br />
Forecast 2009 vs.<br />
2012:<br />
estimate reduction of<br />
> 6 million tonnes<br />
75<br />
70<br />
65<br />
Year 2012<br />
Forecast 2009 vs.<br />
2012:<br />
estimate reduction of<br />
> 7 million tonnes<br />
60<br />
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015<br />
Incl. potassium sulphate and potash grades with lower K 2 O content of around 3 million tonnes eff;<br />
Capacity development 2011-2015 based on IFA supply capability data.<br />
Sources: IFA, <strong>K+S</strong><br />
January 2013<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
16
Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
World Potash Sales Volume by Region<br />
Million tonnes 2012e 2011 2010<br />
2009<br />
2008<br />
2007<br />
Western Europe<br />
5.2<br />
5.9<br />
6.7<br />
2.7<br />
6.3<br />
7.4<br />
Central Europe / FSU<br />
4.9<br />
4.4<br />
4.9<br />
3.1<br />
5.0<br />
4.7<br />
Africa<br />
0.7<br />
0.7<br />
0.8<br />
0.3<br />
0.6<br />
0.7<br />
North America<br />
8.6<br />
10.2<br />
10.8<br />
4.1<br />
10.2<br />
10.8<br />
Latin America<br />
10.2<br />
10.5<br />
9.7<br />
6.0<br />
8.6<br />
10.4<br />
Asia<br />
24.0<br />
28.0<br />
24.9<br />
14.6<br />
23.2<br />
24.2<br />
- thereof China<br />
11.3<br />
12.7<br />
10.2<br />
5.4<br />
8.8<br />
12.6<br />
- thereof India<br />
3.2<br />
5.0<br />
6.1<br />
5.5<br />
6.2<br />
3.9<br />
Oceania<br />
0.4<br />
0.5<br />
0.5<br />
0.2<br />
0.6<br />
0.5<br />
World total<br />
~ 54<br />
60.2<br />
58.3<br />
31.0<br />
54.5<br />
58.7<br />
● In 2011, worldwide potash sales volumes to amount 60.2 million tonnes with increased demand in<br />
Latin America and Asia.<br />
● In 2012, we expect worldwide potash sales volumes of about 54 million tonnes.<br />
Incl. potassium sulphate and potash grades with lower K 2 O content of around 3 million tonnes eff;<br />
Sources: IFA, <strong>K+S</strong><br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 17
Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
Agricultural Potash Consumption by Region<br />
World<br />
Developed markets<br />
40.000<br />
32.000<br />
20.000<br />
16.000<br />
North America, Western/Central Europe, Oceania<br />
1.000 t K 2 O<br />
24.000<br />
16.000<br />
1.000 t K 2 O<br />
12.000<br />
8.000<br />
8.000<br />
4.000<br />
0<br />
0<br />
80/81 84/ 88/ 92/ 96/ 00/ 04/ 08/ 12/f<br />
80/81 84/ 88/ 92/ 96/ 00/ 04/ 08/ 12/f<br />
Transitional markets<br />
Emerging markets<br />
10.000<br />
Eastern Europe and Central Asia<br />
24.000<br />
Latin America, Asia, Africa<br />
8.000<br />
20.000<br />
1.000 t K 2 O<br />
6.000<br />
4.000<br />
2.000<br />
1.000 t K 2 O<br />
16.000<br />
12.000<br />
8.000<br />
4.000<br />
0<br />
80/81 84/ 88/ 92/ 96/ 00/ 04/ 08/ 12/f<br />
0<br />
80/81 84/ 88/ 92/ 96/ 00/ 04/ 08/ 12/f<br />
Source: IFA<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 18
Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
MOP Price Development<br />
US$/t<br />
Northwest-Europe (standard, fob)<br />
US$/t<br />
Overseas (cfr)<br />
1000<br />
800<br />
600<br />
1000<br />
800<br />
600<br />
Brazil<br />
(granuliar)*<br />
South-East Asia<br />
(SEA, standard)<br />
400<br />
435<br />
400<br />
450-465<br />
450-470 SEA<br />
Brazil<br />
200<br />
200<br />
0<br />
0<br />
2003 ‘04 ‘05 ‘06 ‘07 ‘08 ‘09 ‘10 ‘11 ‘12 2013 2003 ‘04 ‘05 ‘06 ‘07 ‘08 ‘09 ‘10 ‘11 ‘12 2013<br />
● Due to the tight demand-supply-situation, potash prices more than doubled between 2004 and 2007<br />
● The strong and in part speculatively driven raw materials boom which was observable worldwide until mid-2008<br />
also had an effect in significant price increases to over 800 US$/tonne of granulated potassium chloride<br />
●<br />
●<br />
The collapse in agricultural prices as a consequence of the financial crisis also led to a decrease in potash prices;<br />
following the conclusion of contracts with Chinese and Indian customers, a price level of approximately 400 US$/tonne<br />
of granulated potassium chloride was established worldwide at the beginning of 2010. This increased gradually as<br />
part of an improving agricultural environment and thus took into account the fact that time-consuming and capitalintensive<br />
greenfield projects for the creation of new capacities can only be realised economically with a reasonable<br />
potash price level<br />
Due to strong demand, the global price level rose in 2011 from about US$ 400/tonne to over US$ 500/tonne<br />
January 2013<br />
* Until end of September 2010 MOP standard; Source: FMB; as of 17 January 2013<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
19
Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
Price Development of Different Product Groups<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Ø-Portfolio-Price vs. MOP gran. Europe<br />
SOP Ø-Price vs. MOP gran. Europe<br />
€/t<br />
700<br />
600<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Ø-Portfolio Price<br />
MOP gran. Europe<br />
€/t<br />
900<br />
800<br />
700<br />
SOP Ø-Price Europe (std.and gran.)<br />
MOP gran.<br />
Europe<br />
500<br />
400<br />
∆<br />
~10-20%<br />
600<br />
500<br />
∆ ~50 €<br />
300<br />
400<br />
300<br />
200<br />
200<br />
100<br />
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010<br />
100<br />
2011 9M/12 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 9M/12<br />
€/t<br />
700<br />
600<br />
500<br />
400<br />
300<br />
200<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Industrial Ø-Price vs. MOP gran. Europe<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Ø Industrial Portfolio Price<br />
MOP gran. Europe<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> non potash specialities Industr. vs. Fertiliz.<br />
€/t<br />
450<br />
400<br />
350<br />
300<br />
250<br />
200<br />
150<br />
100<br />
50<br />
Industrial Magnesium Comp.<br />
Fertilizer Magnesium Comp.<br />
100<br />
January 2013<br />
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 9M/12<br />
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 9M/12<br />
0<br />
Sources: <strong>K+S</strong>, FMB International Price Guide, Green Markets, Fertilizer Europe<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Group 20
Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
Potash Use by Crop<br />
7<br />
Million tonnes K 2 O<br />
6<br />
5<br />
Potash use by crop EU-27<br />
Fruits & Vegetables<br />
14.4%<br />
Other crops 31.2%<br />
Other Coarse Grains<br />
13.7%<br />
4<br />
3<br />
Sugar crops 5.9%<br />
Oil seed 10.2%<br />
Wheat 12.7%<br />
Corn 11.9%<br />
2<br />
1<br />
0<br />
China India USA EU-27 Brazil Indonesia &<br />
Malaysia<br />
Wheat Rice Corn Soybeans<br />
Oil palm and other oil seed Sugar crops Fruits & Vegetables Cotton<br />
Other coarse grains Other crops<br />
Source: IFA 2007/08, published 2009<br />
Other crops: roots, tubers, pulses, nuts, coffee, tea, tobacco, ornamentals, turf etc.<br />
Other oil seed: rapeseed, mustard, sunflower, groundnut etc.<br />
Other coarse grains: barley, oat, rye, triticale, sorghum etc.<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 21
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Low Stocks-to-use Ratios of Agricultural Products<br />
Production and consumption development vs. stocks-to-use ratio (Wheat and coarse grains)<br />
1900<br />
1800<br />
Production Consumption Stocks-to-use<br />
45.0 45,0<br />
40.0 40,0<br />
1700<br />
35.0 35,0<br />
in million tonnes<br />
1600<br />
1500<br />
1400<br />
1300<br />
1200<br />
Critical Level<br />
30.0 30,0<br />
25.0 25,0<br />
20.0 20,0<br />
15.0 15,0<br />
10.0 10,0<br />
Stocks-to-use ratio<br />
1100<br />
5.0 5,0<br />
1000<br />
1982/83<br />
1987/88<br />
1992/93<br />
1997/98<br />
2002/03<br />
2007/08<br />
2011/12e<br />
e<br />
2012/13<br />
0.0 0,0<br />
Source: USDA; as of 11 January 2013<br />
• Over the past thirty years, annual global production of cereals has often fallen short of demand<br />
• Despite reasonable harvest levels during the last ten years, these structural supply and<br />
demand gaps have resulted in low stocks-to-use ratios on a historical basis<br />
• The production level for the agricultural year 2012/13 expected by the USDA will not be efficient to meet<br />
consumption, so that stocks-to-use ratio will remain very low<br />
January 2013<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
22
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Prices for Agricultural Products – Spot vs. Future<br />
Prices for Agricultural Products – spot<br />
Prices for Agricultural Products – future<br />
450%<br />
140%<br />
400%<br />
130%<br />
350%<br />
120%<br />
300%<br />
250%<br />
200%<br />
150%<br />
110%<br />
100%<br />
90%<br />
100%<br />
80%<br />
50%<br />
Dec.<br />
‘04<br />
Dec.<br />
‘05<br />
Dec.<br />
‘06<br />
Dec.<br />
‘07<br />
Dec.<br />
‘08<br />
Dec.<br />
‘09<br />
Dec.<br />
‘10<br />
Dec.<br />
‘11<br />
Dec.<br />
‘12<br />
70%<br />
Mar.<br />
’13<br />
Jul<br />
’13<br />
Dec.<br />
’13<br />
May<br />
‘14<br />
Corn<br />
Wheat<br />
Soybeans<br />
Palmoil<br />
• Strong increase in prices for agricultural<br />
products since the middle of 2010<br />
Source: Bloomberg; as of 18 January 2013<br />
• Future prices of agricultural products<br />
show that capital markets expect price<br />
levels to be rather attractive for the next<br />
two years<br />
January 2013<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
23
Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
Profitability of Winter Wheat in Europe<br />
2009<br />
2010<br />
2011<br />
2012e<br />
2013e<br />
2.000<br />
Costs Sales<br />
1,213 964<br />
Costs Sales<br />
1,067 1,595<br />
Costs Sales<br />
1,116 1,405<br />
Costs Sales<br />
1,205 1,909<br />
Costs Sales<br />
1,194 1,862<br />
1.500<br />
1.000<br />
500<br />
Risk of<br />
loss:<br />
€ -249<br />
Profit<br />
potential:<br />
€ 528<br />
Profit<br />
potential:<br />
€ 289<br />
Profit<br />
potential:<br />
€ 704<br />
326<br />
248 238<br />
175 225<br />
82 82<br />
69 75 75<br />
101 101 101 121 121<br />
189 157<br />
157 162 162<br />
513 541 541 567 567<br />
Profit<br />
potential:<br />
€ 668<br />
Year<br />
2009<br />
2010<br />
2011<br />
2012e<br />
2013e<br />
Fertilizer share of total costs<br />
27% fertilizer costs (4% K)<br />
16% fertilizer costs (3% K)<br />
20% fertilizer costs (2% K)<br />
21% fertilizer costs (3% K)<br />
20% fertilizer costs (3% K)<br />
Fertilization<br />
Other costs<br />
(e.g. insurance, water)<br />
Seeds/plants<br />
Plant protection agents<br />
Variable costs<br />
Fixed costs (inkl. lease)<br />
0<br />
Wheat price: 123 €/t Wheat price: 220 €/t Wheat price: 199 €/t Wheat price: 258 €/t Wheat price: 251 €/t<br />
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013<br />
Yield: 7.84 t/ha Yield: 7.25 t/ha Yield: 7.06 t/ha Yield: 7.40 t/ha Yield: 7.42 t/ha<br />
January 2013<br />
The current future curve of the wheat price should enable the farmer to realize a profit potential of around<br />
€ 700 per hectare (excl. subsidies) in 2012e and around € 670 in 2013e. This is a high level compared to<br />
the last years; the application of fertilizers is profitable.<br />
Assumptions: without agricultural subsidies, incl. interest expenses for pre-financing costs, 100% use of mineral fertilizers (no organic fertilizing), straw stays in the field (straw fertilizing);<br />
fertilizer use for 8 t/ha yield: 80 kg/ha MOP, 536 kg/ha KAS and 139 kg/ha TSP; for lower yields, lower fertilizer requirement adjusted accordingly; Sources: costs (20 ha) according to<br />
