Etudes et évaluation de processus océaniques par des hiérarchies ...

Etudes et évaluation de processus océaniques par des hiérarchies ... Etudes et évaluation de processus océaniques par des hiérarchies ...

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120 CHAPITRE 4. ETUDES DE PROCESSUS OCÉANOGRAPHIQUES Ocean Dynamics tel-00545911, version 1 - 13 Dec 2010 to improving the representation of the global ocean climate variability. For an introduction to the dynamics of oceanic gravity currents, we refer the reader to Griffiths (1986). A large number of experimental studies of gravity currents on an inclined plane have contributed to our understanding of their dynamics (see, e.g. Whitehead et al. 1990; Sutherland et al. 2004). Most of these studies focus on the large-scale instability and eddy formation in such flows. The understanding of the dynamics of gravity current has profited largely from the study of simplified stream-tube models. In stream-tube models, only average (bulk) values of the dynamical variables are considered at every cross section along the path of the gravity current (see Smith 1975, 1977; Killworth 1977, 2001; Price and Baringer 1994; Baringer and Price 1997). Due to their linear nature, the integrated buoyancy and Coriolis force can be calculated. The nonlinear frictional forces and the turbulent fluxes, perturbing the geostrophic equilibrium, have to be parametrised. The evolution of the gravity current can then be studied as a function of the parametrisations and parameter values employed. Integrations of these semi-analytical streamtube models along a path of varying topographic slope were performed, and the parameter values are adjusted in such a way that the pathway and water mass characteristics compare favourably to observations. In this way, stream-tube models have contributed substantially to understanding the physics of oceanic gravity currents. This adjustment procedure, however, does not always lead to a deeper understanding of the physical processes involved (see Emms 1998). The implementation of stream-tube models or their physics in today’s large-scale OGCMs is difficult. Although progress has been made in better representing gravity currents in large-scale OGCMs through bottom boundary layers (see e.g. Killworth and Edwards 1999), their dynamics is still a weak point of today’s numerical models of the ocean circulation. We focus here on the small-scale turbulent fluxes in gravity currents. A variety of parametrisations of the turbulent fluxes are proposed in the literature, but there is no agreement on which parametrisation should be favoured, not even to speak about the numerical values of the parameters present in such parametrisation. Pioneering work to systematically test various of such parametrisations and determine parameter values has recently been performed (see, e.g. Xu et al. 2006 for the non-rotating case and Ezer 2005 and Legg et al. 2006 for a case with rotation). We expose here the first step of a pragmatic approach to obtaining the laws and parameter values of turbulent fluxes using data assimilation. More precisely, it is not clear if the effect of bottom and interfacial friction in a gravity current is more likely to follow a linear Rayleigh friction law or a quadratic turbulent drag law (Chésy law); and what are the values of the corresponding friction coefficients? This is a question that has been considered, e.g. for the ocean by Moonn and Tang (1984) and for the case of the atmospheric boundary layer over the ocean by Stevensen et al. (2002), without using data assimilation. Both laws, the linear and quadratic, are implemented in all major ocean models. We therefore implement the two commonly used parametrisations of the same physical process, bottom and interfacial friction, in a numerical model that does not explicitly resolve this process, and we estimate the parameters in the parametrisations by assimilating data into the model. The data assimilation experiment will then not only tell us the optimal parameter values but also allows for an evaluation of the parametrisations by providing the error bars and/or the spread of the ensemble (when an ensemble method is considered). Even more striking, by allowing different parametrisation laws, the data assimilation experiment will actually tell us which law is the most appropriate in parametrising turbulent fluxes. The data are provided by either observations of oceanic gravity currents, laboratory experiments or numerical data from a model that explicitly resolves the process to be parametrised. However, in the present work, we perform identical twin experiments, where the “data” are provided by the same model as used for the parameter estimation experiments, to study the feasibility and the problems connected to estimating parameters of parametrisations describing the same physical process. For an introduction into parameter estimation, we refer the reader to Evensen et al. (1998). In the next section, we give a detailed description of the physical problem and consider its mathematical formulation and numerical implementation. In Section 3, we discuss the assimilation method, that is, the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), and its numerical implementation. The twin experiments and results are presented in Sections 4 and 5. Discussion, physical interpretation of the results and perspectives are given in Section 6. 2 Idealised oceanic gravity current on the f-plane 2.1 The physical problem considered In the experiments presented here, we use an idealised geometry, considering an infinite gravity current on an inclined plane with constant slope, and we do not allow for variations in the long-stream direction. We thus

