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UV LED 2009 edition - I-Micronews

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Hydro-Photon<br />

<strong>UV</strong> <strong>LED</strong><br />

SAMPLE REPORT<br />

Hammamatsu<br />

Phoseon Semi<strong>LED</strong><br />

Ncrystal Dowa Thermo<br />

Nichia<br />

Nitek<br />

© 2011<br />

45 rue Sainte Geneviève, F-69006 Lyon, France<br />

Tel: +33 472 83 01 80 - Fax: +33 472 83 01 83<br />

Web: http://www.yole.fr<br />

Copyrights © Yole Développement SARL. All rights reserved.


<strong>UV</strong> Lamps main applications as a function of<br />

the wavelength<br />

<strong>UV</strong> sources<br />

<strong>UV</strong>A<br />

<strong>UV</strong>B<br />

<strong>UV</strong>C<br />

<strong>UV</strong> Curing<br />

Counterfeit<br />

banknote<br />

detection<br />

Medical<br />

phototherapy<br />

Disinfection<br />

Purification<br />

Water<br />

Air<br />

Photocatalysis<br />

air purification<br />

Tanning<br />

Analytical instruments<br />

spectrophotometer<br />

© 2011• 2<br />

Copyrights © Yole Développement SARL. All rights reserved.<br />

<strong>UV</strong> lamp business


<strong>UV</strong> power requirement per application<br />

and current <strong>UV</strong> <strong>LED</strong> best results<br />

optical power output needed at the<br />

surface of the lamp (log W/cm²)<br />

<strong>UV</strong>C<br />

<strong>UV</strong>B<br />

<strong>UV</strong>A<br />

Analytical instrument<br />

Water/Air<br />

disinfection<br />

<strong>UV</strong> curing<br />

<strong>UV</strong> <strong>LED</strong> in 2010<br />

Medical<br />

phototherapy<br />

<strong>UV</strong> curing<br />

Photocatalytic air<br />

cleaners<br />

200<br />

© 2011• 3<br />

Copyrights © Yole Développement SARL. All rights reserved.<br />

Analytical instrument<br />

<strong>UV</strong> <strong>LED</strong> in 2008<br />

Counterfeit<br />

banknote<br />

detection<br />

280 315 365<br />

400<br />

<strong>UV</strong> lamp business<br />

Wavelength<br />

(nm)


Average selling price (ASP) for <strong>UV</strong> Lamps<br />

and current <strong>LED</strong> commercial products in $/W<br />

ASP for 1W optical power output<br />

(log $/W)<br />

<strong>UV</strong>C<br />

<strong>UV</strong>B<br />

<strong>UV</strong>A<br />

<strong>UV</strong> <strong>LED</strong> (as of today)<br />

Price reduction 2008-2010<br />

is still limited due to limited<br />

competition<br />

Initial price gap compensated by :<br />

- Higher lifetime<br />

- Lower maintenance cost<br />

- Power supply cost reduction<br />

In 2008<br />

In 2010<br />

200 280 315 365<br />

400<br />

Wavelength<br />

(nm)<br />

© 2011• 4<br />

Copyrights © Yole Développement SARL. All rights reserved.<br />

<strong>UV</strong> lamp business


<strong>UV</strong> Lamps Applications<br />

Characteristics, market price, and accessibility for <strong>UV</strong> <strong>LED</strong><br />

λ Application Lamp size<br />

Banknote/documents<br />

detectors<br />

Wall-plug<br />

Input power<br />

Lamp<br />

ASP ($)<br />

2010 lamp<br />

volume<br />

(M units)<br />

2010<br />

Lamp<br />

market<br />

(M$)<br />

Growth<br />

(<strong>2009</strong>-<br />

2010)<br />

<strong>LED</strong> time<br />

to market<br />

0.1 – 0.2 m 4- 10 W $5 – 10 0.5 2.5 + 5% 2003<br />

<strong>UV</strong> curing 0.3 – 2 m 10 W to 20 kW $ 300 0.4 120 + 10% 2003<br />

