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Sensitivity Analysis of Soil Site Response Modelling in Seismic ... - ITC

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Figure 2-1The four steps <strong>of</strong> probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (Kramer 1996).<br />

Probabilistic hazard assessment maps are generally called “peak acceleration (%g) with %10 probability<br />

<strong>of</strong> exceedance <strong>in</strong> 50 years “ (Figure 2-2). In simple words, the name refers to the chance <strong>of</strong> an<br />

earthquake to happen (probability percentage (2, 10 etc.)) <strong>in</strong> 50 years. Cornell (1968) added that even<br />

well def<strong>in</strong>ed s<strong>in</strong>gle numbers such as the “expected lifetime maximum “ or “ 50-year” <strong>in</strong>tensity are <strong>in</strong>sufficient<br />

to give the eng<strong>in</strong>eer an understand<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> how quickly the risk decreases as the ground motion<br />

<strong>in</strong>tensity <strong>in</strong>crease. This also still raises the questions for the convenient parameter, to use for the<br />

maps and visualization <strong>of</strong> the strong ground motion analysis.<br />

18<br />

<strong>Sensitivity</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Of <strong>Soil</strong> <strong>Site</strong> <strong>Response</strong> <strong>Modell<strong>in</strong>g</strong> In <strong>Seismic</strong> Microzonation For Lalitpur, Nepal

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