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ABSTRACT - DRUM - University of Maryland

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horizontal error bars in Fig. 3.5 are calculated from the propagation <strong>of</strong> these errors in<br />

the same way discussed above.<br />

Third, an uncertainty arises because clouds are not solid bodies, and the different<br />

wavelengths “see” slightly different clouds because the cloud attenuates radiation <strong>of</strong><br />

various wavelengths differently [Hunt, 1973]. To estimate the magnitude <strong>of</strong> this<br />

uncertainty on our estimation <strong>of</strong> the overshooting height, a simple sensitivity test was<br />

performed.<br />

Figure 3.6 is a schematic <strong>of</strong> this problem. The 10.8-µm channel measures the<br />

temperature at one optical depth. The shadow, on the other hand, is determined by<br />

height at which the solar slant path at 0.63 µm is one optical depth. In the case shown<br />

in Fig. 3.6, the 10.8-µm channel reads the temperature at h IR , but the shadow length is<br />

defined by a cloud <strong>of</strong> height h VIS . Thus, in calculating the lapse rate, there is a<br />

mismatch between the temperature difference and the height. One can consider this an<br />

error in either the length <strong>of</strong> the shadow or in the temperature <strong>of</strong> the overshoot - which<br />

one we choose is arbitrary. I will ascribe the error to the length <strong>of</strong> the shadow.<br />

A simple calculation will help quantify this error. First, assuming values for the<br />

effective radius and ice water content, the distances corresponding to one optical depth<br />

in both channels is estimated [Fu and Liou, 1993]. One further assumes that the<br />

cloud’s shape can be described by a Gaussian distribution (A*exp(-x 2 /(2s 2 )), with its<br />

height and width defined by the parameters A and s. Assuming a homogeneous<br />

extinction coefficient (i.e. constant particle size and ice water content) [Ou et al., 1993],<br />

one can estimate the height difference caused by the error in the shadow length. For<br />

56

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