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Roadshow New York<br />

21-22 March 2013<br />

March 2013<br />

Experience growth.<br />

<strong>K+S</strong> Group


<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

Content<br />

A. Corporate Structure & Strategy 1<br />

B. Potash and Magnesium Products 4<br />

C. Salt 29<br />

D. Complementary Activities 39<br />

E. Financial Data 41<br />

F. Outlook 52<br />

G. <strong>K+S</strong> Share 56<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 1


<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

Why invest in <strong>K+S</strong>?<br />

<strong>K+S</strong>…<br />

• … has access to megatrends of growing population, increasing living standards and<br />

changing diets toward higher meat consumption in developing countries<br />

• … is active in the growing potash fertilizer market having an attractive consolidated supply<br />

structure and high barriers to entry. Potash does not have any substitutes<br />

• … is a unique strategic combination of potash and salt with considerable synergies on<br />

production side and by being complementary on sales side<br />

• … has leading positions in potash and magnesium (big volume player in Europe,<br />

No. 5 worldwide)<br />

• … has a substantial capacity growth potential with the Legacy Project (set up of a potash<br />

solution mine) in Canada<br />

• … is the global leader in salt with leading positions in Europe, South and North America and<br />

with diversification through the global footprint and various end markets<br />

• … has very strong financials<br />

• … has a responsible management team with strong operational background and track record<br />

of creating value<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 2


<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

Focus on two strong Pillars<br />

<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

Revenues 2012: € 3.9 billion (2011: € 4.0 billion)<br />

EBIT I 2012: € 808,5 million (2011: € 906.2<br />

Potash and Magnesium<br />

Products Business Unit<br />

Salt Business Unit<br />

1,422<br />

Revenue / EBIT I in € million<br />

1,867 2,134<br />

232 476<br />

740<br />

2,291<br />

774<br />

Revenue / EBIT I in € million<br />

1,729 1,710<br />

1,015<br />

140 238<br />

211<br />

1,485<br />

62<br />

Complementary Activities (Revenues 2012: € 154 million; EBIT 2012: € 21 million)<br />

Waste Management & Recycling<br />

Logistik<br />

Animal Hygiene Products<br />

Trading business (CFK)<br />

March 2013<br />

<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

3


<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

Content<br />

A. Corporate Structure & Strategy 1<br />

B. Potash and Magnesium Products 4<br />

C. Salt 29<br />

D. Complementary Activities 39<br />

E. Financial Data 41<br />

F. Outlook 52<br />

G. <strong>K+S</strong> Share 56<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 4


Potash and Magnesium Products<br />

What are the Demand Drivers for Fertilizers?<br />

• Despite decreasing availability of arable farm land, global production of agricultural products<br />

has to be increased:<br />

• steadily increasing world population<br />

• changing diets toward higher meat consumption (e.g. 1 kg beef = 8 kg animal feed)<br />

• increasing importance of renewable raw materials for the production of bio energy<br />

• Fertilizing with the key nutrients nitrogen (N), phosphate (P)<br />

and potash (K), but also increasingly magnesium (Mg) and sulphur (S)<br />

is necessary to cope with this challenge<br />

• Nutrients cannot be substituted and a balanced fertilization of all nutrients is<br />

necessary to achieve optimal yields. Emerging countries, in particular, should<br />

significantly increase the potash proportion of their total fertilizer application<br />

• Medium- and long-term increase in global fertilizer consumption (N, P and K)<br />

of 2% to 3% p.a. is expected (Source: IFA)<br />

Advantage:<br />

<strong>K+S</strong> offers its worldwide customers important nutrients<br />

in a market-oriented specialised product range<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 5


Potash and Magnesium Products<br />

Low Stocks-to-use Ratios of Agricultural Products<br />

Production and demand development vs. stocks-to-use ratio (Wheat and coarse grains)<br />

Production<br />

Demand<br />

Stocks-to-use<br />

45.0<br />

40.0<br />

35.0<br />

30.0<br />

25.0<br />

Critical Level<br />

20.0<br />

15.0<br />

• Over the past thirty years, annual global production has often fallen short of demand.<br />

• Despite reasonable harvest levels during the last ten years, these structural supply and<br />

demand gaps have resulted in historically low stocks-to-use ratios. This ratio relates available<br />

stocks to estimated demand of one year and therefore can be translated into the number of days the stocks<br />

would last without any new harvests. A stocks-to-use ratio of 20% can be translated into 73 days.<br />

• The production level for the agricultural year 2012/13 expected by the USDA will not be efficient to meet<br />

consumption, so that stocks-to-use ratio will remain very low (17,8% or 65 days).<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 6<br />

2011/12e<br />

Source: USDA; as of 8 March 2013<br />

e<br />

10.0<br />

5.0<br />

0.0


Potash and Magnesium Products<br />

Prices for Agricultural Products – Spot vs. Future<br />

Prices for Agricultural Products – spot<br />

Prices for Agricultural Products – future<br />

450%<br />

400%<br />

350%<br />

300%<br />

250%<br />

200%<br />

150%<br />

100%<br />

50%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 March’13 Dec.’13<br />

May.‘14<br />

Corn<br />

Wheat<br />

Soybeans<br />

Palmoil<br />

• High price level for agricultural products in<br />

2012, despite slight decreases towards<br />

the end of the year<br />

Source: Bloomberg; as of 18 March 2013<br />

• Future prices of agricultural products<br />

show that capital markets expect price<br />

levels to be attractive for the next two<br />

years<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 7


Potash and Magnesium Products<br />

How is the Profitability of Winter Wheat in Europe?<br />

2009<br />

2010<br />

2011<br />

2012<br />

2013e<br />

2.000<br />

Costs Sales<br />

1,213 964<br />

Costs Sales<br />

1,067 1,595<br />

Costs Sales<br />

1,116 1,405<br />

Costs Sales<br />

1,205 1,909<br />

Costs Sales<br />

1,196 1,632<br />

1.500<br />

1.000<br />

500<br />

0<br />

Risk of<br />

loss:<br />

-249 €<br />

Profit<br />

potential:<br />

528 €<br />

Profit<br />

potential :<br />

289 €<br />

Profit<br />

potential :<br />

704 €<br />

326<br />

248 242<br />

175 225<br />

82 82<br />

69 75 75<br />

101 101 101 121 121<br />

189 157<br />

157 162 162<br />

513 541 541 567 567<br />

Profit<br />

potential :<br />

436 €<br />

Wheat price: 123 €/t Wheat price: 220 €/t Wheat price: 199 €/t Wheat price: 258 €/t Wheat price: 220 €/t<br />

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013e<br />

Yield: 7.84 t/ha Yield: 7.25 t/ha Yield: 7.06 t/ha Yield: 7.40 t/ha Yield: 7.42 t/ha<br />

Year<br />

2009<br />

2010<br />

2011<br />

2012<br />

2013e<br />

Fertilizer share of total costs<br />

27% fertilizer costs (4% K)<br />

16% fertilizer costs (3% K)<br />

20% fertilizer costs (2% K)<br />

21% fertilizer costs (3% K)<br />

20% fertilizer costs (3% K)<br />

Fertilization<br />

Other costs<br />

(e.g. insurance, water)<br />

Seeds/plants<br />

Plant protection agents<br />

Variable costs<br />

Fixed costs (inkl. lease)<br />

March 2013<br />

The current future curve of the wheat price should enable the farmer to realize a profit potential of around<br />