Kuratorium für Technik und Bauwesen in der Landwirtschaft e. V. (KTBL) for winter wheat – bread quality, rotating crop growing system; yield according to statistical year book for food<br />
nutrition, agriculture and forestry 2011 and 2012, 2013e: 10-year average; nutrient extractions according to Guidelines for Fertilizer Use in Germany; fertilizer prices taken from LAND & Forst<br />
at the point of the upcoming fertilization (general fertilization with potash and phosphate in September; nitrogen fertilization in September, February, April and June); wheat price (bread quality<br />
B) according to LAND & Forst (average delivery from the yard from July to February), 2012e and 2013e: Euronext price less transportation cost assumption.<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
24
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Divestment of <strong>K+S</strong> Nitrogen<br />
• On 8 May 2012, <strong>K+S</strong> <strong>Aktiengesellschaft</strong> announced an<br />
agreement with EuroChem regarding the sale of <strong>K+S</strong><br />
Nitrogen, one of the leading suppliers of nitrogenous<br />
fertilizers.<br />
• The transaction, with an enterprise value of € 140 million,<br />
was closed on 2 July 2012.<br />
• For <strong>K+S</strong>, the divestment generated a book profit of<br />
around € 66 million after taxes in Q3.<br />
• Following the divestment of COMPO last year, the<br />
divestment of <strong>K+S</strong> Nitrogen consequently fits into our<br />
strategy, which pursues the goal of focusing management<br />
and financial resources particularly on the Potash and<br />
Magnesium Products and Salt business segments.<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 25
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> sold COMPO<br />
• COMPO, based in Münster / Westphalia, is<br />
one of the leading suppliers of branded goods<br />
for home and garden and employs more than<br />
1,000 employees globally.<br />
• In compliance with its growth strategy, <strong>K+S</strong><br />
will focus its financial and management<br />
resources in particular on the Potash and<br />
Magnesium Products and Salt business<br />
segments.<br />
Therefore, on 20 June 2011, <strong>K+S</strong> announced<br />
the sale of COMPO to the investment<br />
company Triton for an enterprise value of €<br />
205 million.<br />
The closing of the transaction was<br />
successfully completed on 18 October 2011.<br />
Since the reporting on the second quarter,<br />
COMPO is stated as a “discontinued<br />
operation” in accordance with IFRS.<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 26
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Content<br />
A. Corporate Structure & Strategy<br />
B. Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
C. Salt<br />
D. Complementary Activities<br />
E. Financial Data and Outlook<br />
F. <strong>K+S</strong> Share<br />
Appendix<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 27
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Salt<br />
Revenues (€ billion) EBIT (€ million)<br />
Highlights 9M/12<br />
1.27<br />
1.06<br />
0.31 0.32<br />
Q3/11 Q3/12 9M/11 9M/12<br />
163<br />
39<br />
13 5<br />
Q3/11 Q3/12 9M/11 9M/12<br />
• Europe: As a result of the mild and dry weather<br />
conditions at the beginning of the year, the demand<br />
for de-icing salt was unusually weak, particularly<br />
compared to the above-average 9M/11, but also<br />
compared to the long-term average sales volume.<br />
1.7 1.7<br />
1.5<br />
238<br />
211<br />
87<br />
2010 2011 LTM* 2010 2011 LTM*<br />
• North-America: On the US East Coast, too, the<br />
demand was very weak due to the unusually mild<br />
winter, and it was below average in Canada. Most<br />
producers responded to high inventories by cutting<br />
back production.<br />
De-icing salt<br />
43%<br />
Revenue split 2011 Outlook 2012**<br />
By product group By region • As a result of the extraordinarily weak start of the<br />
Other<br />
South America<br />
4%<br />
de-icing salt business, a significant reduction of<br />
9%<br />
sales volumes is expected.<br />
Food grade<br />
salt 18%<br />
Industrial salt<br />
29%<br />
North America<br />
64%<br />
• Sales volume forecast of 18-19 million tonnes of<br />
crystallised salt (2011: 22.7 million tonnes).<br />
• Tangible decrease in revenues and strong decrease<br />
in operating earnings compared to above-average<br />
Salt for<br />
chemical use 6%<br />
2011.<br />
January 2013 * LTM=Last twelve months as of 30 September 2012<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Group 28<br />
** Outlook statement as of 6 November 2012<br />
Europe<br />
27%
Salt<br />
Executing Our Salt Strategy<br />
5<br />
Acquired Morton Salt,<br />
the largest salt producer<br />
in North America<br />
<strong>K+S</strong><br />
4<br />
Morton<br />
Salt<br />
Acquired No.1 salt<br />
producer in South<br />
America through SPL<br />
acquisition<br />
- Market entry into U.S.<br />
and Latin America<br />
- Expansion potential<br />
to Asia<br />
SPL<br />
1<br />
2<br />
3<br />
Originally, salt<br />
business with high<br />
exposure to de-icing<br />
and industrial salt in<br />
Europe<br />
Added salt for chemical<br />
use through the acquisition<br />
of Frisia Zout (NL)<br />
Created No.1 salt<br />
producer in Europe<br />
through the acquisition<br />
of Solvay salt business<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 29
Salt<br />
Mitigation of Volatility in De-icing Business<br />
Sales Volume De-icing Salt SPL/ISCO*:<br />
Sales Volume De-icing Salt Morton*:<br />
Sales Volume De-icing Salt esco*:<br />
1,000 t<br />
1.000 t<br />
5,000 5000<br />
4,000 4000<br />
3,000 3000<br />
2,000 2000<br />
1,000 1000<br />
0 0<br />
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />
1,000 t<br />
1.000 t<br />
9,000 9000<br />
8,000 8000<br />
7,000 7000<br />
6,000 6000<br />
5,000 5000<br />
4,000 4000<br />
3,000 3000<br />
2,000 2000<br />
1,000 1000<br />
0<br />
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />
1,000 t<br />
1.000 t<br />
5,000 5000<br />
4,000 4000<br />
3,000 3000<br />
2,000 2000<br />
1,000 1000<br />
0 0<br />
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />
10 year average sales volume (2002 – 2011) * before consolidation of intersegment sales volumes<br />
1.000 t<br />
14,000<br />
12,000<br />
10,000<br />
8,000<br />
6,000<br />
4,000<br />
2,000<br />
0<br />
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />
esco Morton SPL/ISCO<br />
The worldwide de-icing salt market<br />
exhibits varying volatility<br />
Access to the largest de-icing world<br />
markets mitigates the overall degree<br />
of fluctuation in the de-icing salt<br />
business<br />
Unique, interregional production<br />
network (including access to salt<br />
production from potash facilities)<br />
allows benefiting from strong<br />
demand surges at short notice<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 30
Salt<br />
Morton Salt Reduces Earnings Volatility<br />
Million €<br />
500<br />
EBITDA of Salt Business Segment<br />
(without Morton Salt) ≙ esco + SPL<br />
EBITDA of Morton Salt<br />
%<br />
25<br />
400<br />
300<br />
Standard deviation<br />
Salt Business Segment (without<br />
Morton Salt): 44.0%<br />
Salt Business Segment<br />
(including Morton Salt): 23.1%<br />
20<br />
15<br />
200<br />
10<br />
100<br />
5<br />
EBITDA-Margin of Salt Business Segment<br />
(without Morton Salt) ≙ esco + SPL<br />
EBITDA-Margin of Salt Business Segment<br />
(including Morton Salt)<br />
0<br />
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005<br />
0<br />
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 200820002009<br />
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />
• With the acquisition of Morton Salt, standard deviation of EBITDA more than halved to a good 20%<br />
• In addition, Morton Salt reduces volatility in EBITDA margins significantly<br />
• Furthermore, the level of EBITDA margin is also positively impacted by the acquisition of Morton Salt<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 31
Salt<br />
Historic and Recent Volume and Price Development<br />
Million tonnes Morton Salt (as of<br />
€<br />
25<br />
1 October 2009)<br />
SPL (as of<br />
70<br />
1 July 2006)<br />
22.53 22.73<br />
20<br />
15<br />
49.1<br />
45.0 45.5<br />
48.7<br />
55.5<br />
14.81<br />
54.8<br />
9.04<br />
55.6<br />
9.42<br />
18-19<br />
~53*<br />
~9.5<br />
60<br />
50<br />
40<br />
5.85<br />
10<br />
8.02<br />
8.77<br />
9.47<br />
30<br />
5<br />
0<br />
6.07<br />
5.00<br />
4.73<br />
3.90<br />
13.49<br />
2.82<br />
8.96<br />
3.25 4.12 4.04<br />
4.47<br />
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010<br />
13.31<br />
2011<br />
>9<br />
2012e<br />
20<br />
10<br />
0<br />
De-icing salt sales volume<br />
Sales volume of industrial salt,<br />
salt for chemical use and food grade salt<br />
Yearly average price of de-icing salt<br />
• Sales volumes increased over the past years mainly due to external growth, while the de-icing salt share<br />
remained rather stable<br />
• Sales volume 2012e based on weaker de-icing salt demand due to unusually mild winter weather at the<br />
beginning of the year. For Q4, a somewhat reduced de-icing salt business compared to normal is assumed:<br />
Despite the assumption of a normal winter, the reason for this are the relatively high stocks at the customers<br />
January 2013 * LTM = Last twelve months as of 30 September 2012<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Group 32
Salt<br />
Seasonality of the De-icing Salt Business<br />
Million tonnes<br />
10.18<br />
10<br />
€<br />
70<br />
2.24<br />
8<br />
55.6<br />
52.2<br />
55.0<br />
56.6<br />
60<br />
6<br />
51.5<br />
6.18<br />
49.6<br />
51.7<br />
5.82<br />
50<br />
40<br />
4<br />
2<br />
0<br />
7.94<br />
2.16<br />
4.02<br />
3.21<br />
2.47<br />
0.74<br />
2.98<br />
2.38<br />
0.60<br />
3.52<br />
2.17<br />
1.35<br />
3.34<br />
2.23<br />
1.11<br />
2.54<br />
3.28<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
0<br />
De-icing salt sales volume<br />
Sales volume of industrial salt,<br />
salt for chemical use and food grade salt<br />
De-icing salt average price 2012<br />
De-icing salt average price 2011<br />
Q1/11 Q1/12 Q2/11 Q2/12 Q3/11 Q3/12 Q4/11<br />
Q4/12<br />
• Quarterly volumes and prices are affected by seasonal de-icing salt business which are in<br />
general strongest in the Q1 and Q4<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 33
Salt<br />
Presence in the most attractive de-icing salt<br />
markets of the world<br />
Great Lakes<br />
• Continental climate with<br />
distinctly stable winters<br />
• High population density<br />
• Stable de-icing salt<br />
business with high<br />
volumes<br />
US East Coast<br />
• Atlantic climate<br />
• Relatively volatile,<br />
partly very harsh<br />
winters<br />
• Very high population<br />
density<br />
• Relatively stable<br />
de-icing salt business<br />
Eastern Canada<br />
• Atlantic climate<br />
• Relatively stable winters<br />
• Lower population density<br />
• Relatively stable<br />
de-icing salt business<br />
• Long-term contracts<br />
Central Europe<br />
• Atlantic climate<br />
• Milder winters with<br />
occasional upward<br />
fluctuations<br />
• Very high population<br />
density<br />
• Relatively fluctuating<br />
de-icing salt business<br />
Scandinavia<br />
• More stable winters in<br />
comparison with<br />
Western Europe<br />
• Relatively low<br />
population density<br />
• Relatively stable deicing<br />
salt business<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 34
Salt<br />
Key Drivers of the Salt Business<br />
