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An Economic Assessment of Banana Genetic Improvement and ...

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CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR RESEARCH POLICY 159<br />

quarter <strong>of</strong> household heads are women.<br />

Both men <strong>and</strong> women participate in cultivar<br />

choice, final production decisions, sales,<br />

<strong>and</strong> beer making, although there seems to<br />

be a more pronounced gender division <strong>of</strong><br />

labor in some tasks in Tanzania.<br />

Participation in banana markets is<br />

patchy, underscoring the semisubsistence<br />

nature <strong>of</strong> banana production for many<br />

households in the region. The rate <strong>of</strong> commercial<br />

sales appears much higher in the<br />

highl<strong>and</strong>s <strong>of</strong> Tanzania than in those <strong>of</strong><br />

Ug<strong>and</strong>a, <strong>and</strong> in both countries, the highl<strong>and</strong>s<br />

regions are much more commercially<br />

oriented than the lowl<strong>and</strong>s.<br />

In Ug<strong>and</strong>a, statistical tests confirm that<br />

expected yield losses from black Sigatoka<br />

differ by elevation, with the geographical<br />

focus <strong>of</strong> the disease in the lowl<strong>and</strong>s. Consistent<br />

with researchers’ observations, cooking<br />

quality <strong>and</strong> yield (bunch size) are the characteristics<br />

that growers consider most important.<br />

Endemic varieties are considered<br />

superior for cooking, <strong>and</strong> hybrids are rated<br />

higher for bunch size <strong>and</strong> resistance to weevils,<br />

though perceived differences for disease<br />

are not statistically significant in<br />

Ug<strong>and</strong>a. Hybrids are rated more highly<br />

across all attributes than endemic types in<br />

Tanzania. As signaled by the Tanzanian<br />

authors in this report, disease pressures<br />

were so great in some areas <strong>of</strong> Kagera Region<br />

that farmers lost their endemic varieties<br />

entirely, leaving no point <strong>of</strong> reference.<br />

Differences in dissemination strategies,<br />

biotic pressures, farmer perceptions, <strong>and</strong> the<br />

geographical scale <strong>of</strong> the area studied probably<br />

contribute to the stark differences in<br />

adoption rates between Ug<strong>and</strong>a <strong>and</strong> Tanzania.<br />

In Ug<strong>and</strong>a, the percentage <strong>of</strong> farmers<br />

using hybrids is negligible when considered<br />

across the full expanse <strong>of</strong> banana-growing<br />

areas, but within targeted villages, use rates<br />

are high. In Tanzania, the 20 varieties most<br />

frequently grown in Kagera Region include<br />

one <strong>of</strong> the FHIA hybrids, <strong>and</strong> roughly one<br />

in five farmers has planted banana hybrids.<br />

Nearly all farmers grow exotic farmers’<br />

cultivars. The rate <strong>of</strong> use <strong>of</strong> recommended<br />

natural resource <strong>and</strong> mat management practices<br />

is much higher in Ug<strong>and</strong>a than the rate<br />

<strong>of</strong> use <strong>of</strong> improved materials, although the<br />

labor intensity <strong>of</strong> these practices means that<br />

typically, only a portion <strong>of</strong> the average plantation<br />

is tended using the practice.<br />

The focal role <strong>of</strong> farmers in planting<br />

material systems, emphasized in the chapters<br />

on banana improvement strategies in<br />

both countries, is confirmed by the baseline<br />

data. In Ug<strong>and</strong>a, there are large numbers <strong>of</strong><br />

exchanges <strong>of</strong> planting material <strong>of</strong> all types,<br />

but more so for nonendemic bananas, including<br />

hybrids bought <strong>and</strong> sold for cash.<br />

Most planting materials are exchanged<br />

without money, in part because initial dissemination<br />

by KCDP was free <strong>of</strong> charge.<br />

The fact that Ug<strong>and</strong>an farmers traversed an<br />

average <strong>of</strong> 15 km for new planting material,<br />

compared to less than 3 km in Tanzania,<br />

indicates that high fixed costs <strong>of</strong> transaction<br />

may also be impeding adoption in Ug<strong>and</strong>a.<br />

The application <strong>of</strong> econometric models<br />

supports several general conclusions related<br />

to adoption <strong>of</strong> existing <strong>and</strong> emerging technologies.<br />

First, findings demonstrated the<br />

potentially pro-poor application <strong>of</strong> transgenic<br />

cooking varieties <strong>and</strong> showed that the<br />

choice <strong>of</strong> host cultivar for trait insertion is<br />

likely to have social consequences. Simulations<br />

illustrate the extent to which supporting<br />

public investments in education, market<br />

infrastructure, <strong>and</strong> extension will augment<br />

farmer dem<strong>and</strong> for new planting material.<br />

The dem<strong>and</strong> for planting material <strong>of</strong> the<br />

cooking varieties that are potential host varieties<br />

for gene insertion varies according to<br />

the characteristics <strong>of</strong> households, farms,<br />

<strong>and</strong> markets <strong>and</strong> the attributes <strong>of</strong> varieties.<br />

In particular, farmers also dem<strong>and</strong> material<br />

with lower expected yield losses to black<br />

Sigatoka <strong>and</strong> weevils—traits targeted for<br />

genetic transformation.<br />

Second, the evidence confirms that<br />

adoption <strong>of</strong> FHIA hybrids reduces the vulnerability<br />

<strong>of</strong> Tanzanian households to yield<br />

losses from pests <strong>and</strong> diseases. For farmers<br />

with few nonfarm sources <strong>of</strong> income, reducing<br />

production risk can smooth both con-

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