€ 700 per hectare (excl. subsidies) in 2012 and around € 440 in 2013e. This is a high level compared to the<br />

last years; the application of fertilizers is profitable.<br />

Assumptions: without agricultural subsidies, incl. interest expenses for pre-financing costs, 100% use of mineral fertilizers (no organic fertilizing), straw stays in the field (straw fertilizing); fertilizer<br />

use for 8 t/ha yield: 80 kg/ha MOP, 536 kg/ha KAS and 139 kg/ha TSP; for lower yields, lower fertilizer requirement adjusted accordingly; Sources: costs (20 ha) according to Kuratorium für<br />

Technik und Bauwesen in der Landwirtschaft e. V. (KTBL) for winter wheat – bread quality, rotating crop growing system; yield according to statistical year book for food nutrition, agriculture and<br />

forestry 2011 and 2012, 2013e: 10-year average; nutrient extractions according to Guidelines for Fertilizer Use in Germany; fertilizer prices taken from LAND & Forst at the point of the upcoming<br />

fertilization (general fertilization with potash and phosphate in September; nitrogen fertilization in September, February, April and June); wheat price (bread quality B) according to LAND & Forst<br />

(average delivery from the yard from July to February), 2012e and 2013e: Euronext price less transportation cost assumption.<br />

<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

8


Potash and Magnesium Products<br />

How is the Supplier Structure on the Potash Market?<br />

Figures in %<br />

32.8 32.9<br />

32.0<br />

30.7 30.4<br />

2009 2010 2011<br />

23.0<br />

13.9<br />

11.2<br />

9.9<br />

9.5<br />

8.6<br />

9.5<br />

8.6<br />

8.5<br />

9.3<br />

3.1<br />

3.6<br />

3.7<br />

2.7<br />

2.6<br />

2.6<br />

4.7<br />

3.2<br />

3.0<br />

BPC<br />

• Belaruskali<br />

• Uralkali/<br />

Silvinit<br />

Canpotex<br />

• Potash<br />

Corp<br />

• Mosaic<br />

• Agrium<br />

<strong>K+S</strong><br />

ICL<br />

• DSW<br />

• CPL<br />

• Iberpotash<br />

participation<br />

Sales volumes in metric tonnes<br />

of Potash<br />

Sources: IFA, <strong>K+S</strong><br />

Corp. in ICL<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 9<br />

APC<br />

participation<br />

of Potash<br />

Corp.<br />

SQM<br />

participation<br />

of Potash<br />

Corp.<br />

China<br />

• more<br />

than 20<br />

producers<br />

Others<br />

• Intrepid<br />

• Vale<br />

• Compass


Potash and Magnesium Products<br />

What are the major Production and Application Areas?<br />

Million tonnes<br />

20.1<br />

19.7<br />

28.5<br />

10.2<br />

7.1 5.9<br />

4.4<br />

10.8<br />

10.5<br />

2.2<br />

0.7<br />

Incl. sulphate of potash<br />

and low-grade potash<br />

Sources: IFA, <strong>K+S</strong><br />

World potash production:<br />

2011: 59.9 million t<br />

2010: 55.5 million t<br />

2009: 33.7 million t<br />

World potash sales:<br />

2011: 60.2 million t<br />

2010: 58.3 million t<br />

2009: 31.0 million t<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 10


Potash and Magnesium Products<br />

Where does Demand Growth come from?<br />

World<br />

Developed markets<br />

40.000<br />

32.000<br />

20.000<br />

16.000<br />

North America, Western/Central Europe, Oceania<br />

1.000 t K 2 O<br />

24.000<br />

16.000<br />

1.000 t K 2 O<br />

12.000<br />

8.000<br />

8.000<br />

4.000<br />

0<br />

80/81 84/ 88/ 92/ 96/ 00/ 04/ 08/ 12/f<br />

0<br />

80/81 84/ 88/ 92/ 96/ 00/ 04/ 08/ 12/f<br />

Transitional markets<br />

Emerging markets<br />

10.000<br />

Eastern Europe and Central Asia<br />

24.000<br />

Latin America, Asia, Africa<br />

8.000<br />

20.000<br />

1.000 t K 2 O<br />

6.000<br />

4.000<br />

2.000<br />

1.000 t K 2 O<br />

16.000<br />

12.000<br />

8.000<br />

4.000<br />

0<br />

0<br />

80/81 84/ 88/ 92/ 96/ 00/ 04/ 08/ 12/f<br />

80/81 84/ 88/ 92/ 96/ 00/ 04/ 08/ 12/f<br />

Source: IFA<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 11


Potash and Magnesium Products<br />

How much Potash is consumed in each Region?<br />

Million tonnes<br />

2013e<br />

2012e<br />

2011<br />

2010<br />

2009<br />

2008<br />

Western Europe<br />

5.8<br />

5.2<br />

5.9<br />

6.7<br />

2.7<br />

6.3<br />

Central Europe / FSU<br />

5.0<br />

4.8<br />

4.4<br />

4.9<br />

3.1<br />

5.0<br />

Africa<br />

0.8<br />

0.7<br />

0.7<br />

0.8<br />

0.3<br />

0.6<br />

North America<br />

10.3<br />

8.5<br />

10.2<br />

10.8<br />

4.1<br />

10.2<br />

Latin America<br />

10.5<br />

10.5<br />

10.5<br />

9.7<br />

6.0<br />

8.6<br />

Asia<br />

26.0<br />

23.9<br />

28.0<br />

24.9<br />

14.6<br />

23.2<br />

- thereof China<br />

~ 13<br />

12.2<br />

12.7<br />

10.2<br />

5.4<br />

8.8<br />

- thereof India<br />

~ 4<br />

3.2<br />

5.0<br />

6.1<br />

5.5<br />

6.2<br />

Oceania<br />

0.6<br />

0.4<br />

0.5<br />

0.5<br />

0.2<br />

0.6<br />

World total<br />

~ 59<br />

~ 54<br />

60.2<br />

58.3<br />

31.0<br />

54.5<br />

● In 2012, worldwide potash sales volumes amounted to around 54 million tonnes with declines<br />

especially in China, India and the US.<br />

● In 2013, we expect worldwide potash sales volumes of about 59 million tonnes.<br />

Incl. potassium sulphate and potash grades with lower K 2 O content of around 3 million tonnes eff;<br />

Sources: IFA, <strong>K+S</strong><br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 12


Potash and Magnesium Products<br />

Are new Potash Capacities needed?<br />

Million tonnes<br />

Greenfield projects<br />

Brownfield projects<br />

Available capacity<br />

Production<br />

Sales<br />

China<br />

Financial<br />

crisis<br />

Reliability of forecast<br />

quality questionable<br />

India<br />

68<br />

●<br />

●<br />

Long-term demand growth<br />

of 3 to 5% p.a.<br />

The available capacities<br />

will not be sufficient.<br />

Soviet Union<br />

~59<br />

64<br />

●<br />

IFA data (basis for capacity<br />

expansion forecast) showed<br />

poor forecast quality in the<br />

past (due to project<br />

postponements and delays).<br />

●<br />

Brownfield projects shown<br />

are all in the hands of existing<br />

producers, who proved to<br />

consistently match supply with<br />

market demand.<br />

1988 ’93 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ‘13<br />

‘14 ‘15 ‘16<br />

(e)<br />

Incl. potassium sulphate and potash grades with lower K 2 O content of around 3 million tonnes eff;<br />

Capacity development 2011-2016 based on IFA supply capability data.<br />

Sources: IFA, <strong>K+S</strong><br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 13