4.6. ESTIMATION OF FRICTION PARAMETERS AND LAWS IN 1.5D SHALLOW-WATER GRAVI Ocean Dynamics tel-00545911, version 1 - 13 Dec 2010 neglect the long-stream variation of the gravity current and consider only the dynamics of a vertical slice. Please note that such simplified geometry inhibits largescale instability and the formation of the large cyclones and other large-scale features, which is beneficial to our goal of studying the friction laws due to only small-scale dynamics. The gravity current transfers potential energy to kinetic energy, by sliding down the incline, and looses energy by friction (dissipation). The down-slope movement is, thus, “indirectly” determined by friction. This is exactly what happens to a gravity current in nature, and it is this dynamic that we like to entangle here. The difference is, of course, that our gravity current descends in time and not in space, as in the ocean. This setup is also used in laboratory experiments and other numerical simulations (see, e.g. Shapiro and Hill 1997 and Sutherland et al. 2004). The gravity currents considered here are on an inclined plane of slope of one degree; the initial profile of its vertical extension above the inclined ocean floor z = h(x) = max(H − x 2 /λ, 0) has a parabolic shape with H = 200 m and λ = 5. · 10 5 m, leading to a gravity current that is 200 m high and 20 km large. The values used in the experiment are typical for oceanic gravity currents (see, e.g. Price and Baringer 1994). If the gravity current is initially geostrophically adjusted, the velocity components are given by: v G = g ′ /f(∂ x h + tan α); u G = 0. (1) This geostrophic velocity is due to the balance between the Coriolis force and the buoyancy force in the direction parallel to the slope, as shown in Fig. 1. The Coriolis parameter is f = 1.0313 · 10 −4 s −1 , corresponding to the Earth’s rotation at mid-latitude. The reduced gravity g ′ = g(ρ gc − ρ 0 )/ρ 0 = 9.8065 · 10 −4 , where g = 9.80665 m s −2 , ρ gc the density of the gravity current and ρ 0 the density of the surrounding fluid corresponding to a temperature difference of 0.5K between the gravity current and the surrounding water with a linear expansion coefficient α = 2 · 10 −4 K −1 . These values lead to an average geostrophic speed of v = 1.66 · 10 −1 m s −1 . 2.2 The mathematical model The mathematical model for the gravity current dynamics is a 1.5-dimensional, reduced-gravity, shallowwater model on an inclined plane. The shallow-water model first proposed by de Saint Venant (1871) and its various versions adapted for specific applications is one of the most widely used models in environmental and industrial fluid dynamics. For the derivation of the reduced gravity shallow-water equations in a geophysical context, we refer the reader to the text book by Gill (1982) and references therein. As stated in the introduction, we here specialise to a gravity current with no variation in the y-direction, the horizontal direction perpendicular to the down-slope direction. That is, we have three scalar fields u(x, t), v(x, t) and h(x, t) as a function of the two scalars x and t. In this case, the shallow-water equations on an inclined plane are given by: ∂ t u + u∂ x u− fv + g ′ (∂ x h + tan α) = −Du + ν∂x 2 u, (2) ∂ t v + u∂ x v+ f u = −Dv + ν∂x 2 v, (3) ∂ t h + u∂ x h+ h∂ x u = ν∂x 2 h. (4) The left-hand-side terms include the reduced gravity g ′ = gρ/ρ, the slope α and the Coriolis parameter f . On the right-hand side, we have the terms involving dissipative processes. The parametrised vertical dissipative effects are represented in the first term involving D = D(x, t) = (τ + c D √ u2 + v 2 )/h. (5) There is a linear friction constant τ parametrising dissipative effects that can be represented by vertical Rayleigh friction and a quadratic friction drag, the term with the drag constant c D . The term involving the viscosity/diffusivity ν represents horizontal dissipative processes; its value is chosen to provide numerical stability of the calculations (see Subsection 2.3). Clearly, Fig. 1 Cross section of gravity current. The figure gives the force balance between the projection of the Coriolis force and the projection of the buoyancy force onto the topographic slope for a gravity current on a inclined plane when dissipative processes are neglected α

