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Impact Of Agricultural Market Reforms On Smallholder Farmers In ...

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Perhaps the strongest factor determining fertilizer use is whether or not the household grows cotton.<br />

Almost all (97 percent) of cotton growers use fertilizer but less than one-quarter (24 percent) of<br />

farms not growing cotton use fertilizer. Furthermore, cotton farmers use almost three times as<br />

much fertilizer than do non-cotton farmers that use fertilizer. <strong>Of</strong> course, cotton farmers (located in<br />

the center and north) also have larger farms, but even on a per-hectare basis, cotton farmers use<br />

more fertilizer. The overall intensity of fertilizer use is 92 kg/ha among cotton growers and just 16<br />

kg/ha among other farmers (see Table 4.1.60). These sharp differences are due to the fact that<br />

cotton farmers have access to fertilizer on credit, while other farmers generally do not, as well as to<br />

the economic returns from fertilization of cotton.<br />

Regression analysis of fertilizer demand This section uses regression analysis to<br />

examine the factors influencing the amount of fertilizer applied on a given plot. Because many<br />

plots receive no fertilizer, the standard linear regression model would produce biased results. For<br />

this reason, we use the Heckman model, 8 which generates one equation describing the decision<br />

whether or not to use fertilizer and another equation describing the quantity used, assuming that<br />

some fertilizer is applied.<br />

The factors influencing the decision to use fertilizer on a given plot are summarized as follows:<br />

<br />

Other things equal, a large household is more likely to use fertilizer than a small one. This<br />

result is understandable given the labor requirements of fertilizer application, the increased<br />

weeding associated with fertilizer use, and the fact that household members are the main<br />

source of labor for Bénin farmers.<br />

Ethnicity has a surprisingly strong effect on whether or not a farmer uses fertilizer. A<br />

household from the Fon (ethn1) or Nago (ethn3) group is less likely to use fertilizer, while<br />

one from the Adja (ethn2) group is more likely relative to other groups. These differences<br />

may agro-climatic variation, since ethnic groups tend to be geographically concentrated in<br />

Bénin.<br />

8<br />

The Heckman model describes a situation in which a dependent variable, y, is generated by the<br />

standard process y = x + u1, except that y and possibly some of the x’s are only observed when P = (z +<br />

u2) > 0.5, where (.) is the cumulative normal density function, z is a vector of explanatory variables, is a<br />

vector of coefficients, and u2 is an error term distributed N(0,1). If, as is often the case, u1 and u2 are<br />

correlated, estimating these two relationships separately will generate biased and inconsistent estimates of .<br />

The Heckman procedure generates one set of coefficients ( ) predicting the probability that a household will<br />

use fertilizer (P) and another set ( ) predicting the volume of fertilizer used (y) provided it uses some.<br />

56

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