Potash and Magnesium Products<br />

How Reliable is the Forecast Quality of Capacities?<br />

Million tonnes<br />

85<br />

IFA Supply Capability Data 2009<br />

IFA Supply Capability Data 2012<br />

80<br />

Year 2013<br />

Forecast 2009 vs.<br />

2012:<br />

estimate reduction of<br />

> 6 million tonnes<br />

75<br />

70<br />

65<br />

Year 2012<br />

Forecast 2009 vs.<br />

2012:<br />

estimate reduction of<br />

> 7 million tonnes<br />

60<br />

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015<br />

Incl. potassium sulphate and potash grades with lower K 2 O content of around 3 million tonnes eff;<br />

Capacity development 2011-2015 based on IFA supply capability data.<br />

Sources: IFA, <strong>K+S</strong><br />

March 2013<br />

<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

14


Potash and Magnesium Products<br />

How did MOP Prices develop?<br />

US$/t<br />

Northwest-Europe (standard, fob)<br />

US$/t<br />

Overseas (cfr)<br />

Brazil<br />

(granular)<br />

*<br />

South-East Asia<br />

(SEA, standard)<br />

411<br />

445-455<br />

2003 ‘04 ‘05 ‘06 ‘07 ‘08 ‘09 ‘10 ‘11 ‘12 2013 2003 ‘04 ‘05 ‘06 ‘07 ‘08 ‘09 ‘10 ‘11 ‘12 2013<br />

● Due to the tight demand-supply-situation, potash prices more than doubled between 2004 and 2007<br />

●<br />

●<br />

●<br />

The strong and in part speculatively driven raw materials boom which was observable worldwide until mid-2008<br />

also had an effect in significant price increases to over 800 US$/tonne of granulated potassium chloride<br />

The collapse in agricultural prices as a consequence of the financial crisis also led to a decrease in potash prices;<br />

a price level of approximately 400 US$/tonne of granulated potassium chloride was established at the beginning of<br />

2010. This increased gradually as part of an improving agricultural environment and thus took into account the fact<br />

that time-consuming and capital-intensive greenfield projects for the creation of new capacities can only be realised<br />

economically with a reasonable potash price level<br />

Pricing pressure at the end of 2012 due to the lack of contracts with China and India, followed by a stabilisation at<br />

the beginning of 2013 after the conclusion of new contracts<br />

March 2013 * Until end of September 2010 MOP standard; Source: FMB<br />

<strong>K+S</strong> Group 15


Potash and Magnesium Products<br />

How is the Business Unit performing?<br />

Revenues (€ billion) EBIT (€ million)<br />

Highlights 2012<br />

0.54<br />

0.47<br />

2.13<br />

2.29<br />

Q4/11 Q4/12 FY/11 FY/12<br />

1.9<br />

2.1<br />

2.3<br />

2010 2011 2012<br />

181<br />

476<br />

166<br />

740<br />

774<br />

Q4/11 Q4/12 FY/11 FY/12<br />

740 774<br />

2010 2011 2012<br />

• After there was still cautious early stocking-up of<br />

fertilizers at the start of the year, the demand<br />

developed positively during Q2.<br />

• In Q3/12, due to the attractive prices for agricultural<br />

raw materials, demand was at a good level for<br />

agricultural raw materials demand was at a good level<br />

in the markets relevant for <strong>K+S</strong>. However, against the<br />

backdrop of still outstanding contract conclusions in<br />

China and India, international prices for potassium<br />

chloride came under pressure in the fourth quarter, but<br />

were in 2012 on average above those of 2011.<br />

Revenue split 2012 Outlook 2013*<br />

Industrial<br />

products<br />

12%<br />

Fertilizer<br />

specialities 37%<br />

By product group<br />

Potassium<br />

chloride 51%<br />

Asia<br />

20%<br />

By region<br />

South<br />

America<br />

23%<br />

North America<br />

3%<br />

Africa, Oceania<br />

5%<br />

Europe<br />

49%<br />

• Sales volumes expected at about 7 million t<br />

(2012: 6.95 million t)<br />

• Average price level expected below that of 2012<br />

• On this basis, revenues should decrease. With<br />

costs expected to be stable, operating earnings<br />

should also be below the level of 2011.<br />

March 2013 *<br />

Outlook as of 27 February 2013<br />

<strong>K+S</strong> Group 16


Potash and Magnesium Products<br />

How is the Product Portfolio structured?<br />

Non-potash-containing products<br />

2011: 1.21 million tonnes<br />

(2010: 1.24)<br />

● Fertilizer specialities<br />

- ESTA ® Kieserite<br />

- EPSO ® Product family<br />

● Industrial products<br />

- Magnesium sulphate<br />

- Magnesium chloride<br />

Fertilizer<br />

specialities<br />

2.96<br />

Industrial<br />

products<br />

0.74<br />

Potassium<br />

chloride<br />

3.25<br />

Potash-containing products<br />

2011: 5.75 million tonnes<br />

(2010: 5.70)<br />

● Potassium chloride<br />

- MOP - Standard<br />

- MOP - Granular<br />

● Fertilizer specialities<br />

- Potassium sulphate<br />

- Patentkali ®<br />

- Korn-Kali ® products<br />

- Magnesia-Kainit ®<br />

● Industrial products<br />

- Potassium chloride, 97% - 99% KCl<br />

- Potassium sulphate, > 95% K 2 SO 4<br />

- High purity salts<br />

Broad and less cyclical product portfolio allows flexible reaction on fluctuation in demand<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 17


Potash and Magnesium Products<br />

How is the Cost Structure?<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013e<br />

÷<br />

–<br />

=<br />

=<br />

Revenues (€ million) 2,397.4 1,421.7 1,867.0 2,133.6 2,290.6 -<br />

EBIT (€ million) 1,203.2 231.7 475.9 739.5 773.9 -<br />

Costs (€ million) 1,194.2 1,190.0 1,391.1 1,394.1 1,516.7 ○<br />

thereof personnel (€ million) 465 440 506 535 550 ○<br />

thereof freight (€ million) 227 155 264 268 280 ○<br />

thereof freight (€/t) 33 36 37 39 40 ○<br />

thereof material (€ million) 265 183 229 249 257 ○<br />

thereof energy (€ million) 186 144 172 195 230 -<br />

thereof depreciation (€ million) 83 86 91 94 96 +<br />

thereof other (€ million) (32) 182 129 53 104 ○<br />

Sales Volumes (million t) 6.99 4.35 7.06 6.94 6.95 ○<br />

Total Unit Costs (€/t) 170.8 273.6 197.0 200.9 218.2 ○<br />

• In 2012, average unit costs rose tangibly. In 2013 in total, we expect a largely stable cost level.<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 18


