Niche Markets for Economic Revitalisation of Satoyama Forest ...

Niche Markets for Economic Revitalisation of Satoyama Forest ... Niche Markets for Economic Revitalisation of Satoyama Forest ...

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Table 3: Trends in Emissions and Removals of GHGs from Land–Use Change and Forestry (LUCF) Sector Category 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 Removals by Forestry -146.056.09 -142,032.48 -142,061.31 -142,090.14 -142,118.97 -142,147.79 Removals by Parks -90.65 -94.28 -103.41 -106.82 -111.55 -114.49 Emissions Harvested from Wood Forestry and Grassland Conversion 61,664.52 57,352.68 55,680.02 51,193.14 47,758.15 44,614.75 637.61 999.46 1007.09 1014.72 1022.35 1037.61 Total -83,844.62 -83,774.63 -85,477.60 -89,989.10 -93,450.01 -96,609.92 Source: Government of Japan, 2006 The target of the Government of Japan is to ensure removal of the 13 million ton in carpon (tC) (47.67 million ton in CO 2 , approximately 3.9 per cent compared to the total emissions of the base year). 46 According to Japan’s Fourth Communication to the UNFCCC, the 2001 Forests and Forestry Basic Plan under the Forests and Forestry Basic Law provides the framework in which Japan plans to achieve this target. Specific measures include: • Developing sound forests through: the promotion of efficient and effective thinning of forests by strengthening collective thinning operations and promoting greater use of thinned wood; engineering a shift toward forests with longer cutting cycles and multistoried forests; developing countermeasures to eliminate the land allowed to be left denuded; and promoting programs to secure and foster essential personnel responsible for forest development. • Promoting appropriate management and conservation of protected forests through: appropriate operation of land use conversion regulations and logging regulation; planned designation of protected forests; promotion of appropriate forest conservation management; planned promotion of forest conservation projects in mountain regions with a high disaster risk and denuded forests in the hinterland; promotion of countermeasures to prevent and control damage caused by pine weevils and other forest pests and wild birds and animals; countermeasures to prevent forest fires; and expansion and enhancement of natural parks and nature conservation areas. • Promoting the participation of citizen groups and a wider range of actors by: improving the skills of forest volunteers and and safety systems; promoting forest environmental education; and promoting a green worker program in national parks that aims to protect flora and fauna, including forests. • Promoting of the use of timber and wood biomass by: promoting the utilisation of locally supplied timber in houses and public facilities; promoting consumer– focused programs to expand the user base for locally supplied timber; developing production, distribution and processing systems; and promoting the utilisation of low–grade timber and wood biomass for energy and products. The total value of the budget related to the Outline for Promotion of Efforts to Prevent Global Warming for FY 2005 is 1.1428 trillion yen. In that year 408,063 million yen were budgeted to the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries. Sectorally, 356,673 million yen was budgeted for the promotion of forestry, with a relatively significant allocation if considered next to nuclear power allocations, for example, which received 206,644 million yen in the same year (Government of Japan, 2006). Carbon Emissions Trading in Japan: As mentioned above to date, Japan has not developed a national carbon emissions trading scheme or related forestry–based project system in its effort to meet its Kyoto targets. A number of Japanese industries are participating in a voluntary scheme—the Voluntary Emissions Trading Scheme—launched in May 2005 by the Japanese Ministry of the Environment and several private companies. Thirty–four companies are participating in a trial scheme, covering trading of 27 MtCO 2 . At this stage the Japanese CO 2 emissions trading programme is small and excludes key actors like power utilities. Under the current 2007 review of the 2005 Kyoto Target Achievement Plan, the government is investigating the development of a mandatory scheme to meet its Kyoto targets, although the proposal remains contentious at the time of writing of 2007, particularly as an issue between the Ministry of Environment and METI (Point Carbon, 9 July 2007). 3.8 General Discussion on Policy As graphically illustrated below, the price per cubic meter of locally produced cedar wood in Japan was lower relative to the price of imported larch during the 1995–2000 timeframe. However, the price of imported larch continued to decrease, while that of domestic cedar increased during next five–year period (2000–2005). This trend suggests that although the argument that cheaper prices of wood imports is one of the key factors affecting the economic uncertainty in satoyama forest products in Japan, the price of domestic wood substitute (cedar) has, in fact been competitive until after the year 2000. Assuming parity in the quality of these two products thereby making them close substitutes, and given the fact that Japan’s forest build–up increased by 450 million cubic meters of wood, domestic market has been advantageously positioned to perform better than the import market. In this context, the regional trade regimes and other trade agreements within which wood is imported into Japan, may explain why the domestic wood market has not out–performed its import counterpart. A targeted review of the trade pacts might reveal the policy responses to be effected from the point of view of Japan in addressing this issue. 21

