Presentation - Italcementi Group
Presentation - Italcementi Group
Presentation - Italcementi Group
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<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event<br />
Ait Baha (Morocco) cement plant<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> Agadir 24-25 <strong>Group</strong> September 2010<br />
Investor Event 24-25 Title September 2010<br />
0
Welcome to Agadir<br />
Opening remarks<br />
Macroeconomic and construction cycle<br />
Key strategic guidelines and actions<br />
Focus on selected markets<br />
Medium term financials<br />
Concluding remarks<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
1
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event<br />
Welcome to Agadir<br />
Ait Baha (Morocco) cement plant<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> Agadir 24-25 <strong>Group</strong> September 2010<br />
Investor Event 24-25 Title September 2010 2 2
Morocco plays a major role in Africa thanks to free trade<br />
agreements and enjoys a strategic status with the European<br />
Community<br />
Free trade agreements with:<br />
Egypt<br />
Tunisia<br />
Jordan<br />
Turkey<br />
U.S.A.<br />
Withdrawal of all custom duties with<br />
the European Community by 2012<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
3
Political and cultural milestones<br />
Independence date: 18 November 1955<br />
King (23rd of the Alaouite Dynasty): Mohammed VI<br />
Parliament (2 Chambers) with elected representatives<br />
Government rests on a Parliamentary majority, with Abbas El Fassi as<br />
Prime Minister<br />
Local democracy at regional, provincial and municipal levels, with<br />
administrative control by Interior Minister representatives (Walis,<br />
Governors)<br />
Official language: Arabic<br />
Native language: Berber<br />
Working languages: French, Spanish (in the North)<br />
Religion: Islam<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
4
Souss Massa Draa: one of the most important regions<br />
of the country<br />
Regional capital: Agadir<br />
10% of the territory<br />
10% of the population<br />
12% of GDP<br />
Agadir<br />
Main activities:<br />
• Agriculture<br />
• Tourism<br />
• Sea fishing<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
5
Key economic indicators (2009)<br />
Population (mln): 32.4<br />
GDP (EURbn): 65.4<br />
Gross fixed investment (% GDP): 30.7<br />
Inflation (%): 1.0<br />
Exports (EURbn): 10.0<br />
Imports (EURbn): 23.6<br />
Expatriate remittances (EURbn): 5.2<br />
Tourism revenues (EURbn): 3.9<br />
Public deficit (EURbn): (1.4)<br />
Rating<br />
Fitch<br />
BBB-/stable<br />
Standard & Poor’s BBB-/stable<br />
Moody’s<br />
Ba1/stable<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
6
Ciments du Maroc: an old and successful story<br />
of continuous growth<br />
1951: setting up by Ciments Français of Société des Ciments d’Agadir<br />
(SCA)<br />
1969: SCA listed on the Casablanca Stock Exchange<br />
1989: setting up of two subsidiaries in Ready-mix and Aggregates<br />
businesses<br />
1992: merger of SCA and Cimasfi a) , to form Ciments du Maroc<br />
1999: took control of Asmar b) and mergered with Ciments du Maroc<br />
2000: construction of the Laayoune grinding center<br />
2010: start-up of the Ait Baha plant<br />
a) Controls Safi plant construction<br />
b) Owner of the Marrakech plant<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
7
Ciments du Maroc: a listed company with a shareholders<br />
including major Moroccan and foreign investors<br />
Shares listed on the Casablanca Stock Exchange in 1969<br />
Market capitalization: EURm 1,500 (beginning of September 2010)<br />
Market capitalization ranking: 8 th ITC* 62.3%<br />
Shareholding<br />
ADFD 5.4%<br />
CIMR 7.8%<br />
CDG 8.7%<br />
Others 15.8%<br />
ADFD: Abu Dhabi Fund For Development<br />
CIMR: Caisse Interprofessionnelle Marocaine de Retraites<br />
CDG: Caisse de Dépôt et de Gestion<br />
* Through Ciments Français<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
8
Agadir plant: the birth place of Ciments du Maroc<br />
July 1952<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
9
Ait Baha greenfield: the last major investment, increasing<br />
the production capacity and generating significant savings<br />
July 2010<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
10
Welcome to Agadir<br />
Opening remarks<br />
Macroeconomic and construction cycle<br />
Key strategic guidelines and actions<br />
Focus on selected markets<br />
Medium term financials<br />
Concluding remarks<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
11
When we last met in Sept. 2008 we were anticipating …<br />
The global economic<br />
environment is deteriorating…<br />
Two shockwaves have halted a<br />
five-year-long world economic<br />
boom...<br />
Resurgent inflation and reduced<br />
output growth...<br />
Volatility dominates....<br />
On balance, recessionary<br />
conditions....<br />
… making medium term<br />
forecasts more uncertain<br />
According to most analysts, the<br />
risk of a full-blown depression (i.e.<br />
a 1929 style crisis) is still<br />
relatively low<br />
However, restoring confidence<br />
and reducing existing imbalances<br />
will take time<br />
World growth rates will remain<br />
less bright than in the recent past<br />
for some years ahead<br />
Also, the ongoing crises signal an<br />
urgent need to shift to a less<br />
leveraged, less energy-intensive<br />
economic system<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
12
We promptly responded with a specific framework<br />
of actions...<br />
Cost savings plan - structurally lower break even point<br />
Capacity adjustments, but four major investments completed<br />
Focus on cash generation<br />
• Tight control on CapEx but priority on strategic investments<br />
(capacity and efficiency)<br />
• Strong reduction of Working Capital<br />
Reinforced our financial structure<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
13
…and leveraging on our well balanced geographical<br />
diversification<br />
Cement country ranking and market shares<br />
BELGIUM<br />
3 rd -15%<br />
BULGARIA<br />
36% - 1 st TURKEY<br />
CANADA<br />
5 th -4%<br />
6% - 8 th KAZAKHSTAN<br />
U.S.A.<br />
7 th -5%<br />
2 nd -15% (*)<br />
MOROCCO<br />
2<br />
nd<br />
-25%<br />
2009 Revenues: Breakdown by Geography<br />
(after eliminations)<br />
3%<br />
14% - 4 th CHINA<br />
n.m.<br />
SPAIN<br />
7 th -6%<br />
Other Emerging Markets,<br />
Trading & Others<br />
14%<br />
THAILAND<br />
FRANCE<br />
2 nd -32%<br />
5%<br />
15% - 4 th EGYPT<br />
n.m.<br />
INDIA<br />
ITALY<br />
1 st -25%<br />
Market Share in regions<br />
where the <strong>Group</strong> operates<br />
(<strong>Italcementi</strong> estimates)<br />
(*) excluding Puerto Rico<br />
24% - 1 st GREECE<br />
7% - 3 rd<br />
Source: <strong>Italcementi</strong> analysis based on brokers’ reports<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
14
We rank 5 th among international cement players…<br />
2009 (EURm)<br />
Declared capacity<br />
Company Mt<br />
Revenues EBITDA<br />
203<br />
15,884<br />
3,600<br />
203<br />
13,993<br />
3,066<br />
110<br />
11,117<br />
2,102<br />
97<br />
10,433<br />
1,906<br />
73<br />
5,006<br />
972<br />
SOURCE: Bloomberg; Company Reports<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
15
…with a clear focus on cement…<br />
Cement + Clinker, Ready-mix, Aggregates volumes sold, 2000-2009<br />
Cement<br />
Mt<br />
Ready-mix<br />
Mm 3<br />
Aggregates<br />
Mt<br />
Player<br />
2000 2009<br />
2000 2009<br />
2000 2009<br />
68 141<br />
29 37<br />
176 196<br />
82 132<br />
25 42<br />
87 143<br />
47 79<br />
26 35<br />
76 239<br />
52 65<br />
16 54<br />
NA 168<br />
39 56<br />
18 11*<br />
53 39*<br />
SOURCE: Company data; annual reports<br />
(*) Calcestruzzi not included<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
16
…and a fairly good profitability<br />
EBITDA margin, percent<br />
Company 2009 H1-2010<br />
2009<br />
H1-2010<br />
22,7<br />
21,4<br />
21,9<br />
21,5<br />
18,9<br />
15,8<br />
18,3<br />
17,3<br />
19,4<br />
17,7<br />
SOURCE: <strong>Italcementi</strong>; Company reports<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
17
A still adverse short/medium term setting<br />
Recovery is on track but remains lacklustre and unevenly spread<br />
Economic policy reactions have helped, but rescue costs will have<br />
long-term repercussion<br />
Financial fragility remains a key issue and weak growth prospects will<br />
not help to solve the problem<br />
Current accounts and public debt imbalances are also a severe threat<br />
to the stability of the global scenario<br />
All in all, we have surfaced from more than a “normal” recession and<br />
a new, more sustainable equilibrium has to be found. This process will<br />
take time<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
18
Agenda<br />
09:15 Welcome to Agadir<br />
M. Chaibi<br />
09:30<br />
09:50<br />
10:10<br />
Opening remarks<br />
Macroeconomic and construction cycle<br />
Key strategic guidelines and actions<br />
C. Pesenti<br />
C. Fortuna<br />
G. Ferrario<br />
10:40<br />
Coffee break<br />
11:10<br />
Sustainable development<br />
Innovation<br />
Industrial efficiency<br />
Power strategy<br />
G. Ferrario<br />
S. Gardi<br />
E. Borgarello<br />
F. Vitaletti<br />
G. De Beni<br />
12:30<br />
First Q&A session<br />
C. Pesenti - ITC Team<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
19
Agenda<br />
14:30 Focus on selected markets<br />
Roundtable on<br />
Italy<br />
North America<br />
Egypt<br />
Morocco<br />
India<br />
G. Ferrario<br />
F. Pedetta<br />
J.P. Meric<br />
F. Donegà<br />
M. Chaibi<br />
M Caneppele<br />
16:00<br />
Coffee break<br />
10:10 16:20<br />
17:00<br />
Medium term financials<br />
2010 – 2014 forecast<br />
Financial policy<br />
Final Q&A session<br />
Conclusions<br />
G. Ferrario<br />
G. Maggiora<br />
C. Pesenti - ITC Team<br />
C. Pesenti<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
20
Vision and Mission guided by strong values<br />
Building our vision<br />
To be a world class local business building<br />
a better and sustainable future<br />
for all our stakeholders<br />
Building our mission<br />
To create value in the building<br />
materials sector through<br />
the Innovative and Sustainable<br />
use of natural resources for the benefit<br />
of our communities and clients<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
21
Global forces and long term trends will continue to drive<br />
the growth of our industry<br />
Forces<br />
Trends<br />
Most relevant for<br />
construction/cement<br />
Changing<br />
demographics<br />
Experiencing<br />
Earth's limits<br />
Proliferating<br />
technology and<br />
knowledge<br />
Growing life sciences and healthcare<br />
Emerging new consumers<br />
Changing social values<br />
Shifting centers of economic activity<br />
Increasing link of world economies<br />
Growing infrastructure congestion<br />
Continuing urbanization and the rise of mega cities<br />
Entering a second "agricultural revolution"<br />
Accelerating green economy<br />
Increasing weight of public sector<br />
Rebounding regulation<br />
Key uncertainties/decisions<br />
▪ Market economy reversal<br />
▪ A post-crisis "new normal"<br />
▪ Inflation or deflation<br />
Emerging uncertainties<br />
▪ Green new normal<br />
▪ Battle for resources<br />
▪ Africa rising<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
22
Global forces and long term trends will continue to drive<br />
the growth of our industry<br />
Forces<br />
Trends<br />
Most relevant for<br />
construction/cement<br />
Changing<br />
demographics<br />
Experiencing<br />
Earth's limits<br />
Proliferating<br />
technology and<br />
knowledge<br />
Growing life sciences and healthcare<br />
Emerging new consumers<br />
Changing social values<br />
Shifting<br />
• More<br />
centers<br />
resources<br />
of economic<br />
will become<br />
activity<br />
supply limited vs.. growing<br />
demand (not only fossil fuels)<br />
Increasing link of world economies<br />
• Widespread awareness of environmental issues will add<br />
Growing costs and infrastructure require higher congestion investments per output<br />
Continuing • Water has urbanization already become and the scarce, rise of megacities 40% gap projected in<br />
2030<br />
Entering a second "agricultural revolution"<br />
Accelerating green economy<br />
Increasing weight of public sector<br />
Rebounding regulation<br />
Key uncertainties/decisions<br />
▪ Market economy reversal<br />
▪ A post-crisis "new normal"<br />
▪ Inflation or deflation<br />
Emerging uncertainties<br />
▪ Green new normal<br />
▪ Battle for resources<br />
▪ Africa rising<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
23
Global forces and long term trends will continue to drive<br />
the growth of our industry<br />
Forces<br />
Trends<br />
Most relevant for<br />
construction/cement<br />
Changing<br />
demographics<br />
Experiencing<br />
Earth's limits<br />
Proliferating<br />
technology and<br />
knowledge<br />
Growing life sciences and healthcare<br />
Emerging new consumers<br />
Changing social values<br />
Shifting centers of economic activity<br />
Increasing link of world economies<br />
Growing • infrastructure By 2020 more congestion than 50% of world GDP will come<br />
from developing economies<br />
Continuing urbanization and the rise of megacities<br />
• More than 60% of population growth to 2030 will<br />
Entering a second "agricultural revolution"<br />
come from Africa, India and Middle East; of which<br />
Accelerating 1/3 from green Sub-Saharan economy Africa<br />
Increasing weight of public sector<br />
Rebounding regulation<br />
Key uncertainties/decisions<br />
▪ Market economy reversal<br />
▪ A post-crisis "new normal"<br />
▪ Inflation or deflation<br />
Emerging uncertainties<br />
▪ Green new normal<br />
▪ Battle for resources<br />
▪ Africa rising<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
24
Global forces and long term trends will continue to drive<br />
the growth of our industry<br />
Forces<br />
Trends<br />
Most relevant for<br />
construction/cement<br />
Changing<br />
demographics<br />
Experiencing<br />
Earth's limits<br />
Proliferating<br />
technology and<br />
knowledge<br />
Growing life sciences and healthcare<br />
Emerging new consumers<br />
Changing social values<br />
Shifting centers of economic activity<br />
Increasing link of world economies<br />
Growing infrastructure congestion<br />
Continuing urbanization and the rise of megacities<br />
Entering • World a second trade "agricultural growth to revolution" 2020 forecasted @ 2-2.5X GDP<br />
Accelerating growth green economy<br />
Increasing • Massive weight of investment public sector on infrastructure required to cope<br />
with surge in demand<br />
Rebounding regulation<br />
Key uncertainties/decisions<br />
▪ Market economy reversal<br />
▪ A post-crisis "new normal"<br />
▪ Inflation or deflation<br />
Emerging uncertainties<br />
▪ Green new normal<br />
▪ Battle for resources<br />
▪ Africa rising<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
25
Global forces and long term trends will continue to drive<br />
the growth of our industry<br />
Forces<br />
Trends<br />
Most relevant for<br />
construction/cement<br />
Changing<br />
demographics<br />
Experiencing<br />
Earth's limits<br />
Proliferating<br />
technology and<br />
knowledge<br />
Growing life sciences and healthcare<br />
• By 2020, developing countries will account for<br />
Emerging almost new consumers 80% of the world’s total urban population<br />
Changing • 19 social new values “megacities” (2X current) in the next 10<br />
years, and all in developing countries<br />
Shifting centers of economic activity<br />
Increasing link of world economies<br />
Growing infrastructure congestion<br />
Continuing urbanization and the rise of mega cities<br />
Entering a second "agricultural revolution"<br />
Accelerating green economy<br />
Increasing weight of public sector<br />
Rebounding regulation<br />
Key uncertainties/decisions<br />
▪ Market economy reversal<br />
▪ A post-crisis "new normal"<br />
▪ Inflation or deflation<br />
Emerging uncertainties<br />
▪ Green new normal<br />
▪ Battle for resources<br />
▪ Africa rising<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
26
Global forces and long term trends will continue to drive<br />
the growth of our industry<br />
Forces<br />
Trends<br />
Most relevant for<br />
construction/cement<br />
Changing<br />
demographics<br />
Experiencing<br />
Earth's limits<br />
Proliferating<br />
technology and<br />
knowledge<br />
Growing life sciences and healthcare<br />
Emerging new consumers<br />
• Consumers are increasingly interested in buying<br />
Changing “green” social values and willing to pay a “premium” for<br />
Shifting centers<br />
environmentally<br />
of economic<br />
sustainable<br />
activity<br />
products/services<br />
• New mindsets and regulations will create a very<br />
Increasing link of world economies<br />
significant market for “clean tech”, fostering<br />
Growing infrastructure technology advancements congestion in a virtuous cycle<br />
Continuing urbanization and the rise of megacities<br />
Entering a second "agricultural revolution"<br />
Accelerating green economy<br />
Increasing weight of public sector<br />
Rebounding regulation<br />
Key uncertainties/decisions<br />
▪ Market economy reversal<br />
▪ A post-crisis "new normal"<br />
▪ Inflation or deflation<br />
Emerging uncertainties<br />
▪ Green new normal<br />
▪ Battle for resources<br />
▪ Africa rising<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
27
Global forces and long term trends will continue to drive<br />
the growth of our industry<br />
Forces<br />
Trends<br />
Most relevant for<br />
construction/cement<br />
Changing<br />
demographics<br />
Experiencing<br />
Earth's limits<br />
Proliferating<br />
technology and<br />
knowledge<br />
Growing life sciences and healthcare<br />
Emerging<br />
•<br />
new<br />
GDP<br />
consumers<br />
growth in emerging countries will foster<br />
emergence of new world-class players, supported<br />
Changing social by innovative values developing-world business models<br />
Shifting centers • In developed of economic countries activitya new wave of regulation<br />
Increasing is link coming, of world to economies address an increasingly complex<br />
and interconnected business environment<br />
Growing infrastructure congestion<br />
• Regulation in developing countries will evolve to<br />
Continuing ensure urbanization more and sustainable the rise of long megacities term growth<br />
Entering a second "agricultural revolution"<br />
Accelerating green economy<br />
Increasing weight of public sector<br />
Rebounding regulation<br />
Key uncertainties/decisions<br />
▪ Market economy reversal<br />
▪ A post-crisis "new normal"<br />
▪ Inflation or deflation<br />
Emerging uncertainties<br />
▪ Green new normal<br />
▪ Battle for resources<br />
▪ Africa rising<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
28
Welcome to Agadir<br />
Opening remarks<br />
Macroeconomic and construction cycle<br />
Key strategic guidelines and actions<br />
Focus on selected markets<br />
Medium term financials<br />
Concluding remarks<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
29
Scope of this presentation<br />
From short<br />
term<br />
conditions<br />
To long term<br />
trends<br />
Hesitant and<br />
uneven recovery<br />
What lies in the<br />
middle, namely in the<br />
Plan horizon, in terms<br />
of GDP and<br />
construction<br />
evolution?<br />
Clear-cut destination,<br />
more uncertain path<br />
• Shifting centres of<br />
economic activity<br />
• Growing infrastructure<br />
congestion<br />