Potash and Magnesium Products<br />

What are major Destinations for <strong>K+S</strong>?<br />

> 1%<br />

Sales volumes > 5%<br />

Sales volumes by region<br />

2012 2011<br />

Europe 51% 54%<br />

- of which: Germany 15% 16%<br />

North America 2% 2%<br />

South America 21% 18%<br />

Asia 22% 22%<br />

Africa, Oceania 4% 4%<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 19


Potash and Magnesium Products<br />

Are there Price Differences in the Product Portfolio?<br />

€/t<br />

700<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

<strong>K+S</strong> Ø-Portfolio-Price vs. MOP gran. Europe<br />

<strong>K+S</strong> Ø-Portfolio Price<br />

MOP gran. Europe<br />

∆<br />

~10-20%<br />

€/t<br />

900<br />

800<br />

700<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

SOP Ø-Price vs. MOP gran. Europe<br />

SOP Ø-Price Europe (std.and gran.)<br />

MOP gran.<br />

Europe<br />

100<br />

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

100<br />

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

€/t<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

<strong>K+S</strong> Industrial Ø-Price vs. MOP gran. Europe<br />

<strong>K+S</strong> Ø Industrial Portfolio Price<br />

MOP gran. Europe<br />

<strong>K+S</strong> non potash specialities Industr. vs. Fertiliz.<br />

€/t<br />

450<br />

400<br />

350<br />

300<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

Industrial Magnesium Comp.<br />

Fertilizer Magnesium Comp.<br />

100<br />

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

March 2013 Sources: <strong>K+S</strong>, FMB International Price Guide, Green Markets, Fertilizer Europe<br />

<strong>K+S</strong> Group 20<br />

0


Legacy Project<br />

What Relevance do the Activities in Canada have?<br />

• With Potash One, <strong>K+S</strong> has acquired<br />

several potash exploration permits in<br />

Saskatchewan/Canada (incl. the<br />

Legacy Project and its feasibility<br />

study).<br />

Southern area of the potash belt of Saskatchewan<br />

(Schematic Diagram)<br />

• The total purchase price was<br />

€ 322.5 million (CAD 4.50 per share).<br />

• The Legacy Project is an advanced<br />

greenfield project for which an<br />

environmental permit has been granted.<br />

• Potash One is now fully incorporated<br />

in <strong>K+S</strong> Potash Canada GP.<br />

Two more potash exploration licences close to Esterhazy<br />

Reserves and Resources<br />

in mln. t KCl % KCl % K 2<br />

O<br />

Reserves (Proven and Probable Reserves) Legacy Project area 160 29 18<br />

Resources (Inferred and Indicated Resources) Legacy Project area + KLSA 009 981 27 17<br />

The reserves figures were determined in accordance with the requirements of the Canadian standard Nl 43-101 of the “Canadian Securities Regulators”.<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 21


Legacy Project<br />

How is the Ramp-up of the Legacy Project planned?<br />

Production capacity<br />

in mln. t KCl/a<br />

4.0<br />

3.5<br />

3.0<br />

2.5<br />

2.0<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

0.0<br />

Phase 2 – Development of secondary mining<br />

Phase 1 – Primary mining<br />

Outlook for Phase 3 –<br />

Expansion of secondary mining<br />

2011'12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22 '23 '24 '25 '26 '27 '28 '29 '30 '31 '32 '33 '34 '35<br />

1.14<br />

0.86<br />

2.00<br />

Phase 1<br />

(Implementation: 2011 to 2017)<br />

Phase 2<br />

(Implementation: 2016 to 2023)<br />

Outlook for Phase 3<br />

(Implementation: 2023 to 2034)<br />

● Development of infrastructure mainly for Phases 1 + 2, preparations for Phase 3<br />

● Capacity development + ramp-up of production to 2.0 mln. t KCl/a through primary mining<br />

● Capacity expansion and ramp-up of production by 0.86 to 2.86 mln. t KCl/a<br />

through secondary mining (share of secondary mining in total capacity: 30%)<br />

● Increase in share of secondary mining in total capacity to 50%<br />

● Potential expansion of annual capacity by 1.14 to 4.0 mln. t KCl/a<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 22


Legacy Project<br />

How will the Course of Capex be?<br />

Phase 1<br />

Phase 2<br />

Phase 3<br />

Activity<br />

Primary mining: Development of<br />

first caverns and construction<br />

of production and<br />

infrastructure facilities<br />

Development of secondary mining,<br />

expansion of production and<br />

logistics facilities<br />

Further expansion of secondary<br />

mining, construction of necessary<br />

additional production and logistics<br />

facilities<br />

Production<br />

capacity after<br />

implementation<br />

as of 2017:<br />

2.00 million tonnes KCl/a<br />

as of 2023:<br />

2.86 million tonnes KCl/a<br />

probably as of 2034:<br />

4.00 million tonnes KCl/a<br />

Capex 2011 to 2016: CAD 2.90 billion* 2016 to 2022: CAD 0.35 billion* 2023 to 2034: ~ CAD 0.70 billion<br />

Diagram of<br />

course of<br />

investment<br />

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022<br />

March 2013 * Approved by the Supervisory Board<br />

<strong>K+S</strong> Group 23


Legacy Project<br />

What will be the specific Cash Costs*?<br />

CAD/tonne<br />

175<br />

150<br />

125<br />

100<br />

75<br />

50<br />

25<br />

~ 165 CAD/tonne<br />

Average<br />

logistic<br />

costs<br />

Cash costs of<br />

production:<br />

~ 95 CAD/tonne<br />

● The cash costs of production will be lower for<br />

Legacy than in our plants in Germany<br />

● The high share of variable cost components<br />

(incl. freight) makes possible greater flexibility in<br />

relation to capacity utilisation:<br />

Legacy: 2/3 variable; 1/3 fixed<br />

Germany: 1/3 variable; 2/3 fixed<br />

● For mining taxes/royalties, an additional approx.<br />

CAD 70/tonne are to be recognised on the basis<br />

of a potash price of US$ 450/tonne ex works<br />

● Over the long term, depreciation and<br />

amortisation will total about CAD 30/tonne after<br />

initially higher values at the start of production<br />

0<br />

* At full utilisation of 2.86 million tonnes KCl/a (Phases 1+2)<br />

Assumptions: gas price: CAD 4.30/MMBtu; exchange rate: 1.02 CAD/USD; no increase in prices and costs after the construction phase<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 24


Legacy Project<br />

What Potash Price is required as a Minimum for<br />

the Profitability of the Legacy Project?<br />

The Legacy Project requires a potash price of between USD 400 and 450/tonne MOP<br />

gran. including freight in order to achieve a return on capital employed (ROCE) of<br />

12% before taxes<br />

Parameters like the level of investment, gas price or freight rates could move respectively as follows, without<br />

jeopardising the planned target return or the range mentioned above:<br />

Parameter Basis Tolerance<br />

Capex (Phases 1 + 2) CAD 3.25 billion ± 15%<br />

Gas price (Henry Hub Natural Gas Price) CAD 4.30/MMBtu ± 50%<br />

Average freight rates ~ CAD 70/tonne ± 30%<br />

The Legacy Project is one of the world’s economically most attractive greenfield<br />

projects. The relatively favourable minimum price for this project cannot simply be<br />

transferred to other greenfield projects; higher minimum prices are to be expected.<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 25


Legacy Project<br />

How will Earnings Develop in the coming Years?<br />

Legacy Project Phases 1 + 2<br />

Turnaround already in<br />

2016/2017 with the<br />

achievement of full ramp-up of<br />

phase 1 (2 mln. t KCl/a)<br />

EBITDA<br />

EBIT<br />

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025<br />

EBIT in 2015 expected to be<br />

burdened due to first<br />

depreciation charges<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 26


Legacy Project<br />

Why is the Legacy Project an important<br />

strategic step?<br />

Growth<br />

Production Costs<br />

Capacity and<br />

Mine Life<br />

Diversification<br />

Specialisation<br />

Flexibility /<br />

Expansion Potential<br />

• Adding substantial new capacities to the Potash and Magnesium Products<br />

business segment in a relatively short timeframe to be able to participate in the<br />

growth of the world potash market<br />

• Improvement and flexibilisation of average cash costs of production in the Potash<br />

and Magnesium Products business segment<br />

• Substantial addition of annual capacity by up to 4 million tonnes in the long run<br />

