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MAY 2012 | infrastructureinvestor.com<br />

FOR THE WORLD’S INFRASTRUCTURE MARKETS<br />

MEXICO<br />

An Intelligence Report<br />

THE BIG PICTURE<br />

Creating a world-class logistics platform<br />

TRANSPORT<br />

The 10km-a-day road programme<br />

HEALTHCARE<br />

The story of the $6bn-plus hospital PPP<br />

FINANCE: CREATING<br />

SOLUTIONS<br />

Channelling pension fund investment<br />

A NEW PPP LAW<br />

How PPPs are set to change<br />

procurement<br />

WIND POWER:<br />

CLEAN COMPETITION<br />

To compete, no subsidies needed<br />

IN ASSOCIATION WITH:


About PEI<br />

PEI is the leading financial information group dedicated<br />

to the alternative asset classes of infrastructure, private<br />

equity and real estate globally.<br />

Two things set PEI apart. The first is our global remit.<br />

The industries we cover are inherently international<br />

and resolutely cross-border, and can only be covered<br />

effectively by a publishing company that can connect with<br />

them in every market and in any time zone. That’s why<br />

PEI has offices in London, New York, Singapore and Hong<br />

Kong, with a dedicated team in each location – allowing<br />

us to identify and analyse the market’s big picture trends.<br />

The second and most important difference is the quality<br />

of our news, insight and intelligence. Our marketleading<br />

publications include Infrastructure Investor and<br />

www.infrastructureinvestor.com. Our agenda-setting<br />

conferences attract the industry’s top players from across<br />

the world. Our library of books, directories and databases<br />

provide vital know-how and analysis on fundamental<br />

aspects of alternative assets.<br />

LONDON<br />

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Tel: +44 20 7566 5444<br />

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1 Wellington Street<br />

Central, Hong Kong<br />

Tel: +852 3182 7532


m ay 2012 i n f r a s t r u c t u r e investor: mexico intelligence report pa g e 1<br />

Seizing the day<br />

editor’s letter<br />

Editorial Director:<br />

Philip Borel<br />

+44 20 7566 5434<br />

philip.b@peimedia.com<br />

Senior Editor:<br />

Andy Thomson<br />

+44 20 7566 5435<br />

andy.t@peimedia.com<br />

Associate Editor:<br />

Bruno Alves<br />

+44 20 7566 5446<br />

bruno.a@peimedia.com<br />

Senior Reporter:<br />

Chris Glynn<br />

+1 646 545 4429<br />

chris.g@peimedia.com<br />

Contributor:<br />

Maria Gallucci<br />

Commercial Director:<br />

Matthew White<br />

+44 20 7566 4280<br />

matthew.w@peimedia.com<br />

Special Projects Manager [Infrastructure]<br />

Ram Kumar<br />

+44 207 566 5474<br />

ram.k@peimedia.com<br />

Head of Production:<br />

Tian Mullarkey<br />

+44 20 7566 5436<br />

tian.m@peimedia.com<br />

Subscriptions & Reprints:<br />

Fran Hobson<br />

fran.h@peimedia.com<br />

+44 20 7566 5444<br />

+1 212 645 1919 [Americas]<br />

+65 6838 4536 [Asia]<br />

Publishing Director:<br />

Paul McLean<br />

+44 20 7566 5456<br />

paul.m@peimedia.com<br />

Group Managing Director:<br />

Tim McLoughlin<br />

+44 20 7566 5276<br />

tim.m@peimedia.com<br />

Co-founders:<br />

Richard O’Donohoe<br />

David Hawkins<br />

Published by PEI Ltd.<br />

www.InfrastructureInvestor.com<br />

Second chances are rare – in life, in work, in nation-building – and those who are<br />

able to seize them are rarer still. But a second chance is precisely what the Mexican<br />

infrastructure market is now facing – the kind of fork in the road where, if the<br />

right direction is chosen, Mexico may be catapulted into the A-list of emerging<br />

infrastructure markets.<br />

In a way, President Felipe Calderón’s administration was a little unlucky.<br />

It came to power with the ambition and political drive to transform Mexico into<br />

a world-class logistics platform, leveraging its proximity to the United States to leap-frog the country up world<br />

competitiveness ratings – and, in the process, improve the lives of its 115 million inhabitants, nearly half of<br />

which still live below the poverty line.<br />

In order to do this, President Calderón proceeded to implement the sort of mechanisms many developed<br />

infrastructure markets still lack. He drafted a five-year, $234 billion National Infrastructure Plan (NIP),<br />

outlining some 300 projects covering the breadth and length of infrastructure sectors.<br />

He courted foreign companies openly, attracting marquee infrastructure names like Australian investor<br />

Macquarie Group and law firm <strong>Greenberg</strong> <strong>Traurig</strong> – both profiled in this report – to set up shop in the country.<br />

While other countries spoke wistfully of attracting pension fund investment into infrastructure, Calderón’s<br />

administration rolled up its sleeves, changed regulations, and created an instrument – capital development<br />

certificates (CKDs) – that will allow the country’s pension funds to channel up to $15 billion into Mexican<br />

infrastructure.<br />

Not content with having a development bank, Banobras, to help fund infrastructure projects on the<br />

debt side, the government created the National Infrastructure Fund (Fonadin) to do whatever it takes, on the<br />

equity side, to make socially important projects as bankable as they can be.<br />

But as resourceful as the Calderón administration was, the Mexican infrastructure market arguably<br />

failed to catch fire with international investors. Part of the reason for that was timing. The NIP launched in<br />

2007 and, in 2008, the global financial crisis burst onto the stage.<br />

There were also other problems. The NIP outlined 300 projects, but as Fonadin head Federico Patiño<br />

puts it in these pages, “not all of those 300 projects were ready – some of them were in different maturity<br />

stages”. Others were less charitable, and said many of those 300 projects were not projects per se, but rather ideas.<br />

A recent report by Mexican audit body Auditoria Superior de la Federacion (ASF), analysing 80 infrastructure<br />

projects procured between 1999 and 2010, was particularly damning, pointing out that 65 percent<br />

of projects started construction without having a completed project spec backing them. As a result, the ASF<br />

said the vast majority of these projects – encompassing both public and private works – went over budget and<br />

were delivered late.<br />

But these stumbles aside, the NIP created two very important conditions: firstly, it set in place all of<br />

the ingredients for successful private sector infrastructure procurement; and secondly, it created momentum.<br />

The final, and probably one of the most important pieces of the Mexican infrastructure puzzle, fell<br />

into place last December, when, after three years of arduous discussion, Congress passed the country’s first<br />

public-private partnership (PPP) law, infusing investors with renewed confidence in the infrastructure market.<br />

With a second edition of NIP around the corner and with the two main parties currently disputing the<br />

July 1 presidential elections firmly committed to developing Mexican infrastructure, the stage appears to be<br />

set for Mexico to experience a decade of remarkable growth.<br />

But like all those who are offered a second chance, it will be up to Mexico’s new rulers to fully seize the day.<br />

Enjoy the report,<br />

Bruno Alves<br />

Editor, InfrastructureInvestor.com<br />

bruno.a@peimedia.com


pa g e 2 i n f r a s t r u c t u r e investor: mexico intelligence report m ay 2012<br />

contents<br />

MEXICO<br />

An Intelligence Report<br />

3. INTRODUCTION<br />

BUILDING ON FIRST STEPS<br />

Mexico has recognised the importance of infrastructure to its economy<br />

with some bold initiatives, notably a new PPP law<br />

7. INTERVIEW: JOSÉ ANTONIO MEADE KURIBREÑA,<br />

MINISTER OF FINANCE<br />

THE BIG PICTURE<br />

The Finance Minister tells of transforming Mexico ‘into a world class<br />

logistics platform’<br />

12. INTERVIEW: GABRIELA HERNÁNDEZ CARDOSO,<br />

PRESIDENT & CHIEF EXECUTIVE, GE MEXICO<br />

SUPPLYING AN ENERGY BOOST<br />

Why Mexico is a key market in the context of expected Latin American<br />

growth<br />

14. GUEST ARTICLE: GE<br />

WIND POWER AS A CATALYST FOR DEVELOPMENT<br />

Rafael Alcalde Navarro talks about wind power potential in Mexico<br />

16. INTERVIEW: FEDERICO PATIÑO, FONADIN<br />

THE FACILITATOR<br />

On making projects bankable and Fonadin’s role in kick-starting the<br />

local infrastructure fund market<br />

18. INTERVIEW: JUAN MANUEL GONZÁLEZ AND PEDRO<br />

J. RESÉNDEZ, GREENBERG TRAURIG<br />

GREENBERG TRAURIG’S INTEGRATED INFRA<br />

APPROACH<br />

The two lawyers tell why the firm decided to set up shop in Mexico<br />

24. INTERVIEW: DIONISIO ANTONIO PÉREZ-JÁCOME<br />

FRISCIONE, MINISTER OF TELECOMMUNICATIONS<br />

AND TRANSPORT<br />

BETTER CONNECTING MEXICO<br />

On road-building 10km a day and bringing the country firmly into the<br />

digital age<br />

28. INTERVIEW: MARK RAMSEY, MACQUARIE CAPITAL,<br />

MEXICO<br />

‘THE TRUE INTENT IS THERE’<br />

The story behind a first-of-its-kind emerging markets infrastructure<br />

fund<br />

31. INTERVIEW: MIGUEL DONOVAN, DIRECTOR<br />

GENERAL, CURRIE & BROWN MEXICO<br />

PROCUREMENT REVOLUTION<br />

How the country’s hospital PPP programme was the start of a sea<br />

change in infrastructure procurement<br />

34. INTERVIEW: SANTIAGO SEPULVEDA, PARTNER,<br />

CREEL, GARCÍA-CUÉLLAR, AIZA Y ENRIQUEZ<br />

‘A WHOLE TOWN GREW’<br />

The lawyer speaks of the transformational impact of infrastructure<br />

projects for the wider economy<br />

36. GUEST ARTICLE: CREEL, GARCÍA-CUÉLLAR,<br />

AIZA Y ENRIQUEZ<br />

POWERING MEXICO’S NORTHWEST<br />

Sepulveda sheds some light on the Federal Electricity Commission’s<br />

$6bn-plus Northwest Project<br />

21. GUEST ARTICLE: GREENBERG TRAURIG<br />

ARE CONDITIONS RIPE FOR SIGNIFICANT GROWTH IN<br />

MEXICAN INFRA?<br />

González and Reséndez argue all the pieces are in place for a decade of<br />

infrastructure growth


m ay 2012 i n f r a s t r u c t u r e investor: mexico intelligence report pa g e 3<br />

introduction<br />

m e x i c o i n t e l l i g e n c e r e p o r t 2 0 1 2<br />

Building on first steps<br />

President Calderón has recognised the importance of infrastructure to Mexico’s<br />

economy with some bold initiatives, notably a new public-private partnership law.<br />

With elections around the corner, stakeholders are hoping that the momentum will be<br />

maintained<br />

When Mexican President Felipe Calderón<br />

took office six years ago he set out to transform<br />

the nation’s languishing infrastructure<br />

sector into a critical driver of economic<br />

development and employment across<br />

Mexico.<br />

His administration quickly launched<br />

the National Infrastructure Plan 2007-<br />

2012, which calls for close to $234 billion<br />

in public and private infrastructure<br />

investments and identifies some 300<br />

projects in numerous sectors, including<br />

toll roads, seaports, oil and gas production<br />

and water distribution systems. Infrastructure<br />

spending in Mexico has since<br />

jumped from the lowest among Latin<br />

American nations to about 4.5 percent<br />

of its gross domestic product (GDP).<br />

Analysts herald the infrastructure<br />

plan as a successful first step toward the<br />

country’s economic rise. They say the<br />

new public-private partnership (PPP)<br />

law, authorised by Congress in January,<br />

will enable more contracts and foreign<br />

investment to enter Mexico at a faster<br />

clip.<br />

“There is little doubt that Mexico is<br />

very well positioned right now to have a<br />

decade’s worth of growth, similar to what<br />

you saw in Brazil 10 or 15 years ago,” says<br />

Antonio Garza, a former US ambassador<br />

to Mexico and counsel in Mexico City for<br />

White & Case, a global law firm.<br />

But Calderón’s first and final term<br />

is winding down as the July 1 elections<br />

draw near. The two leading candidates<br />

for Mexico’s presidency are both promising<br />

drastic changes for the nation<br />

of nearly 115 million people. The private<br />

sector, however, is optimistic that<br />

Calderón: outgoing President spearheaded<br />

$234bn infra plan<br />

whoever wins at the ballot box will stay<br />

committed to Calderón’s ambitious infrastructure<br />

plans.<br />

“There is a general sense in this<br />

country that [the next leader] has to<br />

continue to […] make attracting capital<br />

and investing in infrastructure more<br />

competitive,” says Garza.<br />

The National Infrastructure<br />

Plan<br />

Shortly after becoming president in December<br />

2006, Calderón unveiled ‘Mexico 2030’,<br />

his long-term vision for improvements in<br />

five key areas: national security; social equality;<br />

environmental sustainability; a more<br />

accountable government; plus economic<br />

competitiveness and job creation. In that<br />

last area, goals included bumping Mexico<br />

into the top 25 countries on indices for<br />

global competitiveness and infrastructure.<br />

The World Economic Forum currently<br />

ranks Mexico 58th out of 125 countries for<br />

competitiveness and 64th for infrastructure.<br />

To accomplish those economic<br />

targets, the Calderón administration<br />

launched its National Infrastructure Plan<br />

in July 2007, outlining a five-year-long<br />

programme to drive public and private<br />

investments of $234 billion by 2012 – a<br />

50 percent increase over the last administration.<br />

Along with increasing national competitiveness,<br />

the policy aims to improve<br />

life for all Mexicans – nearly half the<br />

country lives below the poverty line –<br />

by building better water, electricity and<br />

sewage systems and constructing more<br />

schools and hospitals. The administration<br />

also wants to make Mexico one<br />

of the world’s key logistical platforms,<br />

where goods and services can flow freely<br />

in and out of the country’s ports and<br />

airports.<br />

Calderón’s plan signaled a major<br />

departure from the way Mexico had<br />

addressed infrastructure spending in the<br />

past. Previous administrations offered<br />

limited public resources and few financing<br />

mechanisms to the private sector, and<br />

aggressively targeted specific projects –<br />

namely, toll roads and highways – rather<br />

than a more comprehensive approach.<br />

Since the start of the initiative, Calderón<br />

has earmarked more than $200<br />

billion for infrastructure investment by<br />

the public sector.<br />

“One of the highlights of the current


pa g e 4 i n f r a s t r u c t u r e investor: mexico intelligence report m ay 2012<br />

introduction<br />

administration is that they define an integral<br />

infrastructure programme. They<br />

consider the needs of each sector,” says<br />

Alejandro Villarreal, a partner at KPMG’s<br />

global infrastructure and projects group<br />

in Mexico City.<br />

Tapping into oil & gas<br />

Nearly half of Calderón’s infrastructure plan<br />

is geared toward investments in the statecontrolled<br />

oil and gas industry. Mexico’s<br />

daily oil output has fallen dramatically over<br />

the past decade as onshore reserves dry up,<br />

heightening the need for private capital<br />

and foreign expertise in boosting offshore<br />

oil exploration and improving production<br />

on land.<br />

The country’s oil monopoly Petróleos<br />

Mexicanos (Pemex), the world’s fifthlargest<br />

oil exporter, is the only company<br />

that can build and operate oil refineries<br />

or hold rights to extracted crude oil.<br />

Under past administrations, companies<br />

that contracted with Pemex for crude<br />

drilling projects signed set-fee agreements,<br />

with no extra benefits for successful<br />

oil production and little flexibility to<br />

implement new technologies during the<br />

life of the contract.<br />

Calderón’s 2008 energy reform<br />

aimed to loosen Pemex’s grip on the<br />

country’s oil industry and usher in more<br />

private sector involvement. While Pemex<br />

still holds full rights to Mexico’s oil<br />

reserves and crude, the monopoly now<br />

offers incentive-based contracts (IBCs)<br />

to private energy firms. The contracts<br />

allow companies to collect performancebased<br />

cash payments if oil production<br />

exceeds established targets, as well as<br />

payments for using energy-efficient and<br />

cutting-edge technologies or for keeping<br />

production costs down.<br />

Pemex has since awarded three IBCs<br />

for the right to drill oil fields: one to<br />

Schlumberger, the world’s largest oilfield<br />

services provider, and two to Petrofac,<br />

a London-based oil services company.<br />

Each of the three oil fields requires a<br />

minimum investment of $250 million<br />

Vicente Corta Fernández<br />

and could reach five or six times that,<br />

according to Pemex.<br />

Brazilian firm Braskem – which is<br />

owned by Brazilian developer Odebrecht<br />

and is the largest petrochemical company<br />

in the Americas – recently formed<br />

a joint venture with Mexican petrochemical<br />

group Idesa. The firms have signed<br />

a $2.5 billion agreement with Pemex to<br />

invest in and supply raw materials for a<br />

petrochemical complex called Etileno<br />

XXI, to be built in Veracruz.<br />

“Pemex is opening up the petrochemical<br />

sector to private investment, and<br />

the Etileno XXI polyethylene project<br />

[…] represents the first investment by<br />

a Brazilian company in Mexico of that<br />

magnitude. We are looking for increased<br />

investment from Brazil in coming years,”<br />

says Sean Goldstein, a partner with White<br />

& Case in Mexico City.<br />

Other staples: Transit,<br />

electricity & water<br />

The remainder of Calderon’s National<br />

Infrastructure Plan calls for $35 billion for<br />

electricity generation, as well as $26.5 billion<br />

for roads and $26.1 billion for telecommunications.<br />

Water and sewerage systems would<br />

get $18.6 billion with seaports, airports and<br />

railroads amounting to $16.6 billion. Hidrocarbons,<br />

at $110.9 billion, round out the rest<br />

of the National Infrastructure Plan.<br />

To help finance these projects, in<br />

February 2008 the government created<br />

the National Infrastructure Fund (Fonadin)<br />

under the auspices of Banobras,<br />

Mexico’s state-owned development bank.<br />

Each year, the Congress approves a set<br />

amount of funding for government agencies<br />

involved in public-private projects.<br />

The agencies can apply the funds to<br />

grants, loans and guarantees worth up<br />

to half of the project’s investments, as<br />

long as the private partner provides the<br />

other half.<br />

“Fonadin offers special guarantees<br />

or direct investment in these projects<br />

in order to increase the confidence of<br />

investors,” says Astra Castillo, director<br />

of infrastructure and project finance<br />

for Fitch Ratings Mexico. “The trust is<br />

intended to support the investors.”<br />

The fund makes investments in four<br />

major areas: highways, roads and bridges;<br />

water, irrigation, drainage and sanitation;<br />

railroads, ports, airports, urban<br />

and inter-urban transport; and projects<br />

designed to preserve the environment<br />

and biodiversity.<br />

The Calderón administration has<br />

enabled Fonadin to invest some $757<br />

million in capital development certificates<br />

(CKDs), which are structured as<br />

capital funds to be exclusively acquired<br />

by authorised institutional investors,<br />

namely the private pension fund managers,<br />

called Afores. Fonadin’s participation<br />

will be capped at 20 percent.<br />

“That may help in the future to<br />

enhance infrastructure investments,”<br />

says Vicente Corta Fernández, a partner<br />

at White & Case in Mexico City.<br />

Overall, Calderón aims to tap into the<br />

close to $120 billion held by the nation’s<br />

pension funds to help increase private<br />

financing in infrastructure projects.<br />

Perhaps Calderón’s most dramatic<br />

proposal was the PPP law, which the<br />

president introduced in 2009 but wasn’t


m ay 2012 i n f r a s t r u c t u r e investor: mexico intelligence report pa g e 5<br />