• Continuing urbanization<br />
• Shifting centres of<br />
economic activity<br />
• …<br />
• Accelerating green<br />
economy<br />
• Rebounding regulation<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
30
The recovery is eventually on track, though at a very<br />
moderate pace…<br />
G7: Shape of Recovery after Past Recessions<br />
Slope of rebound<br />
smaller than in past<br />
recoveries. Resuming<br />
from financial crises<br />
is normally more<br />
painful<br />
At current rates it will<br />
take at least another<br />
year to regain<br />
previous cyclical<br />
peaks<br />
New signs of<br />
weakness emerging<br />
here and there<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
31
… and there is limited economic policy room to exploit<br />
Net Government Balance/GDP (%)<br />
2008<br />
2009<br />
2010*<br />
0.0<br />
-2.7<br />
-3.3 -3.3<br />
-5.0<br />
-5.3 -5.3 -4.1<br />
-6.4<br />
-7.5 -8.0<br />
-11.0 -10.0 -9.8<br />
-11.2<br />
US Germany France Italy Spain<br />
Source: European Union; * Spring 2010 forecast<br />
Short Term Interest Rate: US and Euro area<br />
The unprecedented swelling<br />
of public deficits must revert<br />
to austerity<br />
Sudden change in the fiscal<br />
stance soon after the Greek<br />
crisis<br />
Ultra-loose monetary policy<br />
also ahead (close-to-zero<br />
policy interest rates +<br />
continuing quantitative<br />
easing)<br />
Credit conditions set to<br />
remain under stress<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
32
A persisting divide between developed<br />
and emerging economies (1)<br />
GDP in ITC Developed Countries*<br />
(Cagr, % ch)<br />
2.1<br />
1.3<br />
Euro Area<br />
Adjustments to the<br />
2007-2009<br />
“structural break”<br />
continuing over<br />
2010-11<br />
North<br />
America<br />
0.3<br />
In the “new<br />
normal” we project<br />
moderate growth<br />
also in the outer<br />
years of the<br />
forecast (2012-<br />
2014)<br />
Total<br />
Developed<br />
The US will<br />
continue to<br />
outperforme<br />
Europe<br />
* Weighted by ITC cement volume sales in 2009<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
33
A persisting divide between developed<br />
and emerging economies (2)<br />
GDP in ITC Emerging Countries*<br />
(Cagr, % ch)<br />
Emerging area<br />
still on the rise<br />
solidly, with<br />
growth largely<br />
“self-sustained”<br />
Other<br />
Emerging<br />
Total<br />
Emerging<br />
Emerging<br />
Asia<br />
China and India<br />
should remain the<br />
stars among the<br />
<strong>Group</strong> developing<br />
countries<br />
Marginally lower<br />
figures compared<br />
to the previous<br />
five years may be<br />
credited to Egypt<br />
and Morocco<br />
* Weighted by ITC cement volume sales in 2009<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
34
In the developed economies recessionary effects have<br />
proved the most severe in the construction sector…<br />
Construction Investment in ITC Developed Countries*<br />
CI<br />
0.7<br />
-0.3<br />
1.9<br />
4.2<br />
5.9<br />
3.0 2.7 3.6 2.6<br />
1.9 2.0<br />
1.0<br />
-2.9<br />
-8.4<br />
96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10<br />
Source: our calculations on national statistics and EU data; * Weighted<br />
by ITC's cement volume sales in 2009 excl. Greece, 2010: R1 estimates<br />
Cagr 1996-10: 0.9%<br />
-3.6<br />
A long and vigorous<br />
expansion preceded a<br />
dramatic construction<br />
slump (-15% cumulated<br />
fall)<br />
Exceptional conditions<br />
favouring past housing<br />
boom:<br />
• good<br />
macroeconomics<br />
• record-low interest<br />
rates<br />
• wide financial<br />
innovations<br />
GDP has begun to recover<br />
this year though<br />
construction continues to<br />
decline<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
35
…although results - particularly in housing - have been<br />
widely different between the two Atlantic sides<br />
US: Housing investments, permits and starts<br />
In the US:<br />
• housing has more than<br />
halved over a four years<br />
time-span<br />
• the downturn has ended;<br />
however, the recovery is<br />
not in full swing<br />
• leading indicators still<br />
send ambiguous signals<br />
Euro area: Housing investments and permits<br />
In the Euro area:<br />
• overall less painful<br />
decline in both depth and<br />
length<br />
• widely uneven national<br />
outcomes<br />
• leading indicators still<br />
trending downwards<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
36
2010 will be another year of contraction in developed<br />
construction markets…<br />
Construction in ITC Developed Countries*<br />
(%)<br />
Negative carry-over from<br />
Q2/10 in our major<br />
developed markets<br />
0.9<br />
Euro Area<br />
-6.2<br />
North<br />
America<br />
-14.5<br />
-2.9<br />
-4.9<br />
-7.2<br />
Another negative overall<br />
result now seems likely in<br />
the US given particularly<br />
weak non-residential<br />
* Weighted by ITC cement volume sales in 2009<br />
Total<br />
Developed<br />
Further 5% contraction of<br />
construction markets in<br />
Europe with close to, or<br />
higher than double-digit<br />
negative figures in Spain<br />
and Greece<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
37
…while prospects between Europe and North America<br />
should diverge remarkably in the medium term<br />
Construction in ITC Developed Countries*<br />
(Cagr, % ch)<br />
3.2<br />
4.3<br />
Euro Area<br />
In North America<br />
construction is<br />
expected to rebound<br />
strongly (mainly thanks<br />
to housing)<br />
North<br />
America<br />
-4.7<br />
2.5<br />
-1.4<br />
0.5<br />
Total<br />
Developed<br />
In the Euro area a mild<br />
recovery should set in<br />
during 2011 (later on in<br />
Spain and Greece),<br />
with full period results<br />
still slightly negative<br />
Even allowing for the<br />
recovery, in the final<br />
year construction<br />
would remain 4-5 pp<br />
below levels of ten<br />
years before<br />
* Weighted by ITC cement volume sales in 2009<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
38
… feeding slightly better results in terms of cement demand…<br />
On balance a<br />
1.4% CAGR is<br />
expected for<br />
cement demand<br />
in the <strong>Group</strong><br />
developed<br />
countries<br />
During recoveries<br />
cement demand<br />
tends to<br />
outperform<br />
construction<br />
investment (not in<br />
France)<br />
Sources: elaborations on Aitec, US Geological Survey, national statistics and Eurostat data; quarterly data<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
39
…which, however, will not affect the “mature” feature<br />
of the cement market in the developed area<br />
US+EU15+Japan: GDP and Cement Consumption<br />
(index numbers 1950=100)<br />
Cagr (%)<br />
Consumption in most<br />
industrialized areas is back<br />
to mid-Sixties levels<br />
Even in the “growth” period<br />
1983-2007 cement<br />
demand increased by a<br />
weak 1.3% p.a. (vis-à-vis<br />
2.8% for GDP)<br />
As a matter of fact,<br />
markets are mature in two<br />
respects:<br />
• declining weight of<br />
construction on GDP<br />
• decreasing content of<br />
cement per unit<br />
invested in<br />
construction<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
40
Medium term construction prospects remain buoyant<br />
for the <strong>Group</strong> emerging countries…<br />
Construction in ITC Emerging Countries*<br />
(Cagr, % ch)<br />
An overall growth well<br />
over 6% reasonable in<br />
the medium term<br />
Asian countries<br />
expected to outperform<br />
the Med Rim ones<br />
Other<br />
Emerging<br />
Emerging<br />
Asia<br />
Outlook supported by:<br />
• strong<br />
macroeconomic<br />
context<br />
• margins to<br />
stimulate domestic<br />
demand<br />
Total<br />
Emerging<br />
• high infrastructure/<br />
housing needs<br />
(which explains<br />
why construction<br />
far outpaces GDP<br />
growth)<br />
* Weighted by ITC cement volume sales in 2009<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
41
… which translates into an equally bullish cement demand<br />
trend<br />
World ex China (US+EU15+Japan):<br />
GDP and Cement Consumption<br />
(index numbers 1950=100)<br />
CAGR (%)<br />
Even considering that<br />
some markets are<br />
approaching a more<br />
mature stage, a CAGR of<br />
over 6% for the <strong>Group</strong><br />
emerging seems a fairly<br />
cautious prospect in the<br />
forecast horizon<br />
As a matter of fact, in the<br />
whole emerging world,<br />
excluding China, cement<br />
demand grew 1<br />
percentage point p.a.<br />
above GDP since 1992<br />
(an even wider difference<br />
emerges taking China<br />
into account)<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
42
To sum up<br />
Macroeconomic environment<br />
Macroeconomic environment<br />
Developed area<br />
Recovery ongoing; risks of<br />
another very weak year<br />
(2011) not negligible<br />
Growth remaining moderate<br />
also over the outer forecast<br />
years<br />
The US continues to<br />
outperform Europe<br />
Construction<br />
Only tepid recovery in sight, in<br />
some cases after 2011<br />
Emerging area<br />
Robust growth across the<br />
whole period<br />
Asia remains in the lead<br />
Risks of overheating in some<br />
countries (China, India …);<br />
political risks in other nations<br />
not clearly measurable<br />
Construction<br />
Activity continuing at close-to-<br />
7% average growth pace<br />
No industrial country (except<br />
Canada) expected to regain<br />
pre-crisis levels within the<br />
Plan horizon<br />
The US expected to far<br />
outshine Europe<br />
Reduced differences in<br />
performances expected<br />
among countries<br />
Construction intensity set to<br />
increase further in the <strong>Group</strong><br />
emerging<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
43
Welcome to Agadir<br />
Opening remarks<br />
Macroeconomic and construction cycle<br />
Key strategic guidelines and actions<br />
Focus on selected markets<br />
Context & guidelines<br />
Sustainable development<br />
Innovation<br />
Industrial efficiency<br />
Power strategy<br />
Medium term financials<br />
Concluding remarks<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
44
Overview of <strong>Group</strong> strategic guidelines<br />
Strategic guidelines<br />
Strengthen performance on<br />
Sustainable Development<br />
Improve product portfolio and<br />
technologies through innovation<br />
Focus on industrial efficiency<br />
(“the cost leader is the industry<br />
leader”)<br />
Improve <strong>Group</strong><br />
Organizational<br />
performance<br />
Be prepared to capture growth<br />
opportunities in emerging markets<br />
Target: deliver significant recovery in <strong>Group</strong>’s performance<br />
and prepare for the next wave of growth<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 45
Cement demand historical trend<br />
Cement demand trend in <strong>Italcementi</strong> domestic markets<br />
All domestic markets (Mt)<br />
400<br />
300<br />
450<br />
400<br />
350<br />
300<br />
255<br />
283<br />
327<br />
401<br />
370<br />
200<br />
250<br />
200<br />
150<br />
1996<br />
2000 2000 2004 2004 2005 2005<br />
2006 2007<br />
2008<br />
2009<br />
2009<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
46
Key Historical Financials<br />
(*) Local GAAP before 2004.. 2009 figures prepared in compliance with IAS 23 and 2008 figures restated accordingly<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
47
Expected cement demand trend<br />
Cement demand trend in <strong>Italcementi</strong><br />
domestic markets/areas (Mt)<br />
US 1<br />
All domestic markets<br />
35<br />
30<br />
25<br />
0<br />
24<br />
5.9%<br />
32<br />
500<br />
450<br />
400<br />
0<br />
2007<br />
08<br />
CAGR<br />
2009-14<br />
370<br />
09<br />
4.9%<br />
10<br />
11<br />
470<br />
2014<br />
1 Essroc area<br />
2 Include Egypt, Morocco, South India, Bulgaria, Thailand, China Shaanxi, Kazakhstan, Turkey<br />
12<br />
13<br />
Europe<br />
150<br />
100<br />
0<br />
Emerging countries 2 2<br />
350<br />
300<br />
250<br />
0<br />
2007<br />
08<br />
98<br />
248<br />
09<br />
0.6%<br />
6.3%<br />
10<br />
11<br />
12<br />
13<br />
101<br />
337<br />
2014<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
48
Expected cement demand trend by country<br />
Cement demand trend in ITC domestic markets (CAGR 2009-2014 percent)<br />
Country<br />
Construction market<br />
Cement market<br />
Mature<br />
markets<br />
France<br />
Belgium<br />
Italy<br />
Spain<br />
Greece<br />
North America<br />
-0.3<br />
-1.5<br />
-2.0<br />
0.4<br />
0.2<br />
4.3<br />
0.4<br />
0.4<br />
0.6<br />
1.0<br />
0.0<br />
5.9<br />
2<br />
Emerging<br />
countries<br />
Egypt<br />
Morocco<br />
India<br />
Bulgaria<br />
Thailand<br />
China<br />
Kuwait<br />
Kazakhstan<br />
Turkey<br />
6.2<br />
5.0<br />
8.6<br />
5-7 1<br />
5.6<br />
NA<br />
21.0<br />
8-10 1<br />
6-8 1<br />
5.4<br />
5.7<br />
4.2<br />
8.3<br />
5.9<br />
3.7<br />
7.2<br />
2<br />
2<br />
3.3<br />
9.2<br />
5.3<br />
SOURCE: <strong>Italcementi</strong><br />
1 Based on gross fixed investments growth<br />
2 ITC local market<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
49
Cement price assumptions for <strong>Italcementi</strong> markets<br />
Country Price Rationale<br />
Mature<br />
markets<br />
France-Belgium<br />
Italy<br />
Spain<br />
Greece<br />
North America<br />
Continuing stable dynamic in<br />
line with inflation<br />
Price recovery from 2010 very<br />
weak levels<br />
Negative trend of real prices in a<br />
scenario of slow recovery of the<br />
utilization rate<br />
Emerging<br />
markets<br />
Thailand<br />
Turkey<br />
China<br />
Bulgaria<br />
Morocco<br />
India<br />
Kuwait<br />
Kazakhstan<br />
Egypt<br />
Price recovery from 2009-2010 level<br />
Week real price trend because of<br />
overcapacity in the regional area<br />
Price dynamics lower than inflation due<br />
to pressure from new players in the<br />
market<br />
Price trend under inflation rate<br />
Pressure on real prices from new<br />
players and governmental control<br />
Expected trend stability increase<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
50
Upward trend is expected for petcoke and steam coal prices…<br />
API 4 & High Pace Index + 50 HGI – FOB yearly average 2006-2014 ($/t)<br />
140<br />
API 4 & High Pace Index +50 HGI – FOB yearly average 2006-2014 ($/t)<br />
120<br />
100<br />
80<br />
120.2<br />
86.2<br />
73<br />
80<br />
Steam Coal<br />
CAGR 09-14=7.2%<br />
84<br />
87<br />
90<br />
60<br />
40<br />
20<br />
50.8<br />
46.3<br />
62.7<br />
55.4<br />
63.7<br />
34.0<br />
56<br />
62<br />
66<br />
70 72<br />
Petcoke<br />
CAGR 09-14=16.2%<br />
0<br />
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014<br />
API 4<br />
High +50 HGI<br />
SOURCE: <strong>Italcementi</strong><br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
51
…as well as for power prices<br />
ITC <strong>Group</strong> average power cost (index 2006 = 100)<br />
160<br />
140<br />
120<br />
100<br />
80<br />
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014<br />
SOURCE: <strong>Italcementi</strong><br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
52
Carbon scenario and business perspectives<br />
The Kyoto Protocol is still binding for signatory countries, while new<br />
commitments for developed countries in the period post-2012 are still to be<br />
negotiated<br />
National and regional carbon and energy efficiency constraints keep on coming:<br />
main developing countries, such as China and India, are running tests on sector<br />
trading, while progress is extremely slow in US, at least at a Federal level<br />
Europe target for post-2012 is emissions 20% below 1990 levels by 2020; 30%<br />
option still on the table; accordingly, ETS Phase 3 implementation will keep<br />
tackling emissions from industry and the power sector<br />
Details on the application of EU ETS Phase 3 are being finalized: benchmark<br />
based allocation applies to the cement sector, requiring a strong effort on<br />
improvement<br />
Carbon footprint reduction is becoming more and more crucial<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
53
Overview of the strategic guidelines<br />
Context and Outlook<br />
Strategic guidelines<br />
•After huge market<br />
downturn, recovery<br />
scenario still uncertain and<br />
volatile<br />
•Decoupling of the growth<br />
path between emerging and<br />
mature countries<br />
•Price scenario still<br />
uncertain, value is to be<br />
captured from industrial<br />
efficiencies and product<br />
innovation<br />
•CO2 and other emissions<br />
footprint will be key to<br />
compete in the “new green<br />
normal”<br />
Strengthen performance on<br />
Sustainable Development<br />
Improve product portfolio and<br />
technologies through innovation<br />
Focus on industrial efficiency<br />
(“the cost leader is the industry<br />
leader”)<br />
Be prepared to capture growth<br />
opportunities in emerging markets<br />
Improve <strong>Group</strong><br />
Organizational<br />
performance<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
54
Strengthen performance on Sustainable Development<br />
Main actions<br />
Reduce CO2 emissions per<br />
clinker ton:<br />
• Alternative fuels/biomass<br />
• Thermal consumption<br />
CO 2<br />
Kg/t clinker<br />
904<br />
870<br />
843<br />
Roll out best technologies to<br />
reduce dust, SO 2 , NO x emissions<br />
Dust<br />
g/t clinker<br />
209<br />
193<br />
46<br />
Clinker content in cement (fly ashes,<br />
slag, limestone, pozzolan cement):<br />
Base line decrease not satisfactory;<br />
dedicated action plan still to be<br />
identified<br />
SO 2<br />
g/t clinker<br />
633<br />
481<br />
294<br />
Strengthen renewable power<br />
generation: Italgen projects to<br />
supply green and cost competitive<br />
energy to ITC plants (i.e. Wind farm<br />
in Turkey, Morocco, Bulgaria, Egypt<br />
and hydro revamping in Italy)<br />
NOx<br />
g/t clinker<br />
1,595<br />
2007<br />
1,543<br />
2010 E<br />
1,255<br />
2014<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
55
Innovation: improve product portfolio and technologies<br />
Technology improvements<br />
▪ Low temperature clinkerization<br />
▪ Recyclable raw materials for clinker production<br />
▪ Biotechnological production of clinker<br />
▪ Reduced water consumption<br />
▪ Carbon capture and<br />
sequestration<br />
Continuing innovation<br />
Products/Applications/Branding<br />
Improve product portfolio towards a more<br />
“green” offer, Cement 2008, percent<br />
Thermal<br />
Cement<br />
Alipre<br />
+<br />
Ordinary<br />
Portland<br />
44<br />
Reduces<br />
organic<br />
and inorganic<br />
pollutants in<br />
the air<br />
Transparent<br />
cement<br />
Cement<br />
optimizing<br />
thermal<br />
efficiency<br />
of buildings<br />
Biodegradable<br />
cement bag<br />
Sulfoaluminate<br />
technology to<br />
assure rapid<br />
setting, high<br />
early strength<br />
Highperformance<br />
concrete<br />
Concrete for<br />
special<br />
applications<br />
Percentage of clinker<br />
-<br />
Limestone<br />
Multiple<br />
Blend<br />
Fly ash<br />
Slag<br />
Cement<br />
Pozzolan<br />
Others<br />
22<br />
17<br />
Higher clinker rate means higher CO 2<br />
emission on cement<br />
5<br />
5<br />
3<br />
4<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
56
Improve industrial efficiency<br />
Main actions<br />
Optimize industrial processes<br />
(STEP)<br />
• Share operational best practices<br />
across <strong>Group</strong> countries<br />
• Leverage CTG competences<br />
and increase its role in<br />
performance improvement<br />
projects<br />
• Improve local skills and<br />
capabilities<br />
