15.11.2013 Views

Marine Ecosystems Research Department - jamstec japan agency ...

Marine Ecosystems Research Department - jamstec japan agency ...

Marine Ecosystems Research Department - jamstec japan agency ...

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

Japan <strong>Marine</strong> Science and Technology Center<br />

Frontier <strong>Research</strong> System for Global Change<br />

with energy and enstrophy<br />

conservation scheme<br />

without energy and enstrophy<br />

conservation scheme<br />

Fig.21 Free surface height field of the Rossby-Haurwitz test case (Case 6 of Williamson's test suit)<br />

wave (test case of Williamson's test suit). The resolutions<br />

of both calculation were about deg. The height<br />

field of the model with energy and enstrophy conserving<br />

scheme was much smoother than that of the other<br />

model. In addition, no apparent noise was generated<br />

from the singularity, which is shown as the threeforked<br />

line points on the figures.<br />

c. Development of an Integrated Earth System Model<br />

for Global Warming Prediction<br />

Climate change, such as global warming, is an outcome<br />

of complex interactions among climate, terrestrial<br />

and oceanic ecosystems, and chemical composition<br />

of the atmosphere. The purpose of this project is to<br />

develop an integrated earth system model that can simulate<br />

these interactions, and provide reliable predictions<br />

for change of the global environment.<br />

In current studies of climate change due to an<br />

increase of greenhouse gases, specifically CO , the<br />

atmospheric CO concentration is first calculated using<br />

CO emission scenarios and simple models of terrestrial<br />

and oceanic carbon budgets. The calculated atmospheric<br />

CO concentration is then substituted into a climate<br />

model, and predictions of the future climate are<br />

made. However, this approach does not consider any<br />

feedbacks between climate and carbon cycle; while<br />

increase of atmospheric CO concentration would<br />

cause global warming, global warming could in turn<br />

affect the process of CO release and uptake by terrestrial<br />

and oceanic ecosystems and by the sea water.<br />

Moreover, climate change could also affect concentration<br />

of tropospheric ozone, which is another greenhouse<br />

effect gas. Therefore, for providing reliable predictions<br />

of global warming and climate change, it is<br />

strongly required to develop an integrated earth system<br />

model combining climate, carbon cycle, and chemical<br />

composition of the atmosphere and to use it for global<br />

warming prediction.<br />

This is a project originally planned as the third target<br />

of the model development at the Integrated Model<br />

Development Program. The project team was organized<br />

by participation of members from many other programs<br />

of FRSGC. The project started from FY as<br />

Subject of the MEXT project for Sustainable Coexistence<br />

of Human, Nature and the Earth. For details,<br />

refer the report of this project.<br />

d. Data Assimilation Group<br />

d-. Improved Estimates of Dynamical State of the<br />

North Pacific<br />

We have validated our global ocean dataset derived<br />

from our D-VAR data assimilation experiment for climatological<br />

seasonal state by comparison with recent<br />

observational/reanalysis datasets.<br />

139

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!