Niche Markets for Economic Revitalisation of Satoyama Forest ...

Niche Markets for Economic Revitalisation of Satoyama Forest ... Niche Markets for Economic Revitalisation of Satoyama Forest ...

20.12.2013 Views

trade system. The most developed international baseline and credit system to date is the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM), administered by the United Nations. With the assistance of carbon funds arranged by the World Bank, the CDM market according to the World Bank in 2005 was worth $US 2.65 billion or 359 megatons of carbon equivalent, although forestry and land use change projects are not prominent in the CDM. While carbon emissions trading is only at experimental stages in Japan, there is a potential to incorporate forestry management and carbon sequestration projects into a national emissions trading scheme. 31 While Japan’s voluntary emissions scheme has not yet developed a system to include forestry based off–set projects which could bring financing to such activities, most industrialised countries at a similar stage of experimentation with emissions trading to Japan—like Canada and Australia, for example, will likely include such project types in their national schemes. The IPCC Mitigation Working Group describes forest–related mitigation activities as low cost projects that can be designed to create synergies with adaptation and sustainable development and can have “substantial co–benefits in terms of employment, income generation, biodiversity and watershed conservation, renewable energy supply and poverty alleviation” (IPCC, 2007). Under the Kyoto Protocol Joint Implementation mechanism, which outlines carbon offset projects between industrialised countries, Kyoto eligible projects include activities that lead to : avoided deforestation, and improved management of croplands, grasslands, forests, and peat lands. 1.5 Ecotourism or Green Tourism Ecotourism, which primarily combines recreational and educational excursion, is a growing niche market in Japan as it offers many urban–based people retreat from the stress, noise and pollution associated with living in the city. Across Japan, there are rural–based, small–scale family–owned initiatives on sustainable or organic agriculture and livestock management which serve as businesses, training centers, tourist attraction and technology demonstration sites. These draw visitors and patrons from within and abroad. This trend has presented opportunities for local residents, small–scale businesses and non–profit organisations (NPOs) to participate in business activities related to tourism, environmental education, and sustainable or organic agriculture. Other related opportunities include food production—mushrooms, local rice varieties (e.g. kamo–mai) and local rice wines (e.g. maizokin), or conservation activities through ecotourism, green tourism, furusato (nostalgic values of past era type of landscape) and cultural (spiritual) retreats. 1.6 Role of Non–governmental Organisations and Other Local Stakeholders Notwithstanding the recent rise in legal provisions related to satoyama protection in Japan, many policies remain at a theoretical level, without strong tools or resources to adequately reestablish and maintain management practices. In the late 1980s, local movements began to appear that focused on satoyama management. There is now a large citizen participation effort in Japan focusing on the recovery and utilisation of satoyama. As of 2003, there were approximately 1,100 satoyama activity groups registered with the Ministry of the Environment, and 58 per cent of these were established after the 1990s (Miyamae, 2003). Furthermore, according to an investigation performed by the Forestry Agency, there were 1,165 volunteer groups performing forest building activities in 2003, which is double the number in 2000 and four times the number in 1997 (Forestry Agency edition, 2006a). Thus the volunteer and community based effort is growing rapidly throughout the country. 1.7 Summary of Niche Markets Utilising forest residues in energy production represents a significant opportunity for commercial projects in satoyama. The low level of biomass use in Japan’s total energy supply (1 per cent) compared to a similarly forested country like Sweden, which sources around 16 per cent of its energy from biomass in 2001 illustrates the potential size of the opportunity. In 2001 Sweden had around 1800 megawatts of biomass electricity capacity, compared to the 330 megawatts target for 2010 in Japan’s Biomass Strategy (IEA, 2004b). Notably, biomass in Sweden received the highest level of new energy research and development investment (about 47 per cent of the total) in the period from 1974–2001 following the first oil shock and has received favourable tax treatment. Table 2: Summary of Niche Markets Market Opportunity Market Challenges Policy Issues Wood Blocks Significant: Driven by consumer preference, significant domestic supply of wood material. Expensive, inefficient collection and distribution of forest residue material, lack of stable supply of forest residues, lack of supplier awareness. How can stakeholders coordinate to reduce distribution costs, what sources of public funding to augment financing, how to educate and disseminate information on market opportunities. Biomass Energy Significant: Demand and policy support for New Energy, higher international oil prices and foreign dependence Expensive, inefficient collection and distribution of forest residue material, lack of stable supply of forest residues, bias in favour of other new technologies How can stakeholders coordinate to reduce distribution costs, what sources of public funding can augment financing Carbon Finance Emergent Driven by domestic climate change regulations, international climate law and policy Political risk associated with policy development, complex rules for forestry projects How to channel domestic climate change budgets and instruments into domestic carbon sink management. 13

