Dichlorvos (DDVP) Risk Characterization Document - California ...
Dichlorvos (DDVP) Risk Characterization Document - California ...
Dichlorvos (DDVP) Risk Characterization Document - California ...
Create successful ePaper yourself
Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.
APPENDIX E (continued)<br />
ONCOGENICITY POTENCY CALCULATIONS<br />
Combined forestomach papilloma and/or carcinoma in female mice dosed <strong>DDVP</strong> by gavage for 2<br />
years<br />
POLYNOMIAL DEGREE SELECTED BY PROGRAM, (POLY-DEGREE=0)<br />
MONTE CARLO TEST USED IN SELECTION<br />
#RESPONSES<br />
#RESPONSES<br />
GROUP DOSE OBSERVED/#ANIMALS PREDICTED<br />
1 0.00000 5/ 44 4.67<br />
2 14.3000 6/ 44 6.52<br />
3 28.6000 19/ 48 18.83<br />
CHI-SQUARE GOODNESS OF FIT STATISTIC IS 7.76347E-02<br />
P-VALUE FOR THE MONTE CARLO TEST IS .4450000000<br />
FORM OF PROBABILITY FUNCTION:<br />
P(DOSE) = 1 - exp( -Q0 - Q1 * D - Q2 * D^2 - Q3 * D^3 )<br />
MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATES OF DOSE COEFFICIENTS<br />
------------------------------------------------------------<br />
Q( 0) = .112255443366<br />
Q( 1) = .000000000000<br />
Q( 2) = .000000000000<br />
Q( 3) = 1.648741402970E-05<br />
MAXIMUM VALUE OF THE LOG-LIKELIHOOD IS -65.3646193952<br />
CALCULATIONS ARE BASED UPON EXTRA RISK<br />
GLOBAL 86 LOWER CONFIDENCE LIMITS ON DOSE FOR FIXED RISK<br />
*********************************************************<br />
LOWER BOUND CONFIDENCE COEFFICIENTS FOR<br />
RISK MLE DOSE ON DOSE LIMIT SIZE CONFIDENCE LIMIT<br />
---- -------- ----------- ---------- ----------------<br />
1.00000E-06 .39290 8.93870E-05 95.0% Q( 0) = 8.80886E-02<br />
Q( 1) = 1.11873E-02<br />
Q( 2) = 0.00000<br />
Q( 3) = 2.89517E-06