120 CHAPITRE 4. ETUDES DE PROCESSUS OCÉANOGRAPHIQUES<br />

Ocean Dynamics<br />

tel-00545911, version 1 - 13 Dec 2010<br />

to improving the representation of the global ocean<br />

climate variability.<br />

For an introduction to the dynamics of oceanic gravity<br />

currents, we refer the rea<strong>de</strong>r to Griffiths (1986).<br />

A large number of experimental studies of gravity<br />

currents on an inclined plane have contributed to our<br />

un<strong>de</strong>rstanding of their dynamics (see, e.g. Whitehead<br />

<strong>et</strong> al. 1990; Sutherland <strong>et</strong> al. 2004). Most of these studies<br />

focus on the large-scale instability and eddy formation<br />

in such flows.<br />

The un<strong>de</strong>rstanding of the dynamics of gravity current<br />

has profited largely from the study of simplified<br />

stream-tube mo<strong>de</strong>ls. In stream-tube mo<strong>de</strong>ls, only average<br />

(bulk) values of the dynamical variables are consi<strong>de</strong>red<br />

at every cross section along the path of the gravity<br />

current (see Smith 1975, 1977; Killworth 1977, 2001;<br />

Price and Baringer 1994; Baringer and Price 1997).<br />

Due to their linear nature, the integrated buoyancy<br />

and Coriolis force can be calculated. The nonlinear<br />

frictional forces and the turbulent fluxes, perturbing the<br />

geostrophic equilibrium, have to be <strong>par</strong>am<strong>et</strong>rised. The<br />

evolution of the gravity current can then be studied as a<br />

function of the <strong>par</strong>am<strong>et</strong>risations and <strong>par</strong>am<strong>et</strong>er values<br />

employed. Integrations of these semi-analytical streamtube<br />

mo<strong>de</strong>ls along a path of varying topographic slope<br />

were performed, and the <strong>par</strong>am<strong>et</strong>er values are adjusted<br />

in such a way that the pathway and water mass<br />

characteristics com<strong>par</strong>e favourably to observations. In<br />

this way, stream-tube mo<strong>de</strong>ls have contributed substantially<br />

to un<strong>de</strong>rstanding the physics of oceanic gravity<br />

currents. This adjustment procedure, however, does not<br />

always lead to a <strong>de</strong>eper un<strong>de</strong>rstanding of the physical<br />

processes involved (see Emms 1998). The implementation<br />

of stream-tube mo<strong>de</strong>ls or their physics in today’s<br />

large-scale OGCMs is difficult. Although progress has<br />

been ma<strong>de</strong> in b<strong>et</strong>ter representing gravity currents in<br />

large-scale OGCMs through bottom boundary layers<br />

(see e.g. Killworth and Edwards 1999), their dynamics<br />

is still a weak point of today’s numerical mo<strong>de</strong>ls of the<br />

ocean circulation.<br />

We focus here on the small-scale turbulent fluxes in<br />

gravity currents. A vari<strong>et</strong>y of <strong>par</strong>am<strong>et</strong>risations of the<br />

turbulent fluxes are proposed in the literature, but there<br />

is no agreement on which <strong>par</strong>am<strong>et</strong>risation should be<br />

favoured, not even to speak about the numerical values<br />

of the <strong>par</strong>am<strong>et</strong>ers present in such <strong>par</strong>am<strong>et</strong>risation.<br />