• Substantial extension of average mine life<br />

• <strong>K+S</strong> will be the potash producer with the widest product portfolio as well as one of<br />

the most diversified production networks and regional mix; share of sales volumes in<br />

the growth markets South America and Asia will increase<br />

• Continuation of the specialisation strategy by offering high-quality industrial<br />

products from Canada<br />

• Good scalability of capacity utilisation according to market development<br />

• Improved flexibility due to higher share of variable costs<br />

• Further expansion potential beyond the Legacy Project<br />

With a potash price of between USD 400 and 450/tonne MOP gran. including freight, the project already<br />

achieves a ROCE of 12% and an attractive premium on our cost of capital. The Legacy Project is thus<br />

one of the world’s economically most attractive greenfield projects<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 27


Legacy Project<br />

How is the Project progressing?<br />

• Further infrastructure measures in the areas of<br />

water supply, electricity and road construction, as<br />

well as the completion of first drilling activities, were<br />

undertaken in 2012.<br />

• About 130 employees from different countries are<br />

currently working at <strong>K+S</strong> Potash Canada GP on the<br />

construction of the new site. By 2023, more than<br />

300 jobs should be created.<br />

• In 2012, we spent an investment volume of € 143<br />

million, which was used for infrastructure measures<br />

and water supply, as well as engineering work and<br />

drilling.<br />

• In 2013, the investment level should reach<br />

CAD 830 million* (ABOUT € 625 million) and be<br />

used for drilling and the start of the factory’s<br />

construction.<br />

March 2013 * There may still be considerable shifts in the allocation of expenditure to the investment periods<br />

<strong>K+S</strong> Group 28


<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

Content<br />

A. Corporate Structure & Strategy 1<br />

B. Potash and Magnesium Products 4<br />

C. Salt 29<br />

D. Complementary Activities 39<br />

E. Financial Data 41<br />

F. Outlook 52<br />

G. <strong>K+S</strong> Share 56<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 29


Salt<br />

What are the Demand Drivers for Salt?<br />

• Diverse and stable salt end uses driving continuous growth<br />

• Essential mineral without economically viable substitutes<br />

• De-icing salt is used for public safety<br />

• Consumption driven by winter weather<br />

• Most economic and environmentally most friendly alternative<br />

• Consumer / food grade salt consumption benefits from population growth and increasing<br />

standards of living<br />

• Industrial/chemical salt consumption driven by economic growth and industrialisation<br />

• Rapidly industrialising regions experience high growth rates<br />

• Salt products typically represent only a small portion of costs of production<br />

• Regional markets due to high portion of logistics costs<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 30


Salt<br />

How did Salt Production and Consumption develop?<br />

Million tonnes<br />

North America<br />

67 68 70<br />

65<br />

Europe<br />

70<br />

60 63<br />

74<br />

58<br />

92<br />

Asia<br />

72<br />

108<br />

Ø 1.6% Ø 1.6%<br />

Ø 0.1% Ø 0.7%<br />

Production<br />

Latin America<br />

Consumption<br />

Ø 3.2% Ø 2.9%<br />

22<br />

16 12 16<br />

Production Consumption<br />

Production<br />

Ø 4.1% Ø 7.2%<br />

4 6 4 8<br />

Production<br />

Africa<br />

Consumption<br />

Consumption<br />

7.2% 8.8%<br />

3 6 3 7<br />

Production<br />

Middle East<br />

Consumption<br />

Ø 4.7% Ø 4.1%<br />

Production<br />

Ø 2.9% Ø 7.2%<br />

9<br />

12<br />

Production<br />

Consumption<br />

Oceania<br />

1<br />

2<br />

Consumption<br />

Source: <strong>K+S</strong>, USGS, Roskill 2011<br />

Global Salt Production:<br />

(Ø 2.4% p.a.)<br />

2010: 276 million t<br />

2000: 217 million t<br />

Global Salt Consumption<br />

(Ø 2.6% p.a.)<br />

2010: 285 million t<br />

2000: 220 million t<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 31


Salt<br />

What are the main Salt Suppliers Worldwide?<br />

Capacity in million tonnes (crystallised salt and salt in brine; excl. captive use)<br />

3.5<br />

13.1<br />

14.0<br />

13.4<br />

9.7<br />

15.0<br />

Cargill<br />

Compass<br />

7.5<br />

Artyomsol<br />

5.1<br />

Salins<br />

Südsalz<br />

4.1<br />

Akzo<br />

3.7<br />

China National Salt<br />

7.0<br />

ESSA<br />

10.3<br />

7.0<br />

Dampier<br />

3.8<br />

Mitsui<br />

Sources: Roskill 2011, <strong>K+S</strong><br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 32


Salt<br />

How is the Business Unit performing?<br />

Revenues (€ billion) EBIT (€ million)<br />

Highlights 2012<br />

0.44<br />

0.42<br />

1.71<br />

1.48<br />

Q4/11 Q4/12 FY/11 FY/12<br />

211<br />

48 62<br />

23<br />

Q4/11 Q4/12 FY/11 FY/12<br />

• Europe: As a result of the mild and dry weather<br />

conditions at the beginning of the year, the demand<br />

for de-icing salt was unusually weak, particularly<br />

compared to the above-average year 2011, but also<br />

compared to the long-term average sales volume.<br />

1.7 1.7<br />

1.5<br />

238<br />

211<br />

62<br />

2010 2011 2012 2010 2011 2012<br />

• North-America: On the US East Coast, too, the<br />

demand was very weak due to the unusually mild<br />

winter, and it was below average in Canada. Most<br />

producers responded to high inventories by cutting<br />

back production.<br />

De-icing salt<br />

30%<br />

Salt for<br />

chemical use 8%<br />

Revenue split 2012 Outlook 2012*<br />

By product group By region • As a result of the normalisation of the de-icing salt<br />

