c - usaid

30
1 C (0) C (0) C [0) C (0] TFR(t)
u(t) = -­ [ ] .. (4:9J
1.00 x a(t] C (t) C (t] C (t] TFR(O]
m a i
The following ostimotes ore obtoined:-
Year TFR target a u
1906 5.6 0.883
0.298
1991 4.8 0.897 0.400
1996 4.2 0.900 0.483
2001 3.6 0.900 0.563
Stop 3
With the help of the estimated overall CPr, calculate the
total number of "non-contreceptors .quiveLent" (adjusted for
steri lity and other factors] for each of the target years.
The formula is
N = MWRA (I - s.u.e . C . . . . . . (4.10]
The following estimates are obtained:-
Year Overall s OveralL N (in thousands]
1986 1.08 13,364
1991 1.08 13,717
.1996 1.08 13,626
2001 1.08 12,939
When we move from aggregate modelling to a g-specific
estimation, three of the factors considered in this block, namely
C , CPR, end C wi LI need to be decomposed by age. However, the
index C i con be assumed to be ogo-invariont. Non-inctusion of
this in the a go-spci fic estimation procedure helps in simplifying
the formulns.