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BIBLIOGRAPHIC INPUT SHEET TEMPORARY Patterns of mortality ...

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Chapter XVI1.<br />

Changes in Assignments <strong>of</strong> Causes <strong>of</strong> Death<br />

333<br />

in this case infectious diseases. All projects<br />

except those in Chile and Sherbrooke had<br />

some net understatement <strong>of</strong> infectious diseases.<br />

The ratios <strong>of</strong> final assignment to death<br />

certificate assignment are shown in Figure<br />

166 for five infectious diseases and two<br />

groups <strong>of</strong> the remaining infectious diseases.<br />

The largest increase was noted for measles<br />

(81 per cent). The increase for whooping<br />

cough <strong>of</strong> 52 per cent indicated that this<br />

communicable disease <strong>of</strong> childhood was understated<br />

as well. Increases were noted<br />

also for diarrheal disease and other intestinal<br />

infectious diseases. Of the 573<br />

deaths assigned to septicemia from death<br />

certificates, a reduction was made to 322 on<br />

the basis <strong>of</strong> additional information on a<br />

more specific underlying cause.<br />

Fio. 166. Ratio <strong>of</strong> Final Assignments to Death<br />

Certificate Assignments for Infective and Parasitic<br />

Diseases as Underlying Causes in Children Under<br />

5 Yc.nrs <strong>of</strong> Age in 14 Projects Combined.<br />

RATIO<br />

o ,15 .o 1.5 2.0<br />

the additional information; the ratios <strong>of</strong><br />

number on final assignment to that on<br />

death certificate were 2.78 in Chaco Province,<br />

2.66 in Recife, 2.25 in Cartagena, 2.89<br />

in Medellin, and 2.77 in Monterrey. For<br />

these five projects the number <strong>of</strong> deaths that<br />

could have been classified as measles on the<br />

basis <strong>of</strong> death certificate was 337, while the<br />

additional information revealed 899. Therefore,<br />

the Investigation has uncovered the<br />

size <strong>of</strong> this serious problem, against which<br />

action has already been recommended by<br />

the Ministers <strong>of</strong> Health <strong>of</strong> the Americas<br />

(Pan American Health Organization, 1969).<br />

However, if the effects <strong>of</strong> the actions taken<br />

are to be properly evaluated, death certificates<br />

should in the future include this important<br />

underlying cause whenever known.<br />

Figure 167 shows the numbers <strong>of</strong> deaths<br />

from measles derived from death certificates<br />

on final assignment for 11 <strong>of</strong> the 14 projects.<br />

Data for Kingston-St. Andrew and the<br />

two Northern American projects are not<br />

shown because <strong>of</strong> the small numbers <strong>of</strong><br />

deaths involved.<br />

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EQUALITY OF<br />

ASSIGNMENTS<br />

With respect to measles, the assignments<br />

increased from 984 deaths on the basis <strong>of</strong><br />

death certificates to 1,777 on final assignmhent.<br />

Using the death certificates alone,<br />

only 55.4 per cent <strong>of</strong> these deaths found due<br />

to measles could have been classified as<br />

measles. This indicates a serious lack <strong>of</strong> information<br />

regarding this preventable disease.<br />

In several projects the number <strong>of</strong><br />

measles deaths was more than doubled by<br />

Fin. 167. Measles as Underlying Cause Based on<br />

Death Certificates and on Final Assignments in<br />

Children Under 5 Years <strong>of</strong> Age in 11 Latin<br />

American Projects.<br />

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Of DEATHS<br />

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Ml DEATHCERTIFICATE<br />

FINALASSIGNMENT

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