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Current State of the Market - icmif

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Model change<br />

• Catastrophe models change frequently<br />

– New science, new loss experience<br />

– RMS v11 Europe Windstorm<br />

• Hazard increases<br />

• Explicit clustering<br />

– RMS v11 US Hurricane<br />

• Medium Term Rates<br />

• Storm surge<br />

• In-land filling<br />

• 2011 saw an unprecedented level <strong>of</strong> change<br />

– Especially in Europe & USA<br />

– Around 250 new or upgrades from a total <strong>of</strong> 450 territory peril<br />

combinations<br />

• Model change affects<br />

– Underwriting & business planning<br />

– Portfolio management<br />

– Reinsurance purchasing<br />

– Capital management<br />

– Regulatory<br />

v10<br />

v11<br />

11

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