Other<br />

South America Asia<br />

5%<br />

business, a significant increase of sales volumes is<br />

10% 1%<br />

expected.<br />

Food grade<br />

salt 23%<br />

Industrial salt<br />

34%<br />

North America<br />

64%<br />

Europe<br />

25%<br />

• Sales volume forecast of a good 22 million tonnes of<br />

crystallised salt (2012: 17.6 million tonnes).<br />

• Increase in revenues and operating earnings<br />

compared to below-average 2012 expected.<br />

March 2013 * Outlook statement as of 6 November 2012<br />

<strong>K+S</strong> Group 33


Salt<br />

How did <strong>K+S</strong> Execute its Salt Strategy?<br />

5<br />

Acquired Morton Salt,<br />

the largest salt producer<br />

in North America<br />

<strong>K+S</strong><br />

4<br />

Morton<br />

Salt<br />

Acquired No.1 salt<br />

producer in South<br />

America through SPL<br />

acquisition<br />

- Market entry into U.S.<br />

and Latin America<br />

- Expansion potential<br />

to Asia<br />

SPL<br />

1<br />

2<br />

3<br />

Originally, salt<br />

business with high<br />

exposure to de-icing<br />

and industrial salt in<br />

Europe<br />

Added salt for chemical<br />

use through the acquisition<br />

of Frisia Zout (NL)<br />

Created No.1 salt<br />

producer in Europe<br />

through the acquisition<br />

of Solvay salt business<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 34


Salt<br />

In which De-icing Salt Markets is <strong>K+S</strong> present?<br />

Great Lakes<br />

• Continental climate with<br />

distinctly stable winters<br />

• High population density<br />

• Stable de-icing salt<br />

business with high<br />

volumes<br />

US East Coast<br />

• Atlantic climate<br />

• Relatively volatile,<br />

partly very harsh<br />

winters<br />

• Very high population<br />

density<br />

• Relatively stable<br />

de-icing salt business<br />

Eastern Canada<br />

• Atlantic climate<br />

• Relatively stable winters<br />

• Lower population density<br />

• Relatively stable<br />

de-icing salt business<br />

• Long-term contracts<br />

Central Europe<br />

• Atlantic climate<br />

• Milder winters with<br />

occasional upward<br />

fluctuations<br />

• Very high population<br />

density<br />

• Relatively fluctuating<br />

de-icing salt business<br />

Scandinavia<br />

• More stable winters in<br />

comparison with<br />

Western Europe<br />

• Relatively low<br />

population density<br />

• Relatively stable deicing<br />

salt business<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 35


Salt<br />

How does the regional Diversification mitigate the<br />

weather-related Volatility in the De-icing Business?<br />

Sales Volume De-icing Salt SPL/ISCO*:<br />

Sales Volume De-icing Salt Morton*:<br />

Sales Volume De-icing Salt esco*:<br />

10 year average sales volume (2003 – 2012) * before consolidation of intersegment sales volumes<br />

The worldwide de-icing salt market<br />

exhibits varying volatility<br />

Access to the largest de-icing world<br />

markets mitigates the overall degree<br />

of fluctuation in the de-icing salt<br />

business<br />

Unique, interregional production<br />

network (including access to salt<br />

production from potash facilities)<br />

allows benefiting from strong<br />

demand surges at short notice<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 36


Salt<br />

How did Volumes and Prices develop?<br />

Million tonnes Morton Salt (as of<br />

€<br />

1 October 2009)<br />

SPL (as of<br />

1 July 2006)<br />

22.53 22.73<br />

49.1<br />

45.0 45.5<br />

48.7<br />

55.5<br />

14.81<br />

54.8<br />

9.04<br />

55.6<br />

9.42<br />

54.7<br />

17.56<br />

9.23<br />

5.85<br />

8.02<br />

8.77<br />

9.47<br />

6.07<br />

2.82<br />

3.25<br />

3.90<br />

4.12<br />

4.73<br />

4.04<br />

5.00<br />

4.47<br />

8.96<br />

13.49<br />

13.31<br />

8.33<br />

De-icing salt sales volume<br />

Sales volume of industrial salt,<br />

salt for chemical use and food grade salt<br />

Yearly average price of de-icing salt<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010<br />

2011<br />

2012e<br />

• Total sales volumes increased over the past years mainly due to external growth, while the de-icing salt share<br />

remained rather stable<br />

• Sales volumes declined in 2012 caused by weaker de-icing salt demand due to unusually mild winter weather<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 37


Salt<br />

How is the Seasonality of the De-icing Salt Business?<br />

Million tonnes<br />

10.18<br />

€<br />

2.24<br />

62.2<br />

55.6<br />

52.2<br />

55.0<br />

56.6<br />

51.5<br />

6.18<br />

49.6<br />

51.7<br />

5.82<br />

7.94<br />

2.16<br />

3.21<br />

2.98<br />

3.52<br />

3.34<br />

2.54<br />

5.06<br />

2.46<br />

4.02<br />

2.47<br />

0.74<br />

2.38<br />

0.60<br />

2.17<br />

1.35<br />

2.23<br />

1.11<br />

3.28<br />

2.60<br />

De-icing salt sales volume<br />

Sales volume of industrial salt,<br />

salt for chemical use and food grade salt<br />

De-icing salt average price 2012<br />

De-icing salt average price 2011<br />

Q1/11 Q1/12 Q2/11 Q2/12 Q3/11 Q3/12 Q4/11<br />

Q4/12<br />

• Quarterly volumes and prices are affected by seasonal de-icing salt business which are in<br />

general strongest in the Q1 and Q4<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 38


<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

Content<br />

A. Corporate Structure & Strategy 1<br />

B. Potash and Magnesium Products 4<br />

C. Salt 29<br />

D. Complementary Activities 39<br />

E. Financial Data 41<br />

F. Outlook 52<br />

G. <strong>K+S</strong> Share 56<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 39


Complementary Activities<br />

How is the Business Unit performing?<br />

Revenues (€ million)<br />

EBIT (€ million)<br />

Summary<br />

38<br />

40<br />

150<br />

154<br />

-1<br />

2<br />

18<br />

21<br />

<strong>K+S</strong> is the leading provider for underground waste<br />

management in Europe ensuring safety over long<br />

periods of time. In addition, we offer tailor-made<br />

solutions for recycling requirements of our customers.<br />

Q4/11 Q4/12 FY/11 FY/12<br />

150 154<br />

134<br />

Q4/11 Q4/12 FY/11 FY/12<br />

21<br />

18<br />

21<br />

Logistics activities being essential for <strong>K+S</strong> are also<br />

bundled in this unit. Another important activity is the<br />

granulation of CATSAN ® (cat litter).<br />

2010 2011 2012 2010 2011 2012<br />

Revenue split 2012 Outlook 2013 *<br />

By product group<br />

Trade<br />

10%<br />

Rest of<br />

Europe 18%<br />

By region<br />

In the “Complementary Activities“ we expect from<br />

today’s perspective stable revenues and earnings.<br />

Animal hygiene<br />

products<br />

24%<br />

Logistics 8%<br />

Waste Mgmt.<br />

and Recycling<br />

58%<br />

Germany 82%<br />

March 2013 * Outlook statement as of 27 February 2013<br />

<strong>K+S</strong> Group 40


<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

Content<br />

A. Corporate Structure & Strategy 1<br />

B. Potash and Magnesium Products 4<br />

C. Salt 29<br />

D. Complementary Activities 39<br />

E. Financial Data 41<br />

F. Outlook 52<br />

G. <strong>K+S</strong> Share 56<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 41


<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

How did Revenues and Earnings develop?<br />

€ million<br />

Revenues Operating earnings Group earnings, adjusted 1),2)<br />

‘08 ‘09 ‘10 ‘11 ‘12 ‘08 ‘09 ‘10 ‘11 ‘12 ‘08 ‘09 ‘10 ‘11 ‘12<br />

1)<br />

2008 and 2009 include the discontinued operations of COMPO and <strong>K+S</strong> Nitrogen. 2010 still including <strong>K+S</strong> Nitrogen<br />

2)<br />

The adjusted figures only include the realised result from operating forecast forecast hedges of the respective reporting period. The changes in the market<br />

value of operating forecast hedges still outstanding, however, are not taken into account in the adjusted earnings. Related effects on deferred and cash<br />

taxes are also eliminated.<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 42


