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Problem Set 5 - with solutions - iSites - Harvard University

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John F. Kennedy School of Government<br />

Prof. Robert N. Stavins<br />

Spring 2013<br />

<strong>Harvard</strong> <strong>University</strong><br />

Econ 1661/API-135<br />

PROBLEM SET #5<br />

[Due at the beginning of class on May 1]<br />

1. Pollution Control Instruments in Action (Taxes, CAT)<br />

Two firms can reduce emissions of a pollutant at the following marginal costs:<br />

MC 1 = $24q 1<br />

MC 2 = $8q 2<br />

where q 1 and q 2 are, respectively, the amount of emissions reduced by the first and second firms.<br />

Total pollution-control cost functions for the two firms are, respectively:<br />

TC 1 = $20 + $12(q 1 ) 2<br />

TC 2 = $20 + $4(q 2 ) 2<br />

Assume that <strong>with</strong> no control at all, each firm would be emitting 20 units of emissions (for<br />

aggregate emissions of 40 tons), and assume that there are no significant transaction costs.<br />

a. What are the total industry costs of pollution control (for both firms combined) if a<br />

uniform emission standard is utilized to achieve an aggregate reduction (for both firms<br />

combined) of 8 tons of emissions?<br />

TC 1 = $20 + $12(4) 2 = $212<br />

TC 2 = $20 + $4(4) 2 = $84<br />

Total Costs = $296<br />

b. What are the marginal costs of pollution control for firm #1 and for firm #2?<br />

MC 1 = $24*4 = $96<br />

MC 2 = $8*4 = $32<br />

c. Compute the cost-effective allocation of control responsibility if a total reduction of 8<br />

units of emissions is necessary, i.e. how many units of emissions will each firm reduce<br />

under a cost-effective allocation?<br />

Now we solve two systems of equations: MC 1 = MC 2 and q 1 + q 2 = 8<br />

MC 1 = $24*q 1 = MC 2 = 8*(8 - q 1 )<br />

q 1 = 2<br />

q 2 = 6


d. What are the total industry costs of pollution control (for both firms combined) <strong>with</strong> a<br />

cost-effective allocation of control responsibility?<br />

TC 1 = $20 + $12(2) 2 = $68<br />

TC 2 = $20 + $4(6) 2 = $164<br />

Total Costs = $232<br />

e. What equilibrium allocation of pollution-reduction responsibility will result <strong>with</strong> a<br />

tradable permit approach if firm #1 is freely allocated 14 tons of emissions permits and<br />

firm #2 is freely allocated 18 tons of emissions permits? How will the equilibrium<br />

allocation be affected by a change in the initial allocation?<br />

Under this scenario, there are 32 permits available. We know that aggregate emissions is 40<br />

units if there is no pollution control (20+20 from initial problem construction). This implies that<br />

under the permit system, we would need to reduce emissions by 8 units (40 – 32 = 8 units to<br />

control). This is the same amount of pollution control proposed under part (a). We know that for<br />

this amount of pollution control, the cost effective allocation is q 1 = 2 and q 2 = 6. Assuming no<br />

uncertainty and no transaction costs, a change in the initial allocation will not affect the costeffective<br />

reduction by individual firms.<br />

f. If the authority chose to reach its objective of 8 tons of aggregate reduction <strong>with</strong> an<br />

emission charge, what per-unit charge should be imposed? How much government<br />

revenue will the tax system generate, if the tax is levied on all units of emission?<br />

Emissions charge = MC 1 = $24q 1 = MC 2 = 8q 2 = $48<br />

Tax revenue = $48*(32) = $1536<br />

g. Which policy instrument taxes, tradeable permits, or a uniform standard would you<br />

expect private industry as a whole to prefer (assuming the same target for aggregate<br />

emission reductions in each case)? Why?<br />

Private industry would prefer (freely allocated) tradeable permits, since it minimizes the cost to<br />

industry. Both permits and taxes lead to the cost-effective reduction, but taxes require additional<br />

transfer payments from industry to government. A uniform standard is not cost-effective. Firm #2<br />

alone would prefer the standard, since its total cost is lower than under the permit system.<br />

However, the total cost to industry is minimized under the tradeable permit system.


2. Policy Design<br />

Explain whether the following statement is true, false, or uncertain (no more than one paragraph):<br />

When it comes to climate policy design, more policy instruments are better than fewer. For<br />

example, in the context of US climate change policy, a Federal cap-and-trade program combined<br />

<strong>with</strong> state-level renewable portfolio standards will necessarily lead to more emissions reductions<br />

at lower cost.<br />

False. It depends on how the policy instruments interact <strong>with</strong> each other. This depends on what<br />

types of instruments are being interacted, and whether they are neatly dovetailed (e.g. stringency<br />

increases to the overall cap to account for the inclusion of an RPS) or thrown together for<br />

political expediency.<br />

3. Cap and Trade<br />

Critics of cap-and-trade policies sometimes point out that allowance prices in programs like the<br />

SO 2 Market (Clean Air Act) or the EU ETS exhibit high volatility. Focusing on one of these two<br />

programs in particular, explain a few of the factors that may have contributed to allowance price<br />

volatility. Does this volatility imply that a price instrument would have been preferable from the<br />

standpoint of economic efficiency (in either case)? Please keep your answer to one half page.<br />

Responses could point to one of many possible factors for this question.<br />

- Legislative uncertainty in both cases, particularly in the SO2 program<br />

- Economic recession and reduced demand for permits due to reduced energy demand<br />

- Scientific uncertainty over climate damages and “true shadow price” of carbon<br />

- Policy uncertainty over other interacting policy instruments<br />

- Could also in principle reflect changing marginal abatement costs (or changing<br />

expectations thereof)<br />

Volatility in allowance prices does not necessarily imply that a price instrument would have been<br />

more efficient per se. Arguments can be made either way.<br />

For example, if firms make irreversible investments under uncertainty about the permit price,<br />

then we can make the case that a highly volatile cap and trade system has efficiency losses<br />

compared to a tax.

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