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Bouwfonds European Residential - Catella Real Estate AG

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Fund Management Report<br />

<strong>Real</strong> estate investment markets<br />

2008 proved to be extremely difficult for international real<br />

estate markets, as for many other sectors. For example, the<br />

INREV “All Property <strong>European</strong> Total Return Index” recorded<br />

a drop of 26.8% in 2008, which was mainly due to a 30.3%<br />

depreciation in property values. However, total returns in the<br />

BVI index averaged 4.4% in Germany. Here, the financial<br />

crisis made itself felt in a different way: in the temporary<br />

closing of 12 open-ended real estate funds.<br />

One positive result of the financial crisis is that professional<br />

investors are increasingly seeing residential property as an<br />

independent asset class. According to INREV’s 2009<br />

“Investment Intention Survey”, German residential properties<br />

are the number one investment target for institutional<br />

investors in Europe. This is reflected in increasing competition<br />

among providers of comparable products. However,<br />

<strong>Bouwfonds</strong> <strong>European</strong> <strong>Residential</strong> (BER) is currently the only<br />

fund in its segment that systematically ensures risk diversification<br />

by investing throughout Europe.<br />

<strong>Real</strong> estate markets<br />

In 2008, our target countries generated average economic<br />

growth of around 1.3% (Germany), 2.1% (Netherlands),<br />

0.7% (France) and 1.1% (Belgium). 1<br />

The trend in the number of households is of particular strategic<br />

interest as a long-term indicator. The tendency towards a<br />

rising number of households in BER’s target countries is<br />

having a positive effect on returns. In 2008, prices for residential<br />

real estate in our target countries performed as<br />

follows:<br />

France: At 0.6%, the rise in purchase prices for existing residential<br />

real estate of was restrained. However, considerable<br />

regional differences were recorded (e.g. Grenoble –4.7%<br />

versus Paris +8.7%).<br />

Rental price trends for French residential properties also<br />

varied in line with this, with the slight overall increase of<br />

1.4% being spread unevenly across the regions. Whereas<br />

Grenoble, Montpellier and Paris, for example, saw increases<br />

of between 2.3% and 4.3%, rents in Lyon, Marseille and<br />

Toulouse stagnated. 2<br />

8<br />

Germany: A slight decline in prices – but still within the<br />

bounds of normal price fluctuations – was felt across<br />

Germany. Prices for existing real estate fell on average by<br />

between 0.5% and 1.0%, while prices for new builds in the<br />

residential segment were flat. However, significant regional<br />

differences are to be seen in both areas, with price increases<br />

of up to 8.0% in large cities.<br />

As a whole, rental prices across Germany remained relatively<br />

stable. Metropolitan areas in particular saw increases of<br />

2.0% to 4.0% for new lettings. In contrast, structurally weak<br />

rural regions experienced increasing vacancies and a slight<br />

drop in rental prices. 3<br />

Netherlands: Prices for residential properties remained<br />

unchanged between 2007 and 2008. The slight price increases<br />

seen in the summer levelled off again at the end of the year. 4<br />

The rental market recorded an annual average rise of 1.9%. 5<br />

Belgium: The prices for residential real estate in Belgium<br />

rose once again. Single-family homes saw a price increase of<br />

5.2% and apartment houses of 4.0%. In 2008, the rent index<br />

was 4.0% higher on average than the previous year. The last<br />

ten years saw average annual growth of 1.7%.<br />

<strong>Bouwfonds</strong> <strong>European</strong> <strong>Residential</strong>’s strategy<br />

The Fund is aiming for the following allocation during the<br />

first three years:<br />

• Germany (30%-50%)<br />

• France (30%-50%)<br />

• Benelux (10%-40%)<br />

In addition, the Fund can invest up to 10% of fund assets in<br />

other countries in the <strong>European</strong> Economic Area and<br />

Switzerland. However, since the Fund follows a regional<br />

strategy that involves making focused investments in regions<br />

with above-average growth, it is equally important to<br />

consider the regional allocation:<br />

• Service regions (40%-60%)<br />

• High-tech regions (20%-30%)<br />

• Financial services regions (20%-30%)<br />

• “Government and administrative locations” (10%-20%)<br />

1 Source: Eurostat<br />

2 Sources: Callon, CNAB, OLAP<br />

3 Source: IVD, Wohnpreisspiegel 2008/2009<br />

4 Source: Nederlandse Vereniging van Makelaars o.g. en vastgoeddeskundigen NVM, NVM-cijfers van het 1 kwartaal 2009 voor heel Nederland<br />

5 Source: Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek, Consumentenprijzen; de gemiddelde verhoging woninghuur in Nederland

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