c - usaid
c - usaid
c - usaid
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27<br />
R1elI )t i ve v aLu<br />
-----------------------------------------------------------------<br />
e s o f naotu ra L fe r t i Lity ccc or d ing t0 o a .9roaup<br />
15-19<br />
Pattern I Pattern II Pattern III Pattern IV<br />
---------------------- ---------- ----------- ----------<br />
20-24<br />
25-29<br />
30-34<br />
35-49<br />
40-44<br />
45-49<br />
E st . of<br />
TFR<br />
CBfl<br />
------------------------------------------------------------------<br />
------------------------------------------------------------------------<br />
------------------------------------------------------------------------<br />
Specific data and estimates wi Ll be presented in section 5.<br />
4.2 Target year aggregate modelling block<br />
---------------------------------------<br />
The 3LJpctive of thii block is to apply the Population<br />
Counci l' aggregate fertiLity model for the targot year, and to<br />
estimate the overall CPn noded to achieve the TFR target. With<br />
the helr of the overall CPR, the total number of noncontrucieptors<br />
equivaLent (adjusted far sterility and other<br />
factors] can be estimated. These wi LL prove to be uaaft, L inputs<br />
for the target year age-specific sat-estimation block.<br />
Step I<br />
Make assumptions for the ovde.lI values of C , C and C for<br />
m a i<br />
the target year which take into a c ount likely changes between the<br />
base year and the target year.
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