Impact Of Agricultural Market Reforms On Smallholder Farmers In ...

Impact Of Agricultural Market Reforms On Smallholder Farmers In ... Impact Of Agricultural Market Reforms On Smallholder Farmers In ...

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Table 5.68 – Determinants of perceived changes in household well-being Regression estimating satisfaction. Ordered probit estimates Number of obs = 788 LR chi2(33) = 83.03 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -678.93772 Pseudo R2 = 0.0576 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ change | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- lnexppc | .406353 .0895039 4.54 0.000 .2309285 .5817775 mktsurp | .0077803 .002283 3.41 0.001 .0033056 .0122549 hhsize | .0438986 .0212457 2.07 0.039 .0022577 .0855394 under15p | .187578 .2275164 0.82 0.410 -.258346 .6335019 over65p | .1204971 .5276684 0.23 0.819 -.9137139 1.154708 femhead | -.1383869 .1595446 -0.87 0.386 -.4510886 .1743148 agehead | -.0328966 .0202036 -1.63 0.103 -.0724949 .0067018 age2 | .0003559 .0002306 1.54 0.123 -.0000961 .0008079 edhd1 | .1191716 .1600222 0.74 0.456 -.1944662 .4328094 edhd2 | .3187311 .2563323 1.24 0.214 -.1836709 .8211332 lithead | -.2556237 .1496329 -1.71 0.088 -.5488987 .0376513 edsp1 | -.052409 .1152886 -0.45 0.649 -.2783705 .1735524 edsp2 | .2994468 .3565671 0.84 0.401 -.3994119 .9983054 litsps | .0161757 .1689754 0.10 0.924 -.3150099 .3473614 fsize | -.0246789 .0494431 -0.50 0.618 -.1215855 .0722277 tobgrow | -.257568 .137516 -1.87 0.061 -.5270945 .0119585 irrig | .4312811 .2342161 1.84 0.066 -.0277741 .8903363 connect | -.1826518 .0965741 -1.89 0.059 -.3719335 .0066299 club | .1380023 .1222276 1.13 0.259 -.1015595 .377564 coop | -.040205 .1930921 -0.21 0.835 -.4186586 .3382486 extcont | .1762547 .112696 1.56 0.118 -.0446255 .3971349 chewa | -.1470395 .1988246 -0.74 0.460 -.5367285 .2426496 ngoni | -.0761561 .1917863 -0.40 0.691 -.4520504 .2997382 tumb | .0176262 .1942392 0.09 0.928 -.3630756 .398328 lomw | -.089999 .1965554 -0.46 0.647 -.4752405 .2952426 yawo | -.1152073 .1831193 -0.63 0.529 -.4741145 .2437 distroad | .0500577 .1181076 0.42 0.672 -.1814289 .2815443 radio | .0918288 .1022771 0.90 0.369 -.1086306 .2922883 tv | .0515057 .4801151 0.11 0.915 -.8895026 .9925141 bike | -.0342985 .1013302 -0.34 0.735 -.232902 .164305 mbike | 7.760963 296879.7 0.00 1.000 -581865.7 581881.3 reg1 | -.1653387 .1783722 -0.93 0.354 -.5149418 .1842644 reg2 | -.1702906 .157538 -1.08 0.280 -.4790594 .1384783 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- _cut1 | 3.042196 .8603625 (Ancillary parameters) _cut2 | 3.432705 .8616464 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ change | Probability Observed -------------+------------------------------------- 1 | Pr( xb+u

Table 5.69 – General information for the average EPA by region Region South Center North Total Average number of villages per EPA 122 214 100 160 Average number of farming households per EPA 22,865 17,320 15,215 18,736 Average number of residents per EPA 102,874 76,878 81,406 86,894 Average total area (in hectares) per EPA 49,857 49,851 51,077 49,965 Average total arable area (in hectares) 18,748 30,957 26,981 25,624 Average population density (person/ha) 2.06 1.54 1.59 1.74 Source: IFPRI/APRU Malawi Smallholder Farmer Survey, 1998. Table 5.70 – Average volume of production per EPA in the 1997/98 cropping period (in tons) Region Crop: South Center North Total Maize 16,652 12,398 4,007 12,297 Irish Potato 0 1,881 1,587 1,797 Sweet potato 23,126 6,296 3,085 11,371 Cassava 12,303 4,053 18,488 9,209 Rice 1,670 2,644 4,310 2,325 Beans/pulse 2,719 789 660 1,282 Sorghum 1,441 69 360 877 Groundnuts 442 1,014 328 728 Vegetables 12,145 3,766 250 7,516 Fruits & Nuts 96,436 544 150 48,424 Tobacco 550 1,204 459 881 Cotton 668 169 0 383 Sugar 0 0 210 105 Tea 0 0 0 0 Coffee 0 300 0 300 Chile/paprika 316 103 18 105 Sunflower 0 107 88 102 Soybeans 17 488 204 389 Source: IFPRI/APRU Malawi Smallholder Farmer Survey, 1998. 314