Focused performance<br />
improvement investments:<br />
capacity de-bottlenecking, energy<br />
efficiency, productivity<br />
improvement<br />
Selected major<br />
renewal/revamp of older<br />
technology capacity (e.g.<br />
Bulgaria, Egypt, Italy)<br />
Thermal<br />
consumption<br />
MCal/t clinker<br />
976<br />
920<br />
855<br />
7.0<br />
Labour<br />
productivity<br />
Kt cement/<br />
4.9<br />
5.5<br />
2007<br />
2010E<br />
2014<br />
1 Operational FTE dedicated to cement production<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
57
Growth opportunities: differentiated strategy in <strong>Group</strong><br />
markets<br />
155<br />
Investment projects included in industrial plan<br />
base case<br />
Size of bubble depicts size of cement market<br />
in terms of domestic demand (2008)<br />
110<br />
South India 1<br />
Morocco<br />
Cumulated 2009-25 expected growth<br />
% growth<br />
105<br />
55<br />
Thailand<br />
50<br />
Kazakhstan<br />
45<br />
0<br />
-5<br />
-10<br />
China<br />
(Shaanxi) 1<br />
Turkey<br />
Italy<br />
Kuwait<br />
C<br />
Spain South<br />
(Andalusia)<br />
Egypt<br />
Rationalize/<br />
Restructure<br />
Belgium<br />
Greece<br />
A<br />
B<br />
USA 1<br />
Pursue opportunistic<br />
growth/ consolidation<br />
Defend<br />
Spain North<br />
(N.Basque)<br />
France<br />
Bulgaria<br />
-15<br />
Lower<br />
Higher<br />
Profitability<br />
1 <strong>Italcementi</strong>’s regional market<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
58
Cumulated 2009-25 expected cement demand growth 1 (percent)<br />
300<br />
High<br />
Cumulated 2009-25 expected cement demand growth 1<br />
(Percent)<br />
Low<br />
Growth opportunities: focused regional approach<br />
in new markets<br />
280<br />
260<br />
140<br />
120<br />
100<br />
80<br />
60<br />
40<br />
20<br />
0<br />
-20<br />
Not enter<br />
Bangladesh<br />
Lower<br />
Philippines<br />
Saudi Arabia<br />
Russia<br />
Iran<br />
Ethiopia<br />
Zambia<br />
Cameroon<br />
Indonesia<br />
Ukraine<br />
Angola<br />
Jordan<br />
Algeria<br />
Malaysia<br />
Libya<br />
Tunisia<br />
Qatar<br />
United Arab Emirates<br />
Medium<br />
Potential profitability 2<br />
Syria<br />
Tanzania<br />
Cambodia<br />
Ghana<br />
Vietnam<br />
South Africa<br />
Higher<br />
Size of bubble depicts<br />
size of market capacity (2008)<br />
Very high margins but<br />
high risk and/or<br />
difficult to access<br />
▪ Sub-Saharan Africa:<br />
approach through<br />
asset light initiatives<br />
(e.g. terminals)<br />
▪ South East Asia:<br />
medium-term<br />
opportunity scouting<br />
Good potential profitability<br />
▪ Additional new markets to be<br />
limited to <strong>Italcementi</strong> proximity<br />
areas<br />
1 Based on the structural curve where available and on estimates elsewhere<br />
2 Index based on the relative performance of markets on: Supply demand balance (Utilization rate 2008), Market concentration (Market share of top 3 players), Market<br />
conduct (Price of cement 2008; structural overcapacity of the area)<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
59
Welcome to Agadir<br />
Opening remarks<br />
Macroeconomic and construction cycle<br />
Key strategic guidelines and actions<br />
Focus on selected markets<br />
Context & guidelines<br />
Sustainable development<br />
Innovation<br />
Industrial efficiency<br />
Power strategy<br />
Medium term financials<br />
Concluding remarks<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
60
Sustainable Development Key Actions<br />
Energy efficiency<br />
1<br />
Reduction of<br />
carbon footprint<br />
Alternative fuels and biomass<br />
Clinker/cement ratio<br />
2<br />
Protection of<br />
the environment<br />
Emissions to atmosphere<br />
Natural resources, including water<br />
Biodiversity<br />
3<br />
Social<br />
Responsibility<br />
Health & Safety<br />
Stakeholder engagement<br />
Support to communities<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
61
Reduction of carbon footprint<br />
After a continuous improvement over the last few years ...<br />
750<br />
747<br />
50<br />
kg CO 2 / t cement<br />
740<br />
730<br />
720<br />
710<br />
717<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
million t CO 2 / year<br />
700<br />
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009<br />
0<br />
4% reduction<br />
vs. 2004<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
62
Reduction of carbon footprint<br />
... the industrial plan 2010-14 is accelerating the trend<br />
38% of total<br />
reduction<br />
9% of total<br />
reduction<br />
53% of total<br />
reduction<br />
kg CO 2 / t cement<br />
717<br />
need further<br />
development<br />
11% reduction<br />
vs. 2009<br />
640<br />
2009 Improvement of<br />
energy efficiency<br />
Increase of<br />
alternative fuels<br />
reduction of<br />
clinker/cement<br />
target 2014<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
63
Protection of the environment: emissions to atmosphere<br />
<strong>Group</strong> stack emissions are constantly decreasing over the last years, with the<br />
exception of dust, still heavily affected by the consolidation of the Egyptian<br />
plants starting from 2006<br />
2493<br />
dust<br />
SO2<br />
NOx<br />
42% reduction<br />
vs. 2004<br />
g/t clinker<br />
1296<br />
1453<br />
66% reduction<br />
vs. 2004<br />
440<br />
146 199<br />
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
64
Protection of the environment: stack emissions<br />
The industrial plan 2010-14 is further reducing emission of SO 2 and NO x ,but<br />
mainly resulting in a significant reduction of dust emissions<br />
78% reduction<br />
vs. 2009<br />
Dust<br />
g/t clinker<br />
46,5<br />
2009 Impact from previous<br />
plan investment<br />
Process<br />
improvements and<br />
small CAPEX<br />
Major CAPEX<br />
E2014<br />
37% reduction<br />
vs. 2009<br />
SO 2<br />
g/t clinker<br />
2009 Impact from previous<br />
plan investment<br />
Process<br />
improvements and<br />
small CAPEX<br />
Major CAPEX<br />
293,8<br />
E2014<br />
16% reduction<br />
vs. 2009<br />
NOx<br />
g/t clinker<br />
1254,5<br />
2009 Impact from<br />
previous plan<br />
investment<br />
Process<br />
improvements and<br />
small CAPEX<br />
Major CAPEX<br />
E2014<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
65
Protection of the environment: water<br />
The cement manufacturing process uses limited amount of water and has no<br />
major discharge. However, with population growth and economic development<br />
accelerating demand for everything, freshwater is becoming scarcer, and the<br />
full value of water is becoming increasingly apparent<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
66
Protection of the environment: water<br />
The <strong>Group</strong> has completed the water-risk assessment of its<br />
sites using the Global Water Tool developed by the World<br />
Business Council for Sustainable Development.<br />
Only a limited number of plants is located in critical areas.<br />
The <strong>Group</strong> is taking action on all of them. Ait Baha plant in<br />
Morocco is a good example.<br />
m 3 /t cem<br />
0,50<br />
0,25<br />
0,00<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
2009<br />
50<br />
25<br />
0<br />
million m 3<br />
<strong>Group</strong> water consumption<br />
is decreasing<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
67
Protection of the environment: biodiversity<br />
For the cement industry, quarry rehabilitation is the starting point for the<br />
preservation of biodiversity and protection of ecosystems<br />
The <strong>Group</strong> lists 273 quarries, 74 of which contain or are<br />
adjacent to areas designated for their high biodiversity<br />
value. As of today, 221 quarries (80% of the total) have<br />
a rehabilitation plan in place.<br />
The <strong>Group</strong> has already set a new target: 90% of quarries<br />
with a rehabilitation plan by 2012.<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
68
Health & Safety<br />
Safety performance is steadily improving<br />
since the launch of “Zero Infortuni” project<br />
in 2000. As of today the frequency of injuries<br />
has decreased by 78%, down to 5.1 Lost<br />
Time Injuries per million hours worked.<br />
Special efforts are devoted to the managing<br />
contractor safety.<br />
Occupational health issues are addressed,<br />
extending best local practices to all<br />
subsidiaries .<br />
As of today, 44% of potentially exposed<br />
workers are protected with monitoring of<br />
basic exposure agents at work, far beyond<br />
locally enforced legislation.<br />
78% of monitored workers are already<br />
aligned with the highly demanding <strong>Group</strong><br />
standard.<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
69
Health & Safety<br />
30<br />
Cement<br />
Lost Time Injuries frequency rate<br />
25<br />
20<br />
15<br />
10<br />
5<br />
23,5<br />
Aggregates<br />
Concrete<br />
<strong>Group</strong><br />
78% reduction<br />
vs. 2000<br />
5,1<br />
0<br />
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
70
Stakeholder engagement<br />
The <strong>Group</strong> aims to build enduring<br />
relationships with the communities based on<br />
mutual respect, active partnership and long<br />
term commitment.<br />
71% of <strong>Group</strong> cement plants have structured<br />
frameworks or formal agreements to engage<br />
with local stakeholders.<br />
45% of <strong>Group</strong> cement plants organised an<br />
Open Door event in the last 3 years.<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
71
Support to communities<br />
The <strong>Group</strong> supports community based<br />
projects that can make a difference in a<br />
sustainable way without creating dependency<br />
and supports regional development and small<br />
business opportunities.<br />
In 2009, the <strong>Group</strong>’s subsidiaries invested<br />
EURm 2.8 to support communities (0.6% of<br />
<strong>Group</strong> EBIT). Moreover, EURm 1.9 were<br />
dedicated to Open Door events and<br />
sponsorships.<br />
In addition, the “Fondazione <strong>Italcementi</strong> Cavaliere<br />
del Lavoro Carlo Pesenti” earmarked around<br />
EURm 2 for donations and local development and<br />
EURm 0.7 for sponsorships<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
72
Support to communities<br />
Morocco: “plages propre” initiative<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
73
Welcome to Agadir<br />
Opening remarks<br />
Macroeconomic and construction cycle<br />
Key strategic guidelines and actions<br />
Focus on selected markets<br />
Context & guidelines<br />
Sustainable development<br />
Innovation<br />
Industrial efficiency<br />
Power strategy<br />
Medium term financials<br />
Concluding remarks<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
74
Product Innovation<br />
Creation of value for our customers with innovative and tailor-made solutions<br />
Products, applications and services at low cost, with consistent quality<br />
and sustainable for the environment and the people.<br />
Produced by a team of excellent people with technical, marketing and<br />
commercial skills<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
75
Cement & Light – i.light<br />
i.light is the latest result of <strong>Italcementi</strong> research.<br />
The material is innovative because it is realized<br />
with a pre-mixed concrete and new additives<br />
which bind plastic resins, thus ensuring<br />
the transport of light.<br />
Physical and Mechanical characteristics<br />
Elastic Limit in flexure: 1.92 MPa<br />
Peak Stress: 7.70 MPa<br />
Post peak Response: strain hardening – plastic<br />
behavior<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
76
Expo Shanghai 2010 - The Italian Pavilion – External view (day)<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
77
Expo Shanghai 2010 - The Italian Pavilion – Internal light<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
78
Expo Shanghai 2010 - The Italian Pavilion – External view (night)<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
79
The new “thermal” cement for “class A” buildings<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
new “thermal” cement<br />
Is able to ensure optimized energy<br />
management thanks to very low<br />
heat transfer coefficients<br />
Has the same durability and<br />
strength characteristics as<br />
conventional concrete<br />
Has thermal conductivity 0.15-0.5<br />
watt/m°K compared with 1.6<br />
watt/m°K (traditional concrete)<br />
Helps to keep the home warmer in<br />
winter and cooler in summer<br />
Material<br />
Traditional<br />
Concrete<br />
Insulating<br />
Concrete<br />
Thermal<br />
Conductivity<br />
(λ)<br />
Resistance to<br />
steam<br />
(μ)<br />
1.2-1.6 50-120<br />
0.15 8<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
80
LEED certification<br />
i.Lab: building designed by Richard Meier<br />
7,500 m 2 reserved for research laboratories<br />
Photovoltaic panels<br />
High Solar performance panels (provide and 65% durable of<br />
materials annual energy requirements)<br />
Geothermal plant<br />
Energetic efficiency (renewable<br />
sources, thermal efficiency, etc.)<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
81
i.Lab Awards<br />
i.Lab recently received two important awards.<br />
The first is the Good Design Award, a<br />
prestigious international award, created in 1950<br />
in Chicago (USA) by celebrated designers and<br />
architects like Eero Saarinen, Edgar J.<br />
Kaufmann Jr. and Charles and Ray Eames.<br />
The second is the European Greenbuilding<br />
Award 2010, awarded by the European<br />
Commission to i.Lab as the best Italian building<br />
for Energy Efficiency in the category “Best New<br />
Building”.<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
82
Improve product portfolio and technologies<br />
Technology improvements<br />
•Low temperature clinkerization<br />
•Recyclable raw materials for clinker production<br />
•Biotechnological production of clinker<br />
•Reduced water consumption<br />
•Carbon capture and sequestration<br />
Continuing innovation<br />
•Improve product portfolio towards a more “green” offer<br />
Products/Applications/Branding<br />
Reduces organic<br />
and inorganic<br />
pollutants in the air<br />
Thermal<br />
Cement<br />
Cement<br />
optimizing thermal<br />
efficiency<br />
of buildings<br />
Alipre<br />
Sulphoaluminate<br />
technology to assure<br />
rapid setting, high<br />
early strength<br />
Transparent<br />
cement<br />
Biodegradable<br />
cement bag<br />
Highperformance<br />
concrete<br />
Concrete for<br />
special<br />
applications<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
83
Product innovations roll out over plan period<br />
Underway (by 2012)<br />
Roll-out plan<br />
Business unit<br />
Cement and<br />
binders<br />
Product<br />
Alipre &<br />
derivatives<br />
TX Active<br />
Italy FB Spain<br />
Morocco<br />
NA Greece Turkey Egypt<br />
Already on the market<br />
Potential further<br />
Introductions (2012 +)<br />
India<br />
Bulgaria<br />
Kazakhstan<br />
Thailand<br />
RMC<br />
“Izycrete”<br />
“Acoust. Ins.<br />
Concrete”<br />
“I.Clime”<br />
“Roadcrete”<br />
“Remix”<br />
TX Active<br />
derivat.<br />
“Secondlife”<br />
Dry mortars<br />
“l.Tech”<br />
Alipre & derivat.<br />
I.Clime<br />
Others<br />
Admixtures<br />
I.Light<br />
Polycarboxylate<br />
admixtures<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
84
Facts<br />
Around 170 dedicated R&D and Innovation staff located in Bergamo (Italy) and<br />
Guerville (France).<br />
Around 7,500 m 2 of Lab floorspace in Bergamo and the same in Guerville<br />
64 active patents on products and applications filed since 1994<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
85
Facts<br />
0.4% of <strong>Group</strong> turnover invested in innovation in 2008 (0.2% in R&D), 0.5%<br />
in 2010 (0.3% in R&D)<br />
Innovation rate – defined according to strict criteria which consider a product<br />
innovative for only 5 years after its commercial launch – rose from about 3%<br />
in 2008 to 4% in 2010<br />
The margin on innovative products is typically 2 or 3 times that of traditional<br />
products<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
86
Facts<br />
In the 2010-2014 period innovation turnover is mainly driven by mature<br />
markets (65% in mature markets, 35% in emerging markets)<br />
In the 2010-2014 period innovative product margins are mainly concentrated<br />
in mature markets (76%)<br />
In the 2010-2014 period innovation margin is mainly concentrated in the<br />
cement & binder (52%) and the ready mix businesses (33%). Admixtures and<br />
Premixes account for the remaining 15%<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
87
Facts<br />
“Original” patents*<br />
Published Jul 1998-Jun 2008 – C04B Code<br />
ITC & CF patents **<br />
Filed Jul 1998- Jun 2010<br />
128<br />
26<br />
61<br />
15<br />
40<br />
12<br />
37<br />
NOTE<br />
* Number of Derwent families comprising all patents relating to a specific innovation.<br />
The graph shows patents of the controlled companies in the International Patent<br />
Classification (IPC) class C04B which covers “Lime; magnesia; slag; cements;<br />
compositions thereof, e.g. mortars, concrete or like building materials; artificial<br />
stone; ceramics; refractories; treatments of natural stone”<br />
25<br />
1998-2002<br />
2002-2006<br />
2006-2010<br />
NOTE<br />
** Number of patents filed by <strong>Italcementi</strong> and Ciments Français,<br />
independently of the IPC class<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
88
The Research and Innovation Network<br />
Universities Research centres Industry<br />
Standards,<br />
Regulations,<br />
Requirements<br />
R&I<br />
Solutions<br />
Architects Designers Clients<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
89
Innovation as a group value<br />
We believe in the importance of<br />
innovation not only in the development<br />
of new products, applications and<br />
services, but also in our management<br />
approach. We must embrace change and<br />
be open to new ideas in order to attract<br />
the best talents.<br />
Our ambition:<br />
to be one of the most innovative<br />
cement group in the world<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
90
A perfect path to creating value: down to brand and product…<br />
Corporate Brand<br />
Master Brand<br />
<strong>Group</strong> Innovation<br />
Brands<br />
<strong>Group</strong> Product<br />
Traditional Brands<br />
A B C D<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
91
…up to an increment in corporate value<br />
Corporate Brand<br />
Master Brand<br />
<strong>Group</strong> Innovation<br />
Brands<br />
<strong>Group</strong> Product<br />
Traditional Brands<br />
A B C D<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
92
Welcome to Agadir<br />
Opening remarks<br />
Macroeconomic and construction cycle<br />
Key strategic guidelines and actions<br />
Focus on selected markets<br />
Context & guidelines<br />
Sustainable development<br />
Innovation<br />
Industrial efficiency<br />
Power strategy<br />
Medium term financials<br />
Concluding remarks<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
93
Industrial efficiency benchmarks 2006-2009<br />
global trends<br />
<strong>Group</strong> cumulative, differences 2006-2009, EUR/calorie, EURt<br />
Example: FUEL cost trend vs..<br />
total industrial cost trend<br />
+35.7%<br />
+41.6%<br />
Fuel is the biggest<br />
industrial cost<br />
(approx 60%)<br />
INDUSTRIAL PRICES RISE BUT:<br />
Electrical consumption in KWh/t<br />
cement -0.6%<br />
Heat consumption at clinker in<br />
calories/t clinker -3%<br />
Increase in alternative fuels in % of<br />
heat calories from 4.2% to 5.3%<br />
