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An Economic Assessment of Banana Genetic Improvement and ...

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CHAPTER 2<br />

Elements <strong>of</strong> the Conceptual Framework<br />

<strong>and</strong> Sample Survey Design<br />

Melinda Smale, Svetlana Edmeades, Stanley Wood,<br />

<strong>and</strong> Robert Kalyebara<br />

This chapter presents specific questions posed in this research, elements <strong>of</strong> the conceptual<br />

framework, <strong>and</strong> a synopsis <strong>of</strong> the sample design. Two levels <strong>of</strong> observation <strong>and</strong><br />

analysis are used. At the farm level, the underlying framework is the model <strong>of</strong> the agricultural<br />

household. The economic surplus approach is applied at the industry level. Details<br />

<strong>of</strong> the models are given in each chapter <strong>of</strong> Part III. The sample villages <strong>and</strong> households are<br />

stratified by elevation <strong>and</strong> exposure <strong>of</strong> the surrounding locality to introduction <strong>of</strong> banana<br />

planting material.<br />

Research Questions<br />

Diagnostic research investigates causal relationships <strong>and</strong> describes the nature <strong>of</strong> a situation.<br />

The opportunity to conduct extensive diagnostic research that is farm based during the scientific<br />

process <strong>of</strong> crop improvement is less common than perhaps it should be. Three general<br />

questions were posed. First, what is the status <strong>of</strong> existing banana cultivars <strong>and</strong> management<br />

practices, as well as constraints to production <strong>and</strong> marketing, on farms in the Lake Victoria<br />

region <strong>of</strong> Ug<strong>and</strong>a <strong>and</strong> Tanzania? Second, given these <strong>and</strong> other regulatory constraints, what<br />

are the prospects that banana growers will adopt cultivars with transgenic resistance to pests<br />

<strong>and</strong> diseases? Third, what is the potential impact <strong>of</strong> emerging banana technologies, including<br />

transgenic cultivars, on the banana industry, assuming that farmers adopt them? To answer<br />

these questions, analysis was conducted at the farm <strong>and</strong> industry levels, with a combination <strong>of</strong><br />

tools.<br />

Levels <strong>of</strong> Observation <strong>and</strong> <strong>An</strong>alysis<br />

Each level <strong>of</strong> observation <strong>and</strong> analysis contributes information, <strong>and</strong> each has limitations. Detailed<br />

farm-level analysis from a statistically representative sample is used to identify the determinants<br />

<strong>of</strong> technology use, predict dem<strong>and</strong> for planting material, <strong>and</strong> test hypotheses about<br />

production efficiency <strong>and</strong> labor use. The characterization <strong>of</strong> the banana growers <strong>and</strong> banana<br />

cultivars furnishes a baseline.<br />

Findings from farmer surveys can be generalized only to the extent that the samples are<br />

representative <strong>of</strong> the full geographical domain over which there are potential economic pay<strong>of</strong>fs<br />

from technology use. <strong>An</strong>alyses <strong>of</strong> farmer adoption also fail to provide information about the<br />

12

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