30.12.2013 Views

Dichlorvos (DDVP) Risk Characterization Document - California ...

Dichlorvos (DDVP) Risk Characterization Document - California ...

Dichlorvos (DDVP) Risk Characterization Document - California ...

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

APPENDIX E<br />

ONCOGENICITY POTENCY CALCULATIONS<br />

GLOBAL 86 (MAY 1986)<br />

BY RICHARD B. HOWE AND CYNTHIA VAN LANDINGHAM<br />

CLEMENT ASSOCIATES, 1201 GAINES STREET, RUSTON, LA 71270 (318) 255-4800<br />

Pancreatic adenoma in male rats dosed <strong>DDVP</strong> by gavage for 2 years<br />

POLYNOMIAL DEGREE SELECTED BY PROGRAM, (POLY-DEGREE=0)<br />

MONTE CARLO TEST USED IN SELECTION<br />

#RESPONSES<br />

#RESPONSES<br />

GROUP DOSE OBSERVED/#ANIMALS PREDICTED<br />

1 0.00000 16/ 50 16.31<br />

2 2.90000 25/ 49 24.06<br />

3 5.70000 30/ 50 30.59<br />

CHI-SQUARE GOODNESS OF FIT STATISTIC IS .11014<br />

P-VALUE FOR THE MONTE CARLO TEST IS .4650000000<br />

FORM OF PROBABILITY FUNCTION:<br />

P(DOSE) = 1 - exp( -Q0 - Q1 * D - Q2 * D^2 )<br />

MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATES OF DOSE COEFFICIENTS<br />

Q( 0) = .394703118704<br />

Q( 1) = 9.680185659774E-02<br />

Q( 2) = .000000000000<br />

MAXIMUM VALUE OF THE LOG-LIKELIHOOD IS -99.0030875953<br />

CALCULATIONS ARE BASED UPON EXTRA RISK<br />

GLOBAL 86 LOWER CONFIDENCE LIMITS ON DOSE FOR FIXED RISK<br />

*********************************************************<br />

LOWER BOUND CONFIDENCE COEFFICIENTS FOR<br />

RISK MLE DOSE ON DOSE LIMIT SIZE CONFIDENCE LIMIT<br />

---- -------- ----------- ---------- ----------------<br />

1.00000E-06 1.03304E-05 6.49111E-06 95.0% Q( 0) = .31574<br />

Q( 1) = .15406<br />

Q( 2) = .00000

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!