Less clinker purchased in tons (-28%<br />
between 2006 and 2009)<br />
STEAM COAL<br />
PETCOKE<br />
INCREASED ACTUAL<br />
PURCHASING COST<br />
OF ONE KCALORY, CIF<br />
vs.<br />
+22.2%<br />
TOTAL INCREASE<br />
IND.VARIABLE COST<br />
OF ONE TON OF CEMENT<br />
ACTIONS<br />
Effects of structured continuous<br />
performance improvements and<br />
structured programs (STEP), focused<br />
maintenance.<br />
Effects of previous additions and<br />
closures with actions on approx. on 1.8<br />
MTons capacity<br />
Opportunistic temporary capacity<br />
closures (64 kilns in 2009) in addition to<br />
final closures (11 kilns in 2009) all in<br />
mature markets to improve cost factors<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
94
Step projects – Main Italian plant Calusco results, an example<br />
of short term impact of Step<br />
Results 7 months from project startup<br />
(EURm)<br />
Cost<br />
perimeter<br />
analyzed<br />
Total<br />
savings<br />
identified<br />
short<br />
term<br />
5.2<br />
med<br />
term<br />
2.2<br />
7.4<br />
53.1<br />
2.5<br />
Savings from other<br />
actions<br />
implemented<br />
Extra savings not<br />
planned , but achieved<br />
1.1<br />
3.6<br />
2.7<br />
Total<br />
investment<br />
required<br />
short med<br />
term term<br />
1.7 0.5<br />
2.2<br />
1.6<br />
Savings achieved<br />
Total<br />
Achieved<br />
0.9<br />
Savings to be achieved<br />
0.9<br />
Target savings on<br />
short term actions<br />
Savings in 2009<br />
Saving to work on<br />
1 Impact calculated considering same 2007 conditions for: cement mix, cement quantity, clinker quantity, raw meal quantity, purchasing unit prices, clinker value. All<br />
actions completed by the end of 2008.<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
95
Containment of industrial working capital receives the<br />
highest attention. Clinker stock control has been steadily<br />
decreasing over the past 18 months<br />
<strong>Group</strong> clinker stock evolution 2009 -2010<br />
(index January 2009 = 100)<br />
100<br />
80<br />
-52%<br />
60<br />
40<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
96
Under the 2010-2014 plan industrial efficiency drivers are in<br />
the first line of management focus, with increasing impact<br />
Levers<br />
Targets<br />
Performance improvements,<br />
operations, maintenance and SD<br />
investments<br />
Clinker to cement ratio<br />
Variable industrial cost efficiency<br />
Increased usage of alternative fuels<br />
New plants and renewals<br />
Environmental performance<br />
Capacity location, utilization and<br />
technology cost effectiveness<br />
Capital expenditure effectiveness<br />
Reduced clinker purchase<br />
Opportunistic stop+go of plants<br />
selecting the best<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
97
Plan 2010-2014 shows a strong effort in improving<br />
industrial efficiency and then reducing industrial variable<br />
costs<br />
<strong>Group</strong> cumulative industrial variable cost, differences y/y, EUR/Ton<br />
+22,2%<br />
Vs.<br />
+12%<br />
2006-2009 2010-2014<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
98
Expected evolution of industrial KPIs<br />
Thermal<br />
consumption<br />
MCal/t clinker<br />
948.4<br />
-10%<br />
24.7<br />
854.6<br />
45.4 23.7<br />
Total Fuel<br />
vs -3%<br />
in 2006-2009<br />
Power<br />
consumption<br />
KWh/t clinker<br />
Power<br />
consumption<br />
KWh/t cement<br />
(grinding only)<br />
78.2<br />
2.0<br />
1.5<br />
6.8<br />
1.3<br />
0.9<br />
0.5<br />
68.6<br />
-8%<br />
Total Power<br />
vs -0,6%<br />
in 2006-2009<br />
2009<br />
Impact from<br />
previous plan<br />
investments<br />
Process<br />
improvements<br />
and small<br />
CAPEX<br />
Major<br />
CAPEX<br />
Performance<br />
2014E<br />
SOURCE: <strong>Italcementi</strong>; team analysis<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
99
Expected evolution of industrial KPIs<br />
Labour<br />
productivity<br />
7.0<br />
Kt cement/<br />
5.0<br />
0.7<br />
0.7<br />
employee 1 0.5<br />
40%<br />
2009<br />
Impact from<br />
previous plan<br />
investments<br />
Process<br />
improvements<br />
and small<br />
CAPEX<br />
Major<br />
CAPEX<br />
Performance<br />
2014E<br />
SP 08-12<br />
SOURCE: <strong>Italcementi</strong>; team analysis<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
100
Under the 2010-2014 plan industrial efficiency drivers are in<br />
the first line of management focus, with increasing impact<br />
Levers<br />
Targets<br />
Performance improvements,<br />
operations, maintenance and SD<br />
investments<br />
Clinker to cement ratio<br />
Variable industrial cost efficiency<br />
Increased usage of alternative fuels<br />
New plants and renewals<br />
Environmental performance<br />
Capacity location, utilization and<br />
technology cost effectiveness<br />
Capital expenditure effectiveness<br />
Reduced clinker purchase<br />
Opportunistic stop+go of plants<br />
selecting the best<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
101
Clinker/cement ratio, levers and determinants of Countries<br />
differentiation<br />
Different factors influence feasibility<br />
and define Countries differences<br />
Mix of products<br />
offered/ demand of<br />
user segments<br />
/competition<br />
Clientele mix i.e. roads vs.<br />
constructors vs. industrial users,<br />
ready mix requests, pricing<br />
policies on differentiated<br />
products….<br />
Clinker to Cement<br />
Technical<br />
management<br />
Stability of plant output, of fuel<br />
mix, quality of local raw materials<br />
etc<br />
Availability of<br />
blending<br />
components<br />
Energy (for fly ashes) or steel (for<br />
slag) plants closeby, economic cycle,<br />
scarcity of raw material (i.e.<br />
Pozzolane)…<br />
Countries’ laws and<br />
limitations<br />
Local laws on clinker minimum<br />
content, communication…<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
102
To improve clinker/cement ratio, products portfolio<br />
should be moved towards blended cements<br />
Cement, 2008 percentage<br />
TARGET<br />
+<br />
Ordinary portland<br />
44<br />
Percentage of clinker<br />
–<br />
Limestone<br />
Multiple Blend<br />
Fly ash<br />
Slag Cement<br />
Pozzolan<br />
Others<br />
22<br />
17<br />
5<br />
5<br />
3<br />
4<br />
SOURCE: Company reports, <strong>Italcementi</strong>; team Analysis<br />
100<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
103
Further actions required on clinker/cement ratio<br />
and alternative fuels<br />
Alternative<br />
fuels<br />
Percent<br />
5.4<br />
0.4<br />
3.6<br />
1.2<br />
9.8<br />
2009<br />
Impact from<br />
previous plan<br />
investment<br />
Process<br />
improvements<br />
and small<br />
CAPEX<br />
Additional<br />
major<br />
CAPEX<br />
Performance<br />
E2014<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
104
Current Alternative Fuels usage and 2014 guidelines<br />
Spain<br />
TDF (S. Tyres)<br />
Animal meal<br />
Sewage sludge<br />
Morocco,<br />
Bulgaria<br />
TDF ( S.Tyres)<br />
RDF/SRF study<br />
USA-Canada-Puerto Rico<br />
(Hazardous. waste)<br />
RDF/SRF<br />
Italy<br />
SRF/RDF<br />
TDF (Shredded tyres)<br />
Animal meal,<br />
Sewage sludge<br />
Biomass (vegetal)<br />
Belgium<br />
RDF, sewage sludge,<br />
animal meal, TDF<br />
Greece<br />
Sewage sludge<br />
RDF (study)<br />
Egypt<br />
Biomass (vegetal)<br />
Sewage sludge<br />
Oil base mud<br />
sandy oil<br />
RDF (future)<br />
France<br />
RDF/SRF<br />
Animal meal, TDF (s. tyres),<br />
Hazardous liquid and solid waste<br />
India<br />
Biomass (vegetal)<br />
Industrial waste<br />
TDF (tyres)<br />
Kazakistan, China<br />
Market investigation<br />
Turkey<br />
Waste oil<br />
TDF (Tyres)<br />
RDF (future)<br />
Thailand<br />
Biomass (vegetal)<br />
Industrial liq. waste<br />
TDF= Shredded Tyres<br />
RDF/SRF = refuse derived fuel or solid derived fuel<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
105
Under the 2010-2014 plan industrial efficiency drivers are in<br />
the first line of management focus, with increasing impact<br />
Levers<br />
Targets<br />
Performance improvements,<br />
operations, maintenance and SD<br />
investments<br />
Clinker to cement ratio<br />
Variable industrial cost efficiency<br />
Increased usage of alternative fuels<br />
New plants and renewals<br />
Environmental performance<br />
Capacity location, utilization and<br />
technology cost effectiveness<br />
Capital expenditure effectiveness<br />
Reduced clinker purchase<br />
Opportunistic stop+go of plants<br />
selecting the best<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
106
Key industrial performance improvements in the plan:<br />
major investments<br />
Next 5 years<br />
Impacts beyond 2014<br />
2010<br />
2014<br />
New plants/<br />
revamping<br />
Main investments from<br />
previous year (~EURm<br />
1,000) :<br />
• Italy: new Matera<br />
• Morocco: Ait Baha<br />
• USA: Martinsburg<br />
• India: Yarraguntla<br />
Major investments in the plan<br />
(~EUR 800 million) of which:<br />
• Bulgaria: New Devnya<br />
(~240 EUR m)<br />
• Italy: revampings and<br />
reorganization (~240 EUR<br />
m)<br />
• Other Major CapEx (~350<br />
EURm)<br />
Major investments in the<br />
plan, but completed after<br />
2014:<br />
• Egypt: Tourah wet<br />
line relocation (~200<br />
EURm in the plan<br />
period)<br />
• 7 mt/y of modern capacity<br />
• In place of 2.9 mt of old cement capacity<br />
• Ind.EBITDA improved by approx<br />
10EUR/t on the total capacity + extra<br />
capacity<br />
• Total impact expected steady state 150<br />
EURm EBITDA<br />
5.5 Mt/y of modern capacity<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
107
Martinsburg/ WestVirginia, USA<br />
Full line 5,000 tpd clinker (2 Mt/y cement) in place of old 2,000tpd (0.640 Mt/y of<br />
clinker). Reduction of variable costs per ton ~ 45%. Opened in June 2010,<br />
operating since late 2009.<br />
Quantum leap in consumption:<br />
• Fuel fm 1570 to 760 Kcal/tclk<br />
• Power down to 130 KWh/tcem<br />
• Significantly reduced emissions, i.e.<br />
dust to lowest 15 mg/Nm3<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
108
Yerraguntla/ Andra Pradesh, South India<br />
Full new line 5,500 tpd clinker (2.3 Mt/y cement) at lowest <strong>Group</strong> variable cost<br />
level. Started shipping clinker 1stQ 2010<br />
Very efficient new line:<br />
• Fuel 708 Kcal/tclk<br />
• Power 72 KWh/tcem<br />
• Variable costs at minimum in India<br />
• Significantly reduced emissions, i.e. dust<br />
down to 15 mg/Nm3<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
109
Matera/ Basilicata, Southern Italy<br />
Old Lepol kiln revamped in new dry line with PRH. Capacity increase from<br />
1,650tpd to 2,200 tpd clinker (+250kt/y). ~ 30% reduction in variable cost per ton<br />
and sharp reduction in emissions. Started in March 2010.<br />
Strong reduction in consumption:<br />
• Fuel fm 946 to 760 Kcal/tclk<br />
• Power fm 141 to 122 KWh/tcem<br />
• Significantly reduced emissions, i.e.<br />
CO2 down to 830kg/Tclk, SO2 down to<br />
50mg/Nm<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
110
Ait Baha/ South of Agadir, Morocco<br />
Greenfield full line 1.6Mt/y or 5,000tpd clinker and 2.2Mt cement. Two cement<br />
mills, plant started to ship cement in late 2009 and produce clinker in July 2010.<br />
Innovative closed circuit diathermic oil waste heat recovery and cooling.<br />
Strong reduction in consumption vs. Agadir :<br />
• Fuel from 996 to 725 Kcal/tclk<br />
• Power from 98 to 30.7 KWh/tcem<br />
• Significantly reduced emissions, i.e. dust down<br />
to 15 mg/Nm3<br />
• ~ 20% reduction in variable costs per ton<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
111
Ait Baha, Waste Heat Recovery System (WHRS)*<br />
GAS<br />
IN<br />
GAS<br />
OUT<br />
In Ait Baha a large amount of thermal<br />
energy is available from the gas coming<br />
from the preheater.<br />
To reduce the temperature of gases, the<br />
most frequently applied technology is<br />
based on water injection in a conditioning<br />
tower, where the gases are cooled down by<br />
water evaporation.<br />
Strong benefits in<br />
resource constrained<br />
conditions or available<br />
at high cost:<br />
•Reduced usage of<br />
water and power,<br />
•Power generation for<br />
the plant.<br />
Innovative WHR<br />
on such a small<br />
scale (1.5 MW),<br />
first worldwide<br />
application in the<br />
cement sector on<br />
a full scale PRH.<br />
To avoid the use of hundreds of thousands<br />
of m3 of water, which would be wasted<br />
because dispersed as steam in the<br />
processed gases, the WHR system has<br />
been adopted with the additional<br />
advantage to produce electrical energy.<br />
In operating conditions at nominal<br />
production the power produced is around<br />
1.5 MW. The whole system is operated by<br />
the central control room.<br />
*double circuit diathermic oil + siliconic fluid and 1 stage turbine.<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
112
Under 2010-2014 plan capacity location shifts from<br />
industrialized to emerging markets<br />
Levers<br />
Targets<br />
Performance improvements,<br />
operations, maintenance and SD<br />
investments<br />
Clinker to cement ratio<br />
Variable industrial cost efficiency<br />
Increased usage of alternative fuels<br />
New plants and renewals<br />
Environmental performance<br />
Capacity location, utilization and<br />
technology cost effectiveness<br />
Capital expenditure effectiveness<br />
Reduced clinker purchase<br />
Opportunistic stop+go of plants<br />
selecting the best<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
113
Capacity almost stable in volume terms, but approx 23% is<br />
new or renewed. Competitiveness means improved utilization<br />
Total net capacity<br />
1.6<br />
Emerging<br />
countries<br />
53%<br />
54%<br />
57%<br />
57%<br />
New line in<br />
Egypt (2015)<br />
Mature<br />
countries<br />
47%<br />
46%<br />
43%<br />
43%<br />
2007/2008<br />
2009<br />
2010<br />
2014<br />
Utilization<br />
rate<br />
percent<br />
87 77<br />
77<br />
88<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
114
Greater rationalization in mature countries<br />
Grey clinker capacity evolution<br />
▪ Bessemer: -0.6 Mt<br />
▪ Frederick: -0.3 Mt<br />
▪ Italy clinker lines<br />
closing<br />
▪ Martinsburg:<br />
▪ Italy closures:<br />
▪ Matera revamping:<br />
▪ Italy rationalization and<br />
new investments<br />
1.5% reduction in capacity<br />
4 plants for 4.3 Mt capacity<br />
revamped or 18% of final<br />
capacity<br />
47%<br />
46%<br />
43%<br />
43%<br />
Utilization<br />
rate<br />
percent<br />
2008<br />
2009<br />
2010<br />
86 72<br />
71<br />
84<br />
Cluster weight on total<br />
2014<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
115
Strong focus on emerging countries<br />
Grey clinker capacity evolution<br />
▪ Takli, Thailand<br />
▪ Yerraguntla:<br />
▪ Ait Baha:<br />
▪ Devnya, Bulgaria<br />
▪ Egypt rationalization, closures and<br />
revamping<br />
▪ Another plant/revamping (India)<br />
3.4<br />
53% 54% 57% 57%<br />
9% capacity<br />
increase<br />
1-2 plants for 4-5<br />
Mt capacity<br />
revamped or 15%<br />
of final capacity<br />
Utilization<br />
rate<br />
percent<br />
2008<br />
2009<br />
2010<br />
2014<br />
88 82<br />
81<br />
92<br />
Cluster weight on total<br />
New line<br />
in Egypt<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
116
Shifting to dry kilns technology has a huge impact on fuel<br />
consumption<br />
Expected evolution of kilns by process type<br />
Does not include new line in<br />
Egypt (Dry with pre-calciner)<br />
Kilns production capacity breakdown % by technology<br />
Typical thermal<br />
consumption<br />
without by-pass<br />
MCal/t<br />
Wet<br />
Dry long<br />
Semi-dry<br />
Dry with<br />
preheater<br />
10 9 7<br />
1<br />
2<br />
1<br />
13<br />
16 16<br />
18<br />
19<br />
20<br />
2<br />
8<br />
18<br />
1<br />
820<br />
1,200<br />
1,050<br />
Dry with<br />
precalciner<br />
54 55<br />
61<br />
70<br />
770<br />
770<br />
2007=2008<br />
2009<br />
2010<br />
2014<br />
% mature<br />
markets<br />
47.1% 45.8% 43.4% 43.2%<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
117
Similar impact of new mills on power consumption<br />
Expected evolution of cement mills by process type<br />
Mills production capacity breakdown % by technology<br />
Typical power<br />
consumption<br />
Kwh/t<br />
Open circuit<br />
24% 24% 24% 22% 20%<br />
40<br />
I gen<br />
26% 26% 26%<br />
22%<br />
20%<br />
40<br />
Ball<br />
II gen<br />
17% 17% 17%<br />
17%<br />
17%<br />
40<br />
III gen<br />
Vertical<br />
34%<br />
0%<br />
34%<br />
0%<br />
34%<br />
0%<br />
36%<br />
4%<br />
39%<br />
4%<br />
30<br />
40<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
2009<br />
2010 2014<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
118
Plan 2010-2014 summary<br />
Levers<br />
Targets<br />
Performance improvements,<br />
operations, maintenance and SD<br />
investments<br />
Clinker to cement ratio<br />
Variable industrial cost efficiency<br />
Increased usage of alternative fuels<br />
New plants and renewals<br />
Environmental performance<br />
Capacity location, utilization and<br />
technology cost effectiveness<br />
Capital expenditure effectiveness<br />
Reduced clinker purchase<br />
Opportunistic stop+go of plants<br />
selecting the best<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
119
Welcome to Agadir<br />
Opening remarks<br />
Macroeconomic and construction cycle<br />
Key strategic guidelines and actions<br />
Focus on selected markets<br />
Context & guidelines<br />
Sustainable development<br />
Innovation<br />
Industrial efficiency<br />
Power strategy<br />
Medium term financials<br />
Concluding remarks<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
120
A snapshot of Italgen<br />
Initially as <strong>Italcementi</strong>, and as<br />
Italgen since 2001, the <strong>Group</strong> has<br />
had links to energy production for<br />
more than 100 years.<br />
Hydro plants<br />
Transmission lines<br />
Italgen generates and distributes<br />
electricity through its 14 installed<br />
hydro power plants and 400 km of<br />
transmission lines across Italy.<br />
In 2009:<br />
Installed capacity: 56 MW<br />
Production: 308,000 MWh<br />
Plant availability: 99%<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
121
Strongly focused on reinforcing a sustainable competitive<br />
position in Italy<br />
60<br />
50<br />
EURm<br />
50,7<br />
56,8<br />
48,1%<br />
Revenues<br />
EBITDA on<br />
Revenues<br />
60,0%<br />
50,0%<br />
40<br />
38,6<br />
36,8%<br />
40,0%<br />
30<br />
20<br />
13,7%<br />
24,1%<br />
20,9<br />
30,0%<br />
20,0%<br />
10<br />
10,0%<br />
0<br />
2007 2008 2009 2010 IH<br />
Renewable Energy<br />
Certificate System 300,000<br />
certificates sold annually<br />
Certification<br />
achieved for all<br />
14 hydro plants<br />
kWh<br />
Italgen joined<br />
Desertec Industrial<br />
Initiative as Associated<br />
Partner in March 2010<br />
0,0%<br />
Eco-Management<br />
Audit Scheme<br />
2007 2008<br />
2009<br />
2010<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
122
After securing efficiency and competitiveness in Italy by<br />
leveraging the <strong>Group</strong> platform, new opportunities have<br />
been identified<br />
<br />
Energy demand is enjoying robust growth<br />
<br />
Local quality of renewable energy sources is high<br />
<br />
Competition from other players is limited<br />
<br />
Local government is introducing new regulatory framework to<br />
support renewable energy<br />
<br />
Our flexible internal structure is able to fit with project<br />
implementation requirements<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
123
An international renewable portfolio was launched…<br />
Bulgaria a)<br />
Italy<br />
Kavarna I - 9 MW (in operation)<br />
Kavarna II- 9 MW (under construction)<br />
• 56 MW (in operation)<br />
Salerno - 1 MW (in operation)<br />
Guiglia - 6 MW (fully permitted)<br />
Turkey<br />
Bares - 142.5 MW (fully permitted)<br />
Morocco<br />
Laayoune - 5 MW (under construction)<br />
Egypt<br />
Hydro<br />
Solar<br />
Wind<br />
Gulf El Zeit - 120MW (under development)<br />
a) 49% stake in Gardawind<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
124
…with a defined corporate structure<br />
99.9%<br />
1% Suez Cement<br />
1% Helwan<br />
Cement<br />
49 %<br />
99.87% 99.9% 98%<br />
GARDAWIND Srl<br />
99.9%<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
125
Ongoing actions<br />
Various efforts are ongoing on RE project development for each pipeline<br />
Feasibility<br />
Legal and<br />
Permits<br />
Implementation<br />
and Erection<br />
Commissioning<br />
and Operation<br />
• Bulgaria<br />
(Kavarna I)<br />
(Kavarna II)<br />
• Morocco<br />
(Laayoune)<br />
2010<br />
2010<br />
2011<br />
• Italy<br />
(Guiglia)<br />
• Turkey<br />
(Bares)<br />
• Egypt<br />
(Gulf El Zeit)<br />
2011<br />
2012<br />
2013<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
126
Bulgaria - Kavarna II<br />
Main Data<br />
Location<br />
Kavarna, Bulgaria<br />
Status<br />
Under construction<br />
Expected operation Q4 2010<br />
Installed capacity 9 MW<br />
Capacity factor 28-30% (2,450-2,600 h/y)<br />
Estimated production 22,300-23,600 MWh/y<br />
CO 2 savings<br />
Business model<br />
10,503-11,116 t/y<br />
Feed-in tariff, bilateral<br />
contracts<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
127
Morocco - Laayoune<br />
Main Data<br />
Location<br />
Status<br />
Expected operation Q4 2011<br />
Installed capacity<br />
Capacity factor<br />
Estimated production<br />
CO 2 savings<br />
Business model<br />
Laayoune, Morocco<br />
Under construction<br />
5.1MW (first step)<br />
36% (3,150 h/y)<br />
16,100 MWh/y<br />
12,300-13,000 t/y<br />
Captive use for Indusaha<br />
Grinding Center<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
128
Turkey - Bares<br />
Main Data<br />
Location<br />
Balikesir, Turkey<br />
Fully permitted , turn-key<br />
Status<br />
EPC and financing in<br />
progress<br />
Expected operation 2012<br />
Installed capacity 142.5 MW<br />
Capacity factor 35-40% (3,100 - 3,500 h/y)<br />
Estimated production 442,200-503,400 MWh/y<br />
CO 2 savings<br />
204,000- 232,000 t/y<br />
Business model<br />
Open market, bilateral<br />
contract and feed-in tariff<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
129
Egypt - Gulf El Zeit<br />
Location<br />
Gulf El Zeit, Egypt<br />
Status<br />
Under development<br />
Expected operation 2013<br />
Installed capacity 120 MW<br />
Capacity factor<br />
55-58% (4,800-5,100 h/y)<br />
Estimated production 580,000-613,000 MWh/y<br />
CO 2 savings<br />
Main Data<br />
Business model<br />
243,000-257,000 t/y<br />
Captive use to companies<br />
of Suez Cement <strong>Group</strong><br />
Concessionary area<br />
(93.7 kmq)<br />
11.9 km 2 26.7 km 2<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
130
Egypt - Gulf El Zeit - Environmental Impact Assessment<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
131
Strategic guidelines and targeted goals<br />
From 2009…. …to 2014<br />
Project developer<br />
Assets operator and new RE pipeline developer<br />
Italian Market<br />
Diversified geographical presence<br />
Pioneering new Business Model<br />
Adopted Business Model<br />
Unbalanced technology mix in RE<br />
Balanced technology mix in RE<br />
Installed capacity: 56 MW<br />
Installed capacity: 347.5 MW<br />
Production: 308,000 MWh<br />
Production: 1,400,000 MWh<br />
CO2 savings: 208,000 t<br />
CO2 savings: 950,000 t<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
132
Italgen’s role in <strong>Italcementi</strong>’s overall strategy<br />
Egypt : eligible as CDM<br />
project, PIN approved,<br />
PDD in progress<br />
Energy and<br />
CO2 Hedge<br />
Strong inverse correlation with key <strong>Italcementi</strong> cost factors<br />
Generating proxy offset to future volatility in CO2 emission charges<br />
Egypt:<br />
•MoU signed thanks to ITC platform.<br />
•New cement licences released only if<br />
captive energy production assured<br />
Morocco:<br />
• 5 MW permitted only for captive use<br />
• New law on RE just approved (March 2010)<br />
”Énergie Renouvelable” now the market is open<br />
Project development skills, leveraging ITC platform<br />
Value<br />
Creation<br />
Opportunity<br />
Initial development cost is valuable as ‘goodwill’ once<br />
the project is fully permitted, EPCs established and<br />
financing (project-based) secured<br />
Turkey<br />
Potential for deconsolidation and valorization through<br />
opening to partnerships for minority/majority stakes<br />
Turkey<br />
Egypt<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
133
Conclusions<br />
Coherently with our centenary mission, we are contributing<br />
to secure <strong>Group</strong> energy needs and…<br />
Kavarna - Bulgaria<br />
Salerno - Italy<br />
Vaprio d’Adda - Italy<br />
…be sure, we are doing our best to be ready for the next<br />
“Green new Normal” wave of growth<br />
شكراً<br />
Thank you<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
134
Welcome to Agadir<br />
Opening remarks<br />
Macroeconomic and construction cycle<br />
Key strategic guidelines and actions<br />
Focus on selected markets<br />
Medium term financials<br />
Concluding remarks<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
135
Summing up<br />
Realistic basic assumptions for future cement market trends for both<br />
volumes and prices<br />
Pricing pressures on key production factors<br />
Sustainability, innovation and efficiency are the levers for delivering<br />
significant recovery in <strong>Group</strong>’s performances while increasing<br />
financial flexibility<br />
1,800<br />
EBITDA, 2007-14 (EURm)<br />
1,400<br />
1,000<br />
2007<br />
08<br />
09<br />
10<br />
11<br />
12<br />
13<br />
2014<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
136
Welcome to Agadir<br />
Opening remarks<br />
Macroeconomic and construction cycle<br />
Key strategic guidelines and actions<br />
Focus on selected markets<br />
Medium term financials<br />
Concluding remarks<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 137
2009 Revenues: Breakdown by Geography*<br />
India<br />
3%<br />
Bulgaria China<br />
2% 1% Kazakhstan<br />
1%<br />
Turkey<br />
Thailand<br />
3%<br />
3%<br />
Other and<br />
trading<br />
4%<br />
Italy<br />
17%<br />
Morocco<br />
6%<br />
Egypt<br />
16%<br />
France<br />
27%<br />
N. America<br />
8%<br />
Spain<br />
4%<br />
Greece<br />
2%<br />
Belgium<br />
3%<br />
Focus on next pages<br />
(*) after eliminations<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 138
Welcome to Agadir<br />
Opening remarks<br />
Macroeconomic and construction cycle<br />
Key strategic guidelines and actions<br />
Focus on selected markets<br />
Medium term financials<br />
Italy<br />
North America<br />
Egypt<br />
Morocco<br />
India<br />
Concluding remarks<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 139
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event<br />
Italy<br />
Matera (Italy) cement plant<br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 140<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Title 140<br />
Agadir 24-25 September 2010
GDP and population evolution<br />
Population evolution in Italy<br />
64,0<br />
62,0<br />
60,0<br />
58,0<br />
56,0<br />
Immigration<br />
effect<br />
54,0<br />
52,0<br />
1982<br />
1987<br />
1992<br />
1997<br />
2002<br />
2007<br />
2012<br />
2017<br />
2022<br />
2027<br />
2032<br />
2037<br />
2042<br />
2047<br />
population<br />
year<br />
GDP evolution Construction investment<br />
6%<br />
8%<br />
1980<br />
1982<br />
1984<br />
1986<br />
1988<br />
1990<br />
1992<br />
1994<br />
1996<br />
1998<br />
2000<br />
2002<br />
2004<br />
2006<br />
2008<br />
2010<br />
2012<br />
2014<br />
Var. % y/y<br />
4%<br />
2%<br />
0%<br />
-2%<br />
-4%<br />
6%<br />
4%<br />
2%<br />
0%<br />
-2%<br />
-4%<br />
-6%<br />
-6%<br />
-8%<br />
years<br />
years<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 141<br />
Var. % y/y<br />
1980<br />
1982<br />
1984<br />
1986<br />
1988<br />
1990<br />
1992<br />
1994<br />
1996<br />
1998<br />
2000<br />
2002<br />
2004<br />
2006<br />
2008<br />
2010<br />
2012<br />
2014<br />
Source: ISTAT, ITC estimates
Cement market: historical and medium-term trend<br />
50.000<br />
45.000<br />
Ktons<br />
1986/1992<br />
+23%<br />
1996/2006<br />
+36%<br />
40.000<br />
35.000<br />
30.000<br />
1981/1986<br />
-15% 1992/1996<br />
2006/2010<br />
- 23%<br />
-27%<br />
25.000<br />
20.000<br />
15.000<br />
10.000<br />
5.000<br />
-<br />
Source: AITEC, ITC estimates<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 142
Italian cement market final destination<br />
All segments are suffering…<br />
45<br />
40<br />
Public Works Non Resid. Residential<br />
Cement consumption (Mt)<br />
35<br />
30<br />
25<br />
20<br />
15<br />
33%<br />
31%<br />
34%<br />
31%<br />
36%<br />
29%<br />
10<br />
5<br />
-<br />
36% 35% 35%<br />
2008 ACT. 2009 ACT. 2010 FOR.<br />
Source: ITC estimates<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 143
Production capacity vs market volumes (Mt)<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
2009 2010e<br />
CAGR ‘07-’10<br />
Capacity a)<br />
49.6<br />
49.6<br />
49.0<br />
49.3<br />
Consumption<br />
46.4<br />
41.8<br />
36.1<br />
34.2<br />
-9.6%<br />
Import<br />
5.2<br />
4.1<br />
3.7<br />
2.6<br />
Export<br />
2.8<br />
2.6<br />
2.0<br />
2.3<br />
Over-capacity<br />
5.6<br />
9.3<br />
14.6<br />
15.4<br />
Utilization rate<br />
89%<br />
81%<br />
70%<br />
69%<br />
Source: ITC estimates<br />
a) Cement equivalent of clinker capacity ( clk/cem ratio = 0.75)<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 144
Price evolution in last 10 years<br />
Current price at 2001 level<br />
INDEX 2000 =100<br />
140<br />
130<br />
120<br />
-21.1%<br />
110<br />
100<br />
90<br />
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 H1<br />
2010<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 145
Cement players in Italy: market shares<br />
ITALCEMENTI<br />
BUZZI UNICEM<br />
COLACEM<br />
CEMENTIR<br />
HOLCIM<br />
SACCI<br />
ROSSI<br />
BARBETTI<br />
CALME<br />
GRIGOLIN (gr.)<br />
ZILLO<br />
MONSELICE<br />
CEM. COSTANTINOPOLI<br />
MOCCIA<br />
BETONCEM (gr.)<br />
LUCANIA<br />
CEM. CENTRO ITALIA (gr.)<br />
VICAT (gr.)<br />
BAUMIT (gr.)<br />
CEM. LAURIANO (gr.)<br />
BETON CANDEO (gr.)<br />
TASSULLO (gr.)<br />
DIANO (gr.)<br />
CEM. VICTORIA<br />
CEM. ARIANO<br />
IMPORTAZIONI<br />
(gr.) = Grinders<br />
# operators: 25<br />
+ terminalists<br />
Source: our estimates on Aitec data<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 146
ITC: 2010 clinker production capacity<br />
Sarche<br />
Calusco<br />
Rezzato<br />
Broni<br />
Novi L.<br />
Borgo<br />
Pontassieve<br />
Monselice<br />
Ravenna<br />
Trieste<br />
Zone<br />
North<br />
Center<br />
South + Island<br />
Clinker capacity<br />
(Mlt)<br />
4<br />
1.6<br />
4.1<br />
Montalto<br />
Colleferro<br />
Scafa<br />
Guardiaregia<br />
Total 9.7<br />
Salerno<br />
Matera<br />
Samatzai<br />
Castrovillari<br />
Grinding Center (4)<br />
Isola d.F.<br />
Vibo V.<br />
Cement plant (17)<br />
Porto Emp.<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 147
Go to market model<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
5 Commercial areas<br />
15 Sales offices<br />
3 Key account manager<br />
3 Product managers<br />
3 Market managers<br />
Sales office<br />
Area Headquarter<br />
7,000 customers (out of a<br />
total 15,000)<br />
A homogeneous presence in<br />
all market channels<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 148
Steady improvement<br />
Environment<br />
Clinker ratio trend<br />
clinker ratio trend<br />
2008 index=100<br />
Index 2008 =100<br />
Alternative fuel<br />
Alternative fuel<br />
2008 index=100<br />
Index 2008 =100<br />
100,0<br />
99,5<br />
99,0<br />
98,5<br />
98,0<br />
-1.4%<br />
300<br />
250<br />
200<br />
150<br />
100<br />
50<br />
183%<br />
97,5<br />
2008 2009 Target 2010 Target 2011<br />
0<br />
2008 2009 Target 2010 Target 2011<br />
Innovation<br />
Innovation rate<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 149
Fixed and variable cost savings<br />
2009 vs. 2008 2010 Forecast vs. 2009<br />
-17.1%<br />
-8.1%<br />
-8.2%<br />
-3.8%<br />
-1.8<br />
-4.0%<br />
Savings on<br />
Fixed costs<br />
09vs08<br />
Savings on<br />
Variable<br />
Costs<br />
09vs08<br />
Total Cost<br />
Savings<br />
09 vs08<br />
Savings on<br />
Fixed costs<br />
10vs09<br />
Savings on<br />
Variable<br />
Costs<br />
10vs09<br />
Total Cost<br />
Savings<br />
10vs09<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 150
Reduction of Operational Working Capital achieved<br />
(EURm)<br />
(108.4)<br />
(56.8)<br />
(23.5)<br />
Act Dec of 2009<br />
vs.. Dec 2008<br />
Act June 2010<br />
vs. Dec 2009<br />
For Dec 2010<br />
vs. Dec 2009<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 151
How can the industry recover from the current situation?<br />
The whole sector is suffering<br />
the current situation<br />
Potential conditions for some<br />
restructuring<br />
Obsolete and critically located<br />
plants<br />
Plants with limited reserves<br />
of raw materials<br />
Overcapacity<br />
SHORT TERM<br />
MEDIUM TERM<br />
Heavy competitive pressures on<br />
market not sustainable vs.<br />
investment requirements to<br />
upgrade the industrial network<br />
Industry restructuring/<br />
consolidation<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 152
Our plan: revamping, industrial efficiency, fixed cost<br />
reduction and innovation<br />
Revamping<br />
Variable cost today is at 2007<br />
levels due to efficiency recovery<br />
and reduced energy costs:<br />
additional improvements are<br />
expected through plants<br />
revamping and further<br />
optimization of fuel mix<br />
Already identified core plants<br />
Other plants<br />
New grinding centres<br />
Other grinding centres<br />
Reduction of fixed production<br />
cost partially offsets the<br />
negative impact of volumes:<br />
further actions are planned to<br />
optimize plant structure<br />
Exploit the full potential of<br />
innovative products<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 153
Planned improvement of industrial KPI’s<br />
Thermal consumption<br />
960<br />
Mcal/kg clinker<br />
920<br />
880<br />
840<br />
800<br />
-9.0%<br />
2009 2014<br />
Clinker power consumption<br />
kWh/ton clinker<br />
85<br />
80<br />
75<br />
70<br />
-9.6%<br />
2009 2014<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 154
Conclusions:<br />
Improvements in the next future should come from:<br />
Efficiency:<br />
• Industrial efficiency (e.g.: alternative fuel usage, technical performance)<br />
• Labour productivity – FTE optimization<br />
• Plants revamping (Rezzato/Monselice)<br />
• Network rationalization<br />
We expect to have a positive impact on EBITDA at steady state in the region of<br />
EURm70 at current market conditions<br />
Market:<br />
• The current average market price is not sustainable for the industry<br />
• A price range similar to other European markets<br />
(Spain/Germany/Austria) should have a positive impact on EBITDA at<br />
steady state in the region of EURm75-80<br />
• Some partial help could also come from a slight increase in volumes<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 155
Welcome to Agadir<br />
Opening remarks<br />
Macroeconomic and construction cycle<br />
Key strategic guidelines and actions<br />
Focus on selected markets<br />
Medium term financials<br />
Italy<br />
North America<br />
Egypt<br />
Morocco<br />
India<br />
Concluding remarks<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 156
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event<br />
North America<br />
Martinsburg, WV (USA) cement plant<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Title<br />
157<br />
Agadir 24-25 September 2010
Over the last 45 years, the US population grew 1.1%/y to<br />
306M and its economy by 2.7%. Similar growth are expected<br />
by 2014.<br />
Inhabitants, millions<br />
350<br />
300<br />
250<br />
200<br />
150<br />
100<br />
50<br />
0<br />
1964 1974 1984 1994 2004 2014<br />
Population<br />
Real GDP<br />
20<br />
18<br />
16<br />
14<br />
12<br />
10<br />
8<br />
6<br />
4<br />
2<br />
0<br />
Real GDP (trillions, 2009$)<br />
SOURCES: US Census Bureau, US Commerce Dept<br />
Outlook 2010-2014<br />
GDP to grow 2.5% (CAGR)<br />
Construction to grow 4.3%, mainly from public works<br />
• 2009 Stimulus Plan: $Bn140 in infrastructure, of which $50Bn into highways<br />
• Sept. 2010: Obama proposal for US$50Bn in transportation infrastructure<br />
SOURCES: <strong>Italcementi</strong> estimates<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 158
From 1993 to 2006, the US cement market grew 3.7% a<br />
year to 127 Mt. Since then it has fallen 45%. PCA forecasts<br />
120 Mt in 2015<br />
150<br />
Cement consumption in USA (mainland)<br />
Mt<br />
1993/2006<br />
127 Mt<br />
120 Mt<br />
100<br />
1973/1993<br />
PCA Sep 2010<br />
forecast<br />
2010-2015<br />
50<br />
1928/1946<br />
1946/1973<br />
70 Mt in<br />
2009<br />
1900/1928<br />
0<br />
1900 1915 1930 1945 1960 1975 1990 2005 2020<br />
SOURCES: USGS, PCA<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 159
The Top 5 cement producers in North America have 63%<br />
market share. ITC ranks 7 with 5% market share<br />
Main<br />
Competitors<br />
Market share 2009<br />
% Rank<br />
Recent moves<br />
Lafarge<br />
16<br />
1<br />
Minorities buy out<br />
Holcim<br />
14<br />
2<br />
Built 4 Mt/y Ste Genevieve on Mississippi<br />
Heidelberg<br />
13<br />
3<br />
Integrate Hanson’s volume<br />
Cemex<br />
12<br />
4<br />
Reduce costs post Rinker<br />
Buzzi<br />
8<br />
5<br />
Modernize Festus to 2+ Mt/y<br />
Ash Grove<br />
7<br />
6<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong><br />
5<br />
7<br />
Shut 11 kilns; modernize Martinsburg<br />
Votorantim<br />
4<br />
8<br />
TXI<br />
4<br />
9<br />
Titan<br />
2<br />
12<br />
Vicat<br />
2<br />
13<br />
SOURCES: Company’s Annual Reports, ITC analysis<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 160
In North America, <strong>Italcementi</strong> is focused on cement<br />
and located in the Northeast and Puerto Rico<br />
Sales breakdown<br />
Market presence<br />
RMC<br />
17<br />
Other<br />
5<br />
78<br />
Cement<br />
% of 2009 total revenue<br />
Puerto Rico<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 161
In the Northeast (total market cement capacity of 31.7 Mt),<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> ranks second among 11 players<br />
Geographical distribution<br />
of plants and grindings<br />
Capacity installed<br />
in Essroc market area, 2009<br />
Essroc Area<br />
2009<br />
Lafarge 7.3<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> 5.3<br />
Heidelberg 4.2<br />
Votorantim 3.9<br />
Cemex 3.0<br />
Holcim 2.6<br />
Buzzi 2.4<br />
Titan 1.1<br />
Eagle Materials 1.0<br />
6.0 since end<br />
2009 with<br />
2.0Mt new<br />
Martinsburg<br />
line<br />
Cementos Portland 0.6<br />
Amstrong<br />
0.3<br />
Mt<br />
SOURCES: ITC analysis<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 162
<strong>Italcementi</strong>’s network is based on 6 full-cycle plants,<br />
2 grinding centers and 20 terminals<br />
2010 Preliminary Budget Sourcing<br />
CT. QUEBEC a)<br />
Montreal<br />
ESSEXVILLE<br />
Toronto<br />