• Diverse and stable salt end uses driving continuous growth<br />
• Essential mineral without economically viable substitutes<br />
• De-icing salt is used for public safety<br />
• Consumption driven by winter weather<br />
• Most economic and environmentally most friendly alternative<br />
• Consumer / food grade salt consumption benefits from population growth and increasing<br />
standards of living<br />
• Industrial/chemical salt consumption driven by economic growth and industrialisation<br />
• Rapidly industrialising regions experience high growth rates<br />
• Salt products typically represent only a small portion of costs of production<br />
• Regional markets due to high portion of logistics costs<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 35
Salt<br />
Development of Salt Production and Consumption<br />
Million tonnes<br />
North America<br />
67 68 70<br />
65<br />
Europe<br />
70<br />
60 63<br />
74<br />
58<br />
92<br />
Asia<br />
72<br />
108<br />
Ø 1.6% Ø 1.6%<br />
Ø 0.1% Ø 0.7%<br />
Production<br />
Latin America<br />
Consumption<br />
Ø 3.2% Ø 2.9%<br />
22<br />
16 12 16<br />
Production Consumption<br />
Production<br />
Consumption<br />
Ø 4.1% Ø 7.2%<br />
4 6 4 8<br />
Production<br />
Africa<br />
Consumption<br />
Middle East<br />
7.2% 8.8%<br />
3 6 3 7<br />
Production<br />
Consumption<br />
Ø 4.7% Ø 4.1%<br />
Production<br />
Consumption<br />
Oceania<br />
Ø 2.9% Ø 7.2%<br />
9 12<br />
1 2<br />
Production<br />
Consumption<br />
Source: <strong>K+S</strong>, USGS, Roskill 2011<br />
Global Salt Production:<br />
(Ø 2.4% p.a.)<br />
2010: 276 million t<br />
2000: 217 million t<br />
Global Salt Consumption<br />
(Ø 2.6% p.a.)<br />
2010: 285 million t<br />
2000: 220 million t<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 36
Salt<br />
Main Salt Suppliers Worldwide<br />
Capacity in million tonnes (crystallised salt and salt in brine; excl. captive use)<br />
3.5<br />
13.1<br />
14.0<br />
13.4<br />
9.7<br />
15.0<br />
Cargill<br />
Compass<br />
7.5<br />
Artyomsol<br />
5.1<br />
Salins<br />
Südsalz<br />
4.1<br />
Akzo<br />
3.7<br />
China National Salt<br />
7.0<br />
ESSA<br />
10.3<br />
7.0<br />
Dampier<br />
3.8<br />
Mitsui<br />
Sources: Roskill 2011, <strong>K+S</strong><br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 37
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Content<br />
A. Corporate Structure & Strategy<br />
B. Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
C. Salt<br />
D. Complementary Activities<br />
E. Financial Data and Outlook<br />
F. <strong>K+S</strong> Share<br />
Appendix<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 38
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Complementary Activities<br />
Revenues (€ million)<br />
EBIT (€ million)<br />
Summary<br />
38<br />
36<br />
112<br />
114<br />
7<br />
6<br />
19<br />
20<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> is the leading provider for underground waste<br />
management in Europe ensuring safety over long<br />
periods of time. In addition, we offer tailor-made<br />
solutions for recycling requirements of our customers.<br />
Q3/11 Q3/12 9M/11 9M/12<br />
150 152<br />
134<br />
Q3/11 Q3/12 9M/11 9M/12<br />
21<br />
18 18<br />
Logistics activities being essential for <strong>K+S</strong> are also<br />
bundled in this business segment. Another important<br />
activity is the granulation of CATSAN ® (cat litter).<br />
2010 2011 LTM* 2010 2011 LTM*<br />
Revenue split 2011 Outlook 2012 **<br />
Animal hygiene<br />
products<br />
24%<br />
Logistics 10%<br />
By product group<br />
Trade<br />
8%<br />
Waste Mgmt.<br />
and Recycling<br />
58%<br />
Rest of<br />
Europe 18%<br />
By region<br />
Germany 82%<br />
In the “Complementary Activities“ we expect from<br />
today’s perspective stable revenues and moderately<br />
rising earnings.<br />
January 2013 * LTM=Last twelve months as of 30 September 2012<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Group 39<br />
** Outlook statement as of 6 November 2012
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Content<br />
A. Corporate Structure & Strategy<br />
B. Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
C. Salt<br />
D. Complementary Activities<br />
E. Financial Data and Outlook<br />
F. <strong>K+S</strong> Share<br />
Appendix<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 40
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
9.000<br />
2.400<br />
Development of Revenues and Earnings<br />
8.000<br />
€ million<br />
7.000<br />
6.000<br />
5.000<br />
4.000<br />
3.000<br />
2.100<br />
Revenues 1.800 Operating earnings Group earnings, adjusted 1),2)<br />
1.500<br />
1221<br />
4,015<br />
1.200<br />
979<br />
3,142<br />
900<br />
833<br />
2.000<br />
600<br />
559<br />
1.000<br />
300<br />
0<br />
0<br />
‘08 ‘09 ‘10 ‘11 LTM<br />
‘08 ‘09 ‘10 ‘11 LTM ‘08 ‘09 ‘10 ‘11 LTM<br />
1)<br />
2007 to 2009 include the discontinued operations of COMPO and <strong>K+S</strong> Nitrogen. 2010 still including <strong>K+S</strong> Nitrogen<br />
2)<br />
The adjusted figures only include the realised result from operating forecast forecast hedges of the respective reporting<br />
period. The changes in the market value of operating forecast hedges still outstanding, however, are not taken into account in the<br />
adjusted earnings. Related effects on deferred and cash taxes are also eliminated.<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 41
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Operating EBIT Margins<br />
2011 2010<br />
2009<br />
2008<br />
2007<br />
Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
34.7%<br />
25.5%<br />
16.3%<br />
50.2%<br />
12.6%<br />
Salt<br />
12.4%<br />
13.8%<br />
13.8%<br />
7.3%<br />
8.8%<br />
Complementary Business Segments<br />
11.9%<br />
15.8%<br />
12.6%<br />
20.0%<br />
30.1%<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Group 1)<br />
22.7%<br />
15.4%<br />
6.7%<br />
28.0%<br />
8.5%<br />
1)<br />
2007 to 2009 include the discontinued operations of COMPO.<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 42
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Capital Expenditure and Depreciation 1)<br />
€ million<br />
1200<br />
1000<br />
Expansion capex<br />
Maintenance capex<br />
Depreciation<br />
about<br />
1,100<br />
800<br />
~60%<br />
600<br />
49<br />
about<br />
520<br />
400<br />
200<br />
0<br />
172<br />
198<br />
178<br />
189<br />
77 90<br />
58 49<br />
95 128 108 142 120<br />
174 140<br />
239 231 242<br />
~50%<br />
~50%<br />
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012e<br />
294<br />
63<br />
230<br />
~40%<br />
2013e<br />
240<br />
-<br />
250<br />
• For 2012, we expect a capex volume of about € 520 million for the <strong>K+S</strong> Group. Of this, CAD 200 million (about<br />
€ 160 million) should be accounted for by capex on the Legacy Project. Furthermore, the increase is attributable to<br />
execution of the package of measures on water protection in the amount of € 50 million and the planned construction<br />
of the saline water pipeline from the Neuhof site to the Werra plant in the amount of € 20 million<br />
• In 2013, of the expected capex volume of € 1,100 million, CAD 830 million 2) (a good € 640 million) should be accounted<br />
for by the Legacy Project.<br />
1)<br />
2006 to 2009 include the discontinued operations of COMPO. 2010 still including <strong>K+S</strong> Nitrogen. 2) There may still be<br />
January 2013 considerable shifts regarding the allocation of the capex for the Legacy Project to the investment periods.<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Group 43
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Net Indebtedness and Rating<br />
€ million<br />
2.000 ,<br />
1.600 ,<br />
1.200 ,<br />
Provisions for pensions<br />
Provisions for mining obligations<br />
Non-current liabilities - non-current securities<br />
Current liabilities - cash - current securities<br />
Total net debt<br />
1,085.1<br />
125.8<br />
194.3<br />
419.2<br />
1,351.3<br />
184.8<br />
95.3<br />
528.4 580.6<br />
800<br />
400<br />
0<br />
-400<br />
357.6<br />
146.3<br />
455.5<br />
93.1<br />
378.3<br />
265.9<br />
(167.3)<br />
570.0<br />
1,266.9<br />
(529.1)<br />
732.5<br />
786.6<br />
711.3<br />
*<br />
(767.3) (776.4)<br />
*<br />
610.8<br />
-800<br />
2007 2008 2009 2010<br />
2011<br />
Gearing ratio (%) 116.4 33.2 64.5 27.6<br />
19.8<br />
• The international rating agencies Standard & Poor’s and Moody’s have given <strong>K+S</strong> <strong>Aktiengesellschaft</strong> an<br />
"investment grade" rating. Standard & Poor’s rates <strong>K+S</strong> as "BBB+" (outlook: stable), while Moody’s rates it<br />
as "Baa2" (outlook: stable).<br />
* Including reimbursement claim for the Morton Salt bond (2011: € 19.4 million; 2010: € 18.9 million)<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 44
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Key Figures for the Management<br />
of the Capital Structure<br />
In order to assure and optimise the financial capacity of the <strong>K+S</strong> Group, we aim to achieve a<br />
situation where the <strong>K+S</strong> Group has a capital structure in the long term, which is oriented to<br />
the usual criteria and indicators for an "investment grade" rating. The management of the<br />
capital structure is undertaken on the basis of the following key figures:<br />
Target corridor 9M/12 2011 2010<br />
Net indebtedness / EBITDA 1.0x – 1.5x 0.6x 0.5x 0.8x<br />
Net indebtedness / Equity 50% – 100% 19.3% 19.8% 27.6%<br />
Equity ratio 40% – 50% 52.8% 50.9% 47.6%<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 45
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Maturity Profile<br />
€ million<br />
1000<br />
Bonds (due 09/2014, Coupon: 5%; due 06/2022, Coupon 3%)<br />
Revolving credit facility due 07/2015<br />
800<br />
600<br />
400<br />
750<br />
800<br />
200<br />
500<br />
0<br />
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022<br />
• The revolving credit facility above shows maximum possible headroom, not the amount<br />
actually drawn.<br />
• In addition, there are uncommitted, bilateral credit lines of about € 200 million,<br />
which can be terminated at any time.<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 46
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Our Aim is to maintain our Investment<br />
Grade Rating<br />
Moody’s<br />
Date Rating Outlook<br />
November 2010 Baa2 stable<br />
March 2010 Baa2 stable<br />
September 2009 Baa2 negative<br />
Standard & Poor’s<br />
Date Rating Outlook<br />
• We have shown a successful<br />
track record in credit and debt<br />
capital markets<br />
• To ensure this position we want<br />
to maintain a investment grade rating<br />
• Current financial ratios support<br />
our rating strongly<br />
September 2011 BBB+ stable<br />
January 2011 BBB positive<br />
October 2010 BBB stable<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 47
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Value Creation, Cash Generation, Strong Balance<br />
Sheet and High Dividend Distribution<br />
Mio. €<br />
ROCE, EBIT-Margin and Value Added<br />
Operating and Free Cash Flow<br />
€je Aktie<br />
€ million 1,124<br />
% € million € million<br />
800<br />
80<br />
700<br />
ROCE (rhs)<br />
9M Operating cash flow<br />
1,200 1.200<br />
EBIT-margin (rhs)<br />
70<br />
9M Operating cash flow<br />
1.200 1,200<br />
600<br />
Value added<br />
60 1,000 1.000<br />
Free cash flow before acqusitions/divestments<br />
1.000 1,000<br />
500<br />
50<br />
800 800<br />
800 800<br />