introduction<br />

La Yesca: one of the world’s tallest hydraulic dams<br />

formally adopted by Congress until January<br />

12, 2012. The government has agreed<br />

to match private infrastructure investment<br />

up to $18 billion.<br />

The law seeks to correct the government’s<br />

earlier tendencies to award private<br />

contracts to the lowest bidder rather<br />

than the best bidder, says Villarreal. In<br />

the past, many projects were canceled or<br />

contracts broken when projects failed to<br />

deliver results under the low-price agreements.<br />

Public funding was also subject to<br />

budget availability, creating uncertainty<br />

and greater risk for investors.<br />

Under the new PPP regime, private<br />

firms can negotiate the terms of longterm<br />

infrastructure contracts with the<br />

Mexican government, based not on<br />

myriad local and state procurement<br />

laws, but market standards. In order<br />

for government to award the contracts,<br />

which can last up to 40 years, the state or<br />

federal agencies must conduct thorough<br />

legal, financial and technical analyses<br />

of each proposal and select the winners<br />

based on merit, not lowest cost. Private<br />

companies can also propose projects<br />

before an agency solicits bids.<br />

“You have the private side focusing on<br />

what they’re experts on and the government<br />

taking on regulation and policies.<br />

Key players are focusing on what they<br />

do best,” says Alberto Santos, the New<br />

York-based senior director of Fitch Ratings’<br />

global infrastructure group.<br />

And unlike in the past, these new PPP<br />

contracts clearly lay out the rights, risks<br />

and obligations that each of the parties<br />

would assume throughout the project’s<br />

development. The bidding process does<br />

not distinguish between Mexican and<br />

international applicants, opening the<br />

partnerships up to any company qualified<br />

for the project.<br />

“You will see more investment, more<br />

movement and more tender processes”<br />

in Mexico as a result of the PPP law, says<br />

Villarreal.<br />

Projects in the pipeline<br />

The infrastructure plan has not been without<br />

challenges, however. The global economic<br />

downturn and subsequent liquidity<br />

crisis struck less than a year after Calderón<br />

launched the initiative, reducing interest<br />

from private investors and slowing the pace<br />

of projects – particularly for airports, seaports<br />

and railways.<br />

The highly regarded PPP law took<br />

three years to implement, which temporarily<br />

curbed investor demand for<br />

contracts. Mexico also lacks a central<br />

entity to prioritise projects, weed out<br />

unviable proposals or coordinate the<br />

public entities that develop infrastructure<br />

with the entities that actually spend<br />

the resources.<br />

Some projects under Calderón’s plan<br />

ultimately failed because government<br />

officials could not obtain local right-ofway<br />

permits quickly enough to proceed.<br />

Electricity projects floundered somewhat<br />

after the Mexican government shut down<br />

the electrical utility monopoly Light and<br />

Power. For now, the country’s power grid<br />

is run solely by the state-owned Federal<br />

Electricity Commission (CFE).<br />

Between 70 percent and 80 percent<br />

of the 300 projects outlined by Calderón<br />

have been completed since the plan was<br />

launched five years ago, says Castillo.<br />

One of the largest infrastructure<br />

projects awarded is the $3.3 billion toll<br />

road package of 30-year federal highway


pa g e 6 i n f r a s t r u c t u r e investor: mexico intelligence report m ay 2012<br />

introduction<br />

re-concessions. In 2007, Mexican construction<br />

firm ICA and US investment<br />

bank Goldman Sachs won the package,<br />

agreeing to develop or expand four highways<br />

in western Mexico, spanning 558<br />

kilometres.<br />

In 2010, contracts for one of the<br />

world’s largest wastewater treatment<br />

projects went to a consortium lead by<br />

IDEAL, the Mexican infrastructure firm<br />

controlled by billionaire Carlos Slim.<br />

The $710 million plant will be built in<br />

the agricultural state of Hidalgo, just<br />

north of Mexico City.<br />

Growing demand for power generation,<br />

spurred largely by Mexico’s rising<br />

middle class, has also increased interest<br />

in hydropower and natural gas projects.<br />

In 2007, CFE awarded ICA a $768<br />

million contract to build La Yesca, one<br />

of the world’s tallest hydraulic dams,<br />

near the border of western coastal states<br />

Jalisco and Nayarit. The dam and its<br />

750-megawatt (MW) hydroelectric power<br />

station should generate 10,000 direct<br />

jobs when completed (potentially later<br />

this year), according to government<br />

estimates.<br />

Canadian energy company Trans-<br />

Canada Corp won a $320 million contract<br />

with CFE in 2009 to build, own and<br />

operate a natural gas pipeline from the<br />

Pacific Coast to Guadalajara. Last year,<br />

Tarahumara Pipeline, a subsidiary of<br />

Mexican natural gas firm Fermaca, beat<br />

out Pemex and others for a $310 million<br />

contract with CFE to transport natural<br />

gas down a 385-kilometre pipeline from<br />

the US to three northern Mexican states.<br />

Mexico’s renewable energy and<br />

alternative fuel industries are increasingly<br />

attracting investments, though<br />

they primarily come from the private<br />

sector alone. Odebrecht, for instance,<br />

has announced plans to invest $900 million<br />

in a sugar cane ethanol mill in the<br />

Caribbean state of Veracruz.<br />

Marena Renovables recently raised<br />

about $700 million in project financing<br />

for a 396MW wind farm in the<br />

southeastern Oaxaca state. The Marena<br />

consortium is made up of Australian<br />

bank Macquarie’s Mexican infrastructure<br />

fund, Japan’s Mistubishi Corporation<br />

and PGGM, the Dutch pension fund<br />

service provider.<br />

Although the Calderón administration<br />

touted plans to build a $1.2 billion<br />

suburban rail system, the two-phase<br />

project folded in 2009 when Mexico’s<br />

transport and communications ministry<br />

voided a tender from Spanish rail<br />

company CAF, the project’s sole bidder.<br />

CAF could not provide all of the financing<br />

required for the train line through<br />

Mexico’s central valley. However, the<br />

ministry announced in February that it<br />

intends to re-launch a tender for the rail<br />

concession sometime this year.<br />

Looking forward: Mexico’s<br />

infrastructure future<br />

The recently passed PPP law is expected<br />

to generate more investment and stimulate<br />

more interest in Mexico’s infrastructure<br />

sector for decades to come. But over<br />

the next few months, new projects will<br />

be somewhat paralysed as investors await<br />

the outcome of the July 1 presidential<br />

elections, Castillo says. “People are waiting<br />

to see what happens in the elections<br />

[…] to get an idea of what strategy to<br />

follow,” she says.<br />

On March 30, the official start<br />

of Mexico’s campaign season, polls<br />

showed Institutional Revolutionary Party<br />

(PRI) candidate Enrique Peña Nieto<br />

with a double-digit lead over Josefina<br />

Vazquez Mota of Calderón’s conservative<br />

National Action Party (PAN).<br />

Peña Nieto served as governor of the<br />

State of Mexico, which embraces the<br />

capital district, between 2005 and 2011.<br />

He pushed hard to improve public works<br />

in his state, often in cooperation with<br />

the Mexico City government, and has<br />

pledged as president to double spending<br />

on infrastructure projects and expand<br />

the public budget. He says that his<br />

administration would spur bank lending<br />

in Mexico by cutting the proportion of<br />

peso-based bonds the country issues and<br />

replacing it with foreign currency debt.<br />

Whichever candidate wins the<br />

presidency must present “a credible<br />

infrastructure plan early in the administration<br />

[…] so that people and other<br />

players know what the pipeline is going<br />

to look like,” says Corta Fernández. The<br />

next leader will need “a very competent<br />

team of people who are familiar with<br />

the new rules of the game so they can<br />

implement these projects rapidly”.<br />

Analysts agree that Calderón’s successor<br />

must convince investors that the<br />

Congress will make PPP projects a top<br />

priority with speedy and efficient payments.<br />

Politicians must also account for<br />

the multi-year obligations of PPP projects<br />

in their annual budgets. Delayed or dubious<br />

participation from the public sector<br />

“has always been a risk that investors felt<br />

uncomfortable with” in other countries<br />

with PPP laws, says Santos.<br />

The next administration should aim<br />

to complete the remaining initiatives in<br />

Calderón’s 300-project infrastructure<br />

plan, as well as roll out a continuous<br />

flow of new projects in a diverse number<br />

of industries and sectors.<br />

And new leaders must make it “a<br />

little bit faster for both federal and<br />

local entities to develop infrastructure<br />

projects and obtain the necessary budgetary<br />

and technical approvals in order to<br />

do so,” says Ariel Ramos, a local partner<br />

in Mexico City with White & Case. “The<br />

next administration is going to have to<br />

continue this trend, no matter what.”<br />

He added that his firm is “quite optimistic”<br />

that Mexico will remain an attractive<br />

climate for infrastructure investors<br />

beyond the 2012 elections.<br />

“All parts of the world are suffering<br />

financial stress right now, but I think<br />

that Mexico could be a safe haven for a<br />

number of the developers of highly specialised<br />

projects [and] Mexican companies<br />

with experience would like to team<br />

up with them,” he says. n


m ay 2012 i n f r a s t r u c t u r e investor: mexico intelligence report pa g e 7<br />

interview<br />

j o s é a n t o n i o m e a d e k u r i b r e ñ a , m i n i s t e r o f f i n a n c e<br />

The big picture<br />

Mexican Finance Minister José Antonio Meade Kuribreña tells of the key role<br />

infrastructure development can play in transforming Mexico ‘into a world class<br />

logistics platform’<br />

Historically, how much has Mexico spent<br />

on developing its infrastructure as a percentage<br />

of gross domestic product (GDP)<br />

and how has the current government<br />

changed that?<br />

Since 1980, the mean budgetary investment<br />

in infrastructure as a percentage of<br />

GDP was 4.2 percent per administration.<br />

Between 1990 and 2005 there wasn’t a<br />

single year where budgetary investment in<br />

infrastructure surpassed 4 percent. The current<br />

government, on the other hand, has<br />

made infrastructure investment a top priority.<br />

Budgetary investment in infrastructure<br />

reached 5 percent of GDP during 2010 and<br />

4.7 percent in 2011.This figure is above the<br />

infrastructure investment of OECD [Organisation<br />

for Economic Co-operation and<br />

Development] countries which is around<br />

3.3 percent of GDP.<br />

The current administration has also<br />

proposed new legislation – the publicprivate<br />

partnership (PPP) law – which was<br />

approved by Congress to increase investment<br />

in infrastructure and provide a clear<br />

and comprehensive legal framework.<br />

Can you explain how important developing<br />

Mexican infrastructure is in the context<br />

of stimulating the country’s GDP growth?<br />

Infrastructure plays a key role in stimulating<br />

the country’s growth in more ways<br />

than one. First, there is the countercyclical<br />

nature of this type of investment which<br />

helps keep the economy growing even<br />

when facing the lower end of the business<br />

cycle or even at times of crisis. Second, this<br />

type of investment provides key inputs and<br />

facilitates private enterprise, for example,<br />

by ensuring the energy supply, or reducing<br />

travel times and transportation costs. These<br />

investments promote domestic sources of<br />

growth and give Mexico a competitive edge<br />

in the worldwide economy.<br />

It’s precisely with this in mind that the<br />

administration has set out as an objective to<br />

use infrastructure investment to transform<br />

Mexico into a world class logistics platform,<br />

taking advantage to the fullest of its proximity<br />

to the United States, one of the world’s<br />

most important markets. Thus, investment<br />

in roads and highways, for example, has<br />

been a central priority, precisely because it’s<br />

seen as vital to the growth of the economy.<br />

Why private capital for Mexican infrastructure?<br />

Is this a capacity issue, where the<br />

state just can’t finance Mexico’s infrastructure<br />

needs?<br />

The financial needs for infrastructure<br />

are massive, especially when the aim is<br />

to overcome the great lag that exists in<br />

certain areas.<br />

For example, in 2003 we had 0.13 road<br />

kilometres per square kilometre of territory,<br />

behind countries like Brazil, Korea and the<br />

United States. Or, to give another example,<br />

in 2006, the percentage of treated waste<br />

water was just 36 percent.<br />

At the same time, a key aim of this<br />

administration has been to maintain solid<br />

public finance with a manageable debt.<br />

Thus, we generally consider it prudent not<br />

to rely excessively on public debt as a means<br />

of financing infrastructure investment. In<br />

line with this, at the end of 2011, the public<br />

sector net debt of the federal government<br />

as a percentage of GDP was 32 percent.<br />

The Mexican government has a large<br />

agenda of infrastructure projects that can<br />

be financed by private capital and there are<br />

mechanisms to ensure that these projects


pa g e 8 i n f r a s t r u c t u r e investor: mexico intelligence report m ay 2012<br />

interview<br />

The administration has<br />

set out as an objective<br />

to use infrastructure<br />

investment to transform<br />

Mexico into a world class<br />

logistics platform<br />

have a social return. On the other hand,<br />

domestic financing savings have increased<br />

considerably in the last years, mainly<br />

through pension funds and this provides<br />

a useful alternative to finance infrastructure.<br />

In fact, the recently launched Certificados<br />

de Capital de Desarrollo (CKDs) are<br />

the instrument through which much of this<br />

potential investment can be channelled to<br />

infrastructure in particular. These types of<br />

instruments may provide higher returns<br />

and greater diversification and they represent<br />

part of a worldwide trend.<br />

Finally, using private capital and the<br />

incentives it brings with it has a series of<br />

benefits, most notably allowing greater discipline<br />

in carrying out projects, which is,<br />

naturally, a very desirable feature.<br />

Are you happy with the performance of<br />

the CKDs so far?<br />

These instruments have had a strong performance<br />

since they were launched in<br />

2009. They have been used, among other<br />

things, to finance highways, renewable<br />

energy projects, land development and<br />

social infrastructure. By the end of 2011,<br />

issuances of CKDs totalled a market value<br />

of almost $3.3 billion.<br />

A large majority of these CKDs were<br />

acquired by institutional investors, basically<br />

private pension funds. In this respect<br />

it is important to understand that until very<br />

recently, a few years back, pension funds<br />

were not allowed to directly invest in infrastructure.<br />

With the changes in the regulation,<br />

there is an enormous potential for increased<br />

investment, about $12 billion more could<br />

go into CKDs, so there is plenty of room<br />

for growth.<br />

It is also worth mentioning that there<br />

have been recent changes in the investment<br />

regime of CKDs which are designed to differentiate<br />

between CKDs geared towards<br />

infrastructure and housing, and CKDs<br />

used for other purposes – and specific<br />

investment limits for pension fund investment<br />

in each of these sub-groups have been<br />

established.<br />

It is expected these changes will facilitate<br />

registration of the issuances of CKDs<br />

in the stock market and make information<br />

more transparent for potential investors.<br />

Mexico has two robust, state-backed<br />

development institutions – Banobras and<br />

Fonadin – to help fund infrastructure. But<br />

how do you assess local bank appetite<br />

for PPPs/concessions and other project<br />

finance transactions?<br />

Of course, recent economic events have<br />

made banks have a lower risk appetite; however<br />

there is still willingness to participate<br />

in these types of projects.<br />

Stimulating funding sources requires a<br />

three-pronged approach: First, there is the<br />

need to have a clear operating framework<br />

which will entice private participants and<br />

funders to take part in projects. This was<br />

achieved with the PPP law that was passed<br />

in December of last year, which provides<br />

a broad framework in which individual<br />

projects can operate with greater certainty<br />

on the rules of the game.<br />

In particular, the law allows for several<br />

improvements during the life cycle of a PPP<br />

project: the law now considers the role of<br />

unsolicited proposals for projects, profiting<br />

from the dynamism of the private sector;<br />

bidding may now be done through electronic<br />

means; in obtaining government<br />

permits, PPP projects are to be prioritised;<br />

there is an increased role for the use of<br />

eminent domain when PPP projects are<br />

being considered; bidding is less prone to<br />

be affected by legal controversies; and the<br />

law explicitly considers the possibility of<br />

contract modifications.<br />

We are currently working on the guidelines<br />

and secondary regulations for that law.<br />

Second, there is a key role to be played<br />

by development banks, taking risks that<br />

the market is not willing to take, due to<br />

the amount of resources needed and the<br />

perceived risk of certain infrastructure<br />

projects. To increase these projects’ marketability,<br />

credit guarantees, grants and other<br />

instruments allow these institutions to share<br />

risks and thus stimulate the participation


m ay 2012 i n f r a s t r u c t u r e investor: mexico intelligence report pa g e 9<br />

