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-9-<br />

Most of the money that migrants have remitted to their home<br />

countries remainder has of been<br />

the used<br />

migrants' to<br />

savings increase household usually consumption been ... The<br />

has devoted<br />

financing some personal project. Typically, little or to<br />

none of<br />

migrants'<br />

the<br />

savings has been invested in capital generating<br />

activities (UN 1982:42).<br />

In Egypt, a "coi,sumer craze" rather than productive investment<br />

predominates; a low level of domestic capital formation is maintained<br />

despite increased individual savings. The anticipated "development" has<br />

turned out to be nothing more than a housing boom in both urban and rural<br />

areas, a related rise in land values, encroachment on agricultural land for<br />

non-agricultural exploitation, increased mechanized agriculture and<br />

transportation in the rural areas, as well as increases in small-scale<br />

commercial enterprises, the province of informal sector family labour.<br />

Not only have migrant remittances not contributed to productive<br />

investment, they have in fact aggravated local inflation (Abdel<br />

1980).<br />

Fadil<br />

While there is no doubt that migrant remittances are not the<br />

source<br />

only<br />

of inflation in Egypt, it is also certain that these remittances,<br />

related labour<br />

and<br />

shortages, fuelled inflation through increased buying power<br />

of returning igrants or their resident families, through increases<br />

of<br />

of costs<br />

production (related to labour shortage), and through<br />

demand<br />

the increasing<br />

for imported consumer goods, which has affected the devaluation of<br />

Egyptian currency (Gabaly 1983:90-91).<br />

In sum, the European experience of primitive accumulation<br />

migration during<br />

through<br />

the mercantile phase of capitalist development has not<br />

replicated<br />

been<br />

for Egypt. Accumulated savings have not been transformed into<br />

capital for industrial development.<br />

As for the anticipated "political stability" as a correlate of<br />

exodus,<br />

labour<br />

one cannot ignore the increasing disparities in<br />

increasing<br />

income and<br />

potential<br />

the<br />

for social unrest (Abdel Khalek 1981:407). In<br />

within<br />

fact,<br />

the framework of the ODEP, the Sadat government anticipated<br />

social<br />

such<br />

unrest and was prepared with appropriate repressive legislation.<br />

#90, which<br />

Law<br />

was issued in May 1980 under the title "Law for the Protection<br />

Values<br />

of<br />

from Shame," illustrates the linkage between the Egyptian<br />

economic<br />

regime's<br />

policies and political repression. This law, which legalizes<br />

most blatant<br />

the<br />

forms of repression, was described by Sadat as necessary<br />

because Egypt was, in his words,<br />

... entering into a new stage of development in which<br />

receive<br />

it wou',d<br />

billions of dollars and the executive authority must be<br />

spared the burden of having to deal with political malcontents<br />

(Sadat as cited in Jabara 1981).<br />

In .light of such repressive laws and the decline of state<br />

responsibilities in favour of "market forces" and individudl and family<br />

solutions to economic crises, the prediction of political stability is<br />

questionable.

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