<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

How are Operating EBIT Margins?<br />

2012 2011 2010<br />

2009<br />

2008<br />

Potash and Magnesium Products<br />

33.8%<br />

34.7%<br />

25.5%<br />

16.3%<br />

50.2%<br />

Salt<br />

4.2%<br />

12.4%<br />

13.8%<br />

13.8%<br />

7.3%<br />

Complementary Business Segments<br />

13.7%<br />

11.9%<br />

15.8%<br />

12.6%<br />

20.0%<br />

<strong>K+S</strong> Group 1)<br />

20.5%<br />

22.7%<br />

15.4%<br />

6.7%<br />

28.0%<br />

1)<br />

2008 and 2009 include the discontinued operations of COMPO.<br />

March 2013<br />

<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

43


<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

How was the Cash Flow Development in 2012<br />

Cash flow from<br />

operating activities 1,2)<br />

Cash flow for<br />

investing activities 1,3) Free cash flow 1,2,3)<br />

+744<br />

+651<br />

+249<br />

+243<br />

(495)<br />

(408)<br />

2012 (€ million)<br />

2011 (€ million)<br />

• Cash flow from<br />

operating activities in line<br />

with EBIT development<br />

• 2011 includes the acquisition of<br />

Potash One (€ 242.8 million)<br />

• Higher capex in 2012<br />

2012 free cash flow<br />

almost on last years level<br />

March 2013<br />

1)<br />

Information refers to the continued operations. 2) Without out-financing of pension obligations in the amount of € (43.4)<br />

million in 2012 (2011: € (110.0) million)<br />

3)<br />

Without investments in/sales of securities and other financial investments in the amount of € (558.5) million in 2012<br />

(2011: € (372.4) million)<br />

<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

44


<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

How high are Capex and Depreciation? 1)<br />

€ million<br />

Expansion capex<br />

almost<br />

1,100<br />

Maintenance capex<br />

Depreciation<br />

466<br />

294<br />

172<br />

198<br />

178<br />

189<br />

63<br />

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

2013e<br />

• In 2013, of the expected capex volume of almost € 1,100 million, CAD 830 million 2) (€ 625 million) should be<br />

accounted for by the Legacy Project.<br />

1)<br />

2008 and 2009 include the discontinued operations of COMPO. 2010 still including <strong>K+S</strong> Nitrogen. 2) There may still be<br />

March 2013 considerable shifts regarding the allocation of the capex for the Legacy Project to the investment periods.<br />

<strong>K+S</strong> Group 45


<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

How did Net Indebtedness develop?<br />

€ million<br />

Provisions for pensions<br />

Provisions for mining obligations<br />

Non-current liabilities - non-current securities<br />

Current liabilities - cash - current securities<br />

Total net debt<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

Gearing ratio (%) 33.2 64.5 27.6 19.8<br />

2012<br />

21.7<br />

March 2013 * Including reimbursement claim for the Morton Salt bond (2012: €18,9 million; 2011: €19.4 million; 2010: €18.9 million) <strong>K+S</strong> Group 46


<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

What are the Key Figures for the Management<br />

of the Capital Structure?<br />

In order to assure and optimise the financial capacity of the <strong>K+S</strong> Group, we aim to achieve a<br />

situation where the <strong>K+S</strong> Group has a capital structure in the long term, which is oriented to<br />

the usual criteria and indicators for an "investment grade" rating. The management of the<br />

capital structure is undertaken on the basis of the following key figures:<br />

Target corridor 2012 2011 2010<br />

Net indebtedness / EBITDA 1.0x – 1.5x 0.7x 0.5x 0.8x<br />

Net indebtedness / Equity 50% – 100% 21.7% 19.8% 27.6%<br />

Equity ratio 40% – 50% 52.4% 50.9% 47.6%<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 47


<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

How is the Maturity Profile?<br />

€ million<br />

1000<br />

Bonds (due 09/2014, Coupon: 5%; due 06/2022, Coupon 3%)<br />

Revolving credit facility due 07/2015<br />

800<br />

600<br />

400<br />

750<br />

800<br />

200<br />

500<br />

0<br />

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022<br />

• The revolving credit facility above shows maximum possible headroom, not the amount<br />

actually drawn.<br />

• In addition, there are uncommitted, bilateral credit lines of about € 200 million.<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 48


<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

How is the Rating of <strong>K+S</strong>?<br />

Moody’s<br />

Date Rating Outlook<br />

November 2010 Baa2 stable<br />

March 2010 Baa2 stable<br />

September 2009 Baa2 negative<br />

Standard & Poor’s<br />

Date Rating Outlook<br />

• We have shown a successful<br />

track record in credit and debt<br />

capital markets<br />

• To ensure this position we want<br />

to maintain a investment grade rating<br />

• Current financial ratios support<br />

our rating strongly<br />

September 2011 BBB+ stable<br />

January 2011 BBB positive<br />

October 2010 BBB stable<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 49


Potash and Magnesium Products<br />

How is the Currency Exposure managed in the<br />

Potash and Magnesium Business Unit?<br />

US dollar<br />

• USD revenues are hedged after the deduction of overseas freight costs, capital expenditure<br />

for the Legacy Project and<br />

a safety margin<br />

• Use of options or futures, which<br />

prescribe a worst-case scenario,<br />

but provide the opportunity to<br />

share in any possible appreciation<br />

of the US dollar<br />

„worst case“ for the fiscal year 2012:<br />

USD/EUR 1.32 after premiums<br />

„worst case“ for the fiscal year 2013<br />

(for ~60% of expected USD net exposure):<br />

USD/EUR 1.29 after premiums<br />

Canadian dollar<br />

• Capital expenditure in Canadian dollar for the Legacy Project expected with sufficient certainty<br />

are also hedged with the use of options<br />

or futures, which prescribe a worstcase<br />

scenario, but provide the<br />

opportunity to share in any possible<br />

depreciation of the Canadian Dollar<br />

„worst case“ for the fiscal year 2013<br />

(for ~50% of expected capex in Canadian dollar):<br />

CAD/EUR 1.26 after premiums<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 50


<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

How Sensitive are Earnings to USD Volatility<br />

in 2013?<br />

1.23 USD/EUR 1.33 USD/EUR* 1.43 USD/EUR<br />

Ø USD/EUR exchange rate changes from<br />

1.33 to 1.23 USD/EUR<br />

• With the use of options, we still<br />

participate in the possible appreciation<br />

of the US dollar (less the amount we<br />

paid for the premiums). Based on the<br />

expected USD net exposure of the<br />

<strong>K+S</strong> Group, the total positive effect on<br />

EBIT I earnings of <strong>K+S</strong> Group in 2013<br />

would be about € 70 million.<br />

* underlying assumption of outlook 2013<br />

Ø USD/EUR exchange rate changes from<br />

1.33 to 1.43 USD/EUR<br />

• Based on the expected USD net exposure<br />

of <strong>K+S</strong> Group, the total negative effect<br />

without hedging on EBIT I earnings of the<br />

<strong>K+S</strong> Group in 2013 would be about<br />

€ 90 million.<br />

• As options in place cover our expected<br />

net exposure from today’s perspective<br />

to a large degree, the above-mentioned<br />

risk reduces to about € 55 million in 2013<br />

(including the amount we paid for the<br />

premiums).<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 51


<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

Content<br />

A. Corporate Structure & Strategy 1<br />

B. Potash and Magnesium Products 4<br />

C. Salt 29<br />

D. Complementary Activities 39<br />

E. Financial Data 41<br />

F. Outlook 52<br />

G. <strong>K+S</strong> Share 56<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 52


Attractive Prospects<br />

What is the Outlook for the Potash and<br />

Magnesium Products Business Unit?<br />

Outlook 2013:<br />

●<br />

Declining revenues<br />

• Lower average price<br />

• Stable sales volumes at about 7 million t<br />

(2012: 6.95 million t)<br />

● Operating earnings below 2012<br />

• Price related decrease in revenues<br />

• Stable overall cost level<br />

Outlook 2014:<br />

●<br />

●<br />

Price and volume related rise in<br />

revenues<br />

Higher operating earnings<br />

March 2013<br />

<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

53


Attractive Prospects<br />

What is the Outlook for the Salt Business Unit?<br />

Outlook 2013:<br />

●<br />

●<br />

Higher revenues<br />

Normalisation of de-icing salt sales volumes<br />

(increase to 12-13 million t; 2012: 8,33 million t)<br />

Improving operating earnings<br />

• Higher revenues due to normalisation of<br />

de-icing salt business<br />

• Significantly higher capacity utlisation and<br />

fixed cost coverage<br />

Outlook 2014:<br />

● Increasing revenues due to price factors 1)<br />

● Higher operating earnings 1)<br />

1)<br />

Assumption: Average de-icing salt business<br />

March 2013<br />

<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

54


Attractive Prospects<br />

How is the Revenue and Earnings Outlook for the<br />

<strong>K+S</strong> Group?<br />

Outlook 2013:<br />

●<br />

Pricing related lower revenues and earnings in the Potash and Magnesium Products<br />

