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2000 HSS/PSA Program 1 - History of Science Society

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<strong>HSS</strong> Abstracts<br />

Naomi Oreskes University <strong>of</strong> California, San Diego<br />

Computer Models and the Rise <strong>of</strong> Prediction in the Earth <strong>Science</strong>s<br />

The hypothetico-deductive models <strong>of</strong> science lead many scientists to believe<br />

that prediction is inherent in the scientific method. Yet historically, prediction<br />

has until recently played little role in the earth sciences On the contrary, for<br />

the better part <strong>of</strong> two centuries, most earth scientists eschewed both logical<br />

and temporal prediction, viewing it as beyond the scope <strong>of</strong> their science.<br />

However, in the last two decades, the rise <strong>of</strong> computer-generated numerical<br />

simulation models has led to an radical change in thinking, and temporal<br />

predictions are becoming increasingly common as output from such models.<br />

Indeed, earth scientists now routinely attempt to predict the future. But these<br />

attempts generally meet with failure, or at best only very partial success. Why<br />

are earth scientists making predictions, if they are not generally successful?<br />

Why have they embraced temporal prediction as a goal, when previously they<br />

rejected it? This paper will examine the historical and social context <strong>of</strong> the<br />

rise <strong>of</strong> prediction in the earth sciences in the late twentieth century.<br />

Abena Osseo-Asare Harvard University<br />

Gender and Workplace in the Gold Coast<br />

This paper will address in greater detail the processes by which African mothers,<br />

Women Medical Officers, African health workers and the colonial administration<br />

constructed health care for women and children from 1919-1934. First, I will outline<br />

the initial concern with infant mortality and its relationship to African health practices<br />

and colonial labor needs. Second, I will consider the role <strong>of</strong> European women medical<br />

<strong>of</strong>ficers in advocating infant health. Third, I will discuss the development <strong>of</strong> the<br />

maternity hospital at Korle Bu and midwifery education. Through all <strong>of</strong> this, I will<br />

identify how the multiple constructions <strong>of</strong> women’s labor served to place the onus<br />

<strong>of</strong> the colony’s prosperity on African mothers and underpaid medical <strong>of</strong>ficers. And<br />

finally, I would like to locate midwife training in the context <strong>of</strong> debates over the<br />

training <strong>of</strong> other medical pr<strong>of</strong>essions. Why were colonial <strong>of</strong>ficials reluctant to train<br />

men as physicians or medical <strong>of</strong>ficers, yet willing to train women to be midwives?<br />

134<br />

Donald␣ E. Osterbrock Lick Observatory, University <strong>of</strong> California<br />

Herman Zanstra, Donald Menzel,<br />

and the Zanstra Method <strong>of</strong> Nebular Astrophysics<br />

“Zanstra’s method,” a simple but powerful method <strong>of</strong> measuring the temperature<br />

<strong>of</strong> a hot photoionizing star in a gaseous nebula, was worked out in the early days

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