c - usaid

53
1986 1991 1996 2001
Total natural fartility 9.54 9.66 9.87 10.03
r a t e ( T N F 111
Index of marreige (C ) 0.835 0.830 0.825 0.820
Index of conI ra- (C 3
C"
0.7158 0.6125 0 .5305 0.4528
opt ion
Index of induced(C a 0.9818 0.9772 0. 725 0.9664
abortion
Index of post- (C] 0.6237 0.6315 0.6450 0.6559
partum infocundab
i Li ty
We mentioned in suction 3 that, by considering the number of
births to women in two broad ago-groups, nameLy 15-29 and 30-49,
and by referring to thesa as B and B 2, it i s possble to locate
graphically where the point (61 ,B is likely to lie. Thia can
now
be i L L s t rated by referring to the same graph that wa drew in
Figure 3.1. We find that values of B and B 2 according to the
four patterns in 1991 are as shown below:-
Pattern B E
1 2
I 2,986 1,199
II 2,889 1,233
III 2,859 1,243
IV 2,939 1,198
The points (B I B 2 corresponding to these values lie on the
segment marked CT on the TFR-targ.t line (or in an area adjacent
to it) in fig. 3.1. It is clear that the CBR-target line will
have to be pushed to the right to achieve consistency with these
estimates.
Simi Lar graphs can be drawn for other years as well.