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An assessment of the causes of malnutrition in Ethiopia: A ...

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Table 3.1: Trends <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> agricultural population, output and resources (1960-2000)<br />

Year<br />

Population<br />

(<strong>in</strong> million)<br />

Per capita food<br />

output (<strong>in</strong> kg)<br />

Per capita landhold<strong>in</strong>g<br />

(ha)<br />

1960/61 23 240.2 0.28<br />

1969/70 28 242.7 0.25<br />

1979/80 36 204.4 0.14<br />

1989/90 48 141.7 0.10<br />

1999/00 63 140.0 0.09<br />

Source: EEA 2003/04.<br />

3.4.3. Malnutrition and food <strong>in</strong>security: national trend<br />

As shown <strong>in</strong> Table 3.1 and Figure 3.2, <strong>the</strong> trends <strong>in</strong> population, agricultural output<br />

and resources signals a frighten<strong>in</strong>g situation <strong>in</strong> terms <strong>of</strong> both food and nutrition security.<br />

Though food security is not a sufficient condition to atta<strong>in</strong> nutrition security, food <strong>in</strong>security<br />

is one <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> most important immediate determ<strong>in</strong>ants <strong>of</strong> <strong>malnutrition</strong>. The trends show <strong>the</strong><br />

country is becom<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly food deficient with its grow<strong>in</strong>g population and ever smaller,<br />

more fragmented landhold<strong>in</strong>gs.<br />

Over <strong>the</strong> past four decades, <strong>the</strong> population size has <strong>in</strong>creased almost threefold,<br />

whereas per capita food production and landhold<strong>in</strong>g decl<strong>in</strong>ed by 42 percent and 68 percent,<br />

respectively. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to Masefield (2000), <strong>the</strong> average landhold<strong>in</strong>g size <strong>in</strong> <strong>Ethiopia</strong> would<br />

be <strong>in</strong>sufficient to feed a family <strong>of</strong> five, even if production could be successfully <strong>in</strong>creased by<br />

three times us<strong>in</strong>g improved technologies.<br />

Figure 3.2 gives <strong>the</strong> trend <strong>in</strong> per capita food production between 1980/81 and<br />

2002/03. The per capita food production is cont<strong>in</strong>uously below FAO’ recommended yearly<br />

food <strong>in</strong>take and <strong>the</strong> gap is widen<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

Studies <strong>in</strong> <strong>Ethiopia</strong> have shown that if size <strong>of</strong> cultivated area among cereal growers is<br />

Figure 3.2: Per capita food production and production gap – 1980/81 to 2002/03.<br />

250<br />

200<br />

kg/person<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

1980/81<br />

1981/82<br />

1982/83<br />

1983/84<br />

1984/85<br />

1985/86<br />

1986/87<br />

1987/88<br />

1988/89<br />

1989/90<br />

1990/91<br />

1991/92<br />

Year<br />

1992/93<br />

1993/94<br />

1994/95<br />

1995/96<br />

1996/97<br />

1997/98<br />

1998/99<br />

1999/00<br />

2000/01<br />

2001/02<br />

2002/03<br />

Per capita food<br />

production (Kg)<br />

Recommended<br />

yearly food <strong>in</strong>take<br />

Source: CSA, MOARD.<br />

Note: Per capita food production gap is based on FAO recommended per capita yearly food <strong>in</strong>take <strong>of</strong> 225kg.<br />

48

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