interview<br />

of private funding sources. Additionally,<br />

offering funding alternatives helps reduce<br />

market imperfections within the financial<br />

system that may be preventing resources<br />

from flowing more freely to infrastructure<br />

projects.<br />

Of course, this is already the role of institutions<br />

such as Banobras and the National<br />

Infrastructure Fund (Fonadin). On the one<br />

hand, Fonadin is really looking to develop<br />

new infrastructure in very diverse areas,<br />

including ‘brownfield’ and ‘greenfield’<br />

projects. One of its main activities is providing<br />

funding grants for initial investment in<br />

projects so it also has become a key player<br />

in advancing the ambitious infrastructure<br />

agenda of the government, centred on getting<br />

important infrastructure projects off<br />

the ground.<br />

Banobras, for its part, is also heavily<br />

invested in infrastructure but it does so<br />

exclusively through financing, which gives<br />

it a more conservative outlook and is much<br />

more geared toward pooling resources from<br />

different sources and financing projects<br />

that are almost ‘market ready’.<br />

How would you assess the health of Mexico’s<br />

banking sector?<br />

Mexico’s banking sector is robust and has<br />

shown its resilience facing the last global<br />

financial crisis due to a number of factors,<br />

including: a solid and resilient regulatory<br />

and supervisory framework, developed after<br />

the experiences of past financial crises; the<br />

fact that subsidiaries of foreign financial<br />

institutions are required to hold their own<br />

capital and are subjected to Mexican regulation;<br />

and a relatively low exposure to toxic<br />

assets and a stable structure of funding<br />

largely based on domestic sources.<br />

As of December 2011, the total capital<br />

ratio of the commercial banking sector was<br />

16 percent and Tier 1 ratio was 14.1 percent.<br />

Capital adequacy in all banks shows high<br />

levels and most of the regulatory capital<br />

is comprised of Tier 1 capital. Capitalisation<br />

rules in Mexico already adopted most<br />

of the new guidelines recently proposed<br />

by the Basel Committee. The soundness<br />

of the banking sector allows authorities<br />

to introduce in advance Basel III capital<br />

requirements (in the second quarter of<br />

2012) since this would have little effect on<br />

banks’ capital position.<br />

From December 2006 to December<br />

2011, the total loans of commercial banks<br />

to the private sector grew 45.3 percent in<br />

real terms. Within the last five years, commercial<br />

loans, housing as well as consumer<br />

portfolios showed positive growth rates, in<br />

real terms, of 74.1 percent, 42.2 percent<br />

and 6.5 percent, respectively. In this context,<br />

banking finance to the private sector as a<br />

percentage of GDP as of December 2011<br />

was 13.4 percent, an increase of 2.9 percentage<br />

points with respect to the end of 2006.<br />

The Mexican banking system shows reasonable<br />

levels of asset quality ratios. As of<br />

December 2011, the non-performing loan<br />

ratio of commercial banks was 2.5 percent<br />

and the past due loan coverage ratio was<br />

189.6 percent.<br />

Long-term funding is one of the holy grails<br />

of infrastructure financing, especially since<br />

the 2008 global financial crisis. Would you<br />

say Mexican institutions are in a good position<br />

to provide this sort of funding?<br />

Mexican institutions are certainly in a good<br />

position to provide this type of funding. For<br />

example, the funding for the Atotonilco<br />

Waste Water Treatment Plant, one of the<br />

biggest in the world, has a syndicated 18-year<br />

credit in which Banobras and five other private<br />

banks are participating. Another waste<br />

water treatment project which reached<br />

financial close after 2008 has also been able<br />

to access long-term funding of upwards of<br />

15 years. Of course, this is in part due to the<br />

participation of Fonadin in these projects.<br />

Additionally, projects have kept coming<br />

in spite of the crisis. In the last 18 months<br />

there have been various mass transit projects,<br />

for example, that have been moving forward,<br />

including projects in cities such as<br />

Monterrey, Chihuahua, and the metropolitan<br />

area of Mexico City. These projects have<br />

seen funding from private local banks.<br />

On the government side, financial<br />

Mexico’s banking sector<br />

is robust and has shown<br />

its resilience facing the<br />

last global financial crisis


pa g e 10 i n f r a s t r u c t u r e investor: mexico intelligence report m ay 2012<br />

interview<br />

Pension funds could still<br />

allocate almost $12bn<br />

to infrastructure-related<br />

instruments<br />

support and guarantees provided by<br />

Banobras have increased from a total of<br />

$4.7 billion in 2006 to $12.2 billion in<br />

2011, boosting access to long-term funding.<br />

Also, regarding the capital markets,<br />

there is still an enormous potential for<br />

institutional investments. As I mentioned,<br />

pension funds could still allocate almost $12<br />

billion to infrastructure-related instruments<br />

such as CKDs. And infrastructure projects<br />

provide precisely what they are looking for:<br />

long-term, attractive returns.<br />

Does it concern you that PPP contracts,<br />

especially those using structures like availability<br />

payments, will effectively lock Mexican<br />

taxpayers into long-term, somewhat<br />

rigid contracts?<br />

PPP contracts, given the complexity of<br />

many of the projects that are undertaken,<br />

will be designed to take competitive advantage<br />

of all the actors involved.<br />

The new PPP law has many features<br />

that promote transparency and accountability.<br />

For example, the new law establishes<br />

a budgeting exercise for PPP projects to<br />

be approved by Congress that takes into<br />

account its impact in the public finances<br />

during the project’s entire life-cycle; additionally,<br />

periodic reports on PPP projects<br />

have to be sent to Congress.<br />

With regards to transparency, a publicly<br />

accessible data base with all PPP projects,<br />

as required by the new regulations, will be<br />

created. All of these changes have allowed<br />

Mexico to be in a better position to promote<br />

interest in PPP projects.<br />

How is the government approaching risk<br />

transfer in its recently approved PPP law?<br />

International practice shows us there is no<br />

single answer with regard to risk sharing<br />

and risk transfer. Risk can be shared in different<br />

ways.<br />

In this sense, the new PPP law gives us<br />

a great deal of flexibility in that different<br />

risk sharing arrangements can be included<br />

in contracts. The specific risk sharing<br />

scheme is for the most part to be decided<br />

on a case-by-case basis among the different<br />

actors within a PPP project.<br />

The PPP law establishes that contracts<br />

must state who bears the risk in different<br />

areas of a project, including technical risks,<br />

project execution risk, financial risks, force<br />

majeure events, unforeseen circumstances,<br />

and other risks.<br />

In this sense, it makes clear that government<br />

agencies will not be able to make<br />

payments for risks that have not been previously<br />

established in the contract or are not<br />

foreseen in the law itself. Additionally, contract<br />

modifications may not transfer risks in<br />

ways that were not previously agreed upon.<br />

Unless otherwise stated in the contract, the<br />

PPP law assumes that operation and service<br />

risk, and given the case, construction and<br />

financial risks, must be borne by the developer<br />

of a project.<br />

Is there a limit to the amount of PPP liabilities<br />

you would be comfortable with carrying<br />

on the balance sheet as a percentage<br />

of Mexican GDP?<br />

We welcome private sector participation as<br />

a powerful tool to generate more and better<br />

projects for the benefit of our citizens.<br />

Given the challenges we face and the<br />

many infrastructure needs that are still to<br />

be covered, a great deal of participation<br />

from both the public and private sectors is<br />

needed in the area. This has been a priority<br />

of this administration.<br />

With regards to potential liabilities, we<br />

must differentiate between two types of PPP<br />

projects: those that generate income and<br />

those for which there is a regular charge<br />

covered by the government.<br />

In the first case, we must make sure<br />

that projects that generate cash flows are<br />

designed in such a way that makes them<br />

self-sustainable, which allows for a lower<br />

probability that public resources would be<br />

needed.<br />

With regards to payment for service<br />

projects, we need to encourage a good balance<br />

that will result in a healthy economic<br />

policy that fosters clarity of the obligations<br />

assumed by the government. n


pa g e 12 i n f r a s t r u c t u r e investor: mexico intelligence report m ay 2012<br />

interview<br />

g a b r i e l a h e r n á n d e z c a r d o s o , p r e s i d e n t & c h i e f e x e c u t i v e , g e m e x i c o<br />

Supplying an energy boost<br />

Gabriela Hernández Cardoso (GHC), president and chief executive of GE Mexico,<br />

explains why Mexico is an important platform for GE and tells how the firm is assisting<br />

the country towards a sustainable future<br />

Could you provide a brief summary of<br />

GE’s infrastructure activities in Mexico?<br />

GHC: We are the biggest manufacturing<br />

platform outside the US, with 21 manufacturing<br />

plants, including three new acquisitions<br />

in the oil and gas sector. We also<br />

have eight service centres, 51 sites and<br />

offices around the country with almost<br />

11,000 employees and 35,000 including<br />

joint ventures, of which we have four very<br />

important ones in Mexico.<br />

Several of our businesses and products<br />

are focused on the infrastructure<br />

sector. We are working with countries<br />

to create “smart cities”, and the basis for<br />

this is improving the infrastructure of the<br />

countries.<br />

GE is able to provide better and sustainable<br />

lighting, such as the project we<br />

have in Othon P. Blanco, Chetumal, a<br />

municipality where 25.507 GE LED lighting<br />

systems were installed generating 51<br />

percent energy savings compared with the<br />

previously used technology.<br />

We also contribute to reducing tons<br />

of contaminating gases in Mexico City<br />

through our charging stations for electrical<br />

vehicles. The Mexico City government<br />

is running the electric taxis project, which<br />

is estimated to cut more than 1,500 tons<br />

of contaminating gases per year.<br />

Through several GE energy projects<br />

in the country we are generating around<br />

2,000 megawatts (MW), which means<br />

powering nearly 22 million households<br />

with electricity. As well as this we help our<br />

customers to grow through new investments,<br />

strong partnerships and optimisation<br />

of assets.<br />

All solutions from GE, such as<br />

The financing/<br />

availability of money<br />

is not an issue in<br />

the country. Not too<br />

many countries can<br />

say this<br />

recycling organic waste, water technologies,<br />

and renewable energies, among<br />

others are inserted into the smart grid<br />

and the cities of the future.<br />

How does Mexico fit in with GE’s broader<br />

strategy – both within Latin America and<br />

globally?<br />

GHC: Emerging markets play a key role<br />

in GE’s strategy and Latin America has<br />

become an increasingly important market,<br />

which will approach $10 billion in revenue<br />

in 2012, and could double again<br />

in a few years. Mexico, being one of the<br />

largest, more stable economies in the<br />

region, will have a significant impact on<br />

this figure.<br />

GE Mexico is a reliable and highintegrity<br />

partner for our clients and<br />

communities. In 2011, our industrial<br />

businesses grew 25 percent and 15 percent<br />

including GE Capital, our financial<br />

business.<br />

The last four projects of GE Energy<br />

will generate around 2,000MW. Our<br />

Center for Advanced Engineering in Queretaro<br />

(GEIQ) participated in projects<br />

which represent about $1.7 billion for<br />

Latin America. And this year, GEIQ, the<br />

most important centre for aviation and<br />

second for energy, signed an agreement<br />

with IPN [Instituto Politécnico Nacional]<br />

in order to launch an energy and aeronautics<br />

masters’ degree.<br />

We also announced in Mexico the<br />

first transatlantic flight using bio jet fuel<br />

in GE90 engines; the largest installation<br />

of GE LED lighting for roads in Latin<br />

America; and we were the first company<br />

to set up electric charging stations that


m ay 2012 i n f r a s t r u c t u r e investor: mexico intelligence report pa g e 13<br />

interview<br />

will be partly loaded by solar power in<br />

the region.<br />

What are the priorities for GE in a Mexico<br />

infrastructure context?<br />

GHC: Mexico has historically invested in<br />

infrastructure projects in strategic sectors:<br />

energy, health and transportation, for<br />

example. The public sector has invested<br />

in infrastructure according to a National<br />

Plan and we know public investment is an<br />

excellent driver for private investment. I<br />

think this path will continue in the near<br />

future and GE will participate as a key<br />

player.<br />

You have worked in both the public and<br />

private sectors. What observations have<br />

you made (either positive or negative)<br />

about the way the public and private sectors<br />

work together in Mexico?<br />

GHC: The private and public sector work<br />

positively in Mexico and this is improving.<br />

The private sector requires certidumbre legal,<br />

which translates to clear rules and application<br />

of rules. This requires two aspects:<br />

the correct legal framework and a strong<br />

judiciary. The legal framework has been<br />

improving, especially with the new law on<br />

Asociaciones Publico Privadas. It is important<br />

that these rules be implemented at a state<br />

and municipal level; and it is crucial for<br />

both public and private sectors to continue<br />

working together, keeping in mind that the<br />

progress of a country relies on both sectors.<br />

Does regulation of infrastructure development<br />

and investment work well in<br />

Mexico? Are there any things you would<br />

like to change?<br />

GHC: They are working well. In 2007,<br />

Mexico created Fonadin and a plan to<br />

implement the infrastructure fund. This<br />

has enabled the country to invest 5 percent<br />

of its GDP [gross domestic product] in<br />

infrastructure. According to specialists this<br />

should rise to 7 percent. In order for this to<br />

be achieved, we need to continue working<br />

on the legal framework and especially have<br />

a mid- and long-term infrastructure plan<br />

which should not be tied to government<br />

changes. It is critical that the new administration<br />

presents plans with the input of the<br />

private sector. The financing/availability<br />

of money is not an issue in the country.<br />

Not too many countries can say this, so it<br />

is great timing for both public and private<br />

sector to work together and reach at least<br />

7 percent of GDP investment in infrastructure.<br />

This would translate to the wellbeing<br />

of the nation.<br />

Where are your priorities within the energy<br />

sector? How much of a focus is there now<br />

on renewable energy – and which types<br />

of renewable energy?<br />

GHC: Innovation: offering greener, more<br />

competitive and productive new technologies;<br />

and boosting renewables like wind<br />

and solar. In order to do it, GE has four top<br />

priorities: reducing the high cost of solar<br />

power; integrating renewable power into<br />

the grid; slashing emissions and fuel costs<br />

for jet engines; and connecting the world’s<br />

machines, making systems run smarter and<br />

more efficiently.<br />

The future will call for flexible energy<br />

solutions and a sturdy infrastructure to<br />

keep power flowing to consumers and<br />

industry. Our complete solutions, combined<br />

with the unique synergy between our<br />

products and services with over 100 years<br />

of technological knowledge and experience,<br />

will enable us to aid our customers<br />

in meeting or exceeding productivity and<br />

business growth targets.<br />

Do you think infrastructure funds will<br />

have much of a role to play in Mexico?<br />

Have you partnered much with funds, and<br />

would you be likely to do so in future?<br />

GHC: Infrastructure funds are now playing<br />

a relevant role in the Mexican infrastructure<br />

market and we expect that they<br />

will continue to be a relevant investment<br />

source. Given new regulation allowing for<br />

private participation in several infrastructure<br />

sectors, more investment sponsored<br />

by funds will continue to flow into Mexico.<br />

In GE we have a good commercial<br />

relationship with infrastructure funds<br />

since we are one of the most important<br />

suppliers of equipment for a variety of<br />

infrastructure-oriented projects. GE has<br />

also participated as an investor in some<br />

projects, but our approach is slightly different<br />

to the approach of an infrastructure<br />

fund. The federal government launched<br />

the National Infrastructure Plan 2007-<br />

2012 to develop infrastructure projects<br />

in Mexico. To achieve these goals, the<br />

Mexican government set up Fonadin to<br />

encourage private investment for planning,<br />

financing, design, construction and transference<br />

of national infrastructure projects<br />

with social impact or cost-effectiveness that<br />

will boost the economy and social welfare<br />

of the country.<br />

Are you optimistic about the new publicprivate<br />

partnership (PPP) framework in<br />

terms of attracting increased capital flow<br />

into Mexican infrastructure?<br />

GHC: Certainly, both at federal and state<br />

level, the PPP regulation will be a catalyst<br />

for infrastructure investment in the future.<br />

We believe that real efforts have been<br />

made to align both the government and<br />

private investors’ interests, so the basis for a<br />

successful, long-term development framework<br />

is being implemented. Mexico has an<br />

attractive launching off point because the<br />

financing community is familiar with the<br />

electricity sector’s structure.<br />

What are the keys to successful investing<br />

in Mexican infrastructure – and the<br />

potential pitfalls?<br />

GHC: Clear rules, good partnerships and<br />

a long-term vision.<br />

What is GE looking to achieve in Mexico<br />

over the next five years?<br />

GHC: At GE, we are building the future.<br />

We’re growing global leaders, investing<br />

in the country, developing advanced<br />

manufacturing skills, applying intelligent<br />

software to make things work smarter,<br />

and partnering with customers and<br />

communities. n


pa g e 14 i n f r a s t r u c t u r e investor: mexico intelligence report m ay 2012<br />

guest article<br />

x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x<br />

Wind power as<br />

a catalyst for<br />

development<br />

Rafael Alcalde Navarro, commercial director of<br />

GE Energy Power & Water Renewables talks about<br />

wind power potential in Mexico and the government’s<br />

ambitious goals for 2012<br />

The growing need to develop new sources of energy in order to<br />

satisfy global demand has led companies to invest an important<br />

part of their income in the research and development of innovative<br />

solutions that enable cleaner energy generation and that will<br />

replace conventional sources that produce high levels of polluting<br />

emissions.<br />

Within this context, governments are focused on promoting<br />

the use of renewable energy and setting short-term and mediumterm<br />

goals for an increase in energy generation through alternative<br />

technologies such as wind and solar power.<br />

In Mexico, the wind power map has grown significantly in the<br />

last few years, given that it is one of the most promising locations<br />

for the development of this sector. The Mexican government estimates<br />

that wind power generating capacity is potentially up to 71<br />

gigawatts (GW), which only takes into account 10 percent of the<br />

viable areas for the installation of wind farms in 22 out of 31 states.<br />

While at the end of 2010, more than 50 percent of the generating<br />

capacity of the country continued to be obtained from<br />

thermo-electric sources, investment in alternative technologies is<br />

growing. Proof of this is that in the state of Oaxaca alone, there<br />

are well-advanced projects which require investments in the order<br />

of $2 billion. Right now, the investment in wind power projects in<br />

Mexico is close to $1.5 billion.<br />

This type of investment has been possible thanks to the government’s<br />

recently implemented regulations which strengthen the<br />

legal framework for renewable energy. Also, on June 1 2011, the<br />

government approved a decree that amends the law governing<br />

renewable energy, which will recognise the externalities associated<br />

with this form of energy. These are the positive environmental<br />

impacts of clean energy, versus the negative environmental impacts<br />

of conventional energy.


