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Rediscovering social investment in developmental welfare state ...

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R E D I S C O V E R I N G S O C I A L I N V E S T M E N T I N D E V E L O P M E N T A L W E L F A R E S T A T E P O L I C I E S :<br />

B A C K T O T H E F U T U R E<br />

<strong>welfare</strong> <strong>state</strong>, (3) <strong>welfare</strong> <strong>state</strong> research has evolved over time <strong>in</strong> terms of the approach to effort and<br />

outcomes and <strong>in</strong> response to chang<strong>in</strong>g historical circumstances, (4) there are select research f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs<br />

that underlie the possibility of simultaneously protective and productive <strong>social</strong> policy, and (5) there<br />

rema<strong>in</strong> several metatheoretical concerns that have <strong>in</strong>hibited conceptual progress on understand<strong>in</strong>g<br />

the potentially productive effects of <strong>social</strong> policy. While it not necessary to discuss po<strong>in</strong>ts 1 and 2 <strong>in</strong><br />

this paper, I will briefly discuss po<strong>in</strong>ts 3, 4, and 5.<br />

While it is impossible <strong>in</strong> this paper to delve <strong>in</strong>to the various pressures fac<strong>in</strong>g <strong>welfare</strong> <strong>state</strong>s or the<br />

def<strong>in</strong>itional ambiguity referred to as the dependent variable problem us<strong>in</strong>g the metaphor of generations<br />

(Esp<strong>in</strong>g-Andersen, 1989, 1990; Mäk<strong>in</strong>en, 1999), it is possible to briefly classify major studies <strong>in</strong> the<br />

comparative <strong>welfare</strong> <strong>state</strong> literature. Follow<strong>in</strong>g Kvist and Torf<strong>in</strong>g (1996), the first generation can be<br />

characterized as focused on the emergence and growth of the <strong>welfare</strong> <strong>state</strong>, the second as describ<strong>in</strong>g<br />

dissimilarities between <strong>welfare</strong> <strong>state</strong>s, and the third as emphasiz<strong>in</strong>g the <strong>welfare</strong> mix and focus<strong>in</strong>g<br />

more explicitly on the outcomes of <strong>welfare</strong> <strong>state</strong>s (Table 1). Among the <strong>in</strong>novations has been a<br />

move away from us<strong>in</strong>g crude public expenditure measures to describe <strong>welfare</strong> <strong>state</strong>s‘ efforts toward<br />

typologies of <strong>welfare</strong> regimes, and from exam<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>come-based measures of poverty and <strong>in</strong>equality<br />

as the ma<strong>in</strong> effects of <strong>welfare</strong> <strong>state</strong>s toward a focus on broader notions of deprivation. However,<br />

while we know much about the effects of the <strong>welfare</strong> <strong>state</strong> on poverty rates, <strong>social</strong> rights and <strong>in</strong>come<br />

<strong>in</strong>equality, advances beyond the third generation have been slowed by fail<strong>in</strong>g to fully consider how<br />

potentially productive outcomes of the <strong>welfare</strong> <strong>state</strong> are related to the level and type of <strong>welfare</strong><br />

effort.<br />

Table 1. The Generations of Welfare State Research<br />

Generation Central research focus<br />

First<br />

Second<br />

Third<br />

Fourth?<br />

Indicators of <strong>in</strong>dustrialism, role of the <strong>state</strong>, and political power used to predict <strong>welfare</strong><br />

<strong>state</strong> expansion based on aggregate <strong>social</strong> expenditure<br />

Challenges the validity of aggregate-expenditure measures <strong>in</strong> favor of structural and<br />

<strong>in</strong>stitutional features such as the policy or benefit design and delivery system; largely<br />

cont<strong>in</strong>ues focus on <strong>welfare</strong> <strong>state</strong> expansion (or retrenchment) but also beg<strong>in</strong>s to<br />

exam<strong>in</strong>e poverty and <strong>in</strong>equality<br />

Explicit shift toward exam<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g the results that the different regimes have produced <strong>in</strong><br />

terms of poverty rates, <strong>social</strong> rights and <strong>in</strong>come equality us<strong>in</strong>g both expenditure levels<br />

and eligibility rules; focus is on outcomes not <strong>welfare</strong> effort per se 9<br />

Studies focus on a wide range of well-be<strong>in</strong>g related outcomes beyond economic wellbe<strong>in</strong>g<br />

and that may have productive implications beyond distribution; it is not at all<br />

clear how the theoretical possibility of productive outcomes relates to the way that one<br />

th<strong>in</strong>ks about the extensive array of categories of <strong>welfare</strong> <strong>state</strong> effort<br />

Advances <strong>in</strong> scholarship have been driven by several factors, among them the chang<strong>in</strong>g conditions<br />

confront<strong>in</strong>g the <strong>welfare</strong> <strong>state</strong>. Dur<strong>in</strong>g the rapid expansion of <strong>welfare</strong> <strong>state</strong> programs, scholarly<br />

9 Among the <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly pluralistic focus of this generation, particular attention has been paid to questions of <strong>in</strong>equality<br />

among specific groups (e.g., women) and the impact of gender on <strong>welfare</strong> benefits, labor market participation, earn<strong>in</strong>gs,<br />

and the like.<br />

C E N T E R F O R S O C I A L D E V E L O P M E N T<br />

W A S H I N G T O N U N I V E R S I T Y I N S T . L O U I S<br />

7

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