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ABSTRACT - DRUM - University of Maryland

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the duration <strong>of</strong> stage 1, 2, 4, and 5 is always 3 hours, but the duration <strong>of</strong> stage 3 varies<br />

according to the total duration <strong>of</strong> convection. We also showed different temperature<br />

thresholds: C 204 (dotted), C 206 (dashed), C 210 (dot-dashed), and C 212 (thin line). It<br />

should be noted that the change <strong>of</strong> temperature threshold barely affects the convective<br />

stage determination, while the change <strong>of</strong> fractional threshold, 10%, has some effects<br />

on the determination <strong>of</strong> convective stages.<br />

In addition, the advection <strong>of</strong> clouds is not considered here. Therefore, it is not<br />

possible to distinguish a system moving in from one that grows locally. I also throw<br />

out any measurement whose convective history does not fall into one <strong>of</strong> those<br />

categories. For example, convection that lasts shorter than 6 hours does not fall into<br />

any category and therefore is not analyzed here.<br />

2.3 Results<br />

2.3.1 Temperature anomaly<br />

Figures 2.2a and 2.2b show mean temperature anomalies (the difference between<br />

the measured pr<strong>of</strong>ile and the average <strong>of</strong> all measurements in that 1°x1° box over the<br />

entire month) during the convective stages in February 2003 and in July 2003.<br />

Horizontal bars show the 95% confidence interval for the mean <strong>of</strong> temperature<br />

anomalies. In agreement with expectations, the anomalies during stage 1 are small<br />

because convection has not yet fully started in this stage. Only small numbers <strong>of</strong><br />

convective events are sufficiently intense, generating small anomalies in the<br />

29

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