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Understanding CDM Methodologies - SuSanA

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Interpretation<br />

of top 20% in<br />

Approach 48 (c)<br />

Top 15% instead<br />

of top 20% used<br />

in First Approved<br />

Methodology<br />

using Approach<br />

48 (c)<br />

Box 10: ACM 13 modifies the approach 48 (c) and previous EB guidance<br />

In approach 48 (c), the emissions factor shall be 169 the lower of<br />

1. output-weighted average emissions of the top 20 per cent of similar project<br />

activities undertaken in the previous five years in similar circumstances<br />

2. output-weighted average emissions of similar project activities undertaken in<br />

the previous five years under similar circumstances that are also in the top<br />

20 per cent of all current operating projects in their category.<br />

No methodology was ever approved using that approach. The EB did apply<br />

this approach in the case of ACM 13 on greenfield fossil power plants, where<br />

the benchmark group was reduced to the top 15% performing power plants<br />

(excluding cogeneration plants and including power plants registered as <strong>CDM</strong><br />

project activities) among all power plants constructed in the previous<br />

5 years that have a similar size, are operated at similar load and use the same fuel<br />

type as the project activity.<br />

4.1.2 Baseline scenario definition<br />

Choice of Baseline<br />

Scenario has to be<br />

explained<br />

Baseline has to be<br />

Output-based<br />

Suppressed<br />

Demand Question<br />

The definition of the baseline scenario is a key step in any baseline<br />

methodology. Each methodology has to include an explanation of how the<br />

baseline is chosen 170 . The additionality test should show that the project is<br />

not identical with the baseline scenario 171 . As the baseline scenario should<br />

not grant CERs for decreases in activity levels outside the project activity<br />

or due to force majeure, the baseline should be defined on an output- or<br />

product-linked basis as an emissions factor per unit of output, at least when<br />

the project produces and sells an output. This has given rise to a discussion<br />

about whether in situations of suppressed demand, only that demand should<br />

be taken into account in determining the baseline activity level. The EB<br />

registered a project (Kuyasa low-cost urban housing energy upgrade project,<br />

Khayelitsha (Cape Town; South Africa), UNFCCC no. 0079) where the<br />

baseline is calculated on the basis of an activity level (indoor temperature of<br />

houses due to heating) that has increased due to the project.<br />

169<br />

EB 8, Annex 1<br />

170<br />

EB 8, Annex 1<br />

171<br />

Ibid. According to EB 17, para 16, additionality determination shall be consistent with the determination of a<br />

baseline scenario.<br />

33

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