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Coastal Erosion Responses for Alaska - the National Sea Grant ...

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20 Motyka et al.—Global <strong>Sea</strong> Level Rise and Relative <strong>Sea</strong> Change in <strong>Alaska</strong><br />

Table 1. Contributions to sea level rise from <strong>the</strong> world’s glaciers.<br />

Region<br />

<strong>Sea</strong> level rise<br />

equivalent<br />

(mm yr-1) Years Reference<br />

<strong>Alaska</strong>/NW Canada 0.14 ± 0.04 1950s-1990s Arendt et al. (2002)<br />

<strong>Alaska</strong>/NW Canada 0.27 ± 0.10 1990s-2000/01 Arendt et al. (2002)<br />

<strong>Alaska</strong>/NW Canada 0.31 ± 0.09 2002-2004 Tamisiea (2005)<br />

Canadian Arctic Archipelago 0.064 1995-2000 Abdalati et al. (2004)<br />

Patagonia 0.042 ± 0.002 1968/75-2000 Rignot et al. (2003)<br />

Patagonia 0.105 ± 0.011 1995-2000 Rignot et al. (2003)<br />

West Antarctica 0.12 ± 0.03 Late 1990s Rignot and Thomas (2002)<br />

West Antarctica 0.2 2002-2003 Thomas et al. (2004)<br />

East Antarctica 0.05 ± 0.06 Late 1990s Rignot and Thomas (2002)<br />

Greenland 0.14 Late 1990s Krabill et al. (2000)<br />

Greenland 0.20 ± 0.07 2002-2004 Velicogna and Wahr (2005)<br />

Greenland 0.23 to 0.55 2002-2005 Rignot (2005)<br />

not take into account <strong>the</strong> accelerated glaciodynamic response that tidewater<br />

glaciers and polar outlet glaciers are now experiencing.<br />

Relative sea level (RSL) change along coastal <strong>Alaska</strong> is a function of GSLR<br />

and also <strong>the</strong> local and regional rates of crustal adjustments to isostatic rebound<br />

from melting glaciers, tectonic processes, and <strong>the</strong> effects of gravity due to<br />

changing ice masses. In <strong>the</strong> latter case, while ice melting adds water to <strong>the</strong><br />

oceans globally, reduced gravitational attraction exerted by <strong>the</strong> shrinking ice<br />

masses can cause a drop in RSL locally. Estimates of this effect in regions<br />

where glacier melting in <strong>Alaska</strong> is strong and ongoing, range from –2.3 mm<br />

yr-1 (Tamisiea et al. 2003), to –0.4 mm yr-1 (Larsen et al. 2004), where negative<br />

indicates a falling relative sea level. The loss of glacier ice is also driving<br />

strong glacial isostatic rebound along much of sou<strong>the</strong>rn coastal <strong>Alaska</strong>. The<br />

effects of this rebound are clearly seen in tide gauge records and in GPS measurements.<br />

The post–Little Ice Age collapse of <strong>the</strong> Glacier Bay ice field (Motyka<br />

and Larsen 2005) and ongoing rapid melting of mountain glaciers throughout<br />

<strong>the</strong> region (C.F. Larsen et al. submitted) has resulted in rebound rates of<br />

as much as 32 mm yr-1 in Glacier Bay, with RSL falling as much as 5.7 m near<br />

Glacier Bay since 1770 AD (Motyka 2003; Larsen et al. 2004, 2005). This broad<br />

dome of uplift extends as far south as Sitka and as far north as Cape Yakataga,<br />

where <strong>the</strong> ~20 mm yr-1 average uplift rate has also been attributed to glacier<br />

rebound (Sauber and Molnia 2004).<br />

Tectonically, <strong>the</strong> strike-slip margin along sou<strong>the</strong>ast <strong>Alaska</strong> contrasts<br />

sharply with <strong>the</strong> collision of <strong>the</strong> Pacific Plate with <strong>the</strong> North American Plate

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