400<br />
40<br />
600 600<br />
600 600<br />
300<br />
200<br />
30<br />
20<br />
400 400<br />
400 400<br />
100<br />
10<br />
200 200<br />
200 200<br />
0<br />
0 0 0<br />
0 0<br />
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 LTM*<br />
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 LTM*<br />
Gearing and Equity Ratio<br />
Capex and Dividends<br />
% % € million %<br />
120<br />
60 900<br />
300<br />
Gearing<br />
800<br />
Capex<br />
100<br />
Equity ratio (rhs)<br />
50<br />
250<br />
700<br />
Dividends<br />
80<br />
40<br />
Capex/Depreciation (rhs)<br />
600<br />
200<br />
60<br />
30<br />
500<br />
400<br />
150<br />
40<br />
20<br />
300<br />
100<br />
20<br />
0<br />
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 9M/12<br />
200<br />
10<br />
100<br />
0 0<br />
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012e<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 48<br />
* LTM=Last twelve months as of 30 June 2012<br />
50<br />
0
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Currency Management<br />
Potash and Magnesium Business Segment<br />
US dollar<br />
• USD revenues are hedged after the deduction of overseas freight costs, capital expenditure<br />
for the Legacy Project and<br />
„worst case“ for the fiscal year 2011:<br />
a safety margin<br />
USD/EUR 1,35 after premiums<br />
• Use of options or futures, which<br />
prescribe a worst-case scenario,<br />
but provide the opportunity to<br />
share in any possible appreciation<br />
of the US dollar<br />
Canadian dollar<br />
„worst case“ for the fiscal year 2012:<br />
USD/EUR 1,33 after premiums<br />
„worst case“ for the fiscal year 2013<br />
(for ~60% of expected USD net exposure):<br />
USD/EUR 1,29 after premiums<br />
• Capital expenditure in Canadian dollar for the Legacy Project expected with sufficient certainty<br />
are also hedged with the use of options<br />
or futures, which prescribe a worstcase<br />
scenario, but provide the<br />
„worst case“ for the fiscal year 2013<br />
(for ~50% of expected capex in Canadian dollar):<br />
CAD/EUR 1,26 after premiums<br />
opportunity to share in any possible<br />
depreciation of the Canadian Dollar<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 49
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Earnings Sensitivities to USD volatility in 2013<br />
1.20 USD/EUR 1.30 USD/EUR* 1.40 USD/EUR<br />
Ø USD/EUR exchange rate changes from<br />
1.30 to 1.20 USD/EUR<br />
• With the use of options, we still<br />
participate in the possible appreciation<br />
of the US dollar (less the amount we<br />
paid for the premiums). Based on the<br />
expected USD net exposure of the<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Group, the total positive effect on<br />
EBIT I earnings of <strong>K+S</strong> Group in 2013<br />
would be about € 50 million.<br />
* underlying assumption of outlook 2013<br />
Ø USD/EUR exchange rate changes from<br />
1.30 to 1.40 USD/EUR<br />
• Based on the expected USD net exposure<br />
of <strong>K+S</strong> Group, the total negative effect<br />
without hedging on EBIT I earnings of the<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Group in 2013 would be about<br />
€ 65 million.<br />
• As options in place cover our expected<br />
net exposure from today’s perspective<br />
to a large degree, the above-mentioned<br />
risk reduces to about € 35 million in 2013<br />
(including the amount we paid for the<br />
premiums).<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 50
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Market Outlook (as of 6 November 2012)<br />
Potash and Magnesium Products Business Segment<br />
• Due to the continuing absence of contract conclusions with Chinese and Indian customers, North American<br />
and Russian producers announced further reductions in output in October in order to adjust supply to the<br />
reduced demand in these markets. While demand continued to be at a good level on the markets relevant for<br />
<strong>K+S</strong>, price negotiations in these regions will become increasingly difficult due to the missing contracts in China<br />
and India.<br />
• On the basis of the described developments, we assume global potash sales of about 54 million tonnes for<br />
2012 as a whole (previously: about 56 million tonnes*; 2011: 60.2 million tonnes*).<br />
• For 2013, we expect a tangible increase in global potash sales volumes. The estimate is based primarily on a<br />
price level for agricultural raw materials which is continuously attractive for the earnings prospects of the<br />
agricultural sector, and the expectation of a significant increase in demand in China and India after the buying<br />
restraint in 2012. Against this background, worldwide capacities should once again be well utilised.<br />
Salt Business Segment<br />
• As a result of the exceptionally mild weather conditions at the start of the year, the demand for de-icing salt<br />
in Europe as well as in North America should decline accordingly in 2012 compared to the above-average<br />
year 2011.<br />
• For the year 2013, we are assuming sales volumes to be on its multi-year average level both in the North<br />
American and European markets. After demand was below average both in Europe and North America due<br />
to the unusually mild weather conditions at the start of the year 2012, the sales volumes of de-icing salt in<br />
2013 should increase again accordingly. However, prices for the tenders for the winter season 2012/13 are<br />
overall slightly below the level of the last season with regional differences.<br />
January 2013<br />
* Incl. potassium sulphate and potash grades with lower K 2 O content of around 3 million tonnes eff. <strong>K+S</strong> Group 51
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Revenues (€ billion)<br />
EBITDA (€ million)<br />
EBIT I (€ million)<br />
4.0 a good<br />
3.9<br />
1,146.1<br />
about<br />
1,050<br />
906.4<br />
about<br />
820<br />
2011 2012e 2011 2012e 2011 2012e<br />
Group earnings, adj.<br />
(continued operations) (€ million)<br />
EPS, adj.<br />
(continued operations) (€)<br />
EPS, adj. 4) (€)<br />
625.6<br />
about<br />
530<br />
3.27<br />
about<br />
2.75<br />
3.04<br />
Revenues and Earnings Expectations 2012 1,2) 52<br />
• Potash and Magnesium Products: moderate increase 3)<br />
• Salt: tangible decrease<br />
• Potash and Magnesium Products: stable<br />
• Salt: strong decrease<br />
about<br />
3.30<br />
January 2013<br />
2011 2012e<br />
2011 2012e<br />
2011 2012e<br />
1)<br />
Unless stated otherwise, information refers to continued operations (previous year‘s figures adjusted accordingly)<br />
2)<br />
The underlying assumptions for this outlook can be found in our Quarterly Financial Report Q3/12 on page 24<br />
3)<br />
In line with our customary and technical forecast policy, which maintains the currently achieved potash price level unchanged<br />
4)<br />
Earnings from continued and discontinued operations<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Outlook statement as of 6 November 2012
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Revenues and Earnings Expectations 2013<br />
(Basis 2012) 1,2)<br />
Potash and Magnesium Products:<br />
• Caution against the backdrop of the continuing absence of contract conclusions by North<br />
American and Russian producers with Chinese and Indian customers, which are of relevance<br />
for the global price level<br />
• Sales volumes on about the same level as the previous year (2012e: 6.9 million t) and a<br />
slightly lower average price level<br />
• Savings in energy costs should roughly make up for increases in the remaining cost types<br />
Slight decrease in revenues and operating earnings expected<br />
Salt:<br />
• Normalisation of de-icing salt business<br />
Tangible rise in revenues and strong increase in operating earnings expected<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Group:<br />
• Slightly increasing revenues<br />
• Slight increase in EBITDA and operating earnings EBIT I<br />
• Moderate increase in adjusted Group earnings from continued operations<br />
January 2013<br />
1)<br />
Outlook statement as of 6 November 2012<br />
2)<br />
The underlying assumptions for this outlook can be found in our Quarterly Financial Report Q3/12 on page 24<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
53
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Potash One and the Legacy Project<br />
• With Potash One, <strong>K+S</strong> has acquired<br />
several potash exploration permits in<br />
Saskatchewan/Canada (incl. the<br />
Legacy Project and its feasibility<br />
study).<br />
Southern area of the potash belt of Saskatchewan<br />
(Schematic Diagram)<br />
• The total purchase price was<br />
€ 322.5 million (CAD 4.50 per share).<br />
• The Legacy Project is an advanced<br />
greenfield project for which an<br />
environmental permit has been granted.<br />
• Potash One is now fully incorporated<br />
in <strong>K+S</strong> Potash Canada GP.<br />
Two more potash exploration licences close to Esterhazy<br />
Reserves and Resources<br />
in mln. t KCl % KCl % K 2<br />
O<br />
Reserves (Proven and Probable Reserves) Legacy Project area 160 29 18<br />
Resources (Inferred and Indicated Resources) Legacy Project area + KLSA 009 981 27 17<br />
The reserves figures were determined in accordance with the requirements of the Canadian standard Nl 43-101 of the “Canadian Securities Regulators”.<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 54
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Ramp-up Curve<br />
Production capacity<br />
in mln. t KCl/a<br />
4.0<br />
3.5<br />
3.0<br />
2.5<br />
2.0<br />
1.5<br />
1.0<br />
0.5<br />
0.0<br />
Phase 2 – Development of secondary mining<br />
Phase 1 – Primary mining<br />
Outlook for Phase 3 –<br />
Expansion of secondary mining<br />
2011'12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22 '23 '24 '25 '26 '27 '28 '29 '30 '31 '32 '33 '34 '35<br />
1.14<br />
0.86<br />
2.00<br />
Phase 1<br />
(Implementation: 2011 to 2017)<br />
Phase 2<br />
(Implementation: 2016 to 2023)<br />
Outlook for Phase 3<br />
(Implementation: 2023 to 2034)<br />
● Development of infrastructure mainly for Phases 1 + 2, preparations for Phase 3<br />
● Capacity development + ramp-up of production to 2.0 mln. t KCl/a through primary mining<br />
● Capacity expansion and ramp-up of production by 0.86 to 2.86 mln. t KCl/a<br />
through secondary mining (share of secondary mining in total capacity: 30%)<br />
● Increase in share of secondary mining in total capacity to 50%<br />
● Potential expansion of annual capacity by 1.14 to 4.0 mln. t KCl/a<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 55
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Course of Capex<br />
Phase 1<br />
Phase 2<br />
Phase 3<br />
Activity<br />
Primary mining: Development of<br />
first caverns and construction<br />
of production and<br />
infrastructure facilities<br />
Development of secondary mining,<br />
expansion of production and<br />
logistics facilities<br />
Further expansion of secondary<br />
mining, construction of necessary<br />
additional production and logistics<br />
facilities<br />
Production<br />
capacity after<br />
implementation<br />
as of 2017:<br />
2.00 million tonnes KCl/a<br />
as of 2023:<br />
2.86 million tonnes KCl/a<br />
probably as of 2034:<br />
4.00 million tonnes KCl/a<br />
Capex 2011 to 2016: CAD 2.90 billion* 2016 to 2022: CAD 0.35 billion* 2023 to 2034: ~ CAD 0.70 billion<br />
Diagram of<br />
course of<br />
investment<br />
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022<br />