In Japan, the priorities have been geothermal and photovoltaic (PV). The continued emphasis on PV is reflected in the 2007 Japan Renewables Portfolio Standard (RPS) report that recommends PV receive double credit over other power sources. While biomass energy production may not reflect the same level of industrial development of export opportunity as in Japanese PV, there is still a significant market opportunity to boost the technology especially considering Japan’s ongoing challenges with foreign energy dependence, high international energy prices and nuclear power safety concerns. Utilising forest residues in wood block construction for wood building construction represents an emergent opportunity for commercial projects in satoyama. While housing construction in Japan is generally expected to decline there are indications that many Japanese people prefer wood construction homes, which could lead to an increasing market share for such products. As the Cabinet Office opinion poll discussed above shows a 60 per cent preference for wood construction among those surveyed, there are expectations that Japan’s aging population will increasingly appreciate wood buildings and renovations, and some recent data for one part of the country—Ishikawa— show an increasing number of wood construction starts. Arguments to invest in wood block construction on the supply side are enhanced by the recurring annual forest build–up in Japan (approximately 64 million cubic meters) and the cost advantage of local forest products over foreign ones. Still, sourcing local wood products has not been the normal procedure in Japan for many years. One of the main challenges with bioenergy and wood block construction is how to distribute forest residues from diffuse sources to diffuse end production facilities, especially in a mountainous country like Japan. Certainly there are cost advantages with using forest residues in the locations where they can be sourced. Indeed, this local use was part and parcel of the economically advantageous system of harvesting charcoal and fertilisers from the forests that supported forests thinning practices in the first part of the twentieth century. However, wood block construction and power generation represent new opportunities that require a greater degree of centralised collection and distribution. A key question is how to minimise these costs. As discussed, forestry associations, timber companies, processing companies and housing construction companies are collaborating in Ishikawa to establish distribution and processing centers in key regions to support supply to wood block construction. The development of a center for the distribution and processing of wood materials is, in fact progressing in that prefecture based on efforts by the Kaga Forest Association. Such techniques could be replicated in other parts of the country, or even in the biomass energy sector. Forest residue suppliers could even explore the integration of coordinated supply to power generation and wood block construction buyers. Undertaking thinning and management projects in satoyama to enhance Japanese carbon sinks and earn tradable pollution rights is only a possible commercial opportunity at present, although public funding for such projects may well be available under the government current climate change policy. Such a system would likely provide new opportunities for helping finance satoyama management, since, as Japan is quite heavily forested, there would be little room for competing afforesting or reforestation projects. Forestry sink projects in Japan would primarily be limited to maintaining the estimated 35–70 MtCO2/y sequestration potential through enhanced management. Moreover, the 35–70 MtCO2/y potential is not an insubstantial natural resource. By comparison, New Zealand is estimated to have a total potential of 10–42 MtCO2/y. Unlike wood block construction and biomass energy, however, the development of a domestic carbon market is almost entirely dependent on political forces that influence the decision to institute a cap and trade system with forestry offset provisions in Japan. A national carbon trading scheme remains contentious, as do other strong instruments like the long–discussed carbon tax. Nevertheless mounting global concern over climate change and the prospect of greater United States involvement in international climate cooperation, point to the likelihood of increasing pressure to reduce emissions substantially in Japan in coming years. Given the high efficiency of Japanese industry, and the relatively high cost of abatement in that sector, offset projects—including forestry based ones—will likely be attractive to companies with emissions caps. This pressure will also result in further promotion of renewable energy sources like biomass. However, Japan to date, as in many sectors, is oriented toward overseas investment in carbon reduction projects—it is a significant buyer of UN certified emissions reductions under the Kyoto Protocol’s CDM and is intent on seeing a similar international offset system carried through to any climate treaty system after Kyoto. The government’s 2005 climate budget allocated 9,599 million yen to Kyoto mechanisms (essentially CDM credit purchases), up from 4,999 in 2004 or a 92 per cent increase on the year. At the same time forestry sink budget allocations in Japan fell by 7 per cent from 2004 to 2005. So there is a clear emphasis on overseas carbon emissions reduction projects in the recent budget. A key question for satoyama is how to attract some of these investments into forestry sink project in Japan. Whether domestic carbon trading opportunities emerge or whether carbon sink enhancement funding remains in government budgets, climate change policy and regulation clearly offers opportunities to draw resources into satoyama enhancement. It is likely most accurate to view such a resource as augmenting or supporting other commercial initiatives like the biomass energy and wood block construction opportunities mentioned above. Indeed, such projects themselves are clear candidates for national funding in support of emissions reductions as well as potential offset projects in a carbon trading scheme. Biomass energy displaces fossil fuel consumption and wood block construction reduces the amount of carbon emissions associated with other construction materials such as concrete. 32 14