m ay 2012 i n f r a s t r u c t u r e investor: mexico intelligence report pa g e 15<br />

guest article<br />

Wind turbines in Mexico’s Oaxaca region<br />

In addition, it assigns responsibilities<br />

to public services with respect to achieving<br />

and reporting goals. This is a very important,<br />

forward-thinking step to enable the development<br />

of a sustainable market for renewable<br />

energy in Mexico. There are also other,<br />

different plans which aim to incentivise the<br />

development of renewable energy projects<br />

throughout more Mexican states.<br />

These demonstrate the real commitment<br />

of the authorities to the improvement<br />

of the environment and to providing social<br />

and health benefits to the population at the<br />

same time as developing this new industry<br />

within the country. In Oaxaca alone, wind<br />

power could contribute up to 10GW in the<br />

medium term.<br />

The Energy Secretary announced the<br />

goal of achieving a generating capacity of<br />

2,200 megawatts (MW) in 2012 through<br />

wind power projects, which opens a window<br />

of opportunity for the principal investors in<br />

this sector. Going down this route means<br />

that the country will benefit in both energy<br />

generation and environmental terms. An<br />

example of this is the reduction of approximately<br />

200,000 of CO2 which, with each<br />

100MW of installed wind power capacity,<br />

would no longer be released into the atmosphere<br />

– and which is equivalent to eliminating<br />

the pollution from approximately<br />

27,000 cars a year, or planting three million<br />

mature trees.<br />

On the other hand, in order to consolidate<br />

the wind power sector, one of the<br />

challenges facing Mexico is the limited<br />

infrastructure that exists in those regions<br />

In the next few<br />

years, therefore,<br />

Mexico could go<br />

from producing only<br />

4% of its electricity<br />

via renewable<br />

energy sources, to<br />

approaching 10%<br />

with good potential for wind power generation.<br />

Despite this, the country will<br />

see substantial growth in its wind power<br />

market over the next few years, especially<br />

in Oaxaca, Baja California, Zacatecas and<br />

Tamaulipas, where there is high potential<br />

for wind power.<br />

In the next few years, therefore, Mexico<br />

could go from producing only 4 percent of<br />

its electricity via renewable energy sources,<br />

to approaching 10 percent, supporting<br />

and promoting the government initiative<br />

to reduce the emission of greenhouse gases<br />

by 50 percent by 2050.<br />

The Mexican Wind Power Association<br />

estimates that in 2011, 717MWs from<br />

new wind power projects will come online,<br />

which would increase the installed capacity<br />

across the country to 1,200MWs.<br />

So, to construct a solid base for the<br />

development of wind power generation<br />

in Mexico, both government and business<br />

must work hand-in-hand. The private sector’s<br />

view is very optimistic, as it assumes that<br />

in 2015 there would have to be investment<br />

of around $6 billion in wind power generation,<br />

which translates into the creation of<br />

thousands of jobs and the acceleration of<br />

the economy.<br />

As one of the important participants in<br />

the sector, General Electric is confident in<br />

investing in Mexico’s future, to support its<br />

economy and to progress the development<br />

of its population. It has also shown itself<br />

open to contributing to the various areas of<br />

government in order to develop an energy<br />

project that is sustainable and competitive.<br />

Within this context, its support for<br />

development and innovation is substantial,<br />

and its principal focus is in continuing to<br />

improve its wind turbines, including the<br />

1.5MW-1.6MW turbines. These are currently<br />

recognised as the point of reference<br />

for the industry, with 16,000 units installed<br />

across the globe.<br />

Recently the company has introduced<br />

the 1.6-100 meter turbine, where<br />

the increase in the diameter of the rotor<br />

blades creates a significant improvement in<br />

generating capacity and with it, additional<br />

benefits for clients through a 47 percent<br />

increase in the length of rotor blades (compared<br />

with model 1.6-82.5 meters) which<br />

delivers increased annual energy output.<br />

Finally, over the last few weeks, the<br />

company has signed its first contract in<br />

Latin America with Mexico, based on its<br />

operational experience and the design of<br />

the 1.5/1.6 turbine. From this multi-MW<br />

turbine development, other important<br />

contracts have been signed with the USA,<br />

Canada and Europe. n


pa g e 16 i n f r a s t r u c t u r e investor: mexico intelligence report m ay 2012<br />

interview<br />

f e d e r i c o p a t i ñ o , d i r e c t o r , f o n a d i n<br />

The facilitator<br />

Mexico’s national infrastructure fund – Fonadin – was set up to make socially important<br />

projects as bankable as possible. Boss Federico Patiño speaks of the $8.5bn the fund<br />

has committed so far and its role in kick-starting the Mexican infrastructure fund market<br />

Ask Fonadin head Federico Patiño what<br />

Mexico’s national infrastructure fund<br />

was created for and you get a concise,<br />

crystal-clear distillation of its mission<br />

statement:<br />

“Fonadin was created in 2008 to<br />

advance the procurement of the<br />

National Infrastructure Plan and to<br />

facilitate the mobilisation of private capital<br />

for that programme. We have been<br />

designed to take risks that the market<br />

is not willing to take and we support<br />

those infrastructure investments which<br />

provide very high social returns, but not<br />

necessarily market- attractive internal<br />

rates of return. What do we have to do<br />

to make those projects happen? Whatever<br />

is needed.”<br />

Put simply, Fonadin is Mexico’s<br />

equity development institution – the<br />

twin brother to Banobras, the country’s<br />

development bank – and one of the<br />

most important pieces of the Mexican<br />

infrastructure puzzle. As Patiño stated,<br />

Fonadin was created to make sure those<br />

projects that would otherwise not be<br />

bankable have a fair chance of getting<br />

off the ground.<br />

“The government announced some<br />

300 projects as part of the [first]<br />

National Infrastructure Plan, but not<br />

all of those 300 projects were ready –<br />

some of them were in different maturity<br />

stages. So we had to invest a lot of<br />

resources in feasibility studies in order<br />

to increase our pipeline of projects,”<br />

Patiño explains.<br />

As bold as it may sound, Patiño<br />

isn’t exaggerating when he says Fonadin<br />

is ready to do whatever it takes<br />

to make projects bankable. The fund<br />

We are the only<br />

institution in<br />

Mexico providing<br />

subordinated debt<br />

and we’ve found<br />

that there’s a big<br />

demand for it<br />

has a formidable array of instruments<br />

which it is ready to deploy when needed,<br />

including early-stage equity for feasibility<br />

studies, grants, traditional equity<br />

investments, subordinated debt and<br />

guarantees.<br />

“We provide two types of support to<br />

projects – refundable and non-refundable<br />

support,” Patiño points out. Many<br />

of the instruments Fonadin offers “are<br />

common in markets all over the world,<br />

but were not available in Mexico. So we<br />

started providing equity, subordinated<br />

debt and guarantees. As you can see, we<br />

do not compete with the private sector,<br />

we complement it,” he adds.<br />

Since its inception, Fonadin has<br />

already committed some $8.5 billion<br />

across 88 projects worth over $19 billion.<br />

Most of the money it has deployed<br />

– about 80 percent – has gone to transportation<br />

projects, with highways<br />

receiving the lion’s share of Fonadin’s<br />

investments and urban mass transport<br />

projects emerging as the second most<br />

important sector. Of the $8.5 billion<br />

Fonadin has deployed, some $185 million<br />

have been channelled towards feasibility<br />

studies.<br />

“The crisis had a big impact on bank<br />

financing and created a situation where<br />

there was a huge backlog of projects<br />

that were having difficulty in getting<br />

financed,” Patiño says.<br />

In addition, the crisis, as project<br />

finance professionals around the world<br />

quickly discovered, also changed the<br />

rules of the funding game. Whereas<br />

before concessions and public-private<br />

partnerships were funded with large<br />

quantities of debt – sometimes as much<br />

as 80 percent or even 90 percent of a<br />

project’s total cost – after 2008, debtto-equity<br />

ratios becomes less leveraged.<br />

“After this crisis, the world has<br />

changed to a situation where lenders<br />

are looking for 40 to 50 percent of<br />

equity financing. But 50 percent of<br />

equity is inefficient and in some cases<br />

reduces the number of sponsors. That’s<br />

where Fonadin has an important role<br />

to play,” Patiño explains.<br />

To help sponsors write more digestible<br />

equity cheques, Fonadin started<br />

providing subordinated debt – and in<br />

the process, created a whole new market<br />

from scratch.<br />

“We are the only institution in Mexico<br />

providing subordinated debt and we’ve<br />

found that there’s a big demand for it,”<br />

Patiño says. By injecting subordinated<br />

debt into a project’s financing structure,<br />

Fonadin allows sponsors to provide<br />

smaller equity contributions, ensuring<br />

deals cross the finishing line.<br />

Patiño acknowledges that subordinated<br />

debt has easily become Fonadin’s<br />

most popular product, but adds that the<br />

fund can also provide guarantees – at the<br />

senior debt level – to make banks more


m ay 2012 i n f r a s t r u c t u r e investor: mexico intelligence report pa g e 17<br />

interview<br />

National Infrastructure Fund Annual Support<br />

The National Infrastructure Fund has supported 88 projects with more than<br />

Mx$107bn ($8.5bn) for an investment of Mx$245bn ($19.5bn)<br />

2008<br />

13,591<br />

29,558<br />

comfortable with a project. “And even,<br />

in some cases, to make a project bankable,<br />

we end up providing a mix of grants,<br />

equity, subordinated debt or guarantees,<br />

for specific projects,” Patiño notes.<br />

But there are limits to Fonadin’s participation,<br />

with Patiño remarking that<br />

“for instance, in the case of subordinated<br />

debt, our limit is up 30 per cent of total<br />

project debt”.<br />

Funding the funds<br />

15,967<br />

Perhaps in recognition of its limitations,<br />

Fonadin has been keen to encourage<br />

other players to enter the market and<br />

has been instrumental in nurturing the<br />

development of Mexico-focused infrastructure<br />

private equity funds.<br />

“Fonadin has played an important<br />

catalytic role in order to promote the<br />

creation of infrastructure private equity<br />

funds in Mexico. So far, we have authorised<br />

investments of some $500 million<br />

across nine infrastructure funds,” Patiño<br />

recalls, adding that “we continue promoting<br />

the development of new players<br />

for the Mexican infrastructure market”.<br />

Perhaps the highest profile fund<br />

Fonadin has invested in has been the<br />

Macquarie Mexican Infrastructure Fund<br />

(MMIF), the debut Mexican vehicle of<br />

FNI Annual Support<br />

(million pesos)<br />

59,121<br />

29,563<br />

95,641<br />

36,520<br />

107,709<br />

2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

n Annual support n accumulated support n 2011<br />

12,069<br />

Australia’s Macquarie Group, targeting<br />

upwards of $1 billion to invest in roads,<br />

rail, water, energy, airports and social<br />

infrastructure projects across Mexico.<br />

Fonadin initially committed some<br />

$80 million to MMIF, becoming one<br />

of the fund’s cornerstone investors.<br />

Another infrastructure fund Fonadin<br />

has sponsored is I Cuadrada, the brainchild<br />

of real estate group Black Creek,<br />

which managed to raise some $243 million<br />

from Mexican institutional investors.<br />

Both funds are listed on the Mexican<br />

Stock Exchange and have raised<br />

the majority of their funds through<br />

the use of development capital certificates<br />

(CKDs), stock certificates that have<br />

allowed local pensions to invest in private<br />

funds that were previously barred<br />

to them.<br />

Patiño is optimistic about the performance<br />

of CKDs so far and is enthusiastic<br />

about the behaviour of the Mexican<br />

pension market.<br />

“An important change in Mexico is<br />

that the government has decided to<br />

change regulation for the country’s<br />

pension funds. Pensions can now invest<br />

up to $15 billion in infrastructure. So<br />

far, they have invested a total of $1.6<br />

billion in infrastructure,” Patiño says,<br />

highlighting the sector’s untapped<br />

potential.<br />

But the Fonadin boss sees a larger<br />

role for the country’s pensions – and<br />

other institutional investors – that goes<br />

beyond providing equity.<br />

“We are now analysing the creation<br />

of a new programme, which is basically<br />

a credit enhancement programme for<br />

the capital markets. Considering that<br />

commercial banks are only capable<br />

of providing seven- to eight-year miniperms,<br />

we need the capital markets to<br />

finance infrastructure over the long<br />

term,” Patiño begins. A mini-perm is a<br />

short-term loan, usually lasting between<br />

five to seven years.<br />

Considering the Mexican government<br />

wants to invest at least 5 percent of<br />

Mexico’s gross domestic product (GDP)<br />

in infrastructure – and considering also<br />

that it wants the private sector to participate<br />

actively in funding its National<br />

Infrastructure Plan through the use of<br />

PPPs – Mexico will certainly need all the<br />

funding it can get its hands on.<br />

“I think we learned a lot from the first<br />

National Infrastructure Plan. One of the<br />

most important lessons we learned is to<br />

have an open dialogue with investors.<br />

Projects have to be simple and with the<br />

right size – not too big and not too small.<br />

It is important to hire the right technical<br />

advisors to develop quality studies<br />

to guarantee the success of the projects.<br />

The risk allocation is crucial. If you try<br />

to allocate all the risks to the private<br />

sector, they are going to charge you for<br />

that,” Patiño reflects.<br />

“One of the most important things<br />

that we have done in order to promote<br />

the participation of the private sector<br />

into infrastructure projects has been the<br />

creation of a new legal framework for<br />

PPP projects to provide legal certainty<br />

to both the public and private sector,”<br />

he adds.<br />

“So I think we are now better at all<br />

of this,” Patiño concludes. n


pa g e 18 i n f r a s t r u c t u r e investor: mexico intelligence report m ay 2012<br />

interview<br />

j u a n m a n u e l g o n z á l e z a n d p e d r o j . r e s é n d e z , g r e e n b e r g t r a u r i g m e x i c o<br />

<strong>Greenberg</strong> <strong>Traurig</strong>’s integrated<br />

infra approach<br />

Juan Manuel González and Pedro J. Reséndez tell of <strong>Greenberg</strong> <strong>Traurig</strong>’s aim to become<br />

one of Latin America’s premier infrastructure law firms<br />

<strong>Greenberg</strong> <strong>Traurig</strong> (<strong>Greenberg</strong>), the international<br />

law firm with 34 offices across the<br />

United States, Latin America, Europe, the<br />

Middle East and Asia, opened its first Mexican<br />

office – the firm’s thirty-third, in Mexico<br />

City – last October.<br />

It did this with the typical verve of a<br />

marquee international law firm, entering<br />

the market via the hiring of a number of<br />

established Mexican lawyers.<br />

One of <strong>Greenberg</strong>’s key hires earlier this<br />

year was Juan Manuel González (JMG), of<br />

storied Mexican law firm Galicia Abogados,<br />

who brought with him a group of six lawyers<br />

from different law firms to beef up <strong>Greenberg</strong>’s<br />

Global Energy and Infrastructure<br />

practice.<br />

González is an infrastructure veteran<br />

with over a decade of experience in the<br />

space, including work on landmark transactions<br />

such as last September’s securitisation<br />

of two greenfield contracts by Mexican<br />

developer ICA, worth some $709 million.<br />

Infrastructure Investor caught up with him<br />

and Pedro J. Reséndez (PJR) – a well known<br />

energy sector lawyer with more than 15 years<br />

of experience – in Mexico City a day after<br />

the capital’s worst earthquake since 1985.<br />

<strong>Greenberg</strong> has been expanding its Mexican<br />

operations at a rapid pace. How happy are<br />

you with the team’s size and its capability?<br />

JMG: The office’s size today is five partners<br />

and I would say 35 associates. We consider<br />

that to be a real player in the market you<br />

need to have a certain critical mass, from<br />

Juan Manuel González<br />

different backgrounds, in order to have the<br />

ability to handle big projects. That’s why<br />

each one of our partners brings different<br />

angles, different experiences, and came with<br />

a team that has already worked with them<br />

and has experience.<br />

In the case of infrastructure, we bring an<br />

integrated approach to the asset class where<br />

we are able to handle all stages from the<br />

awarding of the contract, negotiating with<br />

the authorities during the bidding process,<br />

financing and then managing the contract.<br />

Why did <strong>Greenberg</strong> decide to open<br />

an office in Mexico? Was this a case of<br />

<strong>Greenberg</strong>, as an international firm, having<br />

its international clients saying they wanted<br />

to do business in Mexico and requesting<br />

your presence on the ground?<br />

JMG: I think you’re right. The clients that<br />

we are handling today are a mixture of clients<br />

that were already <strong>Greenberg</strong> clients and<br />

other clients which the partners brought<br />

with them from their previous practices.<br />

But it was the need to fulfil <strong>Greenberg</strong>’s<br />

international expansion objectives,<br />

especially in Latin America, that led to the<br />

opening of the Mexico office, which will<br />

not only work on Mexican projects, but will<br />

help our office in Miami – which has a very<br />

strong group for Latin America – to explore<br />

all infrastructure-related endeavours.<br />

What infrastructure sectors are catching<br />

your attention?<br />

JMG: In terms of sectors, we are interested<br />

mostly in transportation – including toll<br />

roads, airports and ports – oil, gas and water.<br />

The Mexican government has put together<br />

a very important development programme<br />

covering all transportation sectors as well<br />

as hydropower and water treatment plants.<br />

Do you have specific targets for these different<br />

infrastructure sectors?<br />

JMG: We don’t have sector-specific targets –<br />

we are more client-oriented. As we said, we<br />

have an integrated approach where we help<br />

the client obtain the contract, finance the<br />

contract, manage the contract and if it has<br />

any issues, negotiate the dispute mechanism


Connecting Clients With Opportunities<br />

<strong>Greenberg</strong> <strong>Traurig</strong>’s Global Energy & Infrastructure Practice provides multidisciplinary legal<br />

services encompassing the development, construction, financing, ownership and operation of<br />

virtually any type of infrastructure project. Our global resources and reach enable GT attorneys<br />

to advise clients on projects throughout Latin America and around the world.<br />

