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Understanding CDM Methodologies - SuSanA

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Baseline Scenario<br />

Matrix<br />

Baseline Fuel<br />

Available in<br />

Abundance<br />

Scenario<br />

Selection through<br />

Investment or<br />

Barrier Test<br />

Default Efficiency<br />

for Captive Power<br />

Plant 60%<br />

Share of Steam<br />

produced by<br />

Waste Gas is<br />

Proxy for Energy<br />

Discount due to<br />

Increase of Waste<br />

Gas Production<br />

Greenfield<br />

Projects to use<br />

average Waste<br />

Gas Production<br />

Rate as per<br />

Nameplate<br />

Default Boiler<br />

Efficiency 100%<br />

Baseline scenario and additionality: The baseline scenario is to be<br />

the most plausible of all realistic and credible alternatives to the project,<br />

which would provide output equivalent to the combined output of the<br />

all the sub-systems in the project case with fuels available at the project<br />

site. The alternatives can include several sub-systems to cover steam and<br />

power requirements and possible alternative uses of waste gas/heat/<br />

pressure. They have to cover the three elements covered by the project<br />

boundary, which gives rise to 4 possible alternatives for the use of waste<br />

gas, 8 alternatives for electricity generation and 9 alternatives for heat<br />

generation. These alternatives are to be combined in a scenario matrix;<br />

only certain combinations are covered by the applicability conditions. The<br />

fuel used for the baseline energy provision has to be the fossil fuel with the<br />

lowest carbon emission factor available “in abundance” in the host country.<br />

Subsequently, the investment or barrier test of the latest approved version of<br />

the consolidated additionality tool is used to eliminate non-feasible options.<br />

Among the remaining alternatives, the alternative with the lowest baseline<br />

emissions is chosen as baseline scenario.<br />

Additionality is assessed using the consolidated additionality tool.<br />

Baseline emissions<br />

Under the baseline scenario where electricity and heat are generated<br />

separately in existing facilities, for each facility receiving electricity/heat, the<br />

energy received is multiplied by the applicable emissions factor from energy<br />

generation.<br />

In case of electricity supplied by an electricity grid, ACM 0002 or AMS I.D are<br />

used to determine the emissions factor.<br />

If a captive power plant is the baseline, the efficiency of the plant is to be<br />

estimated conservatively. Here, developers can choose among assumed<br />

optimal operation conditions, the higher of two power plant manufacturer<br />

nameplate efficiencies, an estimate based on load-efficiency curves or a<br />

default efficiency of 60%.<br />

The emissions derived for the baseline scenario are then multiplied by the<br />

share of electricity provided from waste gas. The share is calculated on the<br />

basis of the amount and the heat rates of fossil fuels and the waste gas used.<br />

If the heat rate of the waste gas cannot be measured, one shall measure the<br />

share of the steam provided by burning waste gas of total steam produced..<br />

A discount factor is introduced if the quantity of waste gas generated and<br />

used in the project is higher than in the pre-project situation. The discount<br />

equals the ratio of pre-project waste gas generation (maximum reached<br />

during the 3 years before project start) to post-project waste gas generation.<br />

For new plants or plants that use waste pressure, the average waste gas/heat/<br />

pressure generation per unit of product is calculated on basis of equipment<br />

manufacturer’s specifications. The maximum “pre-project” waste gas<br />

generation is then derived by multiplying production with that average rate.<br />

If manufacturer’s specifications are not available, an independent process<br />

expert has to provide an estimate of the average rate.<br />

For heat, an analogous approach is applied, with default boiler efficiency set<br />

at 100%.<br />

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