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US-Listed ETFs Sorted by Asset Class and Year-to-Date Return

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From Russia With Love from page 1<br />

than entities like the IMF. They decide<br />

a country’s status based on specifically<br />

defined fac<strong>to</strong>rs.<br />

“It’s purely quantitative,” said Dimitris<br />

Melas, executive direc<strong>to</strong>r of Research<br />

at MSCI. “We’re not looking at<br />

subjective fac<strong>to</strong>rs, like whether they<br />

have natural resources or not,” he explains.<br />

“As you would imagine, what<br />

we classify as emerging markets, some<br />

of those markets may have natural resources,<br />

others not. The criteria are<br />

actually very, very objective when it<br />

comes <strong>to</strong> economic development.”<br />

That means looking at macroeconomic<br />

measurements like GDP per capita,<br />

but also at the size, liquidity <strong>and</strong><br />

openness of capital markets. At the end<br />

of the day, index providers must draw<br />

a line in the s<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> decide what’s still<br />

developing <strong>and</strong> what’s developed. That<br />

means two countries with very different<br />

economies—say, Russia <strong>and</strong> Hungary—<br />

end up under the same umbrella.<br />

The quantitative approach takes<br />

much of the guesswork out of developing<br />

indexes, but it also means a host of<br />

countries that fall along different parts<br />

of the development spectrum end up<br />

in the same bucket. For instance, India’s<br />

GDP per capita is just $3,400. The<br />

Czech Republic, also labeled emerging,<br />

is several times higher, at $25,600 (<strong>by</strong><br />

comparison, the U.S. is at $47,400).<br />

And of course, every index provider has<br />

its own set of fac<strong>to</strong>rs in the analysis.<br />

The Country Lineup<br />

So what countries make up the emerging<br />

Europe segment? There are some<br />

surprising answers.<br />

As we’ve seen, Russia makes the cut.<br />

Both S&P <strong>and</strong> MSCI consider Russia part<br />

of Europe, <strong>and</strong> that ends up playing<br />

a huge role in the holdings of the two<br />

broad-based emerging Europe funds.<br />

The other surprise is Turkey, a country<br />

whose status as “European” is often<br />

questioned. The major index providers<br />

diverge in their classification of the<br />

country’s status. S&P lumps it in with Europe,<br />

while MSCI considers it part of the<br />

Middle East. That shakes out in the ETF<br />

world, with roughly 17 percent exposure<br />

<strong>to</strong> the country in GUR, while the MSCIbased<br />

iShares fund has none.<br />

Pol<strong>and</strong>, Hungary <strong>and</strong> the Czech Republic<br />

are the other emerging European<br />

economies large <strong>and</strong> liquid enough <strong>to</strong> be<br />

held <strong>by</strong> <strong>ETFs</strong> in meaningful amounts.<br />

Big Fish In A Little Pond<br />

Russia’s inclusion in the two broadbased<br />

emerging Europe <strong>ETFs</strong> is a double-edged<br />

sword: It provides exposure<br />

<strong>to</strong> one of the world’s largest emerging<br />

economies, but it significantly dilutes<br />

exposure <strong>to</strong> anything else.<br />

Adding Russia <strong>to</strong> a portfolio has another<br />

side effect: It creates huge sec<strong>to</strong>r tilts.<br />

Energy <strong>and</strong> basic materials, big drivers of<br />

the Russian economy, <strong>to</strong>gether make up<br />

over 60 percent of the iShares emerging<br />

Europe exposure. Gazprom, the Russian<br />

energy giant, single-h<strong>and</strong>edly accounts<br />

for approximately 20 percent of both<br />

broad-based <strong>ETFs</strong>—more weight than the<br />

entire nation of Pol<strong>and</strong>.<br />

Greg Savage, a senior portfolio manager<br />

at BlackRock, shrugs off Russia’s<br />

Figure 1<br />

Top 5 Countries: ESR And GUR<br />

ESR<br />

Source: Bloomberg. Data as of April 7, 2011.<br />

dominance. “We view indexing in a<br />

market cap framework,” he said. “So<br />

if you’re going in<strong>to</strong> an Eastern Europe<br />

index, Russia is going <strong>to</strong> have a large<br />

weight there.”<br />

Single-Country <strong>ETFs</strong><br />

For those turned off <strong>by</strong> the heavy Russia<br />

exposure of the broad-based funds, the<br />

alternative is <strong>to</strong> invest in single-country<br />

<strong>ETFs</strong>; in essence, creating your own index<br />

of Eastern European economies. These<br />

products let inves<strong>to</strong>rs balance their country<br />

exposure <strong>to</strong> their liking. The country<br />

options are limited—there are no Czech<br />

or Hungary <strong>ETFs</strong> on the market, let alone<br />

smaller Eastern European economies—<br />

but funds covering Pol<strong>and</strong>, Turkey (<strong>and</strong><br />

of course, Russia) are available.<br />

The second-tier countries, while lacking<br />

the star-power of Russia, have merits<br />

of their own. As Savage puts it: “One of<br />

the differences is that on a GDP per-capita<br />

basis, Eastern Europe has significantly<br />

more wealth than Brazil, China, <strong>and</strong> In-<br />

GUR<br />

Russia 74.07% Russia 59.01%<br />

Pol<strong>and</strong> 17.03% Turkey 16.62%<br />

Hungary 4.41% Pol<strong>and</strong> 12.57%<br />

Czech Republic 4.13% Hungary 4.56%<br />

Ukraine 0.34% Czech Republic 4.11%<br />

Figure 2<br />

Sec<strong>to</strong>r Weights: ESR And GUR<br />

Consumer Discretionary 0.44% 3.32%<br />

Consumer Staples 2.67% 1.74%<br />

Energy 48.13% 39.43%<br />

Financials 21.91% 23.41%<br />

Health Care 0.93% 1.09%<br />

Industrials 0.18% 2.96%<br />

Information Technology 0.16% 0.28%<br />

Materials 13.00% 14.20%<br />

Telecommunication Services 5.37% 9.24%<br />

Utilities 6.82% 3.61%<br />

Not <strong>Class</strong>ified 0.38% 0.72%<br />

Source: Bloomberg. Data as of April 7, 2011.<br />

ESR<br />

GUR<br />

ETFR • May 2011 11

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