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Marine Ecosystems Research Department - jamstec japan agency ...

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Japan <strong>Marine</strong> Science and Technology Center<br />

Frontier <strong>Research</strong> System for Global Change<br />

d-. Development of Assimilation Scheme Using<br />

Statistical Method<br />

The analysis scheme for the Ensemble Kalman<br />

Filter has been implemented using MPI fortran on<br />

the Compaq Alpha SC. The system has been tested<br />

on the Compaq Alpha SC with an ensemble size of<br />

members, assimilating a range of real data. The<br />

analysis code has been successfully tested on the Earth<br />

Simulator.<br />

A further issue under investigation is the use of a<br />

range of parameter values across the ensemble members.<br />

This is intended to address the question of model<br />

error, since using (incorrectly specified) fixed parameter<br />

values contributes to structural model error. Some<br />

preliminary experiments have been undertaken in collaboration<br />

with the Paleoclimate Group of the Global<br />

Warming <strong>Research</strong> Program using a low-resolution climate<br />

model in identical twin tests.<br />

7. International Pacific <strong>Research</strong> Center (IPRC)<br />

Since FRSGC's IPRC Program is fully integrated<br />

into the research at the IPRC, the IPRC research efforts<br />

and results for FY are briefly summarized below.<br />

For more detailed information visit the IPRC website,<br />

http://iprc.soest.hawaii.edu, which posts the IPRC<br />

annual reports and issues of the IPRC Climate, IPRC's<br />

semiannual newsletter.<br />

Science Plan<br />

The work of the IPRC scientists is guided by the<br />

IPRC Science Plan, which is reviewed annually and<br />

updated to reflect developments. The newest version,<br />

Version ., is posted on the IPRC website. The plan<br />

consists of the following four scientific themes:<br />

Theme : Indo-Pacific Ocean Climate<br />

Theme : Regional Ocean Influences<br />

Theme : Asian-Australian Monsoon System<br />

Theme : Impacts of Global Environmental Change<br />

Each theme has a Goal, which broadly outlines the<br />

theme's subject matter and specific Objectives, which<br />

are achievable within a finite amount of time and with<br />

well-defined resources. It is expected that these four<br />

themes will endure throughout the IPRC lifetime, but<br />

additional themes may be added at some future time.<br />

The objectives, on the other hand will change with<br />

research developments.<br />

The IPRC research strategy is to carry out diagnostic<br />

analyses and modeling studies of the atmosphere,<br />

ocean, and coupled ocean-atmosphere-land system,<br />

rather than to conduct experimental programs.<br />

<strong>Research</strong> on FY <br />

a. Theme : Indo-Pacific Ocean Climate<br />

Regarding Pacific Ocean circulation and climate,<br />

research included modeling studies of the Kuroshio<br />

Extension, the California Current, and the low-latitude<br />

western boundary currents, as well as studies of inertial<br />

instability of the equatorial undercurrent. Regional<br />

atmospheric models, including the IPRC Regional<br />

Climate Model, were applied to the study of the<br />

Kuroshio, the East China Sea, and eastern tropical<br />

Pacific climate–particularly the effects of the Andes.<br />

Atmospheric and coupled GCMs were used to study the<br />

effect of continental asymmetry on the northward-displaced<br />

ITCZ and the influence of SST anomalies on<br />

extratropical storm tracks. Regarding the Indian Ocean,<br />

studies were conducted on the relationship between the<br />

Indian Ocean Dipole and the El Niño-Southern<br />

Oscillation; the remote climate effects of Indian Dipole<br />

events; the effects of the monsoons, El Niño, La Niña,<br />

and the Indian Ocean Dipole on Indian Ocean circulation<br />

by using salinity tracers in a .-layer ocean<br />

model; and the relative strength of the fall and spring<br />

Wyrtki Jets by analyzing data products and comparing<br />

them with ship-drift data.<br />

Application of satellite observations to climate<br />

research has emerged as a new strength of Theme-<br />

research and has led to the discovery of SST effects on<br />

local winds: From the equator to mid-latitudes, results<br />

show a robust and ubiquitous pattern of ocean-toatmosphere<br />

feedback, namely, surface wind speeds<br />

141

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