business unit should be overcompensated by volume driven increase in the Salt<br />

business unit<br />

Slightly higher revenues<br />

Operating earnings EBIT I slightly higher<br />

●<br />

Capex of almost € 1.1 billion (Legacy: € about 625 million ≙ CAD 830 million)<br />

Outlook 2014:<br />

Slight increase in revenues and earnings<br />

March 2013<br />

<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

55


<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

Content<br />

A. Corporate Structure & Strategy 1<br />

B. Potash and Magnesium Products 4<br />

C. Salt 29<br />

D. Complementary Activities 39<br />

E. Financial Data 41<br />

F. Outlook 52<br />

G. <strong>K+S</strong> Share 56<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 56


<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

What are the Analysts‘ Estimates?<br />

As of 1 March 2013<br />

2012<br />

2013e<br />

2014e<br />

Revenues<br />

(€ million)<br />

3,953.3<br />

Median<br />

Number of estimates<br />

4,025.5<br />

26<br />

4,159.5<br />

25<br />

Operating earnings<br />

EBIT I (€ million)<br />

808.5<br />

Median<br />

Number of estimates<br />

785.6<br />

26<br />

832.8<br />

25<br />

Group earnings from<br />

continued operations<br />

adjusted (€ million)<br />

540.8<br />

Median<br />

Number of estimates<br />

526.0<br />

25<br />

546.7<br />

24<br />

Earnings per share<br />

from continued<br />

operations,<br />

adjusted (€)<br />

2.83<br />

Median<br />

Number of estimates<br />

2.75<br />

25<br />

2.86<br />

24<br />

Dividend (€)<br />

1.40<br />

Median<br />

Number of estimates<br />

1.20<br />

25<br />

1.30<br />

23<br />

Target price (€)<br />

Median<br />

Number of estimates<br />

39.00<br />

26<br />

March 2013<br />

<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

57


<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

How is the Dividend Policy?<br />

• We pursue a dividend policy that is in principle earnings-based. According to this, a dividend<br />

payout rate of between 40% and 50% of the adjusted Group earnings after taxes forms the<br />

basis for future dividend recommendations.<br />

• For the year 2012, a dividend of € 1.40 per share (+ 8%) was proposed.<br />

Group Earnings and Payout Ratio<br />

Dividends<br />

%<br />

Payout ratio<br />

Target range payout ratio<br />

Group earnings from continued operations,<br />

adjusted (rhs)<br />

Mio. € €<br />

, .<br />

,<br />

.<br />

.<br />

,<br />

Dividends in €<br />

€<br />

.<br />

.<br />

.<br />

.<br />

.<br />

.<br />

.<br />

640<br />

.<br />

.<br />

.<br />

.<br />

.<br />

.<br />

.<br />

.<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 58


<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

How is the Shareholder Structure?<br />

• Meritus Trust Company Limited holds 9.88%<br />

of <strong>K+S</strong> shares via EuroChem Group SE, including<br />

OJSC MCC “EuroChem”; Meritus Trust manages<br />

industrial holdings of Andrei Melnichenko on a<br />

fiduciary basis<br />

• The free float of <strong>K+S</strong> AG amounts to approx. 90%<br />

Free float 90.1%<br />

Meritus Trust /<br />

OJSC MCC „EuroChem“ 9.9%<br />

• Investment companies, that have exceeded<br />

the 3% threshold:<br />

- BlackRock Inc.: 5.08%<br />

- Prudential plc. via M&G Investment<br />

Management Limited: 3.01%<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 59


<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

What are the Upcoming Events?<br />

14 May 2013 ‣ Annual General Meeting 2013, Kassel<br />

14 May 2013 ‣ Quarterly Financial Report, 31 March 2013<br />

15 May 2013 ‣ Dividend payment<br />

13 August 2013 ‣ Half-yearly Financial Report, 30 June 2013<br />

14 November 2013 ‣ Quarterly Financial Report, 30 September 2013<br />

13 March 2014 ‣ Report on business in 2013<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 60


<strong>K+S</strong> Investor Relations<br />

Who are my Contact Persons?<br />

<strong>K+S</strong> <strong>Aktiengesellschaft</strong><br />

Bertha-von-Suttner-Str. 7<br />

34131 Kassel (Germany)<br />

E-Mail: investor-relations@k-plus-s.com<br />

Homepage: www.k-plus-s.com<br />

IR-website: www.k-plus-s.com/de/ir<br />

Thorsten Boeckers<br />

Head of Investor Relations<br />

Phone: +49 561 / 9301-1460<br />

Fax: +49 561 / 9301-2425<br />

thorsten.boeckers@k-plus-s.com<br />

Andrea Rach<br />

Investor Relations Assistant<br />

Phone: +49 561 / 9301-1100<br />

Fax: +49 561 / 9301-2425<br />

andrea.rach@k-plus-s.com<br />

Julia Bock, CFA<br />

Senior Investor Relations Manager<br />

Phone: +49 561 / 9301-1009<br />

Fax: +49 561 / 9301-2425<br />

julia.bock@k-plus-s.com<br />

Kai Kirchhoff<br />

Senior Investor Relations Manager<br />

Phone: +49 561 / 9301-1885<br />

Fax: +49 561 / 9301-2425<br />

kai.kirchhoff@k-plus-s.com<br />

Matthias Jelden<br />

Investor Relations Manager<br />

Phone.: +49 561 / 9301-2204<br />

Fax: +49 561 / 9301-2425<br />

matthias.jelden@k-plus-s.com<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 61


<strong>K+S</strong> Group<br />

Forward-looking Statements<br />

This presentation contains facts and forecasts that relate to the future development of the <strong>K+S</strong><br />

Group and its companies. The forecasts are estimates that we have made on the basis of all the<br />

information available to us at this moment in time. Should the assumptions underlying<br />

these forecasts prove not to be correct or should certain risks – such as those referred to in<br />

the Risk Report – materialise, actual developments and events may deviate from current<br />

expectations. The Company assumes no obligation to update the statements, save for the making<br />

of such disclosures as are required by the provisions of statute.<br />

March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 62


March 2013 <strong>K+S</strong> Group 63


<strong>K+S</strong> <strong>Aktiengesellschaft</strong> · Bertha-von-Suttner-Strasse 7 · 34131 Kassel | Germany · Internet: www.k-plus-s.com<br />

Investor Relations · phone: +49 (0)561 / 9301-1100 · fax: +49 (0)561 / 9301-2425 · email: investor-relations@k-plus-s.com<br />

March 2013<br />

Experience growth.<br />

<strong>K+S</strong> Group

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