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Marine Ecosystems Research Department - jamstec japan agency ...

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Japan <strong>Marine</strong> Science and Technology Center<br />

Frontier <strong>Research</strong> System for Global Change<br />

of all feedbacks combined, using the top-of-the atmosphere<br />

fluxes of solar and terrestrial radiation obtained<br />

from the Earth Radiation Budget Experiment (ERBE).<br />

Our analysis indicates that the feedbacks as a whole<br />

are positive, and are responsible for reducing the<br />

radiative damping of global surface temperature<br />

anomaly by as much as %. It also reveals that this<br />

positive feedback effect is attributable to both long<br />

wave and solar components.<br />

Similar feedback analysis is conducted for three<br />

GCMs. It is noted that the sign and magnitude of the<br />

net feedback effect in all three models is similar to<br />

those of the observed. However, the contributions<br />

from the terrestrial and solar components of the net<br />

feedback effect are different between the simulated<br />

and observed. It is indicated that the difference in each<br />

components of the feedback is attributable mainly to<br />

the failure of the models to simulate the terrestrial and<br />

solar components of the cloud feedback.<br />

b. Carbon Cycle <strong>Research</strong> Group<br />

During the last few years, the Carbon Cycle<br />

<strong>Research</strong> Group engaged in the development of an<br />

ecosystem model, NEMURO (North pacific<br />

Ecosystem Model Used for Regional Oceanography),<br />

in the North Pacific <strong>Marine</strong> Science Organization<br />

(PICