Urban Green Areas – their functions under a changing lifestyle of ...

Urban Green Areas – their functions under a changing lifestyle of ... Urban Green Areas – their functions under a changing lifestyle of ...

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6 Outlook and Recommendations Based on all the applied information sources in this chapter, an outlook for the future development of UGAs in inner Hanoi will be rendered. This prognosis refers to the hypotheses from the beginning. Afterwards, eight clear recommendations will be given derived from the experiences and results of this study. Firstly, it is necessary to give a short critical review regarding the information basis. 6.1 Limitation The data basis of this thesis has been very broad: from the study of secondary information sources to primary empirical surveys. Nevertheless, there are some constraints, which should be kept in mind. The main purpose has been to give a broad overview of most influencing factors concerning UGAs. The empirical information collection served mainly as a kind of stocktaking for a serious data basis further on. Not all surveys are statistically validated; they only give a first indication of the current situation. These surveys have to be improved by future surveys. For example: Face-to-face interviews with parks user were statistically significant based on a high number of respondents, but unfortunately missed the peak days of natural comfort which are defined by NGUYEN/REITER (2011:327); Visitor countings can only give a first orientation/impression about the real number of visitors per day due to huge personal efforts of countings; Online surveys have been a first attempt to use a new survey method, however the necessary motivation for participation (e.g. some benefits or awards) could not be given in the frame of this thesis. The focus of surveys lies on the current visitor structure. Further studies need to involve people who are not potential park users to gather information on why they do not like to visit a park. Despite these weaknesses, the information basis of this thesis delivers a broad and solid base for further studies, and gives a good orientation for urban planning. 6.2 Prognosis (outlook) As described in chapter 5, a sharply increasing demand for more UGAs in Hanoi will be unavoidable. Thus hypothesis-1 (see chapter 1.4) can be validated: 119

Yes, the demand of public UGAs in inner Hanoi will grow in the mid-term and increase strongly in the long-term! Justification: As shown in chapters 5.1 and 5.2.2, the quantitative increase of more people on one hand, and the changing demographic structure of the local population in inner-city Hanoi on the other hand will push the demand to a greater extent. “Going to parks” is a habit of Vietnamese people, thus it will not change in future. Increasing environmental awareness will also strengthen the demand. Moreover, it is to be expected that the fast-changing lifestyle of (young) urban inhabitants of Hanoi will continue these positive habits, resulting in a greater demand for the provision of urban green area for leisure activities as well as for relaxation and communication. The idea (or hope of some urban planners) that changing lifestyles will lead to more indoor activities is not realistic. Indeed, indoor activities will rise. But as the absolute amount of free time will also increase, so will the variety of activities. Thus, indoor activities alone will not be enough to fulfill the demand of the people. Hypothesis-2 concerns the whether inhabitants will demand more parks or not. This hypothesis can also be confirmed: Yes, the residents of Hanoi will have a stronger demand for more parks in the future! Justification: The people’s consciousness on civil rights will grow quickly. With globalization, awareness regarding livable cities has been enhanced by many information channels. There will be a rise in activity of vanguard groups promoting good habits among residents and NGOs advocacy groups. Social media enables people to communicate on a new level, very quickly and effectively. In turn, social media also changes the political behavior of the park users. Participation is a must of any public planning. As the population will test and train their new rights and possibilities in fields in which they are directly affected and the results (success) of intervention can be seen in the short-term, urban planning will become the main field of public discussion and public participation. Hypothesis-3 is about potential conflicts and the management of UGAs. As written in chapter 4.5, the level of disturbance inside parks seems to be at a very low level although when compared with survey results from city parks throughout the world, Hanoi parks already have a high level of dissatisfaction. This is the current situation. When quantitative usage increases, a higher level of disturbance can be expected and so the potential of possible conflicts will also grow. Observations verify that nowadays there are already 120

6 Outlook and Recommendations<br />

Based on all the applied information sources in this chapter, an outlook for the future<br />

development <strong>of</strong> UGAs in inner Hanoi will be rendered. This prognosis refers to the<br />

hypotheses from the beginning. Afterwards, eight clear recommendations will be given<br />

derived from the experiences and results <strong>of</strong> this study.<br />

Firstly, it is necessary to give a short critical review regarding the information basis.<br />

6.1 Limitation<br />

The data basis <strong>of</strong> this thesis has been very broad: from the study <strong>of</strong> secondary information<br />

sources to primary empirical surveys. Nevertheless, there are some constraints, which<br />

should be kept in mind.<br />

The main purpose has been to give a broad overview <strong>of</strong> most influencing factors<br />

concerning UGAs. The empirical information collection served mainly as a kind <strong>of</strong><br />

stocktaking for a serious data basis further on. Not all surveys are statistically validated;<br />

they only give a first indication <strong>of</strong> the current situation. These surveys have to be improved<br />

by future surveys.<br />

For example:<br />

Face-to-face interviews with parks user were statistically significant based on a high<br />

number <strong>of</strong> respondents, but unfortunately missed the peak days <strong>of</strong> natural comfort<br />

which are defined by NGUYEN/REITER (2011:327);<br />

Visitor countings can only give a first orientation/impression about the real number<br />

<strong>of</strong> visitors per day<strong>–</strong> due to huge personal efforts <strong>of</strong> countings;<br />

Online surveys have been a first attempt to use a new survey method, however the<br />

necessary motivation for participation (e.g. some benefits or awards) could not be<br />

given in the frame <strong>of</strong> this thesis.<br />

The focus <strong>of</strong> surveys lies on the current visitor structure. Further studies need to involve<br />

people who are not potential park users to gather information on why they do not like to<br />

visit a park.<br />

Despite these weaknesses, the information basis <strong>of</strong> this thesis delivers a broad and solid<br />

base for further studies, and gives a good orientation for urban planning.<br />

6.2 Prognosis (outlook)<br />

As described in chapter 5, a sharply increasing demand for more UGAs in Hanoi will be<br />

unavoidable. Thus hypothesis-1 (see chapter 1.4) can be validated:<br />

119

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