<strong>UV</strong>A /<br />

<strong>UV</strong>B<br />

Photocatalytic air<br />

disinfection<br />

0.1 – 0.3 m 10 - 40 W $5 – 10 0.5 3.8 + 10 % 2006<br />

Medical phototherapy 0.2 – 2 m 9 – 100 W $40 – 100 0.5 25 + 15% 2015<br />

Tanning 0.5 - 2 m 15 – 200 W $5 – 15 10 80 + 0 - 5% > 2015<br />

<strong>UV</strong>C<br />

Black-light (nightclub,<br />

insect trap…)<br />

Low power water or air<br />

disinfection (residential<br />

and commercial)<br />

High power water, air,<br />

and surface, disinfection<br />

(municipal & industrial)<br />

0.2 – 1.2 m 4 – 40 W $1 – 15 10 30 + 0 - 5% > 2015<br />

0.1 - 1.5 m 5 - 40 W $1 – 20 7.3 55 + 10% 2014 – 2015<br />

0.3 to 2 m Up to 35 kW $ 120 0.5 60 + 10-15 % > 2020<br />

Analytical instruments 0.05 - 0.1 m 30 – 1,000 W $200 0.25 50 + 5-10% 2006<br />

© 2011• 5<br />

Copyrights © Yole Développement SARL. All rights reserved.<br />

In red are the most challenging specifications for <strong>UV</strong> <strong>LED</strong>s.<br />

<strong>UV</strong> lamp business


<strong>UV</strong> Curing<br />

Introduction<br />

Source: phoseon<br />

• <strong>UV</strong> working principle:<br />

– <strong>UV</strong> are used to produce a chemical reaction that polymerizes a combination of chemical components (typically<br />

monomers, oligomers and photoinitiators). These materials may be under the form of a coating, adhesive, ink or<br />

some other product.<br />

• <strong>UV</strong> curing applications :<br />

– Market segmentation: a lot of different applications with various <strong>UV</strong> light requirements<br />

• Printing (sheet-fed offset, flexo, inkjet printing…) : about xx to xx % of the market. Inkjet represent about xx % of the total<br />

market.<br />

• Industrial coating (wood, plastic, metal and other) : xx to xx %<br />

• Adhesives that include the spot curing market : xx to xx % of the market<br />

– Global CAGR 2011-2015 : + xx %<br />

• <strong>LED</strong> introduction: 2002 for adhesives and coatings, 2007 for inkjet.<br />

• <strong>LED</strong> application status:<br />

– Strong growth phase (CAGR 2011-2016 > xx %). With the <strong>UV</strong> <strong>LED</strong> power increase, the technology is now used in a<br />

wide range of applications<br />

• Current <strong>LED</strong> applications:<br />

– Inkjet : this is the main market for <strong>UV</strong> <strong>LED</strong> thanks to the following advantages : short distance between the <strong>UV</strong><br />

source and the substrate, the need for cold <strong>UV</strong> source, the dynamic inkjet market with new products every two<br />

years. It is expected that in 5 years 90 % of the curing systems will use <strong>UV</strong> <strong>LED</strong>.<br />

– Others are low speed coating and adhesive applications (specially spot curing applications).<br />

– In 2011, it is expected that almost xx % of <strong>UV</strong> curing will be accessible to <strong>UV</strong> <strong>LED</strong>s thanks to the availability of high<br />

power (8 to 16 W/cm2) and wide source (up to 2m).<br />

– New portable applications in the field where lightweight and compactness is a key feature : wood or automotive<br />

coating repair.<br />

– <strong>UV</strong> <strong>LED</strong> curing systems vary from x to xx k$ with an average price at xx k$<br />

© 2011• 6<br />

Copyrights © Yole Développement SARL. All rights reserved.<br />

<strong>UV</strong> A applications: curing


<strong>UV</strong> <strong>LED</strong><br />

Estimated accessible markets, growth rate, and time to market<br />

CAGR (%)<br />

50<br />

Estimated accessible markets (current lamp revenues),<br />

growth rate, and time to market for <strong>UV</strong> <strong>LED</strong><br />