Figure 11: Price by Year Comparison: Domestic Cedar versus Imported Larch An integrated analytical approach is necessary in the conceptualisation and development of effective incentives for economic revitalisation of satoyama forest resources. For example, Swallow, Leimona, Yatich, Velarde and Puttaswamaiah (2007) use both inductive (i.e. institutional and policy innovations) and deductive (i.e. drawing from what experiences in other parts of the world) approaches in analysing and proposing the conditions for effective market– based mechanisms for ecosystem services. In general, institutional change occurs in line with either an economic logic or a political logic, or a combination of these two. satoyama forest resources are a part of the overall Japanese forest resources whose stakeholders include national, provincial and local governments, and communities, private corporations, and individual citizens as owners. Swallow et al (2007) hypothesise that changes in scarcity of inputs, new technologies available to transform inputs into outputs, and output markets are drivers of institutional change in the development of effective economic incentives environmental services. Based on this theoretical proposition, it can be pointed out that (a) satoyama has ample supply of wood resources and (b) new technologies such as wood blocks and biofuels are emerging. However, new output markets have not sufficiently evolved for these new products, while the traditional domestic market for wood materials is still less than twenty per cent of total consumption in Japan (Forestry Agency, 2006a). As already stated, political logic can also lead to institutional change, resulting in the desired impact on Japan’s forestry sector in general and satoyama in particular. Jordan, Wurzel, Zito and Bruckner (2003) identify three models of institutional change consistent with political logic. These they term, respectively, as ideas dominant, settings dominant, and chaos dominant. The ideas dominant model states that policy change could occur if stakeholders collectively exert pressure and influence on the policy process. Thus, satoyama stakeholders may need to coalesce with other economic stakeholders to leverage their impact as policy advocates on Japan’s policies on the importation of wood materials. The settings dominant model states that policy change occurs within a political context which, at least partly, influences the policy makers’ choices. This implies that any policy change in Japan in respect of the economic revitalisation of forest resources will have to be pursued within the context of the regional and other trade protocols that Japan has ratified over the past several decades. This is likely to involve delicate negotiations with the countries that are currently supplying substantial quantities of wood materials to Japan, as well as Japan–based business that thrives on such imports. Furthermore, supply–side policy responses, such as public expense on research and development of the wood block technology, might be perceived by international trade partners as subsidy, if the trade protocol prohibited such a subsidy by member countries. This point leads us to briefly consider the chaos dominant model of institutional change (Jordan et al, 2003), which recognises the policy process as fluid and sometimes unpredictable. Other related or unrelated problems could be encountered during the policy process (Swallow et al 2007; Jordan et al 2003; Kingdon, 1984). Hence, the objective of economic revitalisation of satoyama forest resources in a particular prefecture might have to compete with other economic interests and actors within the Japanese forestry sector or regional trade status quo. Ultimately, the question might be one of the overall national interests of Japan, a question that would involve considerations other than purely the economic. We mentioned above that institutional change can also be pursued through a deductive approach, in this case involving a search and adaptation of experiences from other countries or places to address the current economic stagnation of the Japanese rural forestry sector. This approach involves asking the question: what is Japan doing differently from other Asian or developed countries in terms of forestry resources governance? In other words, what are key differences in terms of the ownership, application of technology, goods and services, market institutions and actors in Japanese forestry sector relative to other countries? The effects of historical factors on the current economic stagnation of the sector in Japan are not too hard to imagine. For centuries, satoyama was part of the way people lived in many rural communities, and that way of living has largely eroded with urbanisation, industrialisation, and demographic transitions over time. While there can be no reasonable expectation that life will or should return to the “good old days”, it is realistic to seek ways of adapting satoyama to the twenty–first century conditions and assure the continuance of the multi–functionality of satoyama ecosystems across Japan. Research 47 shows that managed ecosystems such as satoyama generates a greater multi–functionality than secondary forests, although less so than primary forest, especially tropical rain forests. In other words, since both biodiversity and multi–functionality are degraded in abandoned satoyama, the policy problem is how to increase the human interaction with the satoyama ecosystem resources in a way that increases the multi–functional capacity of the ecosystem while addressing the economic interests of the stakeholders. In this context, the market for wood materials constitutes only one part of the issue. The greater the number of stakeholder groups based on the multi–functional capacity of the ecosystem, the greater the potential stakeholder leverage over the policy change process under the ideas dominant model institutional change. The 22

Table 3: Trends in Emissions and Removals <strong>of</strong> GHGs from Land–Use Change and <strong>Forest</strong>ry (LUCF) Sector<br />

Category 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995<br />

Removals by <strong>Forest</strong>ry -146.056.09 -142,032.48 -142,061.31 -142,090.14 -142,118.97 -142,147.79<br />

Removals by Parks -90.65 -94.28 -103.41 -106.82 -111.55 -114.49<br />

Emissions Harvested<br />

from Wood<br />

<strong>Forest</strong>ry and Grassland<br />

Conversion<br />

61,664.52 57,352.68 55,680.02 51,193.14 47,758.15 44,614.75<br />

637.61 999.46 1007.09 1014.72 1022.35 1037.61<br />

Total -83,844.62 -83,774.63 -85,477.60 -89,989.10 -93,450.01 -96,609.92<br />

Source: Government <strong>of</strong> Japan, 2006<br />

The target <strong>of</strong> the Government <strong>of</strong> Japan is to ensure removal<br />

<strong>of</strong> the 13 million ton in carpon (tC) (47.67 million ton in CO 2<br />

,<br />

approximately 3.9 per cent compared to the total emissions <strong>of</strong><br />

the base year). 46 According to Japan’s Fourth Communication<br />

to the UNFCCC, the 2001 <strong>Forest</strong>s and <strong>Forest</strong>ry Basic Plan under<br />

the <strong>Forest</strong>s and <strong>Forest</strong>ry Basic Law provides the framework in<br />

which Japan plans to achieve this target. Specific measures<br />

include:<br />

• Developing sound <strong>for</strong>ests through: the promotion<br />

<strong>of</strong> efficient and effective thinning <strong>of</strong> <strong>for</strong>ests by<br />

strengthening collective thinning operations and<br />

promoting greater use <strong>of</strong> thinned wood; engineering<br />

a shift toward <strong>for</strong>ests with longer cutting cycles and<br />

multistoried <strong>for</strong>ests; developing countermeasures to<br />

eliminate the land allowed to be left denuded; and<br />

promoting programs to secure and foster essential<br />

personnel responsible <strong>for</strong> <strong>for</strong>est development.<br />

• Promoting appropriate management and conservation <strong>of</strong><br />

protected <strong>for</strong>ests through: appropriate operation <strong>of</strong><br />

land use conversion regulations and logging regulation;<br />

planned designation <strong>of</strong> protected <strong>for</strong>ests; promotion <strong>of</strong><br />

appropriate <strong>for</strong>est conservation management; planned<br />

promotion <strong>of</strong> <strong>for</strong>est conservation projects in mountain<br />

regions with a high disaster risk and denuded <strong>for</strong>ests in<br />

the hinterland; promotion <strong>of</strong> countermeasures to prevent<br />

and control damage caused by pine weevils and other<br />

<strong>for</strong>est pests and wild birds and animals; countermeasures<br />

to prevent <strong>for</strong>est fires; and expansion and enhancement<br />

<strong>of</strong> natural parks and nature conservation areas.<br />

• Promoting the participation <strong>of</strong> citizen groups and a<br />

wider range <strong>of</strong> actors by: improving the skills <strong>of</strong> <strong>for</strong>est<br />