1800 ATTORNEYS IN 34 LOCATIONS°<br />

<strong>Greenberg</strong> <strong>Traurig</strong>, S.C.<br />

Paseo de la Reforma No. 265 PH1<br />

Colonia Cuauhtemoc<br />

Mexico, D.F. C.P. 06500<br />

+52 55 5029.0000<br />

www.gtlaw.com<br />

The hiring of a lawyer is an important decision and should not be based solely upon advertisements. Before you decide, ask us to send you free written information about our qualifications and our experience. Prior results do not guarantee a similar<br />

outcome. <strong>Greenberg</strong> <strong>Traurig</strong> is a service mark and trade name of <strong>Greenberg</strong> <strong>Traurig</strong>, <strong>LLP</strong> and <strong>Greenberg</strong> <strong>Traurig</strong>, P.A. ©2012 <strong>Greenberg</strong> <strong>Traurig</strong>, <strong>LLP</strong>. Attorneys at Law. All rights reserved. Contact: Juan Manuel Gonzalez in Mexico City at +52 55 5029.0000.<br />

°These numbers are subject to fluctuation. Images in this advertisement do not depict <strong>Greenberg</strong> <strong>Traurig</strong> attorneys, clients, staff or facilities. 13966


pa g e 20 i n f r a s t r u c t u r e investor: mexico intelligence report m ay 2012<br />

interview<br />

throughout the life of the contract. We<br />

have clients across many infrastructure<br />

sectors, including oil, electricity, toll roads,<br />

airports and water.<br />

So more than focusing on a specific<br />

sector, we would like to have long-standing<br />

relationships with all the key players in all<br />

of these different sectors.<br />

PJR: For example, [the partners] advised<br />

some years ago on the privatisation of<br />

Mexico’s first airport, a deal involving several<br />

European companies. We advised the<br />

winning consortium. So we are really active<br />

in all infrastructure sectors.<br />

And it’s not just on the deal front – we<br />

are also very active on the project management<br />

side of things because a lot of<br />

these contracts involve maintenance and<br />

negotiations.<br />

How does dispute resolution work in<br />

Mexico?<br />

JMG: I think that Mexico, since the inception<br />

of NAFTA [North American Free<br />

Trade Agreement], has been a friendly<br />

place for arbitration. I think since the<br />

early 1990s there have been many experiences<br />

of arbitration, in the corporate world,<br />

and more and more in infrastructure as<br />

projects have developed. I think that has<br />

produced a bulk of cases that show how<br />

these disputes can be solved.<br />

In terms of our involvement, we have<br />

done mostly mediation and conciliation<br />

out of court. But we see all sorts of dispute<br />

mechanisms being used. And the<br />

good thing in Mexico is that you have a<br />

legal framework that provides for all sorts<br />

of remedies to resolve legal disputes. So in<br />

general terms we see courts enforcing contracts<br />

and therefore we see predictability<br />

on the outcomes.<br />

PJR: Also, it’s important to note that in<br />

the courts – at the federal level – there is<br />

a new generation of judges coming, some<br />

of them former colleagues. These are guys<br />

educated abroad, with international experience,<br />

not only in the US but elsewhere.<br />

What are your thoughts on Mexico’s new<br />

PPP law?<br />

JMG: I think the new PPP law is a great<br />

tool. It establishes the foundations that<br />

will allow for better allocation of risk,<br />

better contract management in the longterm<br />

and it also offers more flexibility and<br />

more creativity in areas like right-of-way,<br />

for example.<br />

It also offers new features, like the<br />

ability to receive unsolicited bids, which<br />

takes the pressure off government to<br />

be the sole source of project ideas and<br />

the only one responsible for the design,<br />

management and overall preparation of<br />

a project.<br />

We see a lot of good things in this law.<br />

As with any other law we will have to see<br />

how it’s applied in practice, but we view<br />

it as very nice-to-have feature.<br />

Is the Mexican public sector wellequipped<br />

to handle unsolicited bids<br />

though?<br />

PJR: The way the new law has been<br />

drafted ensures these projects need to<br />

be approved by a specialised committee.<br />

It’s an inter-secretarial commission specialised<br />

in infrastructure and finance, so<br />

these bids will be decided by a real highend<br />

team.<br />

JMG: I think it’s also important to see<br />

the new PPP law as a change in the mindset<br />

of the Mexican government. We had<br />

the concessions – which were this mechanism<br />

where you took most of the risk<br />

and passed it on to the private sector and<br />

where the authorities only had to exercise<br />

regulatory oversight. And then you<br />

had public works. This new [PPP] regime<br />

represents a real partnership, where the<br />

mind-set of the private partner is different<br />

from that of traditional government<br />

procurement.<br />

The government’s National Infrastructure<br />

Plan (NIP) is fairly ambitious. With<br />

a second edition about to be launched,<br />

what’s your opinion of the NIP and will<br />

it be able to deliver a big pipeline of<br />

projects?<br />

JMG: I’ve seen many presentations on the<br />

level of completion of the NIP. And of<br />

course when you hear presentations from<br />

the government side, you hear they are<br />

very close to the objectives they outlined<br />

– and when you hear presentations from<br />

the private sector, you hear that there is<br />

still a lot of work to be done.<br />

I don’t want to get into that debate – but<br />

what is clear is that much has been learned<br />

from the first NIP. There were a lot of<br />

projects in different sectors, such as energy,<br />

transportation, airports, ports, water. So<br />

you have all the players in the market better<br />

understanding the system now, and you can<br />

see that with Mexican companies, which have<br />

become much more sophisticated.<br />

So when you combine that with the<br />

fact that you have a better financial<br />

system – with the Afores (Mexican pension<br />

funds) debt market and the CKDs<br />

(capital development certificates), as well<br />

as the National Infrastructure Fund (Fonadin)<br />

– I believe you now have all of these<br />

elements – which had been developing at<br />

different speeds – converging. This leads<br />

me to believe that what is coming next<br />

will not be ad-hoc growth, but rather a<br />

geometrical growth.<br />

I think all institutions in Mexico<br />

are more capable of absorbing a larger<br />

number of projects today. So while it’s<br />

debatable whether the previous NIP<br />

was successful, I think it has created the<br />

momentum, with all the elements there.<br />

Finally, where does <strong>Greenberg</strong> want to<br />

be in the Mexican infrastructure market<br />

over the coming years?<br />

JMG: We want to be one of the premier<br />

law firms when people speak of infrastructure<br />

generally – not only in Mexico, but<br />

in Latin America. We have a team that<br />

is capable of advising clients across all<br />

infrastructure sectors in Latin America<br />

and across the key infrastructure sectors<br />

in the region. That’s where we want to be<br />

over the coming years. n


m ay 2012 i n f r a s t r u c t u r e investor: mexico intelligence report pa g e 21<br />

guest article<br />

g r e e n b e r g t r a u r i g<br />

Are conditions ripe for significant<br />

growth in Mexican infra?<br />

<strong>Greenberg</strong> <strong>Traurig</strong>’s Juan Manuel González and Pedro Javier Reséndez explain how<br />

all the pieces of the infrastructure puzzle are now in place for Mexico to experience<br />

exceptional growth over the next decade<br />

Most would agree that infrastructure is<br />

a key factor for development and the<br />

Mexican government appears to have<br />

made a strong bet on making it one of<br />

the country’s growth engines.<br />

Mexico has done its homework over<br />

the past two decades: the legal regime has<br />

been substantially improved, country risks<br />

have decreased, government institutions<br />

have been modernised and developers<br />

are better positioned – with each having<br />

gained valuable experience through<br />

projects currently in development. The<br />

domestic equity and long-term debt markets,<br />

both based in local currency, have<br />

also strengthened. All of these facts<br />

underline that conditions are ripe for<br />

the coming decade to be remembered<br />

as the decade of infrastructure in Mexico.<br />

Today, the challenge for the government<br />

is to increase and improve project<br />

execution, which would allow for multiple<br />

and more efficient processes and for<br />

projects to be implemented simultaneously.<br />

To this end, leadership by the new<br />

Mexican administration, which is to be<br />

elected into office this coming summer,<br />

will be essential.<br />

A better legal framework<br />

Mexico has advanced significantly in<br />

terms of enacting laws that permit and<br />

promote investment in the infrastructure<br />

sector, as well as formalising treaties for<br />

the protection of such investments. Both<br />

of these advancements have resulted in a<br />

legal framework that provides more certainty<br />

and stability and offers investment<br />

Pedro Javier Reséndez<br />

protections similar to those in more developed<br />

countries.<br />

Without implying that everything is<br />

done and accomplished, it is important<br />

to recognise that the executive and legislative<br />

branches of the Mexican government,<br />

during several past government<br />

administrations and beginning with the<br />

signing of the North American Free Trade<br />

Agreement (NAFTA), have substantially<br />

improved the legal regime applicable<br />

to the transportation and energy sectors.<br />

These improvements have, in turn,<br />

allowed for new forms of private investment.<br />

Some of the more relevant examples<br />

of projects resulting from improvements<br />

to the legal regime include the following:<br />

• Several port and airport privatisations,<br />

arising mostly from the implementation<br />

of NAFTA;<br />

• Two generations of highway concession<br />

projects;<br />

• The development of several important<br />

projects relating to water pipelines<br />

and wastewater treatment plants;<br />

• A new generation of public-private partnership<br />

(PPP) projects involving longterm<br />

concessions in the highway, health,<br />

education and, more recently, social<br />

infrastructure sector (e.g., prisons);<br />

• And two major dams and several cogeneration<br />

and independent power<br />

producer projects, which have been<br />

made possible by recent reforms to<br />

the energy sector.<br />

It remains true that each of the aforementioned<br />

projects or reforms involved<br />

their own unique challenges and that,<br />

with the passage of time, the lessons<br />

learned in implementing those projects<br />

and reforms will undoubtedly be analysed<br />

and improved upon. However, the result<br />

is that today Mexico has an infrastructure<br />

base in terms of airports, ports, highway<br />

transportation, water systems and energy<br />

generation that puts the country above its<br />

Latin American neighbours and allows it<br />

to look ahead to the next level of development.<br />

New and capable developers<br />

In addition to providing for the growth<br />

and improvement of the country’s infrastructure,<br />

the projects and reforms


pa g e 22 i n f r a s t r u c t u r e investor: mexico intelligence report m ay 2012<br />

guest article<br />

completed to date have attracted a new<br />

generation of market participants to<br />

Mexico.<br />

These participants, which include<br />

companies of all sizes and levels of expertise<br />

from Mexico and abroad, have been<br />

attracted to Mexico by increasing development<br />

activity and favorable market conditions,<br />

especially with respect to ports, airports,<br />

highways, water projects, oil, energy<br />

and, more recently, social infrastructure.<br />

The result has been a strengthening<br />

in the supply of projects, which has<br />

also led to a revitalisation of industries<br />

through the application of newer and<br />

better technologies. Also, it is important<br />

to emphasise that Mexico, in contrast with<br />

many other Latin American countries, has<br />

encouraged the participation of foreign<br />

entities in its infrastructure sector.<br />

Today, after a period of great difficulty<br />

for Mexican developers due to the<br />

government’s lack of a clear and focused<br />

development policy, the sector has made<br />

its comeback (arguably, based largely on<br />

the efforts of the private sector itself) and<br />

has allowed a strong group of Mexican<br />

construction companies and concessionaires<br />

to develop sufficient experience and<br />

resources to compete at the international<br />

level.<br />

To continue building on that success,<br />

the Mexican government should continue<br />

to promote policies that permit<br />

the development of Mexican infrastructure<br />

operators, construction companies<br />

and engineering firms, and encourage<br />

the participation of the world’s best construction<br />

companies and developers in<br />

Mexican infrastructure.<br />

Project experience<br />

After overcoming significant challenges<br />

and with much effort under circumstances<br />

beyond those ever imagined, most of<br />

the public-private projects commenced<br />

in Mexico have been, or will shortly be,<br />

completed.<br />

These projects will be remembered<br />

as pioneering and, perhaps more<br />

The growth of pension<br />

and retirement funds in<br />

Mexico has led to a wide<br />

range of options for the<br />

participation of capital in<br />

Mexican projects<br />

importantly, as the projects that helped<br />

Mexico overcome the steep learning curve<br />

often encountered when undertaking<br />

large and ambitious projects.<br />

Undoubtedly, the different branches<br />

of the Mexican government, developers,<br />

financing parties and investors will also<br />

surely remember these two past decades<br />

as a period during which expertise was<br />

acquired in developing, bidding, winning,<br />

financing, executing, launching and refinancing<br />

infrastructure projects in Mexico.<br />

The new Public-Private Associations<br />

Law (APP), among its other intents and<br />

purposes, has served as a tool through<br />

which to gather and make use of much of<br />

the expertise gained over the past decade<br />

by public agencies, banks and developers,<br />

particularly from the execution of successful<br />

transportation and water projects.<br />

As a result, the APP is today much<br />

improved and more flexible than the prior<br />

legal regime. By providing for a more<br />

solid and unified legal base that reflects<br />

collective industry experience, the APP<br />

also serves to foster the development of<br />

new infrastructure projects by providing<br />

a legislative framework that avoids many<br />

of the ‘dead ends’ and other difficulties<br />

endemic under the prior regime. The<br />

APP also streamlined a public procurement<br />

process that previously did not<br />

provide for a comprehensive, long-term<br />

partnership between the public and private<br />

sectors.<br />

Better government<br />

institutions<br />

The Mexican government, having now<br />

completed more than a decade under the<br />

new legal regime, likely appreciates more<br />

than ever the dual functions of a government<br />

entity that is striving for a dynamic<br />

and successful infrastructure sector: in<br />

other words, government’s primary role as<br />

a public authority and its complementary<br />

and equally important role as a partner to<br />

private enterprise. That duality, and all<br />

of its accompanying conflicting objectives,<br />

requires an institutional framework that<br />

establishes clearly defined roles for market<br />

participants.<br />

One of those institutions is the<br />

National Infrastructure Fund (Fonadin),<br />

which today is considered perhaps the<br />

most important vehicle in the promotion<br />

of infrastructure development in Mexico.<br />

Fonadin has a clear legal mandate and<br />

a reputation for exceptional technical<br />

capacity. Above other institutions, it is<br />

widely respected as a leading force behind<br />

infrastructure projects and an excellent<br />

public sector partner.<br />

Another important institution is the<br />

office of the Secretary of Finance and<br />

Public Credit (SHCP), a government<br />

agency established by the Mexican legislature<br />

under the APP. The mandate of the<br />

SHCP is to administer Mexican government<br />

funds under any long-term contract<br />

to which the Mexican federal government<br />

is a party.<br />

In essence, the SHCP acts to align the<br />

interests of the Mexican federal government<br />

with those of its private sector partners.<br />

Under the prior legal regime, in<br />

contrast, private parties were more often<br />

likely to enter into direct and indirect<br />

discussions with the Secretary of Public<br />

Function, with such discussions tending<br />

to focus more on issues of liability and<br />

accountability, rather than on pragmatic<br />

issues related to actual business.<br />

The success of government participation<br />

in the Mexican infrastructure<br />

market can be largely attributed to the


m ay 2012 i n f r a s t r u c t u r e investor: mexico intelligence report pa g e 23<br />

guest article<br />

appointment of qualified persons to<br />

positions of leadership within the public<br />

agencies and other entities charged with<br />

the development of projects. Working<br />

together with infrastructure finance<br />

professionals, these public officials have<br />

been able to execute and implement<br />

infrastructure development policies based<br />

on long-term objectives that avoid shortterm<br />

political considerations. Building<br />

upon this successful base, future governments<br />

should be able to take advantage of<br />

these favourable conditions to continue<br />

large-scale infrastructure development<br />

that accomplishes the country’s longterm<br />

vision.<br />

Long-term financing<br />

The growth of pension and retirement<br />

funds in Mexico, known locally as Afores,<br />

has led to a wide range of options for<br />

the participation of capital in Mexican<br />

projects, including in the form of equity,<br />

preferential and subordinated debt<br />

instruments or other securities that are<br />

then able to be sold through the Mexican<br />

Stock Exchange.<br />

Participants are able to invest in a variety<br />

of companies, from those formed to<br />

develop one or more projects to private<br />

equity fund-type structures enabled by<br />

capital development certificates (CKDs).<br />

As such, Afores are beginning to complement<br />

the dynamic domestic and international<br />

banking sectors in Mexico with<br />

respect to infrastructure, and they have<br />

broad experience in supporting both<br />

‘greenfield’ and ‘brownfield’ projects.<br />

The availability of such investment<br />

instruments has allowed a diverse number<br />

of national and foreign fund managers<br />

specialising in infrastructure projects to<br />

enter into the Mexican market. These<br />

fund managers have earned the Afores’<br />

confidence and today these vehicles<br />

represent a real alternative for those<br />

interested in participating in the market<br />

in terms other than working with Mexican<br />

and international developers. In<br />

the end, the result is a more active and<br />

Mechanisms for dispute resolution<br />

Unfortunately, infrastructure projects have not been immune to disputes arising between<br />

private investors and government authorities. However, such disputes have allowed<br />

for the development and implementation of various judicial and alternative dispute<br />

resolution mechanisms.<br />

The disputes that are seen on one hand as unfortunate individual cases can be seen<br />

on the other hand (and in full perspective) as providing a wealth of experiences and<br />

solutions to problems that presently allow us to reaffirm that judges and the administrators<br />

of alternative mechanisms of dispute resolution (i.e., arbitrators and mediators) have<br />

sufficient precedent to make the market more mature, sophisticated and predictable<br />

for new investors.<br />

sophisticated market for infrastructure<br />

projects in Mexico.<br />

The combination of a more robust<br />

institutional framework, including Fonadin,<br />

a well-capitalised commercial and<br />

development bank, the existence of<br />

investment funds dedicated to Mexican<br />

infrastructure, and a robust market with<br />

heavy interest in the financing and refinancing<br />

of infrastructure projects are<br />

important ingredients for success that,<br />

even in developed markets, is difficult<br />

to find. These essential factors will continue<br />

to support the development of the<br />

infrastructure market in Mexico.<br />

From a market financing perspective,<br />

one of the most important factors<br />

contributing to the increasingly active<br />

participation by Afores and other institutional<br />

investors – including the Institute<br />

of Social Security for the Service of State<br />

Workers (ISSSTE) – in the infrastructure<br />

market is the efforts of development<br />

banks, in particular the National Bank<br />

for Public Works and Services (Banobras),<br />

in attracting institutional investor<br />

participation, primarily by identifying<br />

and assuming risks that, in principle,<br />

are difficult for institutional investors to<br />

assume.<br />

The importance of these institutional<br />

investors is also key because, from a regulatory<br />

and capital requirement perspective,<br />

they are often better suited for the<br />

development of long-term infrastructure<br />

projects than more heavily regulated commercial<br />

banks.<br />

Conclusion<br />

The stage for infrastructure investment in<br />

Mexico has been properly set and, if the<br />

actors perform their roles properly and<br />

within the scope of their expected abilities,<br />

we should experience exceptional<br />

growth in Mexican infrastructure over<br />

the next decade.<br />

Both Mexican and foreign developers<br />

participating in the Mexican market are<br />

better equipped than ever before to carry<br />

out the infrastructure projects that Mexico<br />

needs. Combining clearly identified infrastructure<br />

needs with the fact that many<br />

projects are already in development, as<br />

well as innovative legislation and capable<br />

professionals who have learned much from<br />

years of infrastructure experience, assures<br />

that the road to success in the Mexican<br />

infrastructure sector is no longer blocked.<br />

Equity capital, bank funding and the<br />

securities market are also well capitalised<br />

to finance infrastructure projects that<br />

properly balance risk and return within<br />

market parameters. The market also<br />

expects a new Mexican administration<br />

to make infrastructure a top priority and<br />

to reinforce and build upon the success<br />

already seen in the Mexican infrastructure<br />

marketplace today.<br />

Proper execution of new infrastructure<br />

projects, coupled with leadership at<br />

both the public and private level, should<br />

finally allow Mexico to capitalise on the<br />

gains and successes of the past for the<br />

benefit of the Mexican people today and<br />

in the future. n


pa g e 24 i n f r a s t r u c t u r e investor: mexico intelligence report m ay 2012<br />

interview<br />

d i o n i s i o a n t o n i o p é r e z - j á c o m e f r i s c i o n e ,<br />

m i n i s t e r o f t e l e c o m m u n i c a t i o n s a n d t r a n s p o r t<br />