In Japan, the priorities have been geothermal and photovoltaic<br />

(PV). The continued emphasis on PV is reflected in the<br />

2007 Japan Renewables Portfolio Standard (RPS) report<br />

that recommends PV receive double credit over other<br />

power sources. While biomass energy production may not<br />

reflect the same level <strong>of</strong> industrial development <strong>of</strong> export<br />

opportunity as in Japanese PV, there is still a significant<br />

market opportunity to boost the technology especially<br />

considering Japan’s ongoing challenges with <strong>for</strong>eign energy<br />

dependence, high international energy prices and nuclear<br />

power safety concerns. Utilising <strong>for</strong>est residues in wood block<br />

construction <strong>for</strong> wood building construction represents an<br />

emergent opportunity <strong>for</strong> commercial projects in satoyama.<br />

While housing construction in Japan is generally expected<br />

to decline there are indications that many Japanese people<br />

prefer wood construction homes, which could lead to an<br />

increasing market share <strong>for</strong> such products. As the Cabinet<br />

Office opinion poll discussed above shows a 60 per cent<br />

preference <strong>for</strong> wood construction among those surveyed,<br />

there are expectations that Japan’s aging population will<br />

increasingly appreciate wood buildings and renovations, and<br />

some recent data <strong>for</strong> one part <strong>of</strong> the country—Ishikawa—<br />

show an increasing number <strong>of</strong> wood construction starts.<br />

Arguments to invest in wood block construction on the<br />

supply side are enhanced by the recurring annual <strong>for</strong>est<br />

build–up in Japan (approximately 64 million cubic meters)<br />

and the cost advantage <strong>of</strong> local <strong>for</strong>est products over <strong>for</strong>eign<br />

ones. Still, sourcing local wood products has not been the<br />

normal procedure in Japan <strong>for</strong> many years.<br />

One <strong>of</strong> the main challenges with bioenergy and wood block<br />

construction is how to distribute <strong>for</strong>est residues from diffuse<br />

sources to diffuse end production facilities, especially in<br />

a mountainous country like Japan. Certainly there are cost<br />

advantages with using <strong>for</strong>est residues in the locations where<br />

they can be sourced. Indeed, this local use was part and parcel<br />

<strong>of</strong> the economically advantageous system <strong>of</strong> harvesting<br />

charcoal and fertilisers from the <strong>for</strong>ests that supported <strong>for</strong>ests<br />

thinning practices in the first part <strong>of</strong> the twentieth century.<br />

However, wood block construction and power generation<br />

represent new opportunities that require a greater degree <strong>of</strong><br />

centralised collection and distribution. A key question is how<br />

to minimise these costs. As discussed, <strong>for</strong>estry associations,<br />

timber companies, processing companies and housing<br />

construction companies are collaborating in Ishikawa<br />

to establish distribution and processing centers in key<br />

regions to support supply to wood block construction. The<br />

development <strong>of</strong> a center <strong>for</strong> the distribution and processing<br />

