Forests Sourcebook - HCV Resource Network
Forests Sourcebook - HCV Resource Network Forests Sourcebook - HCV Resource Network
Use tools to test assumptions underlying projects. Tools can include the conceptual model (see box 4.15), threat rating, and results chains (see box 4.16). 2 Often project teams will develop a project without fully understanding or describing the context within which they are trying to work. The selection of the project approach may be driven by factors other than ground realities, and may not be the optimal approach from a strategic point of view. Furthermore, when assumptions are not explicit, the project team cannot test them and learn over time whether the assumptions are valid. The tools used to test assumptions should provide a succinct and powerful representation of what is happening at the project site. Thus, they can serve as excellent communications tools and important planning tools for the project team. Through the process of building the model together, the team should come to consensus on key forces influencing the objectives of the project and identify some high leverage points for intervention. The modeling process and model should also help teams determine where to set goals and objectives and what causal links they need to be testing (see Box. 4.17). Box 4.16 Tools for Clarifying and Testing Assumptions: Results Chains The results chain is a tool that clarifies assumptions about the way in which specific strategies are believed to lead to achieving a desired impact. In the conservation context, results chains show how strategies contribute to reducing threats and achieving the conservation of biodiversity or thematic targets. They are diagrams that map out a series of causal statements that link factors in an “if…then” fashion (Foundations of Success 2005). The basis for a results chain comes from a conceptual model, but, as illustrated in the example below, results chains build on that model to make the logic more specific and to change the boxes from neutral factors to results the team wants to see. Extracted from the conceptual model Lobby government on development policies Gov’t policies favorable to urban development Rapid urbanization Clearing for new home construction Forest corridors Converted to a results chain Lobby government on development policies Gov’t officials knowledgeable of problems with urban development Gov’t policies discourage rapid urban development Pace of urbanization slowed Decrease in clearing for new home construction Forest corridors maintained Potential indicators Number of government officials reached Source: Foundations of Success 2005. Number of government officials able to cite at least three negative side effects of rapid urban development Presence of new policies discouraging rapid urban development Presence of new policies encouraging “smart” growth Annual rate of urbanization Number of sq km cleared for new homes Number of forest patches connected by corridors Average width of corridors Number of key species using corridors Results chains are important tools for making assumptions explicit and facilitating their testing. In this example, one of the strategies this project team is undertaking is lobbying government to discourage policies favorable to urban development that have led to clearing of forest corridors for new home construction. The results chain shows the team’s assumptions: “If we lobby government officials on development policies, then government officials will be more knowledgeable of the problems associated with urban development. If they are more knowledgeable, they will develop policies that discourage rapid urban development. If they develop these policies, the pace of urbanization will slow.…” The results chain lays out the logic stepby-step and provides a basis for developing indicators that will help the project team determine if the logic holds. If it does not, they will be able to quickly determine where in the chain their logic is faulty. Or, as illustrated in figure 4.1, they should investigate whether the project failure was due to poor implementation. 146 CHAPTER 4: OPTIMIZING FOREST FUNCTIONS IN A LANDSCAPE
Another important and useful process for determining where to intervene and what action to take is a threat rating process (examples of threat rating processes are available in Conservation Measures Partnership 2007; Margoluis and Salafsky 1998; The Nature Conservancy 2006). This process involves rating the direct threats identified in a model to help teams determine which threats are the most important to address. This prioritization is particularly important in light of the fact that project resources are often limited and teams must make strategic choices. Derive monitoring indicators from models that make project assumptions explicit. By explicitly specifying the most important factors affecting project sites and laying out the logic behind project activities, it is possible to narrow down a vast universe of data to the most important factors. In box 4.16, the example indicates that the main factor affecting forest corridors is clearing for new home construction. If this is the case, the project team should not be collecting data related to clearing for other purposes, such as agriculture or timber harvesting—unless, in going through the adaptive management process, the team learns that these are important threats. Likewise, the diagram in box 4.16 provides a concrete example of how a results chain would help a team identify indicators to test whether the strategies they chose are having an impact. Explicitly define the time frame and chronology of events necessary for achieving desired impacts. Results chains and other tools can help teams specify the chronology of changes that must occur to achieve their desired effect. As figure 4.3 illustrates, results take longer to materialize as one goes further down the chain. A results chain can help the team be very clear about when it is realistic to see changes as a result of their intervention and help them communicate this information to key stakeholders. For example, the project team for the watershed site should not commit that stakeholders will see any changes in clearing for new home construction as a result of their lobbying efforts until 2013. Program managers often have their own project cycles for identifying, assisting, supervising, and evaluating projects. To encourage these projects to follow an adaptive management approach, program managers must be engaged as early as possible. Operationally, adaptive management support to projects might involve any of the following: ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ Help partners and stakeholders understand the value of the adaptive management process, which might require that managers engage in awareness-raising about adaptive management. Help project teams do adaptive management. Specifically, help them use a systematic process to develop sound strategic plans that will allow them to monitor their project’s progress and make adjustments during the course of the project. This might be done through – one-on-one technical assistance from the program manager, another staff person, or a contracted consultant; – facilitated planning workshops in which one or multiple project teams participate; or – a formal training course in strategic planning (in a classroom setting or online). 