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Marine Ecosystems Research Department - jamstec japan agency ...

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Japan <strong>Marine</strong> Science and Technology Center<br />

Frontier <strong>Research</strong> System for Global Change<br />

Fig.25b The Live Access Server (LAS) version 6.0 at the APDRC serves QuikSCAT level 3 wind velocity data from<br />

JPL (left) and allows model product comparison from two different sites, JPL-ECCO adjoint output and<br />

NOAA-GFDL output (right) for fields such as ocean surface temperature.<br />

8. International Arctic <strong>Research</strong> Center<br />

Atmosphere/Ocean/Ice Physics Group<br />

a. Introduction<br />

The Atmosphere/Ocean/Ice Physics Group was<br />

established in as part of the Frontier <strong>Research</strong><br />

System for Global Change (FRSGC) contribution to<br />

IARC at the University of Alaska Fairbanks. The<br />

physics group is organized to contribute to the basic<br />

understanding of the modern climate system and climate<br />

change of the Arctic. With regard to climate<br />

change, we adopt the usage of the Intergovernmental<br />

Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) _ " any change in<br />

climate over time, whether due to natural variability or<br />

as a result of human activity." Our mandate includes<br />

establishment/participation in multi-disciplinary studies<br />

and leadership of international projects.<br />

Individual research and corporate research projects<br />

within IARC/Frontier are guided by four basic principles:<br />

the scientific question must guide our research;<br />

climate research builds upon a legacy of past studies<br />

and observations; collaborative studies with individuals<br />

and institutions in the international community are<br />

necessary; and all scientists benefit from participation<br />

in field work.<br />

As an aid to organizing our studies, FRSGC suggests<br />

the concept of a triangle with vertices of observations,<br />

theory, and modeling. At present the physics group balances<br />

its human resources as: analyses of observations<br />

(%); theory and processes (%); GCM-type simulations<br />

(%); and field/expedition work (%). Real<br />

understanding of the climate system then comes from<br />

artfully navigating the interior of the triangle.<br />

b. <strong>Research</strong><br />

Together with colleagues at the UAF Institute of<br />

<strong>Marine</strong> Sciences (IMS) and at the Arctic and Antarctic<br />

<strong>Research</strong> Institute (AARI), we have assembled a year<br />

time series of the pan-Arctic surface air temperature<br />

(see Figure ). This time series clearly captures<br />

the warming of the s, an event spanning years<br />

during which the Arctic warmed by almost ˚C. The<br />

temperature anomaly ˚C<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

0<br />

-0.5<br />

Global<br />

(IPCC report)<br />

Arctic<br />

(Polyakov, et al.)<br />

-1.0<br />

1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000<br />

Fig.26 The instrumental surface air temperature record from pan-<br />

Arctic stations (blue curve) and of globally averaged temperature<br />

(red). The sharp increase of Arctic temperature,<br />

1920 through the 1930s, is referred to as the warming of<br />

the 1930s. The Arctic record is smoothed by a 6-year-filter.<br />

145

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