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12<br />

2. UNSATISFACTORY ELENENTS OF THE MODEL FROM THE<br />

VIEWPOINI OF USERS IN BANGLADESH<br />

-----------------------------------------------------<br />

Although the Populzti on Council's fertility model is a<br />

usefrul too l in the hLnds of demographers in Bangladesh, we fee<br />

it<br />

to be in -- quete in two important respects. The purpose of this<br />

section i to draw attention to these inadequacies wit h a view to<br />

indicating the type of modifications that era particularly<br />

necessary and which we have tried to introduce in this monograph.<br />

Neglect of CBR-targating<br />

-- -- -----------------<br />

One of the moot obvious deficiencies of the model is that it<br />

has<br />

given a step-motherly treatment to the subject of crude birth<br />

rate (CO r] in comparison to that of total ferti lity rate {TFRJ.<br />

In making this statement, we are not qua, tioning the pivotal role<br />

that rightfully belongs to TFR in fertility analysis. Our<br />

criticism is prompted by the following considerations:­<br />

(i) The model provides an estimate of contraceptive prevalence<br />

rate (CPA] thit will be required to achieve a TFR target.<br />

However, corresponding to the same values of TFR and/0r<br />

CPR, different demopruphers have made widely differing<br />

estimates of CBR. In the absence of a clear<br />

linkage, within<br />

the model, between TFR and CBR, the users of the model<br />

helpless in preventing such a chaotic situation.<br />

are<br />

ii Once an impression is created that CBR values can be<br />

selected within a fairly Qide range of poaoible choices,<br />

without violating the fertility modal, planners are

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