3 View failures and challenges as learning opportunities. This requires not penalizing project teams for poor performance, especially when they have been reflective and identified important lessons for current and future actions. Allow projects to change as they proceed. Adaptive management involves constant adjustments as teams expand their understanding of their sites and test their assumptions. Managers need to recognize the need for change and even encourage projects to change, as needed, when project teams make a good case for changing course. Require that impact evaluations be based on the planning work project teams have done through the adaptive management process. If an external consultant undertakes an evaluation of a project that has gone through a good adaptive management process, the consultant should use the assumptions teams originally documented (through tools such as conceptual models and results chains) and the goals and objectives they developed as the primary framework for the evaluation. However, there should be flexibility for situations in which project teams have not done a thorough job formulating their plans. Figure 4.3 Timing of Outcomes and Impacts Lobby government on development policies Government officials knowledgeable of problems with urban development Government policies discourage rapid urban development Pace of urbanization slowed Decrease in clearing for new home construction Forest corridors maintained Occurs 2007 Occurs 2008 Occurs 2010 Occurs 2013 Occurs 2013 Occurs 2015 NOTE 4.3: USING ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT TO IMPROVE PROJECT IMPLEMENTATION 147
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Another important and useful process for determining<br />
where to intervene and what action to take is a threat rating<br />
process (examples of threat rating processes are available in<br />
Conservation Measures Partnership 2007; Margoluis and<br />
Salafsky 1998; The Nature Conservancy 2006). This process<br />
involves rating the direct threats identified in a model to<br />
help teams determine which threats are the most important<br />
to address. This prioritization is particularly important in<br />
light of the fact that project resources are often limited and<br />
teams must make strategic choices.<br />
Derive monitoring indicators from models that<br />
make project assumptions explicit. By explicitly specifying<br />
the most important factors affecting project sites and<br />
laying out the logic behind project activities, it is possible to<br />
narrow down a vast universe of data to the most important<br />
factors. In box 4.16, the example indicates that the main factor<br />
affecting forest corridors is clearing for new home construction.<br />
If this is the case, the project team should not be<br />
collecting data related to clearing for other purposes, such<br />
as agriculture or timber harvesting—unless, in going<br />
through the adaptive management process, the team learns<br />
that these are important threats. Likewise, the diagram in<br />
box 4.16 provides a concrete example of how a results chain<br />
would help a team identify indicators to test whether the<br />
strategies they chose are having an impact.<br />
Explicitly define the time frame and chronology of<br />
events necessary for achieving desired impacts.<br />
Results chains and other tools can help teams specify the<br />
chronology of changes that must occur to achieve their<br />
desired effect. As figure 4.3 illustrates, results take longer to<br />
materialize as one goes further down the chain. A results<br />
chain can help the team be very clear about when it is realistic<br />
to see changes as a result of their intervention and help<br />
them communicate this information to key stakeholders.<br />
For example, the project team for the watershed site should<br />
not commit that stakeholders will see any changes in clearing<br />
for new home construction as a result of their lobbying<br />
efforts until 2013.<br />
Program managers often have their own project cycles<br />
for identifying, assisting, supervising, and evaluating projects.<br />
To encourage these projects to follow an adaptive management<br />
approach, program managers must be engaged as<br />
early as possible. Operationally, adaptive management support<br />
to projects might involve any of the following:<br />
■<br />
■<br />
■<br />
■<br />
■<br />
Help partners and stakeholders understand the value of the<br />
adaptive management process, which might require that<br />
managers engage in awareness-raising about adaptive<br />
management.<br />
Help project teams do adaptive management. Specifically,<br />
help them use a systematic process to develop sound<br />
strategic plans that will allow them to monitor their project’s<br />
progress and make adjustments during the course<br />
of the project. This might be done through<br />
– one-on-one technical assistance from the program manager,<br />
another staff person, or a contracted consultant;<br />
– facilitated planning workshops in which one or multiple<br />
project teams participate; or<br />
– a formal training course in strategic planning (in a<br />
classroom setting or online). 3<br />
View failures and challenges as learning opportunities.<br />
This requires not penalizing project teams for poor performance,<br />
especially when they have been reflective and<br />
identified important lessons for current and future<br />
actions.<br />
Allow projects to change as they proceed. Adaptive management<br />
involves constant adjustments as teams expand<br />
their understanding of their sites and test their assumptions.<br />
Managers need to recognize the need for change<br />
and even encourage projects to change, as needed, when<br />
project teams make a good case for changing course.<br />
Require that impact evaluations be based on the planning<br />
work project teams have done through the adaptive management<br />
process. If an external consultant undertakes an<br />
evaluation of a project that has gone through a good<br />
adaptive management process, the consultant should use<br />
the assumptions teams originally documented (through<br />
tools such as conceptual models and results chains) and<br />
the goals and objectives they developed as the primary<br />
framework for the evaluation. However, there should be<br />
flexibility for situations in which project teams have not<br />
done a thorough job formulating their plans.<br />
Figure 4.3<br />
Timing of Outcomes and Impacts<br />
Lobby<br />
government on<br />
development<br />
policies<br />
Government<br />
officials knowledgeable<br />
of problems with<br />
urban development<br />
Government<br />
policies discourage<br />
rapid urban<br />
development<br />
Pace of<br />
urbanization<br />
slowed<br />
Decrease in<br />
clearing for<br />
new home<br />
construction<br />
Forest<br />
corridors<br />
maintained<br />
Occurs 2007<br />
Occurs 2008<br />
Occurs 2010<br />
Occurs 2013<br />
Occurs 2013<br />
Occurs 2015<br />
NOTE 4.3: USING ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT TO IMPROVE PROJECT IMPLEMENTATION 147