January 2013 * Approved by the Supervisory Board<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Group 56
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Specific Cash Costs*<br />
CAD/tonne<br />
175<br />
150<br />
125<br />
100<br />
75<br />
50<br />
25<br />
~ 165 CAD/tonne<br />
Average<br />
logistic<br />
costs<br />
Cash costs of<br />
production:<br />
~ 95 CAD/tonne<br />
● The cash costs of production will be lower for<br />
Legacy than in our plants in Germany<br />
● The high share of variable cost components<br />
(incl. freight) makes possible greater flexibility in<br />
relation to capacity utilisation:<br />
Legacy: 2/3 variable; 1/3 fixed<br />
Germany: 1/3 variable; 2/3 fixed<br />
● For mining taxes/royalties, an additional approx.<br />
CAD 70/tonne are to be recognised on the basis<br />
of a potash price of US$ 450/tonne ex works<br />
● Over the long term, depreciation and<br />
amortisation will total about CAD 30/tonne after<br />
initially higher values at the start of production<br />
0<br />
* At full utilisation of 2.86 million tonnes KCl/a (Phases 1+2)<br />
Assumptions: gas price: CAD 4.30/MMBtu; exchange rate: 1.02 CAD/USD; no increase in prices and costs after the construction phase<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 57
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
What Potash Price is Required as a Minimum for the<br />
Profitability of the Legacy Project?<br />
The Legacy Project requires a potash price of between USD 400 and 450/tonne MOP<br />
gran. including freight in order to achieve a return on capital employed (ROCE) of<br />
12% before taxes<br />
Parameters like the level of investment, gas price or freight rates could move respectively as follows, without<br />
jeopardising the planned target return or the range mentioned above:<br />
Parameter Basis Tolerance<br />
Capex (Phases 1 + 2) CAD 3.25 billion ± 15%<br />
Gas price (Henry Hub Natural Gas Price) CAD 4.30/MMBtu ± 50%<br />
Average freight rates ~ CAD 70/tonne ± 30%<br />
The Legacy Project is one of the world’s economically most attractive greenfield<br />
projects. The relatively favourable minimum price for this project cannot simply be<br />
transferred to other greenfield projects; higher minimum prices are to be expected.<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 58
Legacy Project<br />
How will Earnings Develop in the coming Years?<br />
Legacy Project Phases 1 + 2<br />
Turnaround already in<br />
2016/2017 with the<br />
achievement of full ramp-up of<br />
phase 1 (2 mln. t KCl/a)<br />
EBITDA<br />
EBIT<br />
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025<br />
EBIT in 2015 expected to be<br />
burdened due to first<br />
depreciation charges<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 59
Legacy Project<br />
New, State-of-the-art Potash Capacities<br />
Growth<br />
Production Costs<br />
Capacity and<br />
Mine Life<br />
Diversification<br />
Specialisation<br />
Flexibility /<br />
Expansion Potential<br />
• Adding substantial new capacities to the Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
business segment in a relatively short timeframe to be able to participate in the<br />
growth of the world potash market<br />
• Improvement and flexibilisation of average cash costs of production in the Potash<br />
and Magnesium Products business segment<br />
• Substantial addition of annual capacity by up to 4 million tonnes in the long run<br />
• Substantial extension of average mine life<br />
• <strong>K+S</strong> will be the potash producer with the widest product portfolio as well as one of<br />
the most diversified production networks and regional mix; share of sales volumes in<br />
the growth markets South America and Asia will increase<br />
• Continuation of the specialisation strategy by offering high-quality industrial<br />
products from Canada<br />
• Good scalability of capacity utilisation according to market development<br />
• Improved flexibility due to higher share of variable costs<br />
• Further expansion potential beyond the Legacy Project<br />
With a potash price of between USD 400 and 450/tonne MOP gran. including freight, the project already<br />
achieves a ROCE of 12% and an attractive premium on our cost of capital. The Legacy Project is thus<br />
one of the world’s economically most attractive greenfield projects<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 60
Legacy Project<br />
Project Progress<br />
• The first infrastructure measures in the areas of<br />
water supply, electricity and road construction, as<br />
well as the first drilling activities, were undertaken<br />
in 2011.<br />
• About 120 employees from different countries are<br />
currently working at <strong>K+S</strong> Potash Canada GP on the<br />
construction of the new site. By 2023, more than<br />
300 jobs should be created.<br />
• In 2012, we anticipate an investment volume of<br />
CAD 200 million (about € 160 million), which will<br />
continue to be used for infrastructure measures<br />
and water supply, as well as engineering work and<br />
drilling.<br />
• In 2013, the investment level should reach<br />
CAD 830 million* (a good € 640 million) and be<br />
used for drilling and the start of the factory’s<br />
construction.<br />
* There may still be considerable shifts in the allocation of expenditure to the investment periods<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 61
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Content<br />
A. Corporate Structure & Strategy<br />
B. Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
C. Salt<br />
D. Complementary Activities<br />
E. Financial Data and Outlook<br />
F. <strong>K+S</strong> Share<br />
Appendix<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 62
<strong>K+S</strong> <strong>Aktiengesellschaft</strong><br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Share / Bond information<br />
The <strong>K+S</strong> share at a glance:<br />
• Stock identification number: KSAG88 / ISIN: DE000KSAG888<br />
• Type of shares: Registered unit shares of no-par value<br />
• Total number of shares: 191,400,000<br />
• Trading segment: Prime Standard<br />
• Prime Sector: Chemicals / Industry group: Chemicals, Commodities<br />
• Listings: all stock exchanges in Germany<br />
• Ticker symbols: Bloomberg SDF / Reuters SDFG<br />
• ADR symbol: KPLUY<br />
• ADR CUSIP: 48265W108 / ISIN: US48265W1080<br />
• ADR listing: OTC market in the US<br />
• ADR ticker symbols:<br />
- Bloomberg: KPLUY<br />
- Reuters: KPLUY.PK<br />
• ADR depositary bank: The Bank of New York Mellon<br />
The <strong>K+S</strong> Bonds:<br />
Maturity: September 2014<br />
• Stock ID: A1A 6FV / ISIN: DE000A1A6FV5<br />
• Issuing volume: € 750 million<br />
• Issue price: 99.598%<br />
• Interest coupon: 5.000%<br />
Maturity: June 2022<br />
• Stock ID: A1P GZ8 / ISIN: DE000A1PGZ82<br />
• Issuing volume: € 500 million<br />
• Issue price: 99.422%<br />
• Interest coupon: 3.000%<br />
in %<br />
110<br />
105<br />
100<br />
95<br />
90<br />
Sep.<br />
09<br />
Dez. Dec. Mrz. Mar. Jun. Sep. Dez. Dec. Mrz. Mar. Jun. Sep. Dez. Dec. Mrz. Mar. Jun.<br />
09 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 12 12<br />
As of 17 January 2013<br />
Bond 09/2014<br />
Price: 106.651%<br />
Yield: 0.82% p.a.<br />
Bond 06/2022<br />
Price: 103.047%<br />
Yield: 2.43% p.a.<br />
Sep.<br />
12<br />
Dez.<br />
12<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 63
<strong>K+S</strong> <strong>Aktiengesellschaft</strong><br />
Key Data of the <strong>K+S</strong> Share<br />
9M/12<br />
2011<br />
2010<br />
2009<br />
2008<br />
Earnings per share, adjusted (€) 1),2),3)<br />
2.14<br />
3.27<br />
2.34<br />
0.56<br />
5.94<br />
Dividend per share (€) 3)<br />
-<br />
1.30<br />
1.00<br />
0.20<br />
2.40<br />
Book value per share, adjusted (€) 2),3)<br />
17.76<br />
16.12<br />
13.85<br />
10.94<br />
10.41<br />
Year-end closing price (XETRA, €) 3)<br />
38.27<br />
34.92<br />
56.36<br />
39.99<br />
39.97<br />
Total stock exchange turnover (€bn)<br />
8.7<br />
17.7<br />
16.8<br />
16.9<br />
33.4<br />
Average daily turnover (€m)<br />
45.3<br />
68.7<br />
65.7<br />
66.4<br />
131.6<br />
Average number of shares (m)<br />
191.40<br />
191.33<br />
191.34<br />
166.15<br />
164.95<br />
Dividend yield (on closing price, %)<br />
-<br />
3.7<br />
1.8<br />
0.5<br />
6.0<br />
Return on equity after taxes (%) 2),4)<br />
21.6<br />
20.2<br />
18.7<br />
8.4<br />
68.6<br />
1)<br />
2007 to 2009 include the discontinued operations of COMPO and <strong>K+S</strong> Nitrogen. 2010 still including <strong>K+S</strong> Nitrogen.<br />
2)<br />
The adjusted figures only include the realised result from operating forecast forecast hedges of the respective reporting<br />
period. The changes in the market value of operating forecast hedges still outstanding, however, are not taken into account in the<br />
adjusted earnings. Related effects on deferred and cash taxes are also eliminated.<br />
3)<br />
Historical data not adjusted for the capital increase 2009<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 64
<strong>K+S</strong> <strong>Aktiengesellschaft</strong><br />
Dividend Policy and History<br />
• We pursue a dividend policy that is in principle earnings-based. According to this, a dividend payout rate of between<br />
40% and 50% of the adjusted Group earnings after taxes forms the basis for future dividend recommendations.<br />
• For the year 2011, a dividend of € 1.30 per share (+ 30%) was paid.<br />
• For 2012, on the basis of the described earnings expectations, there is still a chance for a higher dividend, since the<br />
income from the divestment of <strong>K+S</strong> Nitrogen and the cessation of the adverse effects from the divestment of the<br />
COMPO business should have a impact on Group earnings. Based on our earnings expectations, good opportunities<br />
for a higher dividend in 2012.<br />
Group Earnings and Payout Ratio<br />
Dividends<br />
%<br />
100<br />
90<br />
80<br />
70<br />
60<br />
50<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
0<br />
Payout ratio<br />
Target range payout ratio<br />
Group earnings from continued operations,<br />
adjusted (rhs)<br />
979<br />
582 ~630<br />
445<br />
161 176 175<br />
101 104<br />
94<br />
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012e<br />
Mio. € €<br />
1.400 , 4,00 .<br />
1.200 ,<br />
1.000 ,<br />
800<br />
600<br />
400<br />
200<br />
0<br />
3,50 .<br />
3,00 .<br />
2,50 .<br />
2,00 .<br />
1,50 .<br />
1,00 .<br />
0,50 .<br />
0,00 .<br />
Dividends in €<br />
2.40<br />
1.30<br />
1.00<br />
0.45<br />
0.50 0.50<br />
0.33<br />
0.20<br />
0.25 0.25<br />
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />
€<br />
4,00 .<br />
3,50 .<br />
3,00 .<br />
2,50 .<br />
2,00 .<br />
1,50 .<br />
1,00 .<br />
0,50 .<br />
0,00 .<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 65
<strong>K+S</strong> <strong>Aktiengesellschaft</strong><br />
Attractive Dividend Policy<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> (EUR) 0.50<br />
(47%)<br />
Potash<br />
Corp. (USD)<br />
Mosaic<br />
(USD)<br />
Uralkali<br />
(RUR)<br />
ICL<br />
(USD)<br />
Compass<br />
(USD)<br />
Yara<br />
(NOK)<br />
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Dividend Policy<br />
0.12<br />
(11%)<br />
1.90<br />
(50%)<br />
0.42<br />
(98%)<br />
1.28<br />
(53%)<br />
4.00<br />
(19%)<br />
2.40<br />
(40%)<br />
0.13<br />
(4%)<br />
0.20<br />
(41%)<br />
0.13<br />
(12%)<br />
- - 0.20<br />
(4%)<br />
4.00<br />
(38%)<br />
0.75<br />
(48%)<br />
1.34<br />
(28%)<br />
4.50<br />
(16%)<br />