Better connecting Mexico<br />

Dionisio Antonio Pérez-Jácome Friscione, the head of Mexico’s transport and<br />

communications ministry (SCT), talks of building 10km of road a day since 2007 and<br />

outlines his 3Cs policy – Competition, Convergence and Coverage – to bring Mexico<br />

firmly into the digital age<br />

How would you assess the government’s<br />

implementation of its infrastructure<br />

plans? What has worked and what is<br />

lagging behind?<br />

Current levels of investment in infrastructure<br />

in Mexico are unprecedented.<br />

Since 2007, overall annual investment<br />

has averaged 4.5 percent of GDP and the<br />

amount invested in communications and<br />

transportation during this administration<br />

is approximately $48 billion as of December<br />

2011.<br />

Mexico’s investment rate is higher<br />

than the OECD’s recommendations to<br />

serve infrastructure demand by 2030 (2.5<br />

percent to 3.5 percent of GDP). Currently<br />

OECD countries dedicate on average 3.3<br />

percent of their GDP to infrastructure,<br />

1.2 percentage points less than Mexico.<br />

This achievement has been possible<br />

due to the strategic guidelines set by the<br />

National Infrastructure Plan and to the<br />

commitment and leadership President<br />

Calderon has brought to infrastructure<br />

planning and execution.<br />

It is important to maintain the current<br />

pace to ensure that the infrastructure<br />

gap is breached and the benefits of<br />

infrastructure investment reach the entire<br />

population of the country. A key element<br />

is to strengthen the collaboration with<br />

the private sector through public-private<br />

partnerships (PPPs) to gain efficiency and<br />

long-term quality service provision at competitive<br />

prices, among other goals. Mexico<br />

has a new law for PPPs, approved last January<br />

by Congress that is expected to further<br />

boost investment in infrastructure.<br />

What are Mexico’s key infrastructure<br />

objectives and what are the priority sectors<br />

for the government?<br />

The National Development Plan (NDP)<br />

and specifically the National Infrastructure<br />

Plan (NIP) portray this administration’s<br />

infrastructure objectives, including:<br />

• Increasing the coverage, quality and<br />

competitiveness of infrastructure;<br />

• Transforming the country into an<br />

international logistic platform leveraging<br />

our geographical position and<br />

our free trade agreement network;<br />

• Increasing access to public services;<br />

• Promoting balanced regional<br />

growth;<br />

• Promoting sustainable development;<br />

• Developing the necessary infrastructure<br />

to promote tourism activities.<br />

I would like to highlight two priority<br />

sectors in infrastructure: highways to<br />

increase connectivity and telecommunications<br />

to seize the digital era.<br />

This administration has invested<br />

more than $20 billion in roads and has<br />

built or modernised more than 18,000<br />

kilometres –- an average of 10km a day<br />

since January of 2007. As a matter of fact,<br />

the NIP’s ‘ambitious goal’ of 17,598km<br />

has already been surpassed. There is special<br />

attention to highways, since modern<br />

roads reduce travel times, increase safety,<br />

and reduce transport operating costs<br />

(for example with less fuel consumption),<br />

and maintenance costs (less wear<br />

of tires, breaks, etc.), all of which bring<br />

benefits to producers, consumers, and<br />

communities.


m ay 2012 i n f r a s t r u c t u r e investor: mexico intelligence report pa g e 25<br />

interview<br />

This administration has<br />

built or modernised more<br />

than 18,000km [of roads].<br />

As a matter of fact, the<br />

National Infrastructure<br />

Plan’s ‘ambitious goal’<br />

of 17,598km has already<br />

been surpassed<br />

Additionally, more and better transport<br />

services provide better opportunities<br />

for those that live in rural areas; for<br />

instance, by increasing access to better<br />

products and services. They also foster<br />

social and cultural development as well<br />

as tourism. Finally, rural and less advantaged<br />

regions with low mobility standards<br />

benefit the most from new infrastructure<br />

projects, allowing for a more balanced<br />

distribution of wealth. For example,<br />

during this administration we have built<br />

or modernised over 11,000km of rural<br />

roads, which ensure easier and faster<br />

access to public services such as education<br />

and health to previously isolated<br />

communities.<br />

With regards to telecommunications,<br />

in Mexico we promote several strategies<br />

to accelerate the incursion into the digital<br />

age. To do so, the current administration<br />

has implemented a 3Cs policy:<br />

Competition, Convergence and Coverage.<br />

Through these, Mexico has managed to<br />

achieve price reductions, further penetration<br />

and foster the participation of new<br />

providers.<br />

We work to build a stronger regulatory<br />

policy to favour competition alongside<br />

a social coverage policy. In January,<br />

the SCT published a document outlining<br />

a set of actions to shrink the digital<br />

gap. Additionally in March we published<br />

a policy document called the Digital<br />

Agenda focused on bringing access to<br />

broadband to all Mexicans and promoting<br />

the use and development of information<br />

and communication technology<br />

tools.<br />

Next generation networks are also a<br />

priority. Mexico is preparing to implement<br />

a series of measures designed to<br />

promote and deploy such networks. It<br />

is important to highlight our priority<br />

to seize the digital age by adapting and<br />

encouraging the use of innovative technology<br />

such as long term evolution (LTE).<br />

Social coverage policy is critical and<br />

Mexico’s goal in 2012 is to have 24,000<br />

digital community centres in operation<br />

offering internet, education, and health<br />

services. This strategy aims to reduce the<br />

digital gap among adults while offering<br />

advanced tools, training and entrepreneurial<br />

support to younger generations.<br />

What role has private capital played in<br />

helping the government implement its<br />

infrastructure plans?<br />

Private capital has been critical to execute<br />

and operate infrastructure, transportation,<br />

and telecommunications projects<br />

with more than $25 billion invested by<br />

private parties since 2007.<br />

To a large extent this is due to an<br />

improved regulatory framework. Today<br />

the public sector plays a stronger role<br />

as a catalyst for private investments. For<br />

example, to boost private investment<br />

Mexico has leveraged three distinctive<br />

PPP schemes: project finance initiatives,<br />

concessions of new assets, and concessions<br />

of existing assets.<br />

We are confident the private sector<br />

will continue to play a greater role in<br />

financing and operating infrastructure<br />

due to the publication of the new law<br />

for PPPs.<br />

This law gives the private sector the<br />

opportunity to present unsolicited proposals<br />

and, because the project can be<br />

bidded in parts (design, construction,<br />

operation, etc.), the private sector can<br />

participate in several bidding processes<br />

in contrast with the concessions framework.<br />

Most importantly, transparency and<br />

equity are strengthened and risks are<br />

clearly identified and balanced. Finally,<br />

the bidding process under the PPP law<br />

does not distinguish between domestic<br />

and international participants; it leaves<br />

the respective laws (for example the foreign<br />

direct investment law) to determine<br />

the limits within which foreign participants<br />

may take part in the sector.<br />

What strengths does the private sector<br />

bring to infrastructure procurement?<br />

Several reports by the World Bank, OECD,<br />

International Monetary Fund and other


pa g e 26 i n f r a s t r u c t u r e investor: mexico intelligence report m ay 2012<br />

interview<br />

interview<br />

academic and multilateral institutions<br />

observe that the demand for infrastructure,<br />

especially in developing countries,<br />

is typically greater than what government<br />

can finance on its own.<br />

Hence the importance to create strategic<br />

partnerships with the private sector<br />

to leverage its technical, financial, and<br />

operational expertise in order to raise the<br />

amount of investments across highways,<br />

transportation, and telecommunication<br />

networks. In addition, the private sector<br />

brings greater capacity to manage economic<br />

resources which helps to optimise<br />

investment allocation.<br />

Mexico has experience working with<br />

the private sector for infrastructure and<br />

services provision. In the late 1980s we<br />

began the privatisation of the telecommunication<br />

sector followed by the highways<br />

sector.<br />

The main economic model was the<br />

concession scheme that brought the private<br />

sector’s know-how to design, finance,<br />

build, and operate infrastructure projects.<br />

Between 2003 and 2004, policy makers<br />

decided to explore additional schemes<br />

that could strengthen the relationship<br />

between government and private sector.<br />

As a result, project finance initiatives<br />

began in Mexico and in 2005 a free<br />

toll road (Irapuato-La Piedad) and a<br />

high-tech hospital in Guanajuato were<br />

awarded under this new scheme. Since<br />

then, more than 10 project finance initiatives<br />

have been executed in highways,<br />

regional hospitals, and universities.<br />

Finally, the participation of private<br />

capital in infrastructure development<br />

allows government to release funds to<br />

attend other needs such as education,<br />

health, housing, etc. With the new PPP<br />

law the private sector can also participate<br />

in the provision of infrastructure and<br />

services for such social sectors.<br />

Are there some sectors which you<br />

believe are particularly suited to private<br />

sector participation and, conversely,<br />

some sectors where you wouldn’t allow<br />

private sector participation?<br />

In general, both the telecommunications<br />

and transportation sectors are suitable to<br />

private sector participation. However, it<br />

is important to mention that our Constitution<br />

imposes restrictions to private<br />

capital (and in some cases foreign capital)<br />

participation in strategic sectors such as<br />

the postal service, oil exploration and<br />

production, hydrocarbons, among others.<br />

The private sector participates<br />

highly in telecommunications including<br />

broadband services, satellites, internet,<br />

landlines and mobile phones. The law<br />

on foreign direct investment regulates<br />

foreign capital participation in telecommunications.<br />

For example in mobile communications,<br />

foreign capital is allowed up<br />

to 49 percent. During this administration<br />

more than 50 percent of all investments<br />

in telecommunications have been made<br />

by the private sector, and in the last 10<br />

years overall investments in telecommunications<br />

have averaged $3 billion annually.<br />

Moreover, the private sector has<br />

increased its involvement in financing<br />

and operating transportation projects<br />

through the PPP schemes discussed<br />

before. In the highways sector, we have<br />

seen the growth of project finance initiatives<br />

as well as concessions. Several<br />

ports are built or operated through private<br />

funds. Finally, railway companies in<br />

Mexico have obtained long-term concessions<br />

(up to 50 years) to modernise,<br />

maintain, and operate rail lines.<br />

What is the federal government’s role<br />

in coordinating the implementation of<br />

the infrastructure programme vis a vis<br />

the regional authorities? How much<br />

autonomy do the regions have to procure<br />

their own projects?<br />

In Mexico the federal government is<br />

responsible for designing and executing<br />

a National Development Plan (NDP) that<br />

outlines a strategy to advance the transformation<br />

of the country. In addition, in<br />

2007 this administration launched the<br />

National Infrastructure Plan 2007-2012<br />

During this administration,<br />

more than 50 percent<br />

of all investments in<br />

telecoms have been<br />

made by the private<br />

sector


m ay 2012 i n f r a s t r u c t u r e investor: mexico intelligence report pa g e 27<br />

interview<br />

interview<br />

(NIP), which establishes the objectives,<br />

goals and projects needed to invest in<br />

three critical areas – ports, railways, and<br />

airports – to position Mexico as one of<br />

the top international logistics platforms,<br />

including greater connectivity of the<br />

transportation system, and the integration<br />

and modernisation of logistic chains.<br />

Each of the 31 states is responsible<br />

for the creation of their own development<br />

plans. This gives the states the<br />

autonomy to pursue their own infrastructure<br />

projects and they can request technical<br />

and financial assistance from the<br />

federation to design, fund, or execute<br />

their projects. More specifically, this is<br />

established in Article 124 of the Constitution<br />

which explains that all powers that<br />

are not attributed to the federation are<br />

reserved for the states.<br />

There has to be great coordination<br />

between national and state policy to<br />

implement the necessary infrastructure<br />

considered in the NIP. For example, in<br />

order to finance a project proposed by<br />

a state with funds from the federation, a<br />

special investment unit at the Ministry of<br />

Finance evaluates, among other criteria,<br />

how much that project in particular supports<br />

the NIP or the NDP.<br />

There are other sectors in which the<br />

states have greater autonomy to propose<br />

policies. An example is urban transportation<br />

policy. Municipalities and states can<br />

work together to define this policy and<br />

the federal government can participate<br />

with technical and financial assistance,<br />

if required, but the policy itself is not<br />

dictated by the federal government.<br />

Mexico has put a lot of tools in place<br />

and attracted a fair amount of attention<br />

from international investors. But it arguably<br />

hasn’t attained the level of PPP/<br />

concession development that a country<br />

like Chile has. Why has this been so and<br />

is this something we can expect the new<br />

PPP law to change?<br />

It can be complicated to measure<br />

and compare a specific level of PPP/<br />

concession development between two<br />

countries. However, it is worth mentioning<br />

that the Chilean experience in<br />

concessions is recognised and several<br />

countries have adopted or harmonised<br />

their regulatory framework accordingly,<br />

very much like other countries have<br />

followed the legal framework of the<br />

UK’s Private Finance Initiative, which<br />

has also been successful in promoting<br />

infrastructure.<br />

In addition, concessions in Chile<br />

have been in operation for longer than<br />

in Mexico. In our country, concessions<br />

began in 1989 and during the past few<br />

years, Mexico has undertaken strong<br />

actions leading to a stronger and more<br />

competitive regulatory framework to provide<br />

greater legal certainty to operators<br />

and concessionaires.<br />

For example, during this administration<br />

19 highway projects have been<br />

awarded under concession schemes<br />

which account for an investment of<br />

nearly $3 billion for 1,113km. More<br />

than seven highway projects have been<br />

awarded under PPP initiatives, which<br />

account for an investment greater than<br />

$1.5 billion, covering 557.8km.<br />

I can foresee that private investments<br />

will continue to leverage on the<br />

regulations that this administration has<br />

promoted and thus we believe we can<br />

expect a boost for this type of project.<br />

In addition, we expect PPP/PFI initiatives<br />

to increase given the new PPP law,<br />

which provides greater legal certainty<br />

with regards to the provision of services<br />

and the amendments and extension of<br />

projects operated by the private sector, as<br />

well as greater transparency and fairness.<br />

As a foreign investor, what competitive<br />

advantages does Mexico’s infrastructure<br />

programme offer compared with<br />

other infrastructure hotspots across the<br />

globe?<br />

There can be several factors that give<br />

Mexico a competitive advantage. Mexico<br />

is one of the more stable and largest<br />

economies in the world with a highly<br />

dynamic internal market, and it neighbours<br />

one of the largest markets in the<br />

globe [the United States]. We have a<br />

clear understanding of the infrastructure<br />

needed to take advantage of such factors.<br />

The NIP provides the guidelines that<br />

help to identify the necessary projects<br />

to attend to the growing infrastructure<br />

demand and to reduce the infrastructure<br />

gap. In addition, Mexico has<br />

strengthened its regulatory framework to<br />

increase legal certainty for private sector<br />

participation in infrastructure.<br />

Other competitive advantages<br />

Mexico has are its unique international<br />

position given its geographic location<br />

and its openness to free trade (we<br />

have signed more than 40 free trade<br />

agreements). To take advantage of this<br />

potential, Mexico is developing, along<br />

with the private sector, modern and<br />

efficient transportation and logistics<br />

infrastructure including ports, airports,<br />

and railways.<br />

More specifically, for road infrastructure<br />

our work is committed to complete<br />

the modernisation of nine transversal<br />

and six longitudinal trunk corridors.<br />

They add up to more than 19,000km and<br />

connect major cities, ports, borders and<br />

resorts in the country, with roads of high<br />

specification. The objective is to improve<br />

communication between regions and the<br />

road network, and to give special attention<br />

to the construction of bypasses to<br />

facilitate the continuity of traffic flows<br />

and accelerate trade.<br />

Finally we recognise that various<br />

countries in Latin America, in South East<br />

Asia, and in Africa continue to improve<br />

their infrastructure plans and regulatory<br />

frameworks. This process will allow countries<br />

to compete for greater amounts of<br />

foreign investment with a likely scarcity<br />

of private capital. Therefore, Mexico will<br />

have to continue to promote its infrastructure<br />

plans internationally as well as<br />

to promote its PPP expertise to remain<br />

competitive. n


pa g e 28 i n f r a s t r u c t u r e investor: mexico intelligence report m ay 2012<br />

interview<br />

m a r k r a m s e y , e x e c u t i v e d i r e c t o r a n d p r e s i d e n t o f m a c q u a r i e c a p i t a l , m e x i c o<br />

