4.4 Legal risk - Scor
4.4 Legal risk - Scor
4.4 Legal risk - Scor
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and documented before the pricing is completed. SCOR Global P&C employs a data system which allows management to<br />
monitor and review the results from the pricing tools.<br />
Underwriting cross-reviews are initiated by SCOR Global P&C Risk Management to evaluate the quality of underwriting of<br />
particular underwriting units or certain lines of business, to identify <strong>risk</strong>s, to assess the appropriateness and effectiveness of<br />
controls and to propose <strong>risk</strong>-management measures, including mitigating actions.<br />
(e) Risk assessment<br />
Catastrophe management (Cat) is split into three sections under SCOR Global P&C: portfolio accumulation, optimization<br />
and procedures; research and development; and modeling in support of underwriting. Descriptive guidelines for each of the<br />
main business processes are available: ‘catastrophe methodologies’, ‘data quality & modeling’, ‘accumulation control’, , ‘Cat<br />
pricing’ and ‘system & processes’. For Cat pricing, a matrix organization described in the guidelines has been implemented<br />
in each Hub, distributing the responsibility of Cat pricing to the Cat modelers, the pricing actuaries or the underwriter. In<br />
addition, a system of Cat referrals has been introduced in excess of a given threshold.<br />
For all SCOR's property business, it evaluates the accumulations generated by potential natural events and other <strong>risk</strong>s.<br />
Pursuant to the rules and procedures, Regional Managers from SCOR’s natural catastrophes <strong>risk</strong>s modeling team monitor<br />
the structure of the portfolio for each region or country and the data is consolidated under the supervision of the Head of<br />
natural catastrophes <strong>risk</strong>s modeling.<br />
The Group tracks natural catastrophe accumulation (earthquakes, wind and flood perils…) for all exposed countries<br />
worldwide. Depending on the region of the world and the peril in question, it uses a variety of techniques to evaluate and<br />
manage its total exposure. The Group quantifies this exposure in terms of a maximum commitment. It defines this maximum<br />
commitment, taking into account policy limits, as the potential maximum loss caused by a catastrophe affecting a<br />
geographic area, such as a storm, hurricane or earthquake, and occurring within a given return period. SCOR estimates that<br />
its potential maximum losses for catastrophes, before retrocession, come from windstorms in Europe, hurricanes in the U.S.,<br />
typhoons in Japan or from earthquakes in Japan or the U.S.<br />
The Group makes extensive use of proprietary external models from industry-leading catastrophe model suppliers, including<br />
Risk Management Solutions RiskLink® (“RMS”) and AIR Worldwide Catrader® (“AIR”), and licenses all the region/peril<br />
combinations available from each vendor. In addition, it has access to local cat model expertise for Australia from Risk<br />
Frontiers, a commercial provider of tools developed at Macquarie University. Access to multiple external models allows the<br />
Group to better appreciate the strengths and limitations of each model and make adjustments where appropriate, and it is<br />
well equipped with alumni from AIR and RMS within the Natural Catastrophe Risk Modeling team.<br />
In 2012 and 2011, SCOR has operationally used the RMS modeling results format as its common framework for assessing<br />
accumulations of natural catastrophe <strong>risk</strong>, including catastrophe <strong>risk</strong> management controls (Capacity Monitoring) and<br />
provision of data to its internal capital models, and retrocession department.<br />
These tools enable the Group to quantify its exposure in terms of a probable maximum loss (“PML”) at various levels of<br />
probability for each peril and geographic location. The overall aggregate annual PML per peril, allowing for potential multiple<br />
events, provides the information required to determine the level of retrocession and other alternative <strong>risk</strong> transfer solutions<br />
(e.g., catastrophe bonds) that are needed to ensure that the net aggregate exposure remains within predefined tolerance<br />
limits.<br />
The probabilistic catastrophe modeling approach captures the uncertainty related to the likelihood of a given event occurring<br />
(frequency uncertainty) as well as the uncertainty associated with the amount of loss, given that a particular event has<br />
occurred (severity uncertainty). A sound understanding of the uncertainties associated with the model’s key parameters is<br />
essential for the interpretation of the model outcome and thus for decision-making. The outcomes for each model describe a<br />
bandwidth of loss estimates and not a unique value. In order to identify and stress-test the key parameters, systematic<br />
sensitivity analyses are carried out.<br />
For peril/zones where neither internal nor external models are available, the following approaches are used:<br />
• Pricing is performed based on actuarial techniques using historical losses and other benchmarks.<br />
• Accumulations are performed either on a notional basis (i.e. sum of event limits for underwritten share), or on a<br />
“manual PML” basis, applying a mean damage ratio to the peak zone aggregates.<br />
This method is validated by the Research & Development Cat team, who performs comparative studies with other<br />
peril/zones of similar hazard and vulnerability characteristics.<br />
(f) Concentration <strong>risk</strong>s related to broker business<br />
SCOR produces its Non-Life business both through brokers and through direct relationships with insurance company clients.<br />
For the year ended 31 December 2012, approximately 65% of Non-Life gross premiums were produced through brokers. In<br />
2012, SCOR had two brokers that accounted for approximately 34% of its Non-Life gross premiums. The <strong>risk</strong> of SCOR is<br />
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