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Facing China's Coal Future - IEA

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<strong>Facing</strong> China’s <strong>Coal</strong> <strong>Future</strong>: Prospects and Challenges for CCS © OECD/<strong>IEA</strong> 2011<br />

Page | 32<br />

CCS demonstration projects and early commercial projects are expected to be more expensive<br />

than later projects, and costs are expected to decline as experience is gained and the technology<br />

moves along its learning curve (Riahi et al., 2004) (Figure 5.1). Public‐private partnerships (PPP)<br />

and targeted incentives need to be further explored at this stage in order to address the<br />

commercial gap, accelerate deployment and drive down both costs and risks. Substantial public<br />

funding support is needed to mitigate high costs and risks, but governmental support levels<br />

should decline with experience, technology improvements and market development.<br />

Figure 12 The commercial gap for CCS technologies<br />

*The commercial gap (additional cost of technologies compared to conventional technology) is a major barrier to large‐scale<br />

demonstration projects and early commercial deployment. Current CCS financing and risk‐sharing mechanisms are insufficient in both<br />

OECD and non‐OECD countries. The extent to which CCS is deployed largely depends on the provision of stronger incentives, industry<br />

developments and international cooperation.<br />

Source: McKinsey, 2008.<br />

A number of CCS financing mechanisms and incentives are available, but none are sufficient to<br />

fully address the magnitude of the commercial gap. There is a strong consensus among experts<br />

in the CCS community that governments must offer a more robust suite of incentive policies and<br />

financing tools to help mobilise large volumes of private capital. There is also an assumption that<br />

OECD member countries must support CCS demonstration projects in developing countries, but<br />

issues related to broad climate policy uncertainties make commitments uncertain. Despite a<br />

number of proposals and discussions on these critical financing issues, there have been limited<br />

policy actions. CCS funding models and financing options remain insufficient in OECD countries<br />

and are just beginning to emerge in developing countries and China. Given the magnitude of CCS<br />

deployment needs both globally and in China, it is crucial to develop financing mechanisms<br />

matched to the scale of the challenge.<br />

Financing sources and schemes<br />

To respond to the large CCS investment challenge for China, there are a number of existing and<br />

potential domestic and international financing options that might be used to advance large‐scale<br />

CCS implementation in China.

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