PICTON<br />
Osweg<br />
o<br />
Rocheste<br />
r<br />
East Baldwin<br />
Bow<br />
Chicago<br />
Windsor<br />
Palmer<br />
LOGANSPORT<br />
SPEED<br />
Fairfield<br />
Wilder<br />
Clevelan<br />
d<br />
Columbus<br />
Nitro<br />
Bessemer<br />
MBO<br />
Leetsdale<br />
MARTINSBURG<br />
Richmond<br />
NPT News<br />
NAZARETH<br />
Baltimore<br />
Frederick<br />
40 RMC plants<br />
3 aggregates pits<br />
Cement Plant<br />
Grinding<br />
Cement Terminal<br />
Ciment Quebec a)<br />
200 mi<br />
200 km<br />
Salisbury<br />
Charlotte<br />
Smithfield<br />
PUERTO RICO<br />
a) Joint-venture in which ITC holds 50%<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 163
Revenue and EBITDA were severely affected<br />
by the market slump<br />
Revenues<br />
US$M<br />
750<br />
828<br />
830<br />
736<br />
559<br />
EBITDA<br />
161<br />
196<br />
174<br />
78<br />
3<br />
a)<br />
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009<br />
IFRS figures<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
a) including US$14M of non-recurring charges<br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 164
Since 2006, ITC significantly optimized its network,<br />
reducing its total industrial costs a) by 20%...<br />
Shut 11 kilns<br />
‣ 4 (b) in Nazareth in 2006<br />
‣ 2 (c) in Frederick in 2008<br />
‣ 2 (c) in Bessemer in 2009<br />
‣ 3 (c) in Martinsburg in 2009<br />
Replaced 1.8 Mt obsolete<br />
cement capacity by brand<br />
new Martinsburg<br />
production line<br />
Reduced cost factors: 2005 2010 d)<br />
Heat consumption (th/t CK) 1200 900<br />
Power consumption (kWh/t CT) 156 146<br />
Manpower (FTE, Cement business only) 1348 883<br />
Total closure of 2 plants (Frederick and Bessemer)<br />
Resulting industrial savings (% of industrial costs a) ) 20<br />
a) Like-for-like on 2010 volume b) Long dry process<br />
c) Wet process d) Budget<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 165
… and greatly improving its environmental footprint<br />
Shut 11 kilns<br />
‣ 4 (b) in Nazareth in 2006<br />
‣ 2 (c) in Frederick in 2008<br />
‣ 2 (c) in Bessemer in 2009<br />
‣ 3 (c) in Martinsburg in 2009<br />
Replaced 1.8 Mt obsolete<br />
cement capacity by brand<br />
new Martinsburg<br />
production line<br />
Reduced environmental footprint: 2005 2010 d)<br />
CO 2 (kg/t CK) 1004 842<br />
SO x (kg/t CK) 2.7 1.3<br />
NOx (kg/t CK) 3.2 1.7<br />
Fugitive Dust 13 ESP’s (b) 100% Baghouse<br />
b) Long dry process c) Wet process d) Budget<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 166
Over 6 years, <strong>Italcementi</strong> has significantly modernized<br />
its industrial network<br />
2005 2011<br />
Kiln technology<br />
% of capacity<br />
Precalciner<br />
Preheater<br />
Long Dry<br />
Wet<br />
8%<br />
43%<br />
18%<br />
31%<br />
36%<br />
47%<br />
10%<br />
7%<br />
Kiln size<br />
kt clinker/year<br />
365<br />
640<br />
Kiln vintage<br />
Year<br />
39<br />
28<br />
Thermal<br />
consumption<br />
Mcal/t<br />
1200<br />
870<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 167
<strong>Italcementi</strong> benefits from good locations and can leverage<br />
its modern plants on the East Coast<br />
Strengths<br />
Key plants well located to serve major markets, with good, long term<br />
reserves<br />
2 large modern plants on East Coast: Martinsburg and Nazareth<br />
Low cost water distribution on Great Lakes<br />
Strong package business/brand<br />
Opportunities<br />
Market growth opportunities in Martinsburg area<br />
Speed and Picton still have opportunities for improvement<br />
Further ready mix development<br />
Leverage good rail connections to support market coverage<br />
Potential new Federal Infrastructure program<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 168
<strong>Italcementi</strong>’s performance is expected to improve, thanks to<br />
ongoing actions and planned investments<br />
Main actions: 2010 to 2014<br />
Increase sales<br />
volume<br />
• Increase sales volume through market growth and better market<br />
positioning<br />
• Develop terminal network to support market coverage<br />
Improve<br />
industrial<br />
performance<br />
• Leverage full benefit of new Martinsburg and of modernized<br />
Nazareth<br />
• Leverage increased labour productivity<br />
Reduce logistic<br />
costs<br />
• Optimize logistic flows, in order to address relevant markets<br />
• Develop rail transportation from Martinsburg<br />
Sustainable<br />
development<br />
• Adapt plants to upcoming environmental regulations (Hg, CO2)<br />
• Increase Alternate Fuels usage<br />
• Improve & Sustain Safety performance<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 169
Martinsburg, WV. Capacity: 2 Mt/y cement.<br />
Thermal consumption: 760 MCal/t CK. 150 employees<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 170
Welcome to Agadir<br />
Opening remarks<br />
Macroeconomic and construction cycle<br />
Key strategic guidelines and actions<br />
Focus on selected markets<br />
Medium term financials<br />
Italy<br />
North America<br />
Egypt<br />
Morocco<br />
India<br />
Concluding remarks<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 171
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event<br />
Egypt<br />
Suez plant (Egypt)<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> Agadir 24-25 <strong>Group</strong> September 2010<br />
Investor Event 24-25 Title September 2010 172
Egypt is experiencing a positive growing cycle driven by<br />
political stability, economical reforms and internal consumption<br />
Economic reforms implemented since 2004, including reduced corporate<br />
income taxes, privatization, foreign trade and investment liberalization, and<br />
increasing banking supervision, helped Egypt to pull through the global crisis<br />
relatively untouched.<br />
Egypt with 78 million inhabitants has the Arab world’s largest population and a<br />
quickly expanding youth demographic.<br />
2008 2009 2010 05-09 09-14<br />
Actual Actual Forecast CAGR CAGR<br />
Population growth (%) 1.8 1.8 1.6 1.8% 1.6%<br />
Gross Domestic Product (% yoy) 6.0 4.6 4.5 5.5% 4.5%<br />
Inflation (% annual average) 18.3 11.8 8.0 7.4% 6.6%<br />
Construction (% yoy) 11.9 14.2 4.0 8.7% 6.2%<br />
Sources: <strong>Italcementi</strong> and Business Monitor International<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 173
Construction sector growth has boosted cement<br />
consumption<br />
Grey Cement<br />
Egypt Market<br />
Volumes<br />
Mt<br />
CAGR 2005-09<br />
+13.9%<br />
28.5 30.1 34.5 38.5<br />
CAGR 2009-14<br />
+5.7%<br />
48.0 49.6 53.1 56.3 59.7 63.2<br />
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010F 2011F 2012F 2013F 2014F<br />
Egypt grey cement market outlook<br />
Structural demand (Mt)<br />
Cement final destination<br />
Source: Ministry of Investment<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 174
Demand and supply balance has lead the government to<br />
announce the issuance of new licenses for an increased<br />
clinker capacity of almost 17mt within 2014.<br />
Cement Market<br />
Grey Clinker Supply / Demand Balance (Mt)<br />
Volumes / MT 2008<br />
2009 2010 2014<br />
Supply<br />
Clinker plant capacity 41.3 43.0 47.1 59.9<br />
Clinker production 38.3 40.9 44.9 59.3<br />
Domestic Utilization Rate 93% 95% 95% 99%<br />
(A)<br />
(B)<br />
(B/A)<br />
Demand<br />
Clinker domestic consumption<br />
35.0 41.9 43.8 56.0<br />
Balance<br />
Clinker balance 3.3 ‐1.0 1.1 3.3<br />
Source: <strong>Italcementi</strong><br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 175
<strong>Italcementi</strong> is the largest cement producer within<br />
a fragmented supply market<br />
Volumes 2009 in Mt Market Share % 2009<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong><br />
11.7<br />
Lafarge<br />
Cemex<br />
Titan<br />
Cimpor<br />
Sinai<br />
NCC<br />
Misr Beni Suef<br />
5.7<br />
4.3<br />
4.2<br />
3.5<br />
3.1<br />
1.9<br />
9.6<br />
Misr Beni Suef<br />
4,0%<br />
Sinai<br />
7,3%<br />
NCC<br />
6,4%<br />
Cemex<br />
11,9%<br />
South<br />
Valley<br />
2,0%<br />
Cimpor<br />
8,6%<br />
Qena<br />
3,7%<br />
Titan<br />
8,9%<br />
Others<br />
2,8%<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong><br />
24,4%<br />
Lafarge<br />
20,0%<br />
Qena<br />
1.8<br />
South Valley<br />
0.9<br />
Others<br />
1.3<br />
Source: Ministry of Investment<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 176
<strong>Italcementi</strong> volumes and prices have risen steadily, but market<br />
share has decreased because of additional capacity<br />
Market Share<br />
30.1%<br />
30.9%<br />
30.6%<br />
28.3%<br />
1<br />
2<br />
24.4%<br />
ITC Egypt<br />
Volumes<br />
M tons<br />
14<br />
12<br />
10<br />
8<br />
6<br />
4<br />
2<br />
0<br />
8,6 9,3 10,6 10,9 11,7<br />
5,9 6.1<br />
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 H1 2009 H1 2010<br />
ITC Egypt<br />
OPC Bags Exwork<br />
price<br />
EGP/t<br />
2007 2008 2009 2010<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 177
To follow market growth trends, <strong>Italcementi</strong> invested<br />
significantly in operational efficiency projects…<br />
Increased clinker and cement production by improving plant reliability<br />
Decreased the clinker cement ratio by enlarging the product range<br />
Decreased fuel consumption and improved fuel mix<br />
Improved labour productivity<br />
Implemented <strong>Group</strong> sustainable development policies with special focus on<br />
environment and social responsibility<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 178
…and the results are confirmed by the key performance<br />
indicators…<br />
Cement production (kt/year)<br />
Clinker/cement ratio<br />
13000<br />
12500<br />
Δ= -1,4%<br />
Δ 2007-2010 = -2,8%<br />
12000<br />
Δ= -0,1%<br />
11500<br />
Δ= -1,3%<br />
11000<br />
10500<br />
2007 2008 2009 2010<br />
2007 2008 2009 2010<br />
100%<br />
Fuel Mix Mix<br />
6<br />
Cement production/Staff<br />
(kton/FTE)<br />
(kton/FTE)<br />
80%<br />
60%<br />
40%<br />
20%<br />
44%<br />
56%<br />
GAS<br />
52% 48%<br />
48%<br />
OIL<br />
53%<br />
52% 47%<br />
4<br />
0%<br />
2007 2008 2009 2010<br />
2<br />
2007 2008 2009 2010<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 179
… and the financial results (EGPm)<br />
Revenue<br />
Rec. EBITDA<br />
1.910<br />
3.543 4.167<br />
5.313 6.138<br />
892<br />
1.602 1.783 1.915 2.030<br />
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009<br />
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009<br />
Cash Flow<br />
577<br />
1.348 1.212<br />
1.584 1.736<br />
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009<br />
IFRS compliant<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 180
<strong>Italcementi</strong>’s challenges in a fast changing environment<br />
In a country where:<br />
Less than 10 years ago, Egypt was an export oriented low-cost cement<br />
producer: now it is importing and has production costs close to the<br />
Mediterranean average<br />
The cost of thermal and electrical energy nearly doubled together with raw<br />
material costs in less than 24 months<br />
Government intervention in the cement sector has been intense (licensing,<br />
price monitoring, taxation, export ban, etc.)<br />
Growth in cement consumption has been faster than expected<br />
The <strong>Group</strong> should balance its growth portfolio<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> has 3 main challenges:<br />
Defend profitability<br />
Respond to market needs<br />
Balance geographical exposures<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 181
Actions to defend profitability<br />
Continuous efficiency program aimed at raising:<br />
Production by de-bottlenecking and improved reliability<br />
Productivity by improving quality of personnel<br />
Fuel energy optimization<br />
Product portfolio<br />
Vertical integration<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 182
Actions in response to market needs<br />
Organic growth<br />
Investment in a brown field site to replace old kiln technology at the Tourah<br />
and Helwan plants (1mt/y) and increase capacity (1mt/y), in response to market<br />
and efficiency needs and for proactive sustainable development action.<br />
Total investment is expected to be in the region of 200-250 EURm and should<br />
have an incremental EBITDA of approx 50 EURm/y.<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 183
Action to balance geographical exposure<br />
To exploit Egypt as a platform for future investments in the region, as already<br />
done in Kuwait for the cement and ready-mix operation.<br />
Continuous scouting activities to capture the best development opportunities.<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 184
The financial health of <strong>Italcementi</strong> in Egypt is helping the<br />
<strong>Group</strong> to achieve is objectives in the region<br />
The strong Egyptian balance sheet combined with the positive<br />
market outlook and steady cash flow generation contribute to the<br />
accomplishment of the three mains goals and the growth plans for<br />
the Egyptian subsidiary.<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 185
Welcome to Agadir<br />
Opening remarks<br />
Macroeconomic and construction cycle<br />
Key strategic guidelines and actions<br />
Focus on selected markets<br />
Medium term financials<br />
Italy<br />
North America<br />
Egypt<br />
Morocco<br />
India<br />
Concluding remarks<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 186
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event<br />
Morocco<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> Agadir 24-25 <strong>Group</strong> September 2010<br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 187 187<br />
Title<br />
Ait Baha (Morocco) cement plant
Morocco’s population is relatively young, mainly concentrated<br />
in the north-west, and increasing moving to urban areas<br />
Demographics and urbanization<br />
Population<br />
Population 2007: 32.4m (45 inhab/Km 2 )<br />
CAGR: 02-07: 1.7%<br />
07-12: 1.4%<br />
Life expectancy at birth: 2003-07: 69.9 years<br />
2008-12: 72 years<br />
Age pyramid (2007):<br />
29% (0-14 years)<br />
63% (15-64 years)<br />
8% (>65 years)<br />
Casablanca<br />
3.6<br />
Agadir<br />
0.4<br />
Rabat<br />
0.7<br />
Fes<br />
0.7<br />
Marrakech<br />
0.7<br />
Urbanization<br />
45000<br />
(Rural and urban population trends)<br />
40000<br />
35000<br />
30000<br />
25000<br />
total<br />
70%<br />
CAGR 2000/12<br />
Total: 1.4%<br />
Urban: 2.5%<br />
20000<br />
15000<br />
10000<br />
5000<br />
46%<br />
urban<br />
rural<br />
63%<br />
CAGR 2012/25<br />
Total: 1.1%<br />
Urban: 2.0%<br />
Largest city population (mln)<br />
0<br />
1986 1990 2000 2012 2025<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 188
Overall situation is positive with real GDP growth in recent<br />
years and forecast for the next few years<br />
Key indicators<br />
Real GDP growth (%)<br />
Gross fixed investment (% GDP)<br />
Consumer price inflation (%)<br />
Sources of GDP<br />
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009<br />
a)<br />
2010<br />
a)<br />
2011<br />
a)<br />
2012-14<br />
3.0 7.8 2.7 5.6 4.9 4.0 4.0 4.5<br />
27.5 28.1 31.2 33.0 30.7 32.0 32.0 32.0<br />
1.0 3.3 2.0 3.7 1.0 1.1 2.2 2.4<br />
a) Forecasts<br />
2009<br />
55,1%<br />
16,8%<br />
28,1%<br />
Agriculture<br />
Services<br />
Industry<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 189
Construction outpacing GDP growth in recent years driven by<br />
real estate projects and infrastructure modernization under<br />
implementation<br />
Expenditure in EBITDA – index 2002 = 100<br />
Projects under implementation<br />
Residential<br />
• Social housing programmes<br />
• Self-construction<br />
Non-Residential<br />
• Growing demand for service buildings<br />
(schools, hospitals, stadiums)<br />
• Commercial buildings<br />
• Financial centres<br />
• Tourist facilities: hotels, resorts,<br />
entertainment structures<br />
Residential and non-residential benefiting<br />
from low interest rate, private investment<br />
and governmental social housing program<br />
(with fresh tax benefits on home builders<br />
introduced with the 2010 budget)<br />
Increasing infrastructure<br />
Investment in tourism development<br />
Civil Works/ Infrastructure<br />
• Road/rail network<br />
• Public transport<br />
• Ports/airports<br />
• Power generation<br />
• Water projects (including desalination)<br />
• Utilities<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 190
Acceleration growth in cement demand over the last 7 years,<br />
to 14.5 Mt in 2009 …<br />
Cement demand since 1990<br />
Kt<br />
14.5 Mt<br />
+ 3.4% vs. 2008<br />
~450 kg pro capita<br />
8.0%<br />
CAGR<br />
3.4%<br />
4.5%<br />
Acceleration boosted by:<br />
• 2002: 50 DHM/t. cem. tax (100 from 2004)<br />
to finance Social Housing Programme<br />
• 2003: tax exemptions for social housing builders<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 191
… mostly concentrated in the Northern and coastal part of<br />
Morocco, with central regions growing very fast, and demand<br />
mainly driven by residential activity<br />
Breakdown by region<br />
Tanger<br />
Cement demand breakdown<br />
Tetouan<br />
Breakdown by final destination<br />
2<br />
Rabat<br />
Casablanca<br />
4<br />
cement demand growth a)<br />
Settat - Ben Ahmed 5<br />
3<br />
Safi<br />
1<br />
Marrakech<br />
Agadir<br />
Top 5 regions in terms of<br />
a) CAGR 2009 vs. 2007<br />
1- Tadla-Azilal: +21.8 %<br />
2- Taza-Al Hoceima: +20.6 %<br />
3- Fes-Bouleman: +14.5 %<br />
4- Gharb-Cherarda: +13.5 %<br />
5- Chaouia-Ourdigha: +10.1 %<br />
Fes<br />
Meknes<br />
Nador<br />
Beni-Mellal<br />
Cement demand<br />
(2009, kt)<br />
200-400<br />
401-600<br />
601-800<br />
801-1000<br />
1001-1200<br />
1201-1400<br />
1401-1600<br />
>1600<br />
Non residential<br />
6%<br />
Infrastructure<br />
14%<br />
Residential, 80%<br />
(including civil engineering<br />
for social housing programme)<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 192
18.8 Mt cement capacity a) in 2010, with the entry<br />
of a new independent player<br />
Cement plant<br />
Grinding center<br />
Capacity a) (2010, Mt)*<br />
Lafarge: 6.3<br />
ITC: 5.7<br />
Holcim: 4.0<br />
Cimpor: 1.2<br />
Cimat: 1.6<br />
Total: 18.8<br />
Market share (2009, %)*<br />
Lafarge: 41<br />
ITC: 26<br />
Holcim: 24<br />
Cimpor: 9<br />
a) Cement equivalent to clinker<br />
* Ciments du Maroc estimates<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 193
Full utilization of Morocco cement plant capacity over<br />
the last four years with the recent high domestic demand<br />
resulting in a sharp fall in exports<br />
Cement plant utilization rate a)<br />
Cement & Clinker<br />
exports less imports (kt)<br />
a) Based on cement equivalent to clinker locally produced<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 194
... with long term 5% CAGR in structural demand,<br />
thanks to favourable changes in cement demand drivers<br />
Change in cement demand drivers<br />
16<br />
14<br />
12<br />
10<br />
8<br />
6<br />
4<br />
The cement sector has enjoyed buoyant growthin recent<br />
years, having benefited from big infrastructure projects such<br />
as the deepwater port on the Mediterranean, the development<br />
of six new tourist resorts, important public housing programs,<br />
and construction of roads, dams and power plants.<br />
2009<br />
14,5 Mt<br />
Technological factors<br />
• Change in housing<br />
characteristics<br />
• Increasing competitiveness of<br />
cement vs. other building<br />
materials<br />
• Introduction of new building<br />
technologies<br />
• Change in building code<br />
• Improvement of concrete<br />
quality<br />
2<br />
Demographic factors<br />
-<br />
1960<br />
1962<br />