<strong>of</strong> wood materials is, in fact progressing in that prefecture<br />

based on ef<strong>for</strong>ts by the Kaga <strong>Forest</strong> Association. Such<br />

techniques could be replicated in other parts <strong>of</strong> the country,<br />

or even in the biomass energy sector. <strong>Forest</strong> residue suppliers<br />

could even explore the integration <strong>of</strong> coordinated supply to<br />

power generation and wood block construction buyers.<br />

Undertaking thinning and management projects in satoyama<br />

to enhance Japanese carbon sinks and earn tradable<br />

pollution rights is only a possible commercial opportunity<br />

at present, although public funding <strong>for</strong> such projects may<br />

well be available under the government current climate<br />

change policy. Such a system would likely provide new<br />

opportunities <strong>for</strong> helping finance satoyama management,<br />

since, as Japan is quite heavily <strong>for</strong>ested, there would be little<br />

room <strong>for</strong> competing af<strong>for</strong>esting or re<strong>for</strong>estation projects.<br />

<strong>Forest</strong>ry sink projects in Japan would primarily be limited to<br />

maintaining the estimated 35–70 MtCO2/y sequestration<br />

potential through enhanced management. Moreover, the<br />

35–70 MtCO2/y potential is not an insubstantial natural<br />

resource. By comparison, New Zealand is estimated to have a<br />

total potential <strong>of</strong> 10–42 MtCO2/y.<br />

Unlike wood block construction and biomass energy,<br />

however, the development <strong>of</strong> a domestic carbon market is<br />

almost entirely dependent on political <strong>for</strong>ces that influence<br />

the decision to institute a cap and trade system with <strong>for</strong>estry<br />

<strong>of</strong>fset provisions in Japan. A national carbon trading scheme<br />

remains contentious, as do other strong instruments like<br />

the long–discussed carbon tax. Nevertheless mounting<br />

global concern over climate change and the prospect <strong>of</strong><br />

greater United States involvement in international climate<br />

cooperation, point to the likelihood <strong>of</strong> increasing pressure<br />

to reduce emissions substantially in Japan in coming<br />

years. Given the high efficiency <strong>of</strong> Japanese industry, and<br />

the relatively high cost <strong>of</strong> abatement in that sector, <strong>of</strong>fset<br />

projects—including <strong>for</strong>estry based ones—will likely be<br />

attractive to companies with emissions caps. This pressure<br />

will also result in further promotion <strong>of</strong> renewable energy<br />

sources like biomass.<br />

However, Japan to date, as in many sectors, is oriented toward<br />

overseas investment in carbon reduction projects—it is a<br />

significant buyer <strong>of</strong> UN certified emissions reductions under<br />

the Kyoto Protocol’s CDM and is intent on seeing a similar<br />

international <strong>of</strong>fset system carried through to any climate<br />

treaty system after Kyoto. The government’s 2005 climate<br />

budget allocated 9,599 million yen to Kyoto mechanisms<br />

(essentially CDM credit purchases), up from 4,999 in 2004<br />

or a 92 per cent increase on the year. At the same time<br />

<strong>for</strong>estry sink budget allocations in Japan fell by 7 per cent<br />

from 2004 to 2005. So there is a clear emphasis on overseas<br />

carbon emissions reduction projects in the recent budget. A<br />

key question <strong>for</strong> satoyama is how to attract some <strong>of</strong> these<br />

investments into <strong>for</strong>estry sink project in Japan.<br />

Whether domestic carbon trading opportunities emerge<br />

or whether carbon sink enhancement funding remains in<br />

government budgets, climate change policy and regulation<br />

clearly <strong>of</strong>fers opportunities to draw resources into satoyama<br />

enhancement. It is likely most accurate to view such a<br />

resource as augmenting or supporting other commercial<br />

initiatives like the biomass energy and wood block<br />

construction opportunities mentioned above. Indeed, such<br />

projects themselves are clear candidates <strong>for</strong> national funding<br />

in support <strong>of</strong> emissions reductions as well as potential <strong>of</strong>fset<br />

projects in a carbon trading scheme. Biomass energy displaces<br />

fossil fuel consumption and wood block construction reduces<br />

the amount <strong>of</strong> carbon emissions associated with other<br />

construction materials such as concrete. 32<br />

14

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