‘The true intent is there’<br />

Mark Ramsey established himself as a central infrastructure executive for Macquarie<br />

Capital in Australia before lighting out for Mexico, a frontier brimming with economic<br />

potential<br />

Mexico is the only<br />

market where wind<br />

power can compete<br />

without subsidies with<br />

ordinary power<br />

A decade into his career with Macquarie<br />

Group, Mark Ramsey found himself<br />

itching for his next challenge – and<br />

perhaps a change of scenery.<br />

The native of Australia and dogged<br />

Macquarie executive had joined the<br />

Sydney-headquartered financial-services<br />

group in 1997 after a stint as a practicing<br />

lawyer, going to work in its private<br />

equity and infrastructure fund private<br />

placement programme and, in the<br />

process, becoming a tested world traveler,<br />

for example visiting Africa to help set up<br />

the Macquarie African Infrastructure<br />

Investment Fund.<br />

“It was time for a change,” Ramsey<br />

admits, before adding, “and I was anxious<br />

to try to stop travelling so much. I wanted<br />

to build a business in one place. As a<br />

location, Latin America was the obvious<br />

choice”.<br />

That prospect came when Macquarie<br />

Capital, with Ramsey at the helm, decided<br />

to establish an infrastructure-focused<br />

financial advisory business in Mexico<br />

and the Macquarie Infrastructure and<br />

Real Assets funds management business<br />

launched an initiative to establish a fund<br />

focused only on investing across all core<br />

sectors of Mexican infrastructure assets.<br />

The fund, which had its first close<br />

in December 2008, would be the first<br />

purebred infrastructure investment<br />

vehicle in Mexico and would serve as<br />

a first-of-its-kind emerging markets<br />

fund participating in a nation-building<br />

programme.<br />

As a vaunted emerging marketplace,<br />

Mexico boasted a well-educated, Englishspeaking<br />

middle class, a familiarity with<br />

global finance and a business-friendly<br />

climate. “Mexico has a free trade<br />

agreement with 44 countries, more than<br />

any other nation,” says Ramsey. “As far as<br />

being a trading partner, Mexico is at the<br />

top of the list.”<br />

There was also its distinction of<br />

being a sociopolitical exception in Latin<br />

America.<br />

“Unlike a lot of Latin America, Mexico<br />

has no history of communist or socialist<br />

government,” says Ramsey. “Historically<br />

the country has always accommodated<br />

itself to free enterprise.”<br />

Then there was also the federal<br />

government, led by President Felipe<br />

Calderón. Elected president in 2006,<br />

Calderón talked up infrastructure and<br />

private investment as a tenet of his<br />

platform, putting Mexico directly on<br />

the radar of infrastructure powerhouse<br />

Macquarie.<br />

“We want to assign more resources<br />

to building more infrastructure for<br />

development and public safety,” Calderón<br />

said in a national address to the nation<br />

in October 2009.<br />

“The true intent is there,” notes Ramsey.<br />

“Mexico under President Calderón has a<br />

very clear agenda for infrastructure. Its<br />

economy is rising, and infrastructure is<br />

really the skeleton that the economy is<br />

built on, so there is a need for strong<br />

efficient infrastructure. It [the support<br />

for infrastructure] was there, it was very<br />

public and it was a high priority for the<br />

government, so it attracted our attention.”<br />

And if Macquarie could break into the<br />

Mexico market based on its infrastructure<br />

expertise, then the prospect of a wider


How do you<br />

generate more<br />

powerful solutions?<br />

Infrastructure solutions, from roads to renewables and everything in between.<br />

How do you access infrastructure investments across<br />

the globe, including Mexico and other emerging<br />

markets? How do you finance Latin America’s largest<br />

wind farm, despite financial market headwinds?<br />

How do you source equity and debt for the region’s<br />

largest infrastructure projects? Macquarie is providing<br />

innovative solutions to infrastructure challenges like<br />

these every day.<br />

www.macquarie.com<br />

Macquarie has long been recognized as a pioneer<br />

in infrastructure investment, financing, management<br />

and advisory. Today, with one of the largest dedicated<br />

infrastructure teams in Latin America and a string of<br />

global awards, Macquarie combines independent<br />

funds management and advice with unrivalled sector<br />

expertise. Whatever your infrastructure challenge, the<br />

solution is Macquarie.<br />

Contact:<br />

Mark Ramsey<br />

President,<br />

Macquarie Capital, Mexico<br />

+52 55 9178 7701<br />

Mark.Ramsey@macquarie.com<br />

Nick O’Neil<br />

Head of Macquarie Infrastructure<br />

and Real Assets, Mexico<br />

+52 55 9178 7714<br />

Nick.ONeil@macquarie.com<br />

No information set out above constitutes advice, an advertisement, an invitation, an offer or a solicitation, to buy or sell any financial product or security or to engage in any investment activity, or an offer of any banking<br />

or financial service. Some products and/or services mentioned in this document may not be suitable for you and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Other than Macquarie Bank Limited, any Macquarie Group entity<br />

noted on this page is not an authorized deposit-taking institution for the purposes of the Banking Act 1959 (Commonwealth of Australia), and its obligations do not represent deposits or other liabilities of MBL. MBL does<br />

not guarantee or otherwise provide assurance in respect of the obligations of that entity, unless noted otherwise.


pa g e 30 i n f r a s t r u c t u r e investor: mexico intelligence report m ay 2012<br />

interview<br />

expansion into Latin America was within<br />

reach.<br />

“The world has long seen Macquarie<br />

as an infrastructure specialist, so this has<br />

historically been one way to break into a<br />

new market. As for Mexico, the country<br />

itself is very important to Macquarie,<br />

and also as a way to expand our global<br />

business into Latin America,” Ramsey<br />

reveals.<br />

So in the beginning of 2009, Ramsey<br />

boarded a flight to help set up shop<br />

as president of Macquarie Capital,<br />

Macquarie’s financial advisory business,<br />

in Mexico.<br />

The view from Mexico City<br />

The four-year-old Macquarie Mexico<br />

operation is run from Mexico City, the<br />

capital city and seat of federal and<br />

financial powers in the country.<br />

“We have 22 people here, about half<br />

of which are in Macquarie Capital,” says<br />

Ramsey who, despite his latest post,<br />

has been unable to bring a halt to his<br />

globetrotting (he was back and forth<br />

to India a week ago). “For a given deal,<br />

we can bring in an additional 10 to 15<br />

people.”<br />

To date, Macquarie’s Mexican<br />

infrastructure fund has made three<br />

investments: the Ps$1.54 billion (€89<br />

million; $117 million) purchase in<br />

late 2010 of Desarrollos Carreteros del<br />

Estado de Durango, a company with<br />

a 326-kilometre road public-private<br />

partnership (PPP) in the Mexican state of<br />

Durango; the purchase of 32.5 percent of<br />

a 396-megawatt wind farm development<br />

in the state of Oaxaca in March 2011;<br />

and, most recently, the acquisition of 199<br />

telecommunication towers across Mexico.<br />

The closing of the Mareña Renovables<br />

wind farm merits special attention for two<br />

reasons: firstly, when completed, it will be<br />

the largest single-stage wind farm in Latin<br />

America; and secondly, the $700 million<br />

We hear about the Asia<br />

decade; I think this is<br />

going to be the decade<br />

of Latin America<br />

or so of debt financing the Macquarie<br />

consortium – which also includes<br />

Mitsubishi Corporation and PGGM –<br />

managed to obtain for the project makes<br />

it the second-largest project financing in<br />

Mexico.<br />

“We continue to see significant<br />

development in renewable energy,” notes<br />

Ramsey, stressing: “Mexico is the only<br />

market where wind power can compete<br />

without subsidies with ordinary power.<br />

And the fact is electricity is expensive.<br />

But Mexico is going to become a major<br />

force in wind power.”<br />

Transportation infrastructure, a focal<br />

point for Calderon and his administration,<br />

will likely come to a standstill until after<br />

the upcoming general election in July<br />

(Calderon is ineligible to run), according<br />

to Ramsey, but water and wastewater<br />

infrastructure project work should<br />

continue unimpeded.<br />

“Mexico is heavily industrialised, and<br />

heavily urbanised,” explains Ramsey,<br />

“with a population that is going to keep<br />

on growing.”<br />

A new PPP law went into effect in<br />

January, named Ley de Asociaciones<br />

Publico Pravidas, for which Calderon<br />

ardently lobbied. The would-be law was<br />

first put forth in 2009, but stalled in the<br />

Senate until its recent passage.<br />

Ramsey calls the current regulatory<br />

environment “complicated,” but said the<br />

government has been “very helpful […]<br />

they will make an effort to aid, and if<br />

needed, will step in and try to fix whatever<br />

problem there is.”<br />

Expansion plans<br />

In evaluating Latin America as a whole,<br />

Macquarie has identified as the most<br />

promising markets: Brazil, based on the<br />

sheer size of its economy; Colombia and<br />

Peru because they are growing so fast; and<br />

Chile, because, Ramsey says, the country<br />

is already “so well developed”.<br />

Ramsey gave his overall forecast on<br />

Latin America as “bullish”.<br />

”We hear about the Asia decade; I<br />

think this is going to be the decade of<br />

Latin America,” he says.<br />

Ramsey is quick to acknowledge<br />

the potential lurking danger that could<br />

threaten Mexico, and by extension, Latin<br />

America, citing the European debt crisis<br />

as high on his list.<br />

“There is a threat of a contagion,” he<br />

says.<br />

“Mexico is a great place to do business,”<br />

Ramsey emphasises. “Our commitment to<br />

Mexico and Latin America is substantial<br />

and long-term.<br />

“We want to take what we do here, in<br />

Mexico, and reformat it onto the greater<br />

Latin America stage,” Ramsey says. n<br />

DISCLAIMER<br />

No information set out above constitutes advice,<br />

an advertisement, an invitation, an offer or a<br />

solicitation, to buy or sell any financial product or<br />

security or to engage in any investment activity,<br />

or an offer of any banking or financial service.<br />

Some products and/or services mentioned in this<br />

document may not be suitable for you and may<br />

not be available in all jurisdictions. Other than<br />

Macquarie Bank Limited, any Macquarie Group<br />

entity noted on this page is not an authorized<br />

deposit-taking institution for the purposes of the<br />

Banking Act 1959 (Commonwealth of Australia),<br />

and its obligations do not represent deposits or<br />

other liabilities of MBL. MBL does not guarantee<br />

or otherwise provide assurance in respect of the<br />

obligations of that entity, unless noted otherwise.


m ay 2012 i n f r a s t r u c t u r e investor: mexico intelligence report pa g e 31<br />

m i g u e l d o n o v a n , d i r e c t o r g e n e r a l , c u r r i e & b r o w n m e x i c o<br />

Procurement revolution<br />

interview<br />

President Calderón inaugurating a new PPP hospital in Tamaulipas, in 2009<br />

Currie & Brown’s Miguel Donovan recalls how the launch of Mexico’s $6bn hospital<br />

PPP programme was the start of a sea change in Mexican infrastructure procurement<br />

and explains why he believes all parties are now better prepared for the long-term<br />

commitment PPPs demand<br />

It can’t have been easy. Just picture the situation:<br />

in the mid-2000s, the Mexican government<br />

decided to begin procuring a mammoth,<br />

$6 billion-plus hospital programme<br />

with the help of the private sector using the<br />

public-private partnership model (PPP).<br />

The programme involved the construction<br />

and operation of seven new hospitals<br />

sprinkled liberally across the Mexican map,<br />

throughout places like State of Mexico,<br />

Tamaulipas, Sinaloa, Queretaro, Guerrero,<br />

Chihuahua and Coahuila. Just by virtue of its<br />

size and scope, it automatically became one<br />

of the largest healthcare PPP programmes<br />

anywhere in the world.<br />

So the Mexican government did the<br />

obvious: it took a look at that other country<br />

with a vast healthcare PPP programme – the<br />

UK – and decided to hire UK consultancy<br />

Currie & Brown to help it oversee and<br />

The launch of the<br />

PPP programme in<br />

Mexico represented<br />

a huge change in<br />

the mentality of how<br />

public infrastructure<br />

is procured<br />

structure its fledgling healthcare initiative,<br />

making the consultancy responsible for everything<br />

from carrying out feasibility studies<br />

for each of the hospitals, risk analysis, dispute<br />

resolution and generally supporting the<br />

government throughout the tender process.<br />

There was just one problem: Mexico<br />

had virtually no experience using PPPs and<br />

no centralised framework to speak of – its<br />

first-ever PPP law was only approved last<br />

December.<br />

“The government started this [healthcare]<br />

programme in 2004-2005 with a pilot<br />

project called the Bajio hospital and it took<br />

a lot of time and effort to get that project<br />

out to market,” recalls Miguel Donovan, the<br />

head of Currie & Brown’s Mexican operation.<br />

Whilst the 184-bed hospital took some<br />

15 months to get up and running once it<br />

was awarded, Donovan clocks in the whole<br />

procurement process at some three years.<br />

But what Bajio – and the Mexican healthcare<br />

PPP programme in general represented<br />

– was the first step in a much more important<br />

and larger process: the battle to change the<br />

way Mexican infrastructure was going to be<br />

procured in the future, opening sectors like<br />

education, cultural facilities, court houses,


pa g e 32 i n f r a s t r u c t u r e investor: mexico intelligence report m ay 2012<br />

interview<br />

water, transport programmes and others to<br />

private sector participation.<br />

“The launch of the PPP programme in<br />

Mexico represented a huge change in the<br />

mentality of how public infrastructure is<br />

procured. A huge change in the mind-set<br />

of the government, but also a huge change<br />

in the mind-set of the private companies and<br />

banks involved [in the infrastructure sector],”<br />

says Donovan.<br />

He continues: “It’s really a change<br />

for Mexico, because historically we have<br />

been very resistant to private investment<br />

in public services. But the government is<br />

now aware that procurement is a long-term,<br />

two-way relationship. In many ways, the<br />

government wasn’t ready to host this type<br />

of project before.”<br />

That change in mentality was not just<br />

confined to the federal government and<br />

local powers quickly followed suit, with the<br />

State of Mexico launching PPP projects<br />

like the Bicentennial Cultural Centre, the<br />

Zumpango Hospital, an ambitious road<br />

maintenance programme and several<br />

water projects. Other states like Yucatan<br />

and Sonora are now ready to successfully<br />

procure PPP projects as well, Donovan<br />

points out.<br />

Like many other players in the Mexican<br />

infrastructure market, Donovan believes<br />

that the creation of the National Infrastructure<br />

Fund (Fonadin) played a key<br />

role in helping to bring about this change<br />

in mentality.<br />

“I think Fonadin helped change the<br />

government’s mentality, as they really<br />

became aware that they had to become<br />

much stronger on the management and<br />

budgeting sides of infrastructure procurement,”<br />

he argues.<br />

“Because now, [with PPPs], the government<br />

is about to turn into a management<br />

contracting agency rather than a development<br />

agency,” Donovan adds.<br />

“What the PPP scheme brought to the<br />

table is that it has begun to harmonise relationships<br />

between the promoters, the public<br />

agencies that are trying to get projects done<br />

as quickly as possible, and the developers.<br />

The latter were mainly traditional construction<br />

companies which were used to operating<br />

more along the lines of: ‘Give me my<br />

contract, I’ll give you a cost estimate, I’ll<br />

deliver your public work, and then I’ll move<br />

on to the project’. This doesn’t work for a<br />

long-term contract,” he quips.<br />

Encouragingly, it’s not just the government<br />

that has been changing its approach<br />

to infrastructure procurement.<br />

“We are now seeing – regarding developers<br />

like ICA, IDEAL, Marhnos, Prodemex,<br />

Tlalnepantla Hospital is, in the pantheon of<br />

Mexican public-private partnerships (PPP),<br />

surely one of the country’s most innovative<br />

PPP projects. What makes the $80 million<br />

plus, 120-bed hospital in Tlalnepantla, State<br />

of Mexico so special?<br />

“The deal is significant because it features<br />

the first equity investment from pension<br />

funds in Mexico in a greenfield social<br />

infrastructure PPP project using a development<br />

capital certificate,” Miguel Donovan,<br />

the head of Currie & Brown’s Mexican operations,<br />

succinctly explained earlier this year,<br />

when the project received an award for its<br />

innovative structure.<br />

Development capital certificates, or<br />

CKDs, as they are known in the local market,<br />

are a financial instrument that, along with<br />

recent regulatory changes, has opened the<br />

door for Mexican pensions to invest up to<br />

$15 billion in Mexican infrastructure.<br />

But the deal is not just noteworthy<br />

because its sponsors and advisers managed to<br />

get a number of Mexican pensions to participate<br />

in a greenfield project – a milestone in<br />

itself, pretty much in any corner of the globe.<br />

The deal is even more significant<br />

because these pensions managed to get comfortable<br />

with investing in what is essentially<br />

a social infrastructure project procured by a<br />

local authority – the Social Security Institute<br />

of the State of Mexico, known locally as ISSE-<br />

MyM – sponsored by a Mexican developer<br />

GIA and others – a serious change in the way<br />

these companies operate. In the beginning,<br />

only foreign companies were bidding for<br />

Mexican PPPs. But we have very good construction<br />

and engineering industries here<br />

in Mexico. And these companies quickly<br />

understood that they needed to change<br />

their model and that they needed to look<br />

more into the long term,” Donovan explains,<br />

before concluding:<br />

“And now with the new PPP law, all the<br />

pieces are falling in place.” n<br />

Mexico’s most innovative hospital PPP –<br />

Tlalnepantla Hospital<br />

– Marhnos – and funded solely by a local<br />

bank – Banco del Bajio.<br />

It’s true that the majority of funds for<br />

the project – about $66 million – come in<br />

the form of long-term debt from Banco del<br />

Bajio, with the remaining funds broken<br />

down into some $7.5 million of subordinated<br />

debt and about the same amount in equity.<br />

But 70 percent of that equity has been provided<br />

by a group of Mexican institutional<br />

investors, via an earlier CKD issue conducted<br />

by Marhnos, while the sponsor itself provides<br />

the remaining 30 percent of the equity.<br />

Donovan sees Tlalnepantla Hospital as<br />

not just innovative, but a true public-private<br />

collaboration:<br />

“You have Marhnos, Banco del Bajio<br />

and pension funds financing the hospital.<br />

Marhnos will be responsible for construction,<br />

facility management and non-clinical<br />

services, such as providing all medical equipment,<br />

including replacements and consumables<br />

over the lifetime of the contract. The<br />

ISSEMyM, meanwhile, will be responsible<br />

for the hospital’s medical staff and pharmaceuticals.<br />

And Currie & Brown will secure<br />

and supervise the whole partnership, introducing<br />

private sector best practices to help<br />

deliver enhanced medical services for 6,000<br />

inpatients and 20,000 outpatients annually<br />

while reducing the overall cost of the hospital<br />

by a third.”