1964<br />
1966<br />
1968<br />
1970<br />
1972<br />
1974<br />
1976<br />
1978<br />
1980<br />
1982<br />
1984<br />
1986<br />
1988<br />
1990<br />
1992<br />
1994<br />
1996<br />
1998<br />
2000<br />
2002<br />
2004<br />
2006<br />
2008<br />
2010<br />
2012<br />
• Deficit of 1 million housing<br />
units to recover<br />
• Decrease in emigration<br />
• Increase in transit migration<br />
(becoming permanent settlers)<br />
• Increased return migration rates<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 195
<strong>Italcementi</strong> has developed a large industrial network<br />
in the Southern region of the country ...<br />
Plants: 4<br />
ISO certificates: 9001 & 14001<br />
Grinding centers: 1<br />
Clinker capacity (kt): 3,920<br />
Cement capacity (kt): 5,840<br />
Sales volumes (2009, kt): 3,689<br />
Market share (2009, %): 26<br />
Cement plant<br />
Grinding center<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 196
... reinforced by the new Ait Baha greenfield<br />
Start-up: 2010<br />
Clinker capacity (kt): 1,550<br />
Cement capacity (kt): 2,200<br />
ITC capacity increase: + 31%<br />
Technology type: dry (modern)<br />
<br />
Self-production of power through heat<br />
recovery<br />
Achievement<br />
3 3 years ITC ITC team team work work<br />
Layout<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 197
Ait Baha plant: the most technological advanced, the biggest<br />
kiln in the country, generating significant savings<br />
Savings vs.. old Agadir plant<br />
Heat consumption: - 24%<br />
Power consumption: - 20%<br />
Variable costs: - 20%<br />
Fixed costs: - 10%<br />
CO 2 emissions: - 15%<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 198
Investments are already engaged to improve the efficiency<br />
of the other plants<br />
Safi capacity:<br />
+ 25 kt of clinker per year<br />
Marrakech de-bottlenecking:<br />
+ 60 kt of clinker per year<br />
Laayoune wind farm (5 MW):<br />
Savings of 1 EURm per year<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 199
An historical vertical integration in the ready-mix business with<br />
a strategic presence in the largest cities of the Central region,<br />
and in aggregates<br />
Ready-mix business<br />
Market (2009, Mm3): 4.6<br />
Batching units: 23<br />
Market share (2009, %): 17<br />
Sales volumes (2009, Mm3): 0.8<br />
Aggregates business<br />
Market (2009, Mt): 130.0<br />
Quarries: 3<br />
Capacity (Mt): 2.7<br />
Sales volumes (2009, Mt): 2.6<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 200
2009 full year snapshot on sales volumes<br />
and recurring EBITDA<br />
Cement (kt) Aggregates (kt) Ready-mix (km3)<br />
-0.9% -0.7% -10.8%<br />
Volumes<br />
Cement (EURm) Aggregates (EURm) Ready-mix (EURm)<br />
+41.2%<br />
Recurring<br />
EBITDA<br />
-12.9% -1.7%<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 201
Positive price effects and efficient procurement management<br />
have generated a sharp rise in recurring EBITDA margin<br />
versus 2008<br />
350<br />
70%<br />
300<br />
60%<br />
250<br />
50%<br />
200<br />
43.8% 43.0%<br />
37.9%<br />
41.3%<br />
40%<br />
150<br />
30.8%<br />
30%<br />
100<br />
20%<br />
50<br />
10%<br />
0<br />
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009<br />
Turnover Recurring EBITDA % Recurring EBITDA<br />
0%<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 202
Outlook and Actions<br />
The new entrant to the cement market is challenging historical market shares<br />
with pressure on sales prices<br />
Strategic actions to consolidate our market share are currently defined and<br />
ongoing<br />
The shutdown of the Agadir plant is an upcoming issue, land propertie values<br />
are a strategic opportunity<br />
Other major investments for improving industrial efficiency are already planned<br />
and/or launched (Safi, Laayoune wind farm, Marrakech plant<br />
de-bottlenecking, alternative fuels)<br />
The integration strategy between Cement and Materials continues to be<br />
reinforced on a regular basis<br />
The development of the ready-mix business as a strategic distribution channel<br />
for cement in the medium/long term is a major priority<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 203
Conclusions<br />
In 2010:<br />
We shall exploit the benefits from the completion of the Ait Baha plant<br />
We are improving our operating results<br />
We will continue the optimization of working capital begun in 2009<br />
In 2011:<br />
We will begin industrial cement network rationalization<br />
We will capture the full impact of the Ait Baha plant efficiency<br />
We will significantly reduce the environmental impact of our cement plants<br />
We will begin to reap the benefit of other industrial efficiency investments<br />
A solid and efficient sustainable platform ready for new strategic developments<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 204
Welcome to Agadir<br />
Opening remarks<br />
Macroeconomic and construction cycle<br />
Key strategic guidelines and actions<br />
Focus on selected markets<br />
Medium term financials<br />
Italy<br />
North America<br />
Egypt<br />
Morocco<br />
India<br />
Concluding remarks<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 205
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event<br />
India<br />
Yerraguntla :New Clinker Plant<br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 206<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong> Title 206<br />
Agadir 24-25 September 2010
The strong Indian economy can sustain long-term high growth<br />
Key Growth Drivers<br />
Strong demographics<br />
Stable political environment<br />
Internal demand driven; less export reliant<br />
Healthy financial sector<br />
Aggressive Infrastructure plan of 1,000$bn<br />
(2013-17)<br />
17,0%<br />
14,0%<br />
Million<br />
1500<br />
1000<br />
500<br />
0<br />
Population & Urbanization rate<br />
40%<br />
30%<br />
26% 28%<br />
1991 2001 2008 2030<br />
GDP 2010 GDP 2030<br />
>1 $tn<br />
4-5x<br />
9,2% 9,3%<br />
7,5%<br />
9,0%<br />
7,0%<br />
6,5%<br />
8,0% 8,6%<br />
8,0% 8,0%<br />
65<br />
80<br />
97<br />
117<br />
Urban<br />
144<br />
161<br />
Rural<br />
180<br />
201<br />
225<br />
252<br />
2006 2007 2008 2009 E2010 2010-14<br />
GDP% Construction%<br />
Source: ITC estimates, CMIE, EIU, World Bank, other analysts<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017<br />
Infrastructure Plan XI & XII ($bn)<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 207
Cement demand: housing and infrastructure to drive growth<br />
350<br />
Demand evolution (mt)<br />
+100mt<br />
Per capita consumption: great<br />
potential<br />
300<br />
250<br />
200<br />
150135<br />
100<br />
151<br />
164<br />
179<br />
193<br />
210<br />
229<br />
250<br />
272<br />
42 47 53 59 62 67 72 79 85<br />
50<br />
0<br />
INDIA<br />
2005-09 : 9.4% (actual)<br />
2009-14 : 9.0% (forecast)<br />
+30mt<br />
SOUTH<br />
2005-09 : 10.6% (actual)<br />
2009-14 : 8.3% (forecast)<br />
297<br />
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014<br />
South India demand is ~30% of All-India<br />
92<br />
1200<br />
1000<br />
800<br />
600<br />
400<br />
200<br />
0<br />
Kg/ Person (2009)<br />
1091<br />
490<br />
427 403<br />
317<br />
170<br />
China W.Europe World Japan US India<br />
India Demand Source (2010-14)<br />
Housing continues to be major growth driver<br />
Infrastructure contribution 2014, +10% vs. 2009<br />
Source: ITC estimates, CMIE, JP Morgan, other analysts<br />
Residential<br />
55%<br />
Infrastructure<br />
30%<br />
Nonresidential<br />
15%<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 208
Cement supply evolution: South leading capacity additions<br />
Capacity (mt) year end (by region)<br />
400<br />
200<br />
0<br />
322<br />
335 348 361<br />
301<br />
50<br />
50<br />
50 54<br />
270<br />
48<br />
39<br />
39<br />
41 43<br />
216 42<br />
39<br />
191<br />
64 67 70 71<br />
38<br />
164 172 31<br />
30 30<br />
64<br />
60<br />
49 51 51 51<br />
24 26<br />
25 25<br />
27<br />
49 46<br />
31 33 40 38<br />
29 30 34<br />
34<br />
55 59 61 73 92 104 120 128 136 142<br />
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014<br />
A strong wave of capacity<br />
additions will take the total<br />
India installed capacity to<br />
~360mt by 2014 (+67% vs.<br />
2008)<br />
South. West North Central East<br />
Cumulated capacity addition (mt) (by region) 2009-14<br />
13<br />
22<br />
23<br />
145mt<br />
18<br />
69<br />
South has attracted highest capacity additions<br />
(~48%) following recent high profitable cycle<br />
Most new entrants are also expected in South<br />
Market.<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 209
South capacity utilization expected to drop to 73% by 2012<br />
before starting to recover<br />
96% 97%<br />
93%<br />
88%<br />
86%<br />
77%<br />
74% 73% 74%<br />
124<br />
112<br />
98<br />
34<br />
30<br />
79 23<br />
12<br />
65 9<br />
10<br />
9<br />
55 57<br />
60<br />
2<br />
8<br />
2<br />
5<br />
4<br />
5<br />
8<br />
5<br />
5<br />
42 47 53 59 62 67 72 79<br />
(million tons)<br />
132<br />
34<br />
13<br />
85<br />
77%<br />
139<br />
32<br />
15<br />
92<br />
Capacity Utilization<br />
Estimated Available<br />
Capacity<br />
Unutilized Cap.<br />
Net Exports<br />
Demand<br />
CAGR 09-14: 8.3%<br />
10,0<br />
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014<br />
0,0%<br />
A long run of high saturation (2005-09) led to strong profits and cash flows for<br />
the industry<br />
Reinvestment by existing players plus new players have further fragmented<br />
the market<br />
Recovery expected from 2013 while possible consolidation moves can help<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 210
ITC in India : milestones<br />
JAN ’01 - Start-up of a 50 / 50 JV with KK Birla <strong>Group</strong> in Zuari Cement Ltd (ZCL)<br />
Yerraguntla plant (South Andhra Pradesh), 2.2 MT capacity.<br />
JAN ’02 - Acquisition of Sri Vishnu Cement Ltd.<br />
Sitapuram plant (Central Andhra Pradesh), 1.3 MT capacity.<br />
JUN ’06 - Zuari Cement becomes a 100% subsidiary of ITC.<br />
JAN ’07 - Sri Vishnu Cement merges into Zuari Cement.<br />
MAY ’07 -<br />
Launch of “PRIMO” premium cement.<br />
MAR ’08 - Sitapuram 43MW captive power plant startup<br />
MAR’10 - Commissioning of Yerraguntla second line, 2.0 MT clinker capacity<br />
(to be followed by Chennai grinding centre ,1 MT cement by July2011)<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 211
ZCL: strongly rooted in the vast South India market with<br />
potential to expand to East & Maharastra<br />
2002 2009 2011<br />
ZCL Capacity (mt) 3.5 3.5 6.0<br />
South Market Share 6.8% 4.9% 5.7%<br />
Recently commissioned<br />
Yerraguntla brown-field<br />
expansion and upcoming<br />
Chennai grinding unit will boost<br />
ZCL market share.<br />
Geographical expansion to high<br />
potential secondary markets<br />
(Maharashtra and East) helps to<br />
increase volumes and improve<br />
margins.<br />
Maharashtra<br />
Mumbai<br />
20.9 M.inhab.<br />
Main Cities<br />
Full Cycle<br />
Plant<br />
Grinding<br />
Bangalore<br />
6.4 M.inhab.<br />
South India<br />
Hyderabad<br />
6.2 M.inhab.<br />
ITC Yerraguntla<br />
2009: 2.2mt<br />
2010: 3,7mt<br />
Chennai<br />
7.2 M.inhab.<br />
Chennai GU<br />
2011: 1,0mt<br />
East markets<br />
ITC Sitapuram<br />
2009:1.3mt<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 212
10 years of successful presence of ITC in highly competitive<br />
South India<br />
ITC entered India at the right time and, over a decade of continuous<br />
improvements, has established a solid and profitable presence in one of the<br />
most challenging and competitive environments.<br />
This has been achieved through a predominantly indigenous management team<br />
and a strong local focus<br />
Industrial performance<br />
• 65% local coal (cost advantage vs. competitors)<br />
• 82 Kwh / ton of cement (-15% reduction)<br />
• 30% decrease in work-force<br />
Reinforced industrial footprint<br />
• 43 MW captive power plant (Sitapuram)<br />
• Sitapuram railway connection<br />
• Yerraguntla 2 nd line<br />
• Chennai grinding unit<br />
• ~25M$ investments planned over 5 years to further improve industrial performance :<br />
7M$ per annum in energy and fuels<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 213
Sustainable Development: a continuous commitment<br />
Relentless improvement of Safety results<br />
(zero frequency rate in 2009 and 2010)<br />
2 CDM projects under certification process<br />
(wet fly-ash)<br />
Alternative fuels project under execution in<br />
Yerraguntla<br />
Continuous support to nearby communities in<br />
schooling, medical assistance and<br />
infrastructures<br />
Potable water treatment plants covering 6<br />
villages surrounding our plants<br />
Green belt: 15,000 trees planted each year<br />
~30M$ investment planned over next 5<br />
years<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 214
Zuari Cement: from rookie to top brand position<br />
Primary Market spanning most of South India (30% of<br />
total India), with initial presence in Maharashtra (West)<br />
and Orissa (East) to expand further<br />
Traditional focus on “Trade” segment (60-70% of sales)<br />
to optimize operations<br />
Main cities Bangalore and Chennai as ZCL strongholds,<br />
taking advantage of Yerraguntla proximity<br />
Solid reputation in the market, aggressive brand-building<br />
and leverage on ITC innovative products (“TX” planned<br />
launch next year, followed by Transparent Cement)<br />
Innovative advertisement (eg. Web 2.0 platform) and<br />
customers retention schemes<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 215
ZCL performance: steady improvement in volumes<br />
and brand positioning ...<br />
3.600<br />
3.507<br />
3.100<br />
CY (Jan-Dec)<br />
2.925<br />
3.252 3.258<br />
3.240<br />
2.600<br />
2.100<br />
2.244 2.280<br />
2.657<br />
1.600<br />
1.693<br />
1.100<br />
600<br />
100<br />
-400<br />
Brand<br />
position<br />
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 H1 2010<br />
Sales - Cement+Clinker (kt)<br />
Price trend<br />
C+ B B+ A A/A+ A/A+<br />
A/A+<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 216
…supported by strong industrial performance<br />
has enhanced profitability…<br />
Turnover EBITDA (%)<br />
14000<br />
CY (Jan-Dec)<br />
70,0%<br />
12000<br />
60,0%<br />
10000<br />
50,0%<br />
8000<br />
40,0%<br />
6000<br />
30,0%<br />
4000<br />
20,0%<br />
2000<br />
10,0%<br />
0<br />
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 H1 2010<br />
Turnover (mINR) EBITDA %<br />
0,0%<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 217
…and has made ZCL a consistent top financial performer in<br />
the South<br />
EBITDA % evolution (*)<br />
CY (Jan-Dec) vs.. South market leaders<br />
24,8%<br />
33,9%<br />
34,0%<br />
28,9%<br />
38,2%<br />
37,6%<br />
36,3%<br />
34,7% 35,0%<br />
32,1%<br />
31,0%<br />
31,8%<br />
25,4%<br />
25,4%<br />
22,6%<br />
Madras Cements<br />
Zuari Cements<br />
21,1%<br />
20,3%<br />
11,9%<br />
9,0%<br />
11,7%<br />
10,4%<br />
15,2%<br />
12,7%<br />
12,2%<br />
India Cements<br />
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 H1 2010<br />
(*) Zuari: EBITDA adjusted for like to like comparison with competitors’ results<br />
Competitors: local GAAP (source: BSE)<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 218
ITC: ready to grab opportunities for rapid growth<br />
ITC is evaluating all the options (organic and inorganic ) to establish itself as a<br />
leading player in the South and adjacent markets.<br />
Greenfield<br />
~ 2 Mt clinker/y<br />
Mumbai<br />
20.9 M.inhab.<br />
Bangalore<br />
6.4 M.inhab.<br />
Sitapuram<br />
Grinding center (under evaluation)<br />
Cement plant<br />
Hyderabad<br />
6.2 M.inhab.<br />
Yerraguntla<br />
Chennai<br />
7.2 M.inhab.<br />
Grinding centre (under construction)<br />
New production facilities (under evaluation)<br />
Major Metropolitan Areas<br />
(Estimated Million inhabitants)<br />
Second line<br />
~ 2 Mt clinker/y<br />
Second line<br />
~ 2Mt clinker/y completed<br />
Grinding center<br />
1Mt/y under<br />
construction<br />
Organic<br />
ZCL has ready options for brownfield<br />
(Sitapuram) and green-field<br />
projects (North Karnataka)<br />
Localize production in grinding<br />
centers to allay logistic constraints<br />
(Orissa in the East, Kerala/ Tamil<br />
Nadu in the South , …)<br />
Non organic<br />
Despite recent fairly high priced<br />
acquisitions , we expect valuations /<br />
expectations to ease<br />
Plenty of room for further<br />
consolidation in South and<br />
other adjoining regions<br />
To diversify geographically, actively<br />
considering opportunities beyond<br />
current South markets<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 219
Welcome to Agadir<br />
Opening remarks<br />
Macroeconomic and construction cycle<br />
Key strategic guidelines and actions<br />
Focus on selected markets<br />
Medium term financials<br />
2010-2014 forecast<br />
Financial Policy<br />
Concluding remarks<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 220
<strong>Group</strong> sales volumes by business expected<br />
to grow by 3.7%-4.1%<br />
Volumes, 2009-14<br />
Ready-mix volumes sold<br />
Million Mc<br />
11.2<br />
4.1%<br />
13.7<br />
Cement and clinker volumes sold<br />
Million tons<br />
55.7<br />
3.7%<br />
66.8<br />
2009A 10 11 12 13 2014<br />
39 44<br />
CALCESTRUZZI not included<br />
Aggregates volumes sold<br />
Million tons<br />
2009A 10 11 12 13 2014<br />
55 57<br />
39.1<br />
4.0%<br />
47.5<br />
x<br />
CAGR<br />
1 Excluding export and eliminations<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Percentage of emerging<br />
countries on total 1<br />
2009A 10 11 12 13 2014<br />
8 14<br />
CALCESTRUZZI not included<br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 221
CapEx to support future significant growth<br />
4.0<br />
0.3 0.4<br />
0.4 0.4<br />
EURbn<br />
2.0<br />
1.0 1.1<br />
0.0<br />
1.3 1.2<br />
2005‐2009 2010‐2014<br />
Sustaining and other investments<br />
Strategy investments (w/o major)<br />
Major projects<br />
Performance investments<br />
3 EURbn; 10.7%<br />
on cumulated<br />
revenues<br />
3.1 EURbn; 10.9%<br />
on cumulated<br />
revenues<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 222
Major projects included in the industrial plan<br />
Bulgaria<br />
Devnya<br />
New Line<br />
2.9 mt/y<br />
cement capacity<br />
Efficiency<br />
Capacity<br />
Sustainability<br />
240 EURm<br />
2010 - 2012<br />
Egypt<br />
Wet Line<br />
Relocation<br />
Efficiency<br />
Capacity<br />
Sustainability<br />
200 EURm<br />
2012 - 2014<br />
Italy<br />
2 Kilns<br />
Revamping<br />
Efficiency<br />
Rationalization<br />
240 EURm<br />
2011 - 2014<br />
India<br />
Sitapuram<br />
New Line<br />
Capacity<br />
100 EURm<br />
2013 - 2014<br />
..... …….. …. EURm<br />
………<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 223
Deliver significant recovery in economic performance<br />
EBITDA, 2007-14 (EURm)<br />
1,800<br />
1,400<br />
Further growth options and<br />
capacity increase to be evaluated<br />
Market share increase<br />
in selected countries<br />
Market volumes recovery<br />
1,000<br />
EBITDA evolution with<br />
industrial efficiencies1<br />
2007<br />
08<br />
09<br />
10<br />
11<br />
12<br />
13<br />
2014<br />
Tight cost and cash<br />
management (e.g. working<br />
capital, etc.)<br />
Postponement of some major<br />
investments<br />
Focus on industrial efficiency<br />
Continue with renewal of industrial footprint<br />
through available cash flow (especially in the<br />
second part of the plan)<br />
Be ready to capture growth opportunities<br />
Commissioning of the<br />
renewed plants<br />
(Bulgaria, Italy, ……......Egypt)<br />
