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An Economic Assessment of Banana Genetic Improvement and ...

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ASSESSING THE IMPACT OF TECHNOLOGIES IN UGANDA 143<br />

Table 10.2 Estimated yield losses caused by priority banana production constraints in each <strong>of</strong> the six<br />

production systems<br />

Constraint<br />

Typical losses<br />

Loss<br />

(percent)<br />

Year a<br />

High productivity Medium productivity Low productivity<br />

Semicommercial<br />

(percent)<br />

Subsistence<br />

(percent)<br />

Semicommercial<br />

(percent)<br />

Subsistence<br />

(percent)<br />

Semicommercial<br />

(percent)<br />

Subsistence<br />

(percent)<br />

<strong>Banana</strong>weevil 50–70 Fourth 5 10 15 26 40 60<br />

Nematodes 40–60 Fourth 10 15 14 28 23 51<br />

Black Sigatoka 30–50 Third 6 15 18 28 30 50<br />

<strong>Banana</strong> bacteria wilt 80–100 First 58 58 58 58 58 90<br />

Low soil fertility 10–70 >Third 37 58 67 83 80 91<br />

Sources: Compiled by the authors from unpublished sources (such as the National Agricultural Research Organization’s banana program<br />

surveys <strong>and</strong> reports) <strong>and</strong> from Rukazambuga, Gold, <strong>and</strong> Gowen (1998) for weevils, Speijer <strong>and</strong> Kajumba (1996) for nematodes, <strong>and</strong><br />

Okaasai <strong>and</strong> Boa (2004) for bacteria wilt.<br />

Notes: A two-stage process was used to obtain the data. Following an initial review <strong>and</strong> compilation <strong>of</strong> available published <strong>and</strong> unpublished<br />

sources, an expert consultation was undertaken to extrapolate available evidence <strong>and</strong> estimate losses within each production system<br />

category.<br />

a Year <strong>of</strong> plantation cycle in which losses typically become significant.<br />

additional 538 thous<strong>and</strong> tons <strong>and</strong> 46 thous<strong>and</strong><br />

tons, respectively, <strong>of</strong> the total national<br />

banana output (UBOS 2002). Although the<br />

high-productivity areas account for almost<br />

65 percent <strong>of</strong> the total production, they account<br />

for only about 36 percent <strong>of</strong> the area<br />

planted in bananas. Conversely, the lowproductivity<br />

areas occupy some 42 percent<br />

<strong>of</strong> the area in bananas, but they provide<br />

only some 18 percent <strong>of</strong> total output. This<br />

pattern reflects the disparity in yield levels<br />

attained across production systems, ranging<br />

from only 5 tons per ha for the low-productivity<br />

subsistence systems to around 25 tons<br />

per ha among semicommercial producers in<br />

high-productivity areas. Low-yield subsistence-oriented<br />

production represents 40<br />

percent <strong>of</strong> the banana producing area, the<br />

largest area share among the six groups.<br />

Medium- <strong>and</strong> low-yield semicommercial<br />

production each represent only 2 percent <strong>of</strong><br />

the banana area. here> 1near 10.

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