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An Economic Assessment of Banana Genetic Improvement and ...

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18 CHAPTER 2<br />

Figure 2.2 Sites sampled for survey<br />

N<br />

Zaire<br />

Buremba<br />

Butebo<br />

Balawol<br />

Busaana Bulopa<br />

Katikamu<br />

Osukuru<br />

Buyengo<br />

Bamunanika Kisozi Busedde<br />

Nangabo<br />

Budde Kira Mukono Nyenga<br />

Ug<strong>and</strong>a<br />

Bukulula<br />

Karungu<br />

Kyazanga<br />

Kisekka<br />

Lake Victoria<br />

Mutara Nyakayojo<br />

Kyanamukaka<br />

Lw<strong>and</strong>a<br />

Kasasa<br />

Kenya<br />

Kabatsi<br />

Ntungamo Bugomoro<br />

Minziro Ishozi<br />

Kyaka Bwanjai<br />

Kyerwa<br />

Kasharu<br />

Katoro<br />

Kanyangereko<br />

Bujugo<br />

Bugene Rubale<br />

Rw<strong>and</strong>a<br />

Nolama<br />

Surveyed areas<br />

10, Low elevation, nonexposed<br />

Tanzania<br />

11, Low elevation, exposed<br />

Burundi<br />

20, High elevation, nonexposed<br />

21, High elevation, exposed<br />

is defined as the product <strong>of</strong> the sampling<br />

fractions at each level. Weights have been<br />

used in the descriptive analyses presented in<br />

this report.<br />

Industry <strong>An</strong>alysis<br />

The first step in the sectoral analysis was to<br />

identify the range <strong>of</strong> technology options,<br />

through expert <strong>and</strong> stakeholder consultations,<br />

1 based on (1) the size <strong>of</strong> current <strong>and</strong><br />

expected economic losses associated with<br />

specific production constraints <strong>and</strong> (2) the<br />

likelihood that new technologies to mitigate<br />

these losses, <strong>and</strong> that are also suited to the<br />

Ug<strong>and</strong>an context, can be generated.<br />

Five key production constraints were<br />

identified: wilts, 2 weevils, nematodes, black<br />

Sigatoka, <strong>and</strong> soil fertility decline. All five<br />

lead to productivity losses on affected banana<br />

mats, if appropriate interventions are<br />

not made. In some cases, declining productivity<br />

leads to significant reduction in the<br />

productive life cycle <strong>of</strong> affected mats, <strong>and</strong><br />

consequently, <strong>of</strong> the grove or plantation as a<br />

whole.<br />

To address this feature, the analytical<br />

model was formulated as in Figure 2.3. The<br />

1<br />

This included consultations with research managers <strong>and</strong> banana experts from Ug<strong>and</strong>a <strong>and</strong> international research<br />

centers.<br />

2<br />

Both Fusarium <strong>and</strong> bacteria wilt were originally identified, but Fusarium wilt was later omitted from the<br />

analysis to allow more attention to data collection <strong>and</strong> analysis for the rapidly growing interest in assessing the<br />

potential economic threat <strong>of</strong> banana bacteria wilt.

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