Why your<br />

company<br />

needs us!<br />

One of the leading international providers of technical and related advisory services to a<br />

diverse and evolving PPP/PFI/P3 infrastructure market, Currie & Brown is involved across a<br />

wide range of PFI/PPP/P3 challenges, including lead, technical and financial remits. Our<br />

expertise covers strategic planning and preparation of business cases; project scoping and<br />

assessing affordability; technical outputs and advice; payment mechanism; service levels; and<br />

asset lifecycle across all aspects of transactions.<br />

With an extensive portfolio of health, education and infrastructure projects, we have significant presence in<br />

Latin America, as well as in the Middle East, the Far East and Europe.<br />

To find out more contact:<br />

miguel.donovan@curriebrown.com<br />

www.curriebrown.com<br />

Currie & Brown Mexico<br />

Aristoteles 77, 6th floor<br />

Mexico City 11560, Mexico<br />

Tel: + 52 55 52 81 00 63<br />

Currie & Brown<br />

Dashwood House, 69 Old Broad Street<br />

London, EC2M 1QS, United Kingdom<br />

Tel: +44 (0)20 7920 9220<br />

enquiries@curriebrown.com


pa g e 34 i n f r a s t r u c t u r e investor: mexico intelligence report m ay 2012<br />

interview<br />

s a n t i a g o s e p u l v e d a , p a r t n e r , c r e e l , g a r c í a - c u é l l a r , a i z a y e n r i q u e z<br />

‘A whole town grew’<br />

Creel, García-Cuéllar, Aiza y Enriquez partner Santiago Sepulveda began his career<br />

in project finance law just as Mexico ushered in its present day era of privatisation,<br />

creating a thriving new infrastructure market which is achieving a human gain as well<br />

as financial significance<br />

For veteran attorney Santiago Sepulveda, the<br />

completion last month of the construction of<br />

a liquefied natural gas (LNG) storage terminal<br />

in Manzanillo, a Pacific Coast port town<br />

in Colima, Mexico, marked a professional,<br />

not to mention personal, highpoint for the<br />

Mexican national.<br />

Sepulveda is a partner in the energy and<br />

infrastructure practice of Creel y García-<br />

Cuéllar, Aiza y Enriquez (Creel), a full-service<br />

corporate law firm established in 1936 and<br />

headquartered in Mexico City, and the Manzanillo<br />

LNG Terminal – just the third-ever<br />

LNG receiving terminal in Mexico – was, in<br />

a sense, his accomplishment.<br />

To be accurate, Sepulveda and his firm<br />

represented a consortium, named Terminal<br />

KMS de GNL, which had designed, built, and<br />

would now, operate, the terminal . On Tuesday,<br />

March 27, Sepulveda listened as Felipe<br />

Calderón praised the freshly unwrapped<br />

project in a media covered speech the President<br />

of Mexico gave to inaugurate rail and<br />

road built to accommodate the terminal.<br />

The new PPP law<br />

A project is not<br />

going to transform<br />

just the economy;<br />

it is going to transform<br />

a community<br />

In 2009, President Calderon put forward a bill to carve out a legal public-private partnership<br />

(PPP) framework. The legal community in Mexico, used to witnessing previous pro-PPP<br />

legislation fail to pass, felt a sense of renewed confidence.<br />

The Calderon administration had made infrastructure a definite platform, accelerating<br />

building and upping federal government funding as part of a broader agenda to<br />

accelerate economic growth.<br />

As in the past, wrangling in the senate stalled the bill from becoming ratified. “Yes, I<br />

was frustrated – a lot of people were,” says Santiago Sepulveda, a partner in the energy<br />

and infrastructure practice of Creel y García-Cuéllar, Aiza y Enriquez . But by 2012, the<br />

Senate finally passed the bill, and Sepulveda is pleased.<br />

“There is a clear legal framework throughout Mexico, a clearer delineation between<br />

state and federal level funding,” Sepulveda says. “Going forward, it is going to be very,<br />

very useful.” n<br />

In 2008, Sepulveda and Creel began<br />

working with KMS – short for KoreaGas<br />

Corporation (KOGAS), Mitsui & Company<br />

and Samsung C&T Corporation – on the<br />

project, which totaled $2.8 billion. But question<br />

Sepulveda about the incentive of working<br />

on a long-term project from beginning<br />

to end, and get an answer veering toward<br />

nonfinancial success.<br />

“A project is not going to transform just<br />

the economy, it is going to transform a community,”<br />

explains Sepulveda from his Mexico<br />

City office.<br />

ACTUAL RESULT<br />

A successful infrastructure project, according<br />

to Sepulveda, is not just when an independent<br />

power producer (IPP), or LNG storage<br />

terminal – a project with an “actual result”<br />

– is built and is capable of generating a tangible<br />

positive economic impact. In his mind, a<br />

properly executed project can bring different<br />

people together for a single goal, and at<br />

the same time make a positive contribution<br />

to the surrounding locale.<br />

“You realise, ‘a whole town grew,’” he<br />

enthuses. “It can bring in an influx of bluecollar<br />

people, white-collar people, who work<br />

in engineering. The hotel business and the<br />

restaurant business can thrive. A road can<br />

be built to transport needed material to and<br />

from the worksite. A railroad track can be<br />

laid down.”<br />

Simply put, the economic ‘ripple out’<br />

effect is visible. “The actual result is exciting,<br />

but not just financially,” he concludes.<br />

So while Sepulveda is prone to describing<br />

his career as a lawyer in project finance<br />

as ‘vital’ – it has less to do with the size of<br />

the hourly fee.


m ay 2012 i n f r a s t r u c t u r e investor: mexico intelligence report pa g e 35<br />

interview<br />

No one project is<br />

the same. No cookie<br />

cutting. Everything<br />

is tailor-made<br />

LEARN AS I GO<br />

Sepulveda did not become a lawyer with<br />

the expectation of working in project<br />

finance. In fact, energy infrastructure<br />

was the last field in which Sepulveda<br />

thought he would be practicing law.<br />

And his reasoning for that lack of prescience<br />

is simple: when he was in law<br />

school, there was no such profession<br />

as project finance lawyer for energy<br />

infrastructure.<br />

“The federal government controlled<br />

that,” recalls Sepulveda, who graduated<br />

from the Instituto Tecnológico<br />

Autónomo de México in 1996, before<br />

going on to Columbia University, and<br />

graduating from there in 1998.<br />

“It was not even a practice,” he continues.<br />

“For example: there was no gas<br />

sector.” But that changed shortly after<br />

he graduated from law school. “The<br />

government opened public bidding,”<br />

he says. “Back then, I had to learn as I<br />

go. Now, energy infrastructure is welldeveloped.”<br />

Sepulveda began his career with<br />

Mayer, Brown, Rowe and Maw (now<br />

Mayer Brown), operating as foreign<br />

associate to its New York office. There,<br />

he landed Sempra Energy, a publicly<br />

traded natural gas utility headquartered<br />

in San Diego, as his client.<br />

By 2001, he had joined Creel,<br />

making partner in 2005. Well into his<br />

career, Sepulveda the legal attorney is<br />

grateful to practice a field of law that<br />

is “vital…that can keep me on my feet.<br />

“No one project is the same,” he<br />

explains. “No cookie cutting. Everything<br />

is tailor-made.” n<br />

AT A GLANCE: SANTIAGO SEPULVEDA<br />

• Obtained law degree from the Instituto Tecnológico Autónomo de México in<br />

1996, and later obtained his LL.M degree from Columbia University in 1998;<br />

• Worked as foreign associate in the New York office of Mayer, Brown, Rowe<br />

and Maw (now Mayer Brown);<br />

• Joined Creel y García-Cuéllar, Aiza y Enriquez in 2001; named partner in its<br />

energy infrastructure practice in 2005;<br />

• Represented Terminal KMS de GNL, a consortium teaming KoreaGas<br />

Corporation, Mitsui & Company and Samsung C&T Corporation in a deal<br />

with the Mexican Federal Electricity Commission (CFE) to design, build<br />

and operate Manzanillo LNG Terminal, a liquefied natural gas (LNG)<br />

storage terminal in Manzanillo, Colima, providing commercial, financial<br />

and regulatory counsel;<br />

• Longtime counsel to Sempra Energy, a publicly traded natural gas utility<br />

headquartered in San Diego, representing its Energía Costa Azul LNG storage<br />

and regasification terminal in Ensenada, Baja, California;<br />

• Counseled Sempra Energy in the preparation and structuring of its successful<br />

participation in the public bid called by CFE for the supply of natural gas to<br />

its facilities in Baja California, Mexico, under a 15-year Natural Gas Supply<br />

Agreement worth over $1.4 billion;<br />

• Counsel to Sempra Energy in preparing and structuring the acquisition of<br />

Natural Gas Distribution Permits in Mexicali, Chihuahua and La Laguna-<br />

Durango Geographic Zones;<br />

• Represented Mitsui, in connection with the acquisition of 25 percent of<br />

Terminal de LNG de Altamira, a LNG storage and regasification terminal<br />

in Port of Altamira, Mexico, for $82 million;<br />

• Experienced counsel in energy infrastructure financing throughout Mexico;<br />

• Represented publicly traded Spain-based Gas Natural SDG, which acquired<br />

power generation and pipeline businesses from Paris-headquartered<br />

Electricité de France International, the second-largest electric utility company<br />

in the world;<br />

• Counsel to Bain Capital, the Boston-headquartered private equity firm<br />

co-founded by Massachusetts Governor and current US presidential candidate<br />

Mitt Romney, representing its $3 billion acquisition of Sensata, a former<br />

Mexico-based business unit of Texas Instruments;<br />

• Counsel to AIG Highstar Capital II, L.P., a Delaware-headquartered limited<br />

partnership, and Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan Board (OTPP), in their<br />

$1.75 billion deal for InterGen.


pa g e 36 i n f r a s t r u c t u r e investor: mexico intelligence report m ay 2012<br />

guest article<br />

c r e e l , g a r c í a - c u é l l a r , a i z a y e n r í q u e z<br />

Powering Mexico’s Northwest<br />

Creel, García-Cuéllar, Aiza y Enríquez partner Santiago Sepulveda sheds some light on<br />

the Mexican Federal Electricity Commission’s $6bn-plus Northwest Project<br />

The outlook for new, large-scale infrastructure<br />

development in Mexico has received<br />

renewed interest in 2012 as a result of two<br />

important recent developments.<br />

Firstly, after more than two years of discussion<br />

in the Mexican Congress, the new<br />

public-private partnerships law (PPP law)<br />

was enacted last January. More recently,<br />

Mexico’s Federal Electricity Commission<br />

(CFE) announced a new package of bids<br />

for three new power plants and the necessary<br />

supply pipelines.<br />

The latter comprise CFE’s Northwest<br />

Project, which is expected to require investments<br />

of around $6 billion over the next<br />

five years – and much more as ageing power<br />

plants in the region are substituted with<br />

combined cycle projects through 2020.<br />

The Northwest Project is an integrated<br />

system of natural gas pipelines and power<br />

plants meant to address the needs of industry<br />

and population in the states of Chihuahua,<br />

Sonora and Sinaloa.<br />

The CFE has determined that, given<br />

the prospects of the natural gas sector in<br />

Mexico and the United States (US), the<br />

development of combined cycle power<br />

plants is the most cost-efficient and environmentally<br />

friendly alternative to address<br />

the large power demand expected for the<br />

region in the near future.<br />

The Northwest Project consists of two<br />

pipeline systems bringing natural gas from<br />

the US down to Sonora and Sinaloa along<br />

the Pacific coast to supply at least three new<br />

power plants in the area.<br />

This year the CFE will launch two tenders<br />

to award gas supply contracts requiring<br />

the construction and operation of four<br />

natural gas pipelines.<br />

The first set of pipelines will start at the<br />

US-Mexico border in Sásabe, connect to<br />

CFE’s Northwest<br />

Project is expected<br />

to require investments<br />

of around $6bn over<br />

the next five years<br />

Puerto Libertad through Guaymas, and go<br />

on to Topolobampo, totaling 710 kilometers<br />

to deliver 837 million of cubic feet<br />

of gas per day (MMCFD).<br />

The second set of pipelines will commence<br />

in Chihuahua and extend to<br />

Jimenez, through to Topolobampo, and<br />

from there down to the coast to Mazatlán,<br />

running over 1,123 kilometers to deliver<br />

up to 497 MMCFD.<br />

The CFE has budgeted approximately<br />

$1.4 billion for the Sásabe –Topolobampo<br />

pipeline and $1.5 billion for the El Encino<br />

– Mazatlán pipeline. Anchoring these pipelines<br />

will be at least three new power plants<br />

to be built along the Pacific seaboard in<br />

Topolobampo and Mazatlán.<br />

Following the now well-established IPP<br />

Programme, the CFE will first bid out the<br />

Topolobampo II power plant, to be commissioned<br />

in April 2016, which will have a<br />

700-megawatt (MW) capacity and require<br />

an investment of just over $1 billion.<br />

Next will be the Guaymas II power plant,<br />

scheduled for April 2017, which will have a<br />

747MW capacity and require an investment<br />

of approximately $1.1 billion. Finally, the<br />

Topolobampo III power plant, also commissioned<br />

for April 2017, will have a 700MW<br />

capacity and should cost around $1.03 billion.<br />

In addition to these energy projects, the<br />

new PPP Law provides the legal framework<br />

for PPPs to develop core infrastructure to<br />

increase social welfare and investment levels<br />

in Mexico.<br />

The new PPP law is meant to result in<br />

a reduction of development costs, faster<br />

project implementation, and offer security<br />

to investors by providing legal certainty to<br />

those private companies interested in investing<br />

in major and complex infrastructure<br />

projects requiring long maturities, longterm<br />

financing and development.<br />

A distinctive element to the PPP law is<br />

that the private sector may propose a specific<br />

project to the competent authority,<br />

which proceeds to analyse it and, if determined<br />

to be viable, will announce a tender<br />

to develop the project.<br />

The PPP law provides detailed requirements<br />

for these tender processes and specifically<br />

allows for incentives to the party that<br />

originally proposed the project, by affording<br />

it beneficial criteria that cannot exceed 10<br />

percent of the applicable evaluation criteria<br />

(i.e., price, efficiency parameters, etc.).<br />

We anticipate that the PPP law will trigger<br />

a large number of infrastructure projects<br />

in the coming years, especially since the<br />

federal government, through the Ministry<br />

of Finance and the state-owned banks, has<br />

already laid out the process for state and<br />

municipal governments to obtain financing<br />

for public works and services. n<br />

Creel, García-Cuéllar, Aiza y Enríquez is a<br />

full-service corporate law firm with extensive<br />

experience in structuring, financing and<br />

implementating large gas, electricity,<br />

telecommunication and infrastructure projects<br />

in Mexico, representing major energy companies,<br />

project developers, engineering and construction<br />

companies, as well as lenders and investors in<br />

infrastructure projects in Mexico.


mexico<br />

An Intelligence Report<br />

Contacts<br />

Mr. Miguel Donovan<br />

CURRIE & BROWN<br />

Aristóteles 77, Piso 6<br />

Col. Polanco, C.P. 11560<br />

México, D.F.<br />

Email: Miguel.Donovan@curriebrown.com<br />

Mr. Federico Patino M.<br />

Delegado Fiduciario Del Fondo Nacional De Infraestructura<br />

Javier Barros Sierra No. 515, Piso 8<br />

Col. Lomas de Santa Fe, Del. Alvaro Obregon<br />

Mexico, D.F., 01219<br />

Email: Federico.patino@banobras.gob.mx<br />

Mr. Santiago Sepulveda<br />

CREEL, GARCIA-CUELLAR, AIZA y ENRIQUEZ<br />

Paseo de los Tamarindos 60,<br />

Piso 3. Col. Bosques de las Lomas,<br />

05120 México, D.F<br />

Tel: +52 55 1105 0613<br />

Email: Santiago.Sepulveda@creelmx.com<br />

Mr. Juan Manuel Gonzalez<br />

GREENBERG TRAURIG <strong>LLP</strong><br />

Paseo de la Reforma No. 265 PH1<br />

Colonia Cuauhtémoc<br />

México, D.F. C.P. 06500<br />

Tel: +52 55 50 29 0051<br />

Email: gonzalezjm@gtlaw.com<br />

Secretaria De Comunicaciones Y Transportes<br />

Avenida Xola, Esquina con Eje Central,<br />

S/N. Col. Narvarte,<br />

Del. Benito Juarez, Mexico, D.F<br />

Tel: +52 55 5723 9300<br />

Secretaria De Hacienda Y Credito Publico<br />

Palacio Nacional S/N,<br />

Edif.12, Piso 2,<br />

Col. Centro, Del. Cuauhtémoc, Mexico, D.F. 06000<br />

Mr. Mark Ramsey<br />

President<br />

Mark.Ramsey@macquarie.com<br />

Tel: +52 55 9178 7701<br />

Mr. Nick O’Neil<br />

Head of Macquarie Infrastructure & Real Assets<br />

Nick.ONeil@macquarie.com<br />

Tel: +52 55 9178 7714<br />

Jonathan Davis Arzac<br />

Chairman of Macquarie Infrastructure & Real Assets, Mexico<br />

Jonathan.Davisarzac@macquarie.com<br />

Tel: +52 55 9178 7721<br />

MACQUARIE CAPITAL [Mexico], S.A. de C.V.<br />

Av. Paseo de la Reforma 115 Piso 6<br />

Col. Lomas de Chapultepec, C.P. 11000<br />

Mexico, D.F<br />

Andrea Negrete Cantero<br />

External Communications Coordinator<br />

GE Mexico<br />

Tel: +52 55 5257 6297<br />

Email: andrea.negrete@ge.com

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