1 Including effect of basic assumptions on prices and costs<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 224
ITC <strong>Group</strong> evolution in cement capacity, revenues<br />
and EBITDA<br />
1996 2000 2004<br />
2008<br />
Industrial<br />
Plan 2014E<br />
Cement<br />
Capacity ( * )<br />
15%<br />
35%<br />
46%<br />
52%<br />
55%<br />
42 mt 55 mt 68 mt<br />
73 mt ~80mt<br />
11%<br />
14%<br />
16%<br />
Revenues<br />
36%<br />
43%<br />
(after<br />
eliminations)<br />
14%<br />
15%<br />
21%<br />
EBITDA<br />
recurring<br />
45%<br />
46%<br />
(*) Full capacity included for all shareholdings ≥ 33%<br />
Mature countries<br />
Emerging countries<br />
Further growth options<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 225
In summary, based on scenario assumptions and action plan<br />
Recovery of volume and profitability at pre-crisis level, but better operating<br />
leverage thanks to higher efficiency of industrial network…<br />
…cumulated cash flow from operating activities of ~4.4 EURbn<br />
over next 5 years …<br />
…total industrial investments over next 5 years at ~ 3<br />
EURbn, leaving room …<br />
… to take advantage of additional organic or<br />
non-organic growth opportunities and/or<br />
compensate for market downside risk<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 226
Welcome to Agadir<br />
Opening remarks<br />
Macroeconomic and construction cycle<br />
Key strategic guidelines and actions<br />
Focus on selected markets<br />
Medium term financials<br />
2010-2014 forecast<br />
Financial Policy<br />
Concluding remarks<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 227
Financial Management Policy<br />
Steady long term policy aiming to ensure support for the <strong>Group</strong>’s long term growth<br />
across cycles<br />
Balance Sheet<br />
Management<br />
Coherent with BBB/Baa2 mid-cycle rating<br />
Liquidity<br />
Management<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
228
Financial Management Policy<br />
Steady long term policy aiming to ensure support for the <strong>Group</strong>’s long term growth<br />
across cycles<br />
Dividend<br />
Policy<br />
Leverage /<br />
Gearing<br />
Balance Sheet<br />
Management<br />
Debt Structure<br />
Coherent with BBB/Baa2 mid-cycle rating<br />
Sources<br />
Diversification<br />
Liquidity<br />
Management<br />
Term Structure<br />
Liquidity<br />
Support<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
229
Financial Management Policy<br />
Key metrics targets at mid-cycle within BBB/Baa2 expected ranges<br />
Dividend<br />
Policy<br />
Leverage /<br />
Gearing<br />
Balance Sheet<br />
Net<br />
Management<br />
Debt / EBITDA<br />
Target 2009<br />
Debt Structure<br />
2.0x – 2.5x 2.5x<br />
Coherent with GCF BBB/Baa2 / Net Debt mid-cycle 30% rating – 35% 29.8%<br />
Sources<br />
Diversification<br />
Liquidity<br />
EBITDA Management / Net Interest<br />
Net Debt / Total Equity<br />
Liquidity<br />
Support<br />
> 6x 9.1x<br />
Term Structure<br />
< 70% 52%<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
230
Financial Management Policy<br />
Moderate dividend policy at holding level to ensure preservation of appropriate<br />
gearing and leverage<br />
Dividend<br />
Policy<br />
Leverage /<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> Payout GearingRatio 2004-2009<br />
Balance Sheet Normalized Debt payout Structure in the 25%<br />
75%<br />
0.36<br />
Management<br />
0.40 range at ITC level<br />
70%<br />
0.36<br />
0.33<br />
0.35 o Willing to significantly sacrifice<br />
65%<br />
0.30<br />
60%<br />
Coherent with BBB/Baa2 mid-cycle absolute rating DPS levels in lower part<br />
DPS (Ord)<br />
0.30<br />
55%<br />
of the cycle<br />
47%<br />
50%<br />
0.25<br />
Liquidity Payout ratios progressively<br />
45%<br />
0.18 Management<br />
0.20<br />
40%<br />
Sources<br />
increasing at lower levels of <strong>Group</strong><br />
Payout<br />
Term Structure<br />
35% Diversification<br />
25% 24% 23% 25% 38% 0.12 0.15 structure to maximize cash<br />
30%<br />
upstreaming, allowing for CapExrelated<br />
debt servicing<br />
25%<br />
0.10<br />
20%<br />
Liquidity<br />
0.05<br />
15%<br />
Support o Listed operating subsidiaries<br />
10%<br />
0.00<br />
payout in 60-80% range<br />
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
231
Financial Management Policy<br />
While our equity structure remains for the time being complex (two holdings),<br />
we are determined to remove a key constraint to debt management…<br />
Dividend<br />
Policy<br />
Leverage /<br />
Gearing<br />
Balance Sheet<br />
Significantly reduce structural subordination<br />
Management<br />
(to the 20-25% area)<br />
Debt Structure<br />
Coherent with BBB/Baa2 mid-cycle rating<br />
Sources<br />
Diversification<br />
Liquidity<br />
Management<br />
Term Structure<br />
Liquidity<br />
Support<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
232
Financial Management Policy<br />
… while reaffirming long term policy commitments to rating agencies and<br />
debt holders<br />
Maintain a long-dated debt maturity Dividend profile<br />
(>3 years at all times) Policy<br />
Ensure significant<br />
Leverage<br />
liquidity<br />
/<br />
back-up headroom<br />
(>2 years of<br />
Gearing<br />
debt maturities at Balance all times) Sheet<br />
Management<br />
Debt Structure<br />
Tap bond markets for approx 50% of total debt<br />
Coherent with BBB/Baa2 mid-cycle rating<br />
and maintain strong banking relationships<br />
Sources<br />
Diversification<br />
Liquidity<br />
Management<br />
Term Structure<br />
Liquidity<br />
Support<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
233
2010 Refinancing Plan<br />
Beginning in Q1 2010, we launched a global refinancing plan that will reorganize<br />
the <strong>Group</strong>’s debt structure with several goals<br />
Create synergies across<br />
holding company levels<br />
Remove structural<br />
subordination<br />
Reinforce funding<br />
sources diversification<br />
Reinforce liquidity<br />
backup headroom<br />
Mitigate ‘liquidity<br />
insurance’ cost increase<br />
Tap financial markets on largest available funding<br />
base – ITC to be the ‘market interface’ for the<br />
<strong>Group</strong>, funding CF on interco basis<br />
Historical two-tier approach to <strong>Group</strong> debt structure<br />
was a negative in rating analysis for both ITC and<br />
CF<br />
Provide bond market access to ITC – previously<br />
relying exclusively on bank funding while CF was<br />
the bond issuer<br />
Safely bridge the <strong>Group</strong> towards a more favourable<br />
phase of the business cycle<br />
Right-size unutilized liquidity back-up lines to offset<br />
higher fee levels due to new bank market<br />
conditions<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
234
2010 Refinancing Plan<br />
Execution of the plan is following a clearly laid out sequence that builds on each<br />
step’s success as precondition to the next<br />
<br />
ITC Inaugural EMTN Issue<br />
Refinance prepayment of CF USPP Notes<br />
Replenish liquidity backups by refinancing<br />
CF’s outstanding CP and part of ITC’s RCFs<br />
Q1<br />
<br />
ITC Syndicated Backup Facility<br />
Replace 2012 CF Syndicated Backup RCF<br />
and other maturing bilaterals<br />
Q3<br />
ITC Commercial Paper Program<br />
Replace CF Commercial Paper program<br />
Q4<br />
ITC refinancing of<br />
EURm500 CF 2017 Bond<br />
Further reduce CF third party debt,<br />
structural subordination<br />
TBD<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
235
Debt Profile before and after the Bond issue – <strong>Group</strong>wide view<br />
March bond issue was key first step in the plan, resulting in longer average debt<br />
life and reduced structural subordination at <strong>Group</strong> level<br />
Bonds outstanding were 40% of gross debt vs. 29% at 2009 year-end<br />
Gross Debt Breakdown by Borrower<br />
as of 31/12/2009<br />
Gross Debt Breakdown by Borrower<br />
as of 30/6/2010<br />
EURm<br />
3.500<br />
EURm<br />
3.500<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> ex CF <strong>Group</strong><br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> ex ITC Finance S.A. and CF <strong>Group</strong><br />
3.000<br />
Ciments Français <strong>Group</strong><br />
3.000<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> Finance S.A.<br />
2.500<br />
1.137<br />
3,165 ( * ) 64% of total<br />
Average Life: 4.1 years<br />
2.500<br />
1.059<br />
3,283 ( * ) 44% of total<br />
Ciments Français <strong>Group</strong><br />
Average Life: 5.2 years<br />
2.000<br />
1,020 193 477 445 217 813<br />
2.000<br />
772<br />
643 201 477 351 257 1,355<br />
1.500<br />
1.500<br />
55<br />
1.000<br />
500<br />
0<br />
2.028<br />
Gross<br />
Debt<br />
231<br />
70<br />
789<br />
743<br />
2 330 327<br />
176<br />
191<br />
147 118 41<br />
0-1yr 1-2yr 2-3yr 3-4yr 4-5yr 5+ yr<br />
1.000<br />
500<br />
0<br />
1.451<br />
Gross<br />
Debt<br />
761<br />
103<br />
12<br />
528 3 439 228 232<br />
539<br />
198<br />
38 123 25<br />
0-1yr 1-2yr 2-3yr 3-4yr 4-5yr 5+ yr<br />
(*) Excluding MTM of derivatives instruments<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
236
Liquidity Profile as is – <strong>Group</strong>wide view (as of June 30, 2010)<br />
Long term debt issuance has not addressed back-up lines maturities, mostly at CF<br />
Liquidity headroom nearing policy limit<br />
Unutilized Backup Lines Maturity Profile<br />
Liquidity Backup vs. Maturing Debt*<br />
EURm<br />
3.500<br />
3.000<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> ex ITC Finance S.A. and CF<br />
<strong>Group</strong><br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> Finance S.A.<br />
EURm<br />
3.500<br />
3.000<br />
Available Backup Lines<br />
Cumulated Matured Debt**<br />
Available Backup lines + Eurozone Cash<br />
2.500<br />
2.000<br />
2,456<br />
670<br />
Ciments Français <strong>Group</strong><br />
Average Life: 2.9 years<br />
2.500<br />
2.000<br />
2.6 years of<br />
liquidity headroom<br />
150<br />
511 800 330 195 420 200<br />
1.500<br />
1.500<br />
67% of total<br />
1.000<br />
1.000<br />
1.636<br />
500<br />
0<br />
100 800<br />
(<br />
*** ) 150<br />
100<br />
320<br />
261<br />
230 195 100 150<br />
50<br />
Total 0-1yr 1-2yr 2-3yr 3-4yr 4-5yr 5+ yr<br />
500<br />
0<br />
Y0 Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5 Y>5<br />
(*) EURm 373 of outstanding BdT classified on Balance Sheet as L/T debt are shown here as 0‐1 yr maturity following rating agency analysis; unutilised M/T credit lines are shown gross of the same amount<br />
(**) Excluding MTM of derivatives instruments (***) 1‐yr swing line, additional €150M still outstanding as CF line replaced in July<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
237
New ITCFIN Revolving Credit Facility<br />
On September 22, we entered into a new RCF providing a fundamental shift in our<br />
liquidity backup structure<br />
Thanks to an effective transaction process we believe optimal terms have been<br />
achieved, well inside preliminary indications received in April-June<br />
Borrower<br />
Guarantor<br />
Bookrunners<br />
Participants<br />
Tenor<br />
Amount<br />
Financial<br />
Covenant<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> Finance SA<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> SpA<br />
8 core relationships (club deal)<br />
8 additional core relationships<br />
5 years bullet<br />
EURm 920 vs. EURm 800 minimum target<br />
Consolidated Net Debt / EBITDA: max 3.75x<br />
Acquisition Event allows 12 month bump to max 4.0x<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
238
Liquidity Profile Proforma for New Transaction – <strong>Group</strong>wide view<br />
Thanks to the new facility and the cancellation of short-dated lines,<br />
80% of liquidity backup is now managed at top <strong>Group</strong> level with 3.9 years<br />
of ‘headroom’<br />
Unutilized Backup Lines Maturity Profile<br />
Liquidity Backup vs. Maturing Debt*<br />
EURm<br />
3.500<br />
3.000<br />
2.500<br />
2.000<br />
2,261<br />
545<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> ex ITC Finance S.A.<br />
and CF <strong>Group</strong><br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> Finance S.A.<br />
Ciments Français <strong>Group</strong><br />
Average Life: 4.3 years<br />
EURm<br />
3.500<br />
3.000<br />
2.500<br />
2.000<br />
Available Backup Lines<br />
Cumulated Matured Debt**<br />
Available Backup lines + Eurozone Cash<br />
3.9 years of<br />
liquidity<br />
headroom<br />
561 0 105 205 270 1,120<br />
1.500<br />
1.500<br />
1.000<br />
1.270<br />
20% of total<br />
150<br />
1.000<br />
500<br />
0<br />
100<br />
920<br />
500<br />
446<br />
350<br />
111<br />
(<br />
*** ) 270<br />
25 205<br />
0 80<br />
50<br />
0<br />
Total 0-1yr 1-2yr 2-3yr 3-4yr 4-5yr 5+ yr<br />
Y0 Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5 Y>5<br />
(*) EURm 373 of outstanding BdT classified on Balance Sheet as L/T debt are shown here as 0‐1 yr maturity following rating agency analysis; unutilised M/T credit lines are shown gross of the same amount<br />
(**) Excluding MTM of derivatives instruments (***) Proforma for new swing lines signed in July<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
239
Financial Management - Conclusions<br />
A pivotal year to reinforce our financial policies to prepare the ground for the<br />
execution of our industrial strategic plan<br />
Dividend<br />
Policy<br />
Leverage /<br />
Gearing<br />
Balance Sheet<br />
Management<br />
Debt Structure<br />
Coherent with BBB/Baa2 mid-cycle rating<br />
Sources<br />
Diversification<br />
Liquidity<br />
Management<br />
Term Structure<br />
Liquidity<br />
Support<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010<br />
240
Welcome to Agadir<br />
Opening remarks<br />
Macroeconomic and construction cycle<br />
Key strategic guidelines and actions<br />
Focus on selected markets<br />
Medium term financials<br />
Concluding remarks<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 241
In summary: focus on efficiency, sustainability and<br />
innovation in an uncertain and volatile scenario (1/2)<br />
Conservative macroeconomic scenario and demand recovery still uncertain<br />
and volatile in the medium term<br />
• Decoupling of growth pattern between Emerging markets (still growing) and<br />
Mature (delayed and slow recovery in most economies)<br />
• Price scenario still uncertain with increasing pressure in selected markets<br />
• Risk of a “double dip” not to be ruled out<br />
Key actions focused on delivering recovery of <strong>Group</strong>’s economic performance,<br />
enhancing environmental sustainability and generating financial resources for<br />
the next wave of development<br />
• Selected investments to upgrade plant technology and environmental<br />
sustainability coupled with continuous improvement of industrial efficiency<br />
• Research and Innovation to improve technologies and product portfolio<br />
• Marked improvement of <strong>Group</strong> organizational performance<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 242
In summary: selective approach to development<br />
opportunities with flexibility to withstand market downside<br />
risks (2/2)<br />
Selective approach to development options in light of the available cash<br />
• Industrial network restructuring in mature domestic markets (e.g.: Italy,<br />
Bulgaria, France initial steps)<br />
• Mix of options (expansion CapEx and bolt-on acquisitions)<br />
• To capture growth in domestic emerging markets (e.g.: Morocco, India, Egypt<br />
and China/Shaanxi)<br />
• To enter new emerging markets, also to capture synergies with current<br />
presence<br />
Ability to withstand the negative impact of a possible further worsening of the<br />
macroeconomic scenario and associated market downside risk by:<br />
• Continued tight cash management (maintenance CapEx and operating<br />
working capital)<br />
• Continuous alignment of current capacity and capacity expansion projects to<br />
the specific dynamics of each market<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 243
A concrete plan in a fragile planet<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 244
Disclaimer<br />
This presentation contains forward-looking statements regarding future events and future results of <strong>Italcementi</strong> and its<br />
affiliate Ciments Français that are based on the current expectations, estimates, forecasts and projections about the<br />
industries in which <strong>Italcementi</strong> and Ciments Français operate, and on the beliefs and assumptions of the management<br />
of <strong>Italcementi</strong> and Ciments Français. In particular, among other statements, certain statements with regard to<br />
management objectives, trends in results of operations, margins, costs, return on equity, risk management,<br />
competition, changes in business strategy and the acquisition and disposition of assets are forward-looking in nature.<br />
Words such as ‘expects’, ‘anticipates’, ‘scenario’, ‘outlook’, ‘targets’, ‘goals’, ‘projects’, ‘intends’, ‘plans’, ‘believes’,<br />
‘seeks’, ‘estimates’, as well as any variation of such words and similar expressions, are intended to identify such<br />
forward-looking statements. Those forward-looking statements are only assumptions and are subject to risks,<br />
uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict because they relate to events and depend upon<br />
circumstances that will occur in the future. Therefore, actual results of <strong>Italcementi</strong> or of its affiliate Ciments Français<br />
may differ materially and adversely from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statement and neither<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> nor Ciments Français does assume any liability with respect thereto. Factors that might cause or<br />
contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to, global economic conditions, the impact of competition, or<br />
political and economic developments in the countries in which <strong>Italcementi</strong> and Ciments Français operate. Any<br />
forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of <strong>Italcementi</strong> or of Ciments Français speak only as of the date they<br />
are made. Neither <strong>Italcementi</strong> nor Ciments Français does undertake to update forward-looking statements to reflect<br />
any change in their expectations with regard thereto, or any change in events, conditions or circumstances which any<br />
such statement is based on. The reader is advised to consult any further disclosure that may be made in documents<br />
filed by <strong>Italcementi</strong> with Borsa Italiana S.p.A (Italy) and by Ciments Français with the Autorité des Marchés Financiers<br />
(France).<br />
The Manager in Charge of preparing <strong>Italcementi</strong> SpA financial reports, Carlo Bianchini, hereby certifies pursuant to<br />
paragraph 2 of art. 154-bis of the Consolidated Law on Finance (Testo Unico della Finanza), that the accounting<br />
disclosures of this document are consistent with the accounting documents, ledgers and entries.<br />
This presentation has been prepared solely for the use at the meeting/Analyst Meeting with investors and analysts at<br />
the date shown below. Under no circumstances may this presentation be deemed to be an offer to sell, a solicitation<br />
to buy or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities of any kind in any jurisdiction where such an offer, solicitation or<br />
sale should follow any registration, qualification, notice, disclosure or application under the securities laws and<br />
regulations of any such jurisdiction.<br />
<strong>Italcementi</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Investor Event 24-25 September 2010 245