Pioneering work to systematically test various of such<br />

<strong>par</strong>am<strong>et</strong>risations and d<strong>et</strong>ermine <strong>par</strong>am<strong>et</strong>er values has<br />

recently been performed (see, e.g. Xu <strong>et</strong> al. 2006 for the<br />

non-rotating case and Ezer 2005 and Legg <strong>et</strong> al. 2006 for<br />

a case with rotation).<br />

We expose here the first step of a pragmatic approach<br />

to obtaining the laws and <strong>par</strong>am<strong>et</strong>er values of<br />

turbulent fluxes using data assimilation. More precisely,<br />

it is not clear if the effect of bottom and interfacial friction<br />

in a gravity current is more likely to follow a linear<br />

Rayleigh friction law or a quadratic turbulent drag law<br />

(Chésy law); and what are the values of the corresponding<br />

friction coefficients? This is a question that has<br />

been consi<strong>de</strong>red, e.g. for the ocean by Moonn and Tang<br />

(1984) and for the case of the atmospheric boundary<br />

layer over the ocean by Stevensen <strong>et</strong> al. (2002), without<br />

using data assimilation. Both laws, the linear and<br />

quadratic, are implemented in all major ocean mo<strong>de</strong>ls.<br />

We therefore implement the two commonly used <strong>par</strong>am<strong>et</strong>risations<br />

of the same physical process, bottom and<br />

interfacial friction, in a numerical mo<strong>de</strong>l that does not<br />

explicitly resolve this process, and we estimate the <strong>par</strong>am<strong>et</strong>ers<br />

in the <strong>par</strong>am<strong>et</strong>risations by assimilating data into<br />

the mo<strong>de</strong>l. The data assimilation experiment will then<br />

not only tell us the optimal <strong>par</strong>am<strong>et</strong>er values but also<br />

allows for an evaluation of the <strong>par</strong>am<strong>et</strong>risations by providing<br />

the error bars and/or the spread of the ensemble<br />

(when an ensemble m<strong>et</strong>hod is consi<strong>de</strong>red). Even more<br />

striking, by allowing different <strong>par</strong>am<strong>et</strong>risation laws, the<br />

data assimilation experiment will actually tell us which<br />

law is the most appropriate in <strong>par</strong>am<strong>et</strong>rising turbulent<br />

fluxes. The data are provi<strong>de</strong>d by either observations<br />

of oceanic gravity currents, laboratory experiments or<br />

numerical data from a mo<strong>de</strong>l that explicitly resolves the<br />

process to be <strong>par</strong>am<strong>et</strong>rised. However, in the present<br />

work, we perform i<strong>de</strong>ntical twin experiments, where<br />

the “data” are provi<strong>de</strong>d by the same mo<strong>de</strong>l as used<br />

for the <strong>par</strong>am<strong>et</strong>er estimation experiments, to study the<br />

feasibility and the problems connected to estimating<br />

<strong>par</strong>am<strong>et</strong>ers of <strong>par</strong>am<strong>et</strong>risations <strong>de</strong>scribing the same<br />

physical process. For an introduction into <strong>par</strong>am<strong>et</strong>er<br />

estimation, we refer the rea<strong>de</strong>r to Evensen <strong>et</strong> al. (1998).<br />

In the next section, we give a d<strong>et</strong>ailed <strong>de</strong>scription of<br />

the physical problem and consi<strong>de</strong>r its mathematical formulation<br />

and numerical implementation. In Section 3,<br />

we discuss the assimilation m<strong>et</strong>hod, that is, the ensemble<br />

Kalman filter (EnKF), and its numerical implementation.<br />

The twin experiments and results are presented<br />

in Sections 4 and 5. Discussion, physical interpr<strong>et</strong>ation<br />

of the results and perspectives are given in Section 6.<br />

2 I<strong>de</strong>alised oceanic gravity current on the f-plane<br />

2.1 The physical problem consi<strong>de</strong>red<br />

In the experiments presented here, we use an i<strong>de</strong>alised<br />

geom<strong>et</strong>ry, consi<strong>de</strong>ring an infinite gravity current on an<br />

inclined plane with constant slope, and we do not allow<br />

for variations in the long-stream direction. We thus

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