c - usaid

4.3 Target-yaor ago-specific act-ostimation block
This is tho final and the most important block of our mod al.
We have attempted in this block to
remove the deficiencies that we
pointed out in the Population Council's model. Tho fi rst
two
b locks of over model hLve paved the way P.nd prepared the
background to enable us to introduce three new elements in thi s
block which wc have designated "a trend regulator", "a program realLocation
factor" and "a deflator". However we shaIl continua
with a step-by-step description ti l l we arrive at the right spot
whore the new factors have to be introduced.
Step I
Bring together in one pLace the following inputs for each of
the target years:­
(a] TotaL population, number of a l omen in five yearLy agegroups,
and HWRA in five yearly ago-groups;
(b)
TFR target;
(c)
Overall CP R needed to achieve the TFR target as estimated in
block 2, sto p 2;
(d) Ec imated total number of "non-contraceptors equivalent"
adjusted for steri lity and other factors" (reference block
2, step 3];
[a] Relative values os' age-speci fic natural fertility rates
(Take a ll acceptable sets of such values as derived for the
b se year in block I,
step 4].
In addi tion, keep for ready usa,
(f] Age-specific contraceptive prevalence rates and the overall
CP for the base year (1981) as derived in block I, step 1.