1.70<br />
(39%)<br />
0.44<br />
(72%)<br />
1.42<br />
(29%)<br />
4.50<br />
(34%)<br />
1.00<br />
(43%)<br />
0.13<br />
(7%)<br />
1.50*<br />
(81%)<br />
4.55<br />
(57%)<br />
0.92**<br />
(114%)<br />
1.56<br />
(35%)<br />
5.50<br />
(18%)<br />
1.30<br />
(43%)<br />
0.28<br />
(8%)<br />
0.20<br />
(4%)<br />
4.00<br />
(31%)<br />
0.75<br />
(63%)<br />
1.80<br />
(41%)<br />
7.00<br />
(17%)<br />
To pay out „in principle 40-50% of the adjusted<br />
Group earnings“<br />
„Cash dividends […] are conditioned upon […]<br />
available earnings.“<br />
The „board of directors approved an annual dividend<br />
program of $0.50 per share.“<br />
To pay out „at least 50% of net profit“<br />
• <strong>K+S</strong> has communicated a precise dividend policy<br />
• Dividend payouts complied with the policy in times of boom and bust<br />
• Reliable payout ratios provide investors with better predictability<br />
• <strong>K+S</strong> will continue its proven and well-acknowledged dividend policy<br />
To pay out a „quarterly dividend at a rate of up to 70%<br />
of […] net profit“<br />
„The declaration an payment of future dividends […]<br />
will be at the discretion of our board of directors.“<br />
„Return 40-45% of net income measured as<br />
the sum of dividends and share buy-backs<br />
[…] averaged over the business cycle.“<br />
* Special dividend of USD 1.30<br />
** incl. Special dividend of USD 0.42<br />
*** Incl. share buy-backs: 2007: 27%; 2008: 26%;<br />
2009: 19%; 2010 37%; 2011:27%<br />
Source: company reports<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 66
<strong>K+S</strong> <strong>Aktiengesellschaft</strong><br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Share Price compared with DAX<br />
Performance of <strong>K+S</strong> share<br />
(Index: 31 December 2011 = 100)<br />
Market capitalisation<br />
(as of 31 December, € billion)<br />
DAX<br />
+31%<br />
<strong>K+S</strong><br />
2012<br />
Jan.<br />
2013<br />
Jan.<br />
2003 ‘04 ‘05 ‘06 ‘07 ‘08 ‘09 ‘10 ‘11 ‘12 2013<br />
17 Jan.<br />
* Including dividends<br />
Source: Bloomberg; as of 17 January 2013<br />
January 2013<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Gruppe<br />
67
<strong>K+S</strong> <strong>Aktiengesellschaft</strong><br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Share Price compared with Peer Group<br />
Index: 31 December 2011 = 100<br />
Yara<br />
ICL<br />
Mosaic<br />
Uralkali<br />
Compass<br />
PotashCorp<br />
<strong>K+S</strong><br />
+21%<br />
+20%<br />
+17%<br />
+5%<br />
+5%<br />
+2%<br />
(4%)<br />
2012<br />
Jan.<br />
2013<br />
Jan.<br />
Source: Bloomberg; as of 17 January 2013<br />
January 2013<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Gruppe<br />
68
<strong>K+S</strong> <strong>Aktiengesellschaft</strong><br />
Shareholder Structure<br />
• Meritus Trust Company Limited holds 9.88%<br />
of <strong>K+S</strong> shares via EuroChem Group SE, including<br />
OJSC MCC “EuroChem”; Meritus Trust manages<br />
industrial holdings of Andrei Melnichenko on a<br />
fiduciary basis<br />
Free float 90.1%<br />
Meritus Trust /<br />
OJSC MCC „EuroChem“ 9.9%<br />
• The free float of <strong>K+S</strong> AG amounts to approx. 90%<br />
• Investment companies, that have exceeded<br />
the 3% threshold:<br />
- BlackRock Inc.: 5.08%<br />
- Prudential plc. via M&G Investment<br />
Management Limited: 3.01%<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 69
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Financial Calendar<br />
14 March 2013 ‣ Report on business 2012<br />
‣ Press and analyst conference, Frankfurt am Main<br />
14 May 2013 ‣ Annual General Meeting 2013, Kassel<br />
‣ Quarterly Financial Report, 31 March 2013<br />
15 May 2013 ‣ Dividend payment<br />
13 August 2013 ‣ Half-yearly Financial Report, 30 June 2013<br />
14 November 2013 ‣ Quarterly Financial Report, 30 September 2013<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 70
Jakarta 1975<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> <strong>Aktiengesellschaft</strong> · Bertha-von-Suttner-Strasse 7 · 34131 Kassel | Germany · Internet: www.k-plus-s.com<br />
Investor Relations · phone: +49 (0)561 / 9301-1100 · fax: +49 (0)561 / 9301-2425 · email: investor-relations@k-plus-s.com<br />
Jakarta 2010<br />
Experience growth.<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 71
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Content<br />
A. Corporate Structure & Strategy<br />
B. Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
C. Salt<br />
D. Complementary Activities<br />
E. Financial Data and Outlook<br />
F. <strong>K+S</strong> Share<br />
Appendix<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 72
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
History<br />
1889 Formation of „<strong>Aktiengesellschaft</strong> für Bergbau und Tiefbohrung“, the eldest predeceasing<br />
company of today’s <strong>K+S</strong> <strong>Aktiengesellschaft</strong><br />
1970/71 Merger of all three West-German potash producers to Kali und Salz GmbH; BASF is majority<br />
shareholder / change of corporate form into Kali und Salz AG<br />
1993 Merger of the potash and rock salt activities of Kali und Salz AG and the East-German<br />
Mitteldeutsche Kali AG into the Kali und Salz GmbH (Kali und Salz AG share: 51%)<br />
1997 BASF reduces its stake of Kali und Salz AG below 50%<br />
1998 Purchase of the remaining share capital (49%) of Kali und Salz GmbH;<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> is included in the MDAX<br />
1999 Change of company name to <strong>K+S</strong> <strong>Aktiengesellschaft</strong>; acquisition of COMPO and fertiva;<br />
2000 <strong>K+S</strong> cancelled 10% own shares<br />
2002 Foundation of salt joint venture esco - european salt company (<strong>K+S</strong> stake: 62%)<br />
2003 <strong>K+S</strong> cancelled 5.6% own shares<br />
2004 Acquisition of Solvay’s 38% share in esco<br />
2005 Share buyback of 1.25 million shares<br />
2006 Acquisition of the Chilean salt producer Sociedad Punta de Lobos<br />
2008 Inclusion in the DAX<br />
2009 Acquisition of the North American salt producer Morton Salt<br />
2011 Acquisition of the Canadian potash exploration company Potash One, Divestment of COMPO<br />
2012 Divestment of <strong>K+S</strong> Nitrogen<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 73
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Why Fertilize?<br />
There are only few soils on earth<br />
which have a sufficient content and<br />
availability of nutrients to achieve<br />
high yields over a longer period<br />
without fertilization<br />
Indispensable supplement to the natural<br />
nutrient content of soils<br />
Compensation of the nutrient losses<br />
by harvest and other losses<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 74
130<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> 120 Group<br />
110<br />
Yields of Cereals in Selected Regions<br />
100<br />
90 dt/ha<br />
80<br />
70<br />
60<br />
50<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
0<br />
Northern<br />
America<br />
South America Western Europe Eastern Europe Asia Africa<br />
Source: FAO 2010<br />
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010<br />
• Highest yields of cereals per hectare worldwide to be found in Western Europe and in North<br />
America thanks to a balanced fertilization tradition and professional agricultural systems as<br />
well as favourable climatic conditions<br />
• Assuming an increasing application of balanced fertilization, emerging market countries<br />
possess significant catching-up potential<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 75
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Meat consumption per Capita<br />
kg / person<br />
150<br />
North America<br />
100<br />
Europe<br />
South America<br />
50<br />
Asia<br />
Africa<br />
0<br />
1961 1970 1980 1990 2000 2007<br />
Source: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO)<br />
• Rising prosperity goes along with rising meat consumption<br />
• Production of 1 kilogram of meat requires multiple kilograms of animal feed<br />
• We believe there is significant potential for rising fertilizer demand in emerging<br />
market countries<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 76
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Fertilizer Business - Gene Technology<br />
• Objectives of gene technology:<br />
• improved crop resistance against broad-band herbicides as well as pests and diseases<br />
• breeding of plants with elevated use value for the customer<br />
• Cultivation of genetically modified crops (GMO) mainly in the USA, in Argentina, Canada,<br />
Brazil, China and South Africa<br />
• In Europe, the use is ethically disputed and does virtually not exist<br />
• Genetically modified crops are usually soybeans, corn, cotton and oilseed rape<br />
• The use of GMOs increases the yield per unit of cultivated area<br />
• Due to the genetic modification, the plant’s nutrient needs become similar to those of a ‘top<br />
athletes. The increased removal of mineral nutrients from the soil has to be supplemented<br />
in form of fertilizers<br />
As long as the demand for food of the increasing world population is larger than<br />
the supply, the use of GMOs leads to an increased demand for fertilizers<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 77
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Potash Fertilization and Yields for Corn<br />
Potash use by crop<br />
in 2007/08<br />
Potash use and yield for corn<br />
in 2007/08<br />
Wheat 6%<br />
Cotton<br />
2%<br />
Other cereals<br />
3%<br />
Fruits & Vegetables<br />
22%<br />
Potash use<br />
kg/ha<br />
60<br />
Yield<br />
t/ha<br />
10<br />
Soybeans 8%<br />
8<br />
Oil palm and<br />
other oil seed 8%<br />
40<br />
6<br />
Sugar crops 9%<br />
Corn 15%<br />
20<br />
4<br />
2<br />
Rice 13%<br />
Other crops 14%<br />
0<br />
USA China India<br />
0<br />
Potash use in kg/ha<br />
Yield in t/ha<br />
Balanced fertilizer use which is suited to plants results in higher yields<br />
and a lessening of the effects of negative factors (e.g. temperature, rainfall)<br />
Sources: USDA, FAO, IFA, <strong>K+S</strong>, 2007-09<br />
Other crops: roots, tubers, pulses, nuts, coffee, tea, tobacco, ornamentals, turf etc.<br />
Other oilseed: rapeseed, mustard, sunflower, groundnut etc.; Other cereals: barley, oat, rye, triticale, sorghum etc.<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 78
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Effect of Potash Fertilization on Yield<br />
t/ha<br />
12<br />
10<br />
8<br />
6<br />
4<br />
2<br />
0<br />
Winter wheat – Series of experiments<br />
(Germany)<br />
Additional yield<br />
t/ha<br />
1,5<br />
1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999<br />
K 2 O = 0 kg K 2 O = 100 kg Linear (addit. yield, rhs.)<br />
1,0<br />
0,5<br />
0,0<br />
Functional and sustainable<br />
potassium fertilization results in:<br />
• Mitigation of the effects of<br />
negative factors on yield<br />
• Increasing additional yields<br />
in the course of time<br />
• A potash-cost/proceeds<br />
ratio of 1:2<br />
(taking into account the<br />
current price level)<br />
Technical progress, plant<br />
protection and progress in cultivation<br />
enhance the potential of the plant<br />
over time. The exploitation of this<br />
potential depends on a balanced<br />
supply of nutrients!<br />
Series of experiments in Niestetal, Germany, Kassel, average annual precipitation: 647 mm, average annual temperature: 8.7°C:<br />