<strong>UV</strong> A/B<br />

<strong>UV</strong> C<br />

Diameter corresponds to <strong>UV</strong> lamp<br />

market size as it was in 2010<br />

20<br />

$25 M<br />

App G<br />

Application C<br />

$6M<br />

10<br />

Application A<br />

App E<br />

$4M<br />

Application D<br />

Application F<br />

$72 M<br />

Application H<br />

$ 55 M<br />

$3M<br />

$42M<br />

$50M<br />

0<br />

2003<br />

Application B<br />

© 2011• 7<br />

Copyrights © Yole Développement SARL. All rights reserved.<br />

Time to market<br />

2006 <strong>2009</strong> 2010 2014-2015 for <strong>UV</strong> <strong>LED</strong><br />

Executive Summary


Market size in M$<br />

<strong>UV</strong> <strong>LED</strong> Market Size in M$ to 2016<br />

Split by application (excluding lighting)<br />

$140M<br />

$120M<br />

<strong>UV</strong> <strong>LED</strong> market size to 2015 (chip or packaged, outside of lighting)<br />

$100M<br />

$80M<br />

$60M<br />

$40M<br />

$20M<br />

$M<br />

2008 <strong>2009</strong> 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016<br />

R&D and others 6,3 M$ 5,9 M$ 5,9 M$ 5,8 M$ 5,5 M$ 5,0 M$ 5,0 M$ 4,0 M$ 3,0 M$<br />

Air purification 0,0 M$ 0,0 M$ 0,0 M$ 0,0 M$ 0,0 M$ 0,0 M$ 0,5 M$ 1,4 M$ 3,0 M$<br />

Water purification 0,0 M$ 0,0 M$ 0,0 M$ 0,0 M$ 0,0 M$ 0,3 M$ 3,0 M$ 6,0 M$ 15,0 M$<br />

Instrumentation 1,7 M$ 1,6 M$ 2,2 M$ 2,5 M$ 2,9 M$ 3,3 M$ 3,8 M$ 4,3 M$ 5,0 M$<br />

Medical phototherapy 0,0 M$ 0,0 M$ 0,0 M$ 0,0 M$ 0,0 M$ 0,0 M$ 0,5 M$ 1,0 M$ 1,8 M$<br />

Photocatalysis air purif. 1,1 M$ 1,0 M$ 1,1 M$ 1,2 M$ 1,3 M$ 1,5 M$ 1,6 M$ 1,8 M$ 1,9 M$<br />

Counterfeit Detection 1,3 M$ 1,1 M$ 1,2 M$ 1,3 M$ 1,3 M$ 1,4 M$ 1,5 M$ 1,7 M$ 1,8 M$<br />

<strong>UV</strong> curing 9,8 M$ 12,7 M$ 15,0 M$ 21,8 M$ 31,5 M$ 42,6 M$ 53,2 M$ 66,5 M$ 83,2 M$<br />

CAGR 2011-2016 = + xx %<br />

© 2011• 8<br />

Copyrights © Yole Développement SARL. All rights reserved.<br />

Executive Summary


Optical Power vs. Chip-size and Wavelength Dependency<br />

Some examples<br />

optical power output (log<br />

mW) for a single chip<br />

<strong>UV</strong>C <strong>UV</strong>B <strong>UV</strong>A<br />

2008 results<br />

2010 results<br />

Improvement<br />

2008-2010<br />

200 240 260 280 315 360 400<br />

© 2011• 9<br />

Copyrights © Yole Développement SARL. All rights reserved.<br />

Wavelength (nm)<br />

440


Key industrial <strong>UV</strong>A dies market players positioning<br />

Large<br />

groups<br />

Start up<br />

SMEs<br />

Past<br />

2010<br />

Future<br />

© 2011• 10<br />

Copyrights © Yole Développement SARL. All rights reserved.


Bulk AlN technical Roadmap<br />

Mass production availability<br />

Outlook : many new players in the starting blocks !<br />

2000’s 2010 2011 2012 2013<br />

2014<br />

Company A<br />

Company B<br />

Company C<br />

Company D<br />

Company E<br />

Company F<br />

1’’ wafer 2’’ wafer<br />

4’’ wafer<br />

© 2011• 11<br />

Copyrights © Yole Développement SARL. All rights reserved.<br />

<strong>UV</strong> <strong>LED</strong> roadmap

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