volunteers and and safety systems; promoting <strong>for</strong>est<br />

environmental education; and promoting a green worker<br />

program in national parks that aims to protect flora and<br />

fauna, including <strong>for</strong>ests.<br />

• Promoting <strong>of</strong> the use <strong>of</strong> timber and wood biomass by:<br />

promoting the utilisation <strong>of</strong> locally supplied timber<br />

in houses and public facilities; promoting consumer–<br />

focused programs to expand the user base <strong>for</strong> locally<br />

supplied timber; developing production, distribution<br />

and processing systems; and promoting the utilisation<br />

<strong>of</strong> low–grade timber and wood biomass <strong>for</strong> energy and<br />

products.<br />

The total value <strong>of</strong> the budget related to the Outline <strong>for</strong><br />

Promotion <strong>of</strong> Ef<strong>for</strong>ts to Prevent Global Warming <strong>for</strong> FY<br />

2005 is 1.1428 trillion yen. In that year 408,063 million yen<br />

were budgeted to the Ministry <strong>of</strong> Agriculture, <strong>Forest</strong>ry and<br />

Fisheries. Sectorally, 356,673 million yen was budgeted<br />

<strong>for</strong> the promotion <strong>of</strong> <strong>for</strong>estry, with a relatively significant<br />

allocation if considered next to nuclear power allocations,<br />

<strong>for</strong> example, which received 206,644 million yen in the same<br />

year (Government <strong>of</strong> Japan, 2006).<br />

Carbon Emissions Trading in Japan:<br />

As mentioned above to date, Japan has not developed<br />

a national carbon emissions trading scheme or related<br />

<strong>for</strong>estry–based project system in its ef<strong>for</strong>t to meet its Kyoto<br />

targets. A number <strong>of</strong> Japanese industries are participating<br />

in a voluntary scheme—the Voluntary Emissions Trading<br />

Scheme—launched in May 2005 by the Japanese Ministry<br />

<strong>of</strong> the Environment and several private companies.<br />

Thirty–four companies are participating in a trial scheme,<br />

covering trading <strong>of</strong> 27 MtCO 2<br />

. At this stage the Japanese<br />

CO 2<br />

emissions trading programme is small and excludes key<br />

actors like power utilities. Under the current 2007 review <strong>of</strong><br />

the 2005 Kyoto Target Achievement Plan, the government<br />

is investigating the development <strong>of</strong> a mandatory scheme<br />

to meet its Kyoto targets, although the proposal remains<br />

contentious at the time <strong>of</strong> writing <strong>of</strong> 2007, particularly as an<br />

issue between the Ministry <strong>of</strong> Environment and METI (Point<br />

Carbon, 9 July 2007).<br />

3.8 General Discussion on Policy<br />

As graphically illustrated below, the price per cubic meter<br />

<strong>of</strong> locally produced cedar wood in Japan was lower relative<br />

to the price <strong>of</strong> imported larch during the 1995–2000<br />

timeframe. However, the price <strong>of</strong> imported larch continued<br />

to decrease, while that <strong>of</strong> domestic cedar increased during<br />

next five–year period (2000–2005). This trend suggests that<br />

although the argument that cheaper prices <strong>of</strong> wood imports<br />

is one <strong>of</strong> the key factors affecting the economic uncertainty<br />

in satoyama <strong>for</strong>est products in Japan, the price <strong>of</strong> domestic<br />

wood substitute (cedar) has, in fact been competitive until<br />

after the year 2000. Assuming parity in the quality <strong>of</strong> these<br />

two products thereby making them close substitutes, and<br />

given the fact that Japan’s <strong>for</strong>est build–up increased by 450<br />

million cubic meters <strong>of</strong> wood, domestic market has been<br />

advantageously positioned to per<strong>for</strong>m better than the<br />

import market. In this context, the regional trade regimes<br />

and other trade agreements within which wood is imported<br />

into Japan, may explain why the domestic wood market<br />

has not out–per<strong>for</strong>med its import counterpart. A targeted<br />

review <strong>of</strong> the trade pacts might reveal the policy responses<br />

to be effected from the point <strong>of</strong> view <strong>of</strong> Japan in addressing<br />

this issue.<br />

21

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