The geological starting material is a soil texture of silty loam. In agricultural practice, this soil has the reputation of supplying all nutrients particularly well, so that<br />
even reduced potassium fertilization need not necessarily result in corresponding declines in yield. The soil had a high supply class (E) prior to the start of the<br />
experiment. In contrast to nitrogen, the effect of potassium fertilization can only be assessed accurately in the long term. Only long-term field trials also identify the<br />
reciprocal effects (e.g. weather conditions) of all location factors.<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 79
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Strong Impact on Soybean Yield<br />
under Continued Elimination of Potash<br />
Grain yield (kg/ha)<br />
3500<br />
3000<br />
• Regular potash application of<br />
approx. 80 kg/ha of K 2 O in 5<br />
years before trial in Brazil<br />
2500<br />
2000<br />
• Climate conditions can cause<br />
volatility in yield<br />
1500<br />
1000<br />
500<br />
3,135 2,965 2,223 2,214<br />
(-5%) (-29%) (-29%)<br />
last yield<br />
with K<br />
Year 1<br />
without K<br />
Year 2<br />
without K<br />
Year 3<br />
without K<br />
772 (-75%)<br />
Year 4<br />
without K<br />
Year 5<br />
without K<br />
830 (-74%)<br />
Years of cultivation under declining K effect<br />
Source: Borkert, C.M., et al. 2005, Potash in soybean crop. In: Potassium in Brazilian agriculture, eds. T. Yamada and T.L. Roberts, 671-722. Piracicaba,<br />
Brazil: Potafos. (In Portugese); Embrapa Soybean, IPNI, personal correspondence with Paul E. Fixen, Ph.D., Dr. Adilson de Oliveira Junior, Dr. Luís I.<br />
Prochnow; The experiment took place in Ponta Grossa, Paraná, Brasil; Soil classification: Oxysol, clayed texture (clay content = 38%)<br />
January 2013<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
80
Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
Potash Market Europe (EU 27)<br />
Structure<br />
Products<br />
Market Structure<br />
Private trade with countryspecific<br />
regulations<br />
MOP standard, gran. and<br />
specialities through spot<br />
and contracts<br />
Agricultural Potash Consumption ***<br />
Other<br />
crops**<br />
31%<br />
Sugar Crops<br />
6%<br />
Potash Use by Crop *<br />
Oil Seed<br />
10%<br />
Fruits &<br />
Vegetables<br />
14%<br />
Corn<br />
12%<br />
Other<br />
Coarse<br />
Grains<br />
14%<br />
Wheat<br />
13%<br />
Cultivated Crops ****<br />
kt K 2 O<br />
8.000<br />
Other<br />
crops**<br />
24%<br />
Wheat<br />
24%<br />
6.000<br />
4.000<br />
Sugar Crops<br />
1%<br />
2.000<br />
0<br />
1979/80 1990/91 2001/02 2012/13F<br />
Fruits &<br />
Vegetables<br />
8%<br />
Corn<br />
7%<br />
Oil Seed<br />
15%<br />
Other<br />
Coarse<br />
Grains<br />
21%<br />
* Incl. sulphate of potash and low-grade potash, apparent consumption, % of total K 2 O, Source: IFA 2007/08, published 2009 ** incl.<br />
potatoes, pastures and forestry *** Fertilizer years Western and Central Europe, Source: IFA December 2011 **** % of arable land,<br />
Source: FAO 2009/2010<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 81
Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
Potash Market Brazil<br />
Market Structure<br />
Potash Use by Crop *<br />
Structure<br />
Products<br />
Private trade<br />
MOP gran. through spot<br />
and contracts<br />
Rice<br />
4%<br />
Cotton<br />
4%<br />
Fruits &<br />
Vegetables<br />
5%<br />
Other crops<br />
14%<br />
Soybeans<br />
35%<br />
Corn<br />
17%<br />
Sugar Crops<br />
21%<br />
Agricultural Potash Consumption **<br />
Cultivated Crops ***<br />
kt K 2 O<br />
5.000<br />
4.000<br />
3.000<br />
Rice<br />
5%<br />
Fruits &<br />
Vegetables<br />
5%<br />
Cotton<br />
2%<br />
Other crops<br />
6%<br />
Soybeans<br />
42%<br />
2.000<br />
Sugar Crops<br />
17%<br />
1.000<br />
0<br />
1979/80 1990/91 2001/02 2012/13F<br />
Corn<br />
23%<br />
* Incl. sulphate of potash and low-grade potash, apparent consumption, % of total K 2 O, Source: IFA 2007/08, published 2009<br />
** Fertilizer years Brazil, Source: IFA December 2011 *** % of total area harvested, Source: FAO 2010<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 82
Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
Potash Market Southeast Asia<br />
Market Structure<br />
Potash Use by Crop *<br />
Structure<br />
Products<br />
Private trade<br />
MOP standard and<br />
specialities through spot<br />
and contracts<br />
Other crops<br />
10%<br />
Sugar Crops<br />
6%<br />
Corn<br />
6%<br />
Fruits &<br />
Vegetables<br />
12%<br />
Oil Seed<br />
49%<br />
Rice<br />
17%<br />
Agricultural Potash Consumption **<br />
Cultivated Crops ***<br />
kt K 2 O<br />
4.000<br />
3.000<br />
2.000<br />
Other crops<br />
Sugar Crops 6%<br />
3%<br />
Fruits &<br />
Vegetables<br />
8%<br />
Corn<br />
11%<br />
Rice<br />
47%<br />
1.000<br />
0<br />
1979/80 1990/91 2001/02 2012/13F<br />
* Incl. sulphate of potash and low-grade potash, apparent consumption, % of total K 2 O, Source: IFA 2007/08, published 2009<br />
** Fertilizer years East Asia excl. China, Japan, Source: IFA December 2011 *** % of total area harvested, Source: FAO 2010<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 83<br />
Oil Seed<br />
25%
Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
Potash Market India<br />
Market Structure<br />
Potash Use by Crop *<br />
Structure<br />
Products<br />
Predominantly centralised,<br />
subsidised<br />
MOP standard through<br />
contracts<br />
-<br />
Corn<br />
Other 1%<br />
Coarse<br />
Grains<br />
2%<br />
Cotton<br />
5%<br />
Oil Seeds<br />
6%<br />
Other crops<br />
11%<br />
Rice<br />
35%<br />
Agricultural Potash Consumption **<br />
Sugar Crops<br />
10%<br />
Wheat<br />
8%<br />
Fruits &<br />
Vegetables<br />
22%<br />
Cultivated Crops ***<br />
kt K 2 O<br />
4.000<br />
3.000<br />
2.000<br />
1.000<br />
0<br />
1979/80 1990/91 2001/02 2012/13F<br />
Other crops<br />
Sugar Crops<br />
15%<br />
2%<br />
Corn<br />
4%<br />
Cotton<br />
6%<br />
Fruits &<br />
Vegetables<br />
8%<br />
Other<br />
Coarse<br />
Grains<br />
11%<br />
Oil Seeds<br />
19%<br />
Wheat<br />
15%<br />
Rice<br />
20%<br />
* Incl. sulphate of potash and low-grade potash, apparent consumption, % of total K 2 O, Source: IFA 2007/08, published 2009<br />
** Fertilizer years India, Source: IFA December 2011 *** % of total area harvested, Source: FAO 2010<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 84
Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
Potash Market China<br />
Market Structure<br />
Potash Use by Crop *<br />
Structure<br />
Products<br />
Predominantly centralised<br />
MOP standard through<br />
long-term contracts<br />
Sugar Crops<br />
5%<br />
Corn<br />
2%<br />
Oil Seeds<br />
3%<br />
Wheat<br />
4%<br />
Other crops<br />
7%<br />
Fruits &<br />
Vegetables<br />
51%<br />
Rice<br />
28%<br />
Agricultural Potash Consumption **<br />
Cultivated Crops ***<br />
kt K 2 O<br />
7.000<br />
6.000<br />
Sugar Crops<br />
1%<br />
Other crops<br />
12%<br />
Corn<br />
20%<br />
5.000<br />
4.000<br />
3.000<br />
2.000<br />
1.000<br />
0<br />
1979/80 1990/91 2001/02 2012/13F<br />
Wheat<br />
14%<br />
Oil Seeds<br />
16%<br />
Rice<br />
18%<br />
Fruits &<br />
Vegetables<br />
19%<br />
* Incl. sulphate of potash and low-grade potash, apparent consumption, % of total K 2 O, Source: IFA 2007/08, published 2009<br />
** Fertilizer years China, Source: IFA December 2011 *** % of total area harvested, Source: FAO 2010<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 85
Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
Potash Market North America<br />
Market Structure<br />
Potash Use by Crop *<br />
Structure<br />
Private Trade<br />
Other crops<br />
24%<br />
Products<br />
MOP gran. and<br />
specialities through<br />
spot and contracts<br />
Sugar Crops<br />
3%<br />
Cotton<br />
3%<br />
Wheat<br />
5%<br />
Fruits &<br />
Vegetables<br />
6%<br />
Soybeans<br />
11%<br />
Corn<br />
48%<br />
Agricultural Potash Consumption ** Cultivated Crops ***<br />
kt K 2 O<br />
7.000<br />
6.000<br />
5.000<br />
4.000<br />
3.000<br />
2.000<br />
1.000<br />
0<br />
1979/80 1990/91 2001/02 2012/13F<br />
Other crops<br />
15%<br />
Fruits &<br />
Vegetables<br />
2%<br />
Cotton<br />
3%<br />
Other<br />
Coarse<br />
Grains<br />
7%<br />
Wheat<br />
21%<br />
Corn<br />
27%<br />
Soybeans<br />
25%<br />
* Incl. sulphate of potash and low-grade potash, apparent consumption, % of total K 2 O, Sources: IFA 2007/08, published 2009<br />
** Fertilizer years North America, Source: IFA December 2011 *** % of total area harvested, Source: FAO 2010<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 86
Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
Loader (up to 20 tonnes)<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 87
Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
Production Sites in Germany<br />
Potash mining in the Werra Fulda Region<br />
6<br />
7 4<br />
Kassel<br />
1<br />
5 3 2<br />
Potash<br />
Seam Hesse<br />
Share of production capacity (in %)<br />
1. Wintershall<br />
2. Unterbreizbach Integrated Werra Plant 44<br />
3. Hattorf<br />
4. Zielitz 24<br />
5. Neuhof-Ellers 16<br />
6. Sigmundshall 11<br />
7. Bergmannssegen-Hugo 5<br />
(pure production site, no mining)<br />
Potash Seam<br />
Thuringia<br />
Source: Mainova AG<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 88
Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
Extraction Cycle Underground<br />
0<br />
Blasting after<br />
shift end<br />
4<br />
Auger drilling<br />
1<br />
Muck pile load and dump<br />
5<br />
Cleaning<br />
2<br />
Roof scaling<br />
6<br />
Drilling<br />
3<br />
Roof bolting<br />
7<br />
Loading with explosives<br />
0<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 89
Potash and Magnesium Products<br />
Potash Processing above Ground<br />
Thermal<br />
dissolution<br />
Flotation<br />
Electrostatic<br />
separation<br />
(ESTA ® )<br />
heating<br />
25 °C 110 °C<br />
mother brine<br />
undissolved<br />
residue<br />
+ dissolved<br />
KCl<br />
95 °C<br />
finely<br />
ground<br />
crude salt<br />
filtering<br />
flotation<br />
agent<br />
air<br />
bubbles<br />
flotation<br />
brine<br />
finely<br />
ground<br />
crude salt<br />
triboelectric<br />
charging<br />
finely ground<br />
crude salt<br />
-<br />
conditioning<br />
+<br />
filtering<br />
cooling<br />
filtering<br />
and<br />
drying<br />
separation<br />
in a free<br />
fall separator<br />
Potassium chloride<br />
(KCl) and Kieserite<br />
Residue<br />
(NaCl)<br />
Residue<br />
(NaCl)<br />
Potassium chloride<br />
(KCl) and Kieserite<br />
Residue<br />
(NaCl)<br />
Potassium chloride<br />
(KCl) and Kieserite<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 90
Salt<br />
Mining Chamber in Germany<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 91
Salt<br />
SPL: Salt Extraction in the Atacama Desert<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 92
Salt<br />
Details of De-icing Salt Bidding Processes<br />
defined by<br />
Details specified in typical<br />
bid document<br />
volume<br />
destination<br />
delivery<br />
product and service<br />
specifications<br />
guaranteed minimum<br />
purchase requirement<br />
maximum delivery<br />
requirement<br />
price<br />
vendor purchaser<br />
• Government de-icing contracts are awarded in<br />
Europe, the US and Canada in the form of public<br />
bids<br />
• Government purchaser issues bid documents in<br />
late spring/early summer<br />
• Vendors hand in sealed bids, which will be<br />
opened at date and time specified in the bid<br />
documents<br />