Table 5.68 – Determinants of perceived changes in household well-being<br />

Regression estimating satisfaction.<br />

Ordered probit estimates Number of obs = 788<br />

LR chi2(33) = 83.03<br />

Prob > chi2 = 0.0000<br />

Log likelihood = -678.93772 Pseudo R2 = 0.0576<br />

------------------------------------------------------------------------------<br />

change | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. <strong>In</strong>terval]<br />

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------<br />

lnexppc | .406353 .0895039 4.54 0.000 .2309285 .5817775<br />

mktsurp | .0077803 .002283 3.41 0.001 .0033056 .0122549<br />

hhsize | .0438986 .0212457 2.07 0.039 .0022577 .0855394<br />

under15p | .187578 .2275164 0.82 0.410 -.258346 .6335019<br />

over65p | .1204971 .5276684 0.23 0.819 -.9137139 1.154708<br />

femhead | -.1383869 .1595446 -0.87 0.386 -.4510886 .1743148<br />

agehead | -.0328966 .0202036 -1.63 0.103 -.0724949 .0067018<br />

age2 | .0003559 .0002306 1.54 0.123 -.0000961 .0008079<br />

edhd1 | .1191716 .1600222 0.74 0.456 -.1944662 .4328094<br />

edhd2 | .3187311 .2563323 1.24 0.214 -.1836709 .8211332<br />

lithead | -.2556237 .1496329 -1.71 0.088 -.5488987 .0376513<br />

edsp1 | -.052409 .1152886 -0.45 0.649 -.2783705 .1735524<br />

edsp2 | .2994468 .3565671 0.84 0.401 -.3994119 .9983054<br />

litsps | .0161757 .1689754 0.10 0.924 -.3150099 .3473614<br />

fsize | -.0246789 .0494431 -0.50 0.618 -.1215855 .0722277<br />

tobgrow | -.257568 .137516 -1.87 0.061 -.5270945 .0119585<br />

irrig | .4312811 .2342161 1.84 0.066 -.0277741 .8903363<br />

connect | -.1826518 .0965741 -1.89 0.059 -.3719335 .0066299<br />

club | .1380023 .1222276 1.13 0.259 -.1015595 .377564<br />

coop | -.040205 .1930921 -0.21 0.835 -.4186586 .3382486<br />

extcont | .1762547 .112696 1.56 0.118 -.0446255 .3971349<br />

chewa | -.1470395 .1988246 -0.74 0.460 -.5367285 .2426496<br />

ngoni | -.0761561 .1917863 -0.40 0.691 -.4520504 .2997382<br />

tumb | .0176262 .1942392 0.09 0.928 -.3630756 .398328<br />

lomw | -.089999 .1965554 -0.46 0.647 -.4752405 .2952426<br />

yawo | -.1152073 .1831193 -0.63 0.529 -.4741145 .2437<br />

distroad | .0500577 .1181076 0.42 0.672 -.1814289 .2815443<br />

radio | .0918288 .1022771 0.90 0.369 -.1086306 .2922883<br />

tv | .0515057 .4801151 0.11 0.915 -.8895026 .9925141<br />

bike | -.0342985 .1013302 -0.34 0.735 -.232902 .164305<br />

mbike | 7.760963 296879.7 0.00 1.000 -581865.7 581881.3<br />

reg1 | -.1653387 .1783722 -0.93 0.354 -.5149418 .1842644<br />

reg2 | -.1702906 .157538 -1.08 0.280 -.4790594 .1384783<br />

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------<br />

_cut1 | 3.042196 .8603625 (Ancillary parameters)<br />

_cut2 | 3.432705 .8616464<br />

------------------------------------------------------------------------------<br />

change | Probability Observed<br />

-------------+-------------------------------------<br />

1 | Pr( xb+u

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