• Lowest priced bid that satisfies all requirements<br />
will be awarded<br />
• In the US, Canada and most parts of Europe, all<br />
vendor’s bids will become public<br />
• In the US most bids are valid for one year/season<br />
• In Canada and some parts of Europe contracts<br />
might be awarded for a duration of up to 4 years<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 93
Salt<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Production Sites in Europe as well as<br />
Winter Regions relevant for <strong>K+S</strong><br />
Production method<br />
Rock salt<br />
Solar evaporation salt<br />
Vacuum salt<br />
Production of de-icing salt<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> winter regions<br />
(…) Ø extraction 2002-2011 in t million<br />
*<br />
Processing<br />
Frisia, NL (1.0 million t)<br />
Borth, D (1.59 million t)<br />
Dombasle, F*<br />
Braunschweig-<br />
Lüneburg, D (0.69 million t)<br />
Bernburg, D (2.14 million t)<br />
Torrelavega, E*<br />
Povoa, P*<br />
Olhao, P*<br />
January 2013<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
94
Salt<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Production Sites in North and South America<br />
and Winter Regions in North America relevant for <strong>K+S</strong><br />
Lindbergh, AB (0.13 million t)<br />
Regina, SK*<br />
Grantsville, UT<br />
(0.58 million t)<br />
Newark, CA*<br />
Manistee, MI (0.28 million t)<br />
Ojibway, ON (2.66 million t)<br />
Windsor, ON (0.23 million t)<br />
Great Lakes/<br />
Ontario<br />
River<br />
System<br />
Quebec/<br />
Maritime<br />
New<br />
York<br />
Silver Springs, NY (0.34 million t)<br />
Perth Amboy, NJ*<br />
Fairport,OH (1.16 million t)<br />
Rittman, OH (0.51 million t)<br />
Mines Seleine, QC<br />
(1.54 million t)<br />
Pugwash, NS (1.15 million t)<br />
Long Beach, CA*<br />
US East Coast<br />
Glendale, AZ (0.12 million t)<br />
Hutchinson, KS (0.33 million t)<br />
Natal, Brasilien<br />
(0.50 million t)<br />
Production method<br />
Rock salt<br />
Grand Saline, TX (0.37 million t)<br />
Port Canaveral, FL*<br />
Solar evaporation salt<br />
Weeks Island, LA (1.43 million t)<br />
Vacuum salt<br />
Inagua, BH<br />
Production of de-icing salt<br />
(0.89 million t)<br />
Salar Grande<br />
de Tarapacá,<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> winter regions<br />
Chile (7.00 million t)<br />
(…) Ø extraction 2002-2011 in t million<br />
* Processing<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 95
Salt<br />
Comparison of portfolios with competitors<br />
<strong>K+S</strong><br />
China National<br />
Salt<br />
Compass<br />
Minerals<br />
Dampier<br />
Salt<br />
Number of production sites<br />
of which<br />
34<br />
14<br />
8<br />
3<br />
Rock salt<br />
10<br />
-<br />
3<br />
-<br />
Solar evaporation salt<br />
7<br />
4<br />
1<br />
3<br />
Vacuum salt<br />
17<br />
10<br />
4<br />
-<br />
Product portfolio (% of revenues; <strong>K+S</strong>: 2011)<br />
De-icing salt<br />
Industrial salt<br />
Salt for chemical use<br />
Food grade salt<br />
Other<br />
<strong>K+S</strong>‘ competitive advantages:<br />
A diversified production network reduces the risk of dependency on a single production centre<br />
<br />
<br />
Geographic dispersal of production centres makes regional production close to customers with advantages<br />
in transport costs possible<br />
A broad product portfolio reduces the volatility of sales<br />
Source: company information, own estimates<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 96
Salt<br />
Morton Salt, an Excellent Opportunity –<br />
Balancing Growth, Enhancing Profitability<br />
Growth<br />
Asset Quality<br />
Diversification<br />
Operational Synergies<br />
Financials Benefits<br />
Execution<br />
• Combines highly complementary operations to create the North American<br />
and global leader in salt<br />
• Offers widespread, close-to-customer production sites in the U.S. and Canada<br />
• Adds the leading salt consumer brand and a nationwide distribution network<br />
• Extends and diversifies geographic presence in the North American salt market<br />
• Enhances access to North American industrial and consumer markets<br />
• Provides access to new and less volatile de-icing regions<br />
• Strengthens <strong>K+S</strong> Group overall, in Europe and Overseas<br />
• Leverages the leading salt consumer brand to existing product portfolio<br />
• Optimizes logistics between Chile, Brazil and North America<br />
• EPS will be clearly accretive from 2010 onwards; consistent with acquisition criteria<br />
• Benefits from profitable salt business with strong cash flow generation<br />
• Maintains a strong, flexible balance sheet<br />
• Limited overlap facilitates smooth integration<br />
• Immediate delivery of benefits to employees, customers and shareholders<br />
Morton Salt – another milestone of our growth strategy<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 97
Salt<br />
Morton Salt at a glance<br />
• Largest producer of food grade salt, industrial<br />
and de-icing salt in North America<br />
• North America’s favorite salt consumer brand<br />
(“The Morton<br />
Umbrella Girl”)<br />
Revenues by product group *<br />
2009<br />
De-icing salt<br />
38%<br />
Food grade salt<br />
26%<br />
• 6 rock salt mines, 7 solar evaporation facilities<br />
and 10 vacuum salt operations as well as<br />
62 salt stockpiles and 61 distribution centers<br />
Salt for chemical use<br />
2%<br />
Industrial salt<br />
34%<br />
• Annual salt production capacity<br />
of 13.1 million tonnes<br />
• 2,900 employees<br />
• Headquartered in Chicago; founded in 1848<br />
Key figures<br />
USD million<br />
Sales volume<br />
(million tonnes)<br />
2009<br />
10.1<br />
2008<br />
12.7<br />
2007<br />
11.9<br />
Revenues 1,134 1,220 1,059<br />
EBITDA 283<br />
270<br />
204<br />
* Adjusted to <strong>K+S</strong> classification<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 98
3,50<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Development<br />
3,00<br />
of Earnings per Share, Adjusted *<br />
2,50<br />
€<br />
2.00 2,00<br />
1.50 1,50<br />
1.24<br />
1,00 1.00<br />
0,50 0.50<br />
0.89<br />
0.45<br />
0.25<br />
0.75<br />
0.63<br />
0.62<br />
0.78<br />
0.88<br />
0.74<br />
0.52<br />
0.00 0,00<br />
Q1 - Q4/2010 Q1 - Q4/2011 Q1 - Q4/2012<br />
FY * 2.34 € 3.27 €<br />
9M/12: 2.14 €<br />
* Information refers to the continued operations of <strong>K+S</strong> Group. The adjusted figures unalteredly only include the realised result from<br />
operating forecast forecast hedges of the respective reporting period. The changes in the market value of operating forecast hedges still outstanding,<br />
however, are not taken into account in the adjusted earnings. Related effects on deferred and cash taxes are also eliminated.<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 99
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Revenues and Earnings 1)<br />
€ million<br />
2011<br />
2010<br />
Revenues<br />
Earnings before interest, taxes,<br />
depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA)<br />
Operating earnings (EBIT I)<br />
Result after operating hedges (EBIT II)<br />
Financial result<br />
Earnings before income taxes (EBT)<br />
Taxes on income<br />
of which deferred taxes<br />
Group earnings after taxes & minority interests<br />
Earnings before income taxes, adjusted 2)<br />
Group earnings after taxes, adjusted 2)<br />
3,996.8<br />
1,146.0<br />
906.2<br />
882.8<br />
(64.2)<br />
818.6<br />
209.3<br />
(5.3)<br />
609.3<br />
842.0<br />
625.6<br />
4,632.7<br />
953.0<br />
714.5<br />
719.1<br />
(120.0)<br />
599.1<br />
141.2<br />
(33.7)<br />
457.1<br />
594.5<br />
453.8<br />
1)<br />
Infomation refers to the continued operations of <strong>K+S</strong> Group. 2010 still including <strong>K+S</strong> Nitrogen.<br />
2)<br />
The adjusted figures only include the realised result from operating forecast forecast hedges of the respective reporting period. The changes in the market<br />
value of operating forecast hedges still outstanding, however, are not taken into account in the adjusted earnings. Related effects on deferred and cash<br />
taxes are also eliminated.<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 100
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Cash Flow Statement 1,2)<br />
€ million<br />
2011 2010<br />
Gross cash flow<br />
Cash flow from operating activities<br />
Cash flow for investing activities<br />
- of which acquisitions/divestments<br />
Free cash flow<br />
Free cash flow before acquisitions/divestments<br />
Cash flow from/for financing activities<br />
859.0<br />
776.3<br />
(494.7)<br />
(242.8)<br />
281.6<br />
524.4<br />
(261.7)<br />
812.7<br />
829.1<br />
(177.7)<br />
-<br />
651.4<br />
651.4<br />
(439.7)<br />
1)<br />
Information refers to the continued operations of the <strong>K+S</strong> Group. 2010 still including <strong>K+S</strong> Nitrogen.<br />
2)<br />
Adjusted for the out-financing of pension provisions (2011: € 110.0 million; 2010: € 2.7 million) as well as the purchase of securities<br />
(2011: 372.4 Mio. €; 2010: 0.0 Mio. €)<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 101
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Balance Sheet<br />
€ million<br />
Non-current assets<br />
of which Intangible assets<br />
Property, plant and equipment<br />
Deferred tax assets<br />
Securities and other financial investments<br />
Current assets<br />
of which Inventories<br />
Accounts receivable - trade<br />
Cash, securities and other financial investments<br />
Equity<br />
Non-current debt<br />
of which Financial liabilities<br />
Provisions (pensions and mining obligations)<br />
Deferred tax liabilities<br />
Current debt<br />
of which Financial liabilities<br />
Balance sheet total<br />
31.12.11<br />
3,448.5<br />
1,020.9<br />
2,227.0<br />
55.3<br />
58.5<br />
2,608.4<br />
730.0<br />
928.8<br />
757.8<br />
3,084.6<br />
1,953.6<br />
769.8<br />
675.9<br />
342.3<br />
1,018.7<br />
0.8<br />
6,056.9<br />
31.12.10<br />
2,936.4<br />
999.7<br />
1.803.6<br />
57.8<br />
0.0<br />
2,637.3<br />
740.2<br />
949.8<br />
748.4<br />
2,651.6<br />
1,919.1<br />
769.1<br />
713.2<br />
261.6<br />
1,003.0<br />
17.5<br />
5,573.7<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 102
<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />
Forward-looking Statements<br />
This presentation contains facts and forecasts that relate to the future development of the <strong>K+S</strong><br />
Group and its companies. The forecasts are estimates that we have made on the basis of all the<br />
information available to us at this moment in time. Should the assumptions underlying<br />
these forecasts prove not to be correct or should certain risks – such as those referred to in<br />
the Risk Report – materialise, actual developments and events may deviate from current<br />
expectations. The Company assumes no obligation to update the statements, save for the making<br />
of such disclosures as are required by the provisions of statute.<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group <strong>K+S</strong> Group 103
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 104
Jakarta 1975<br />
<strong>K+S</strong> <strong>Aktiengesellschaft</strong> · Bertha-von-Suttner-Strasse 7 · 34131 Kassel | Germany · Internet: www.k-plus-s.com<br />
Investor Relations · phone: +49 (0)561 / 9301-1100 · fax: +49 (0)561 / 9301-2425 · email: investor-relations@k-plus-s.com<br />
Jakarta 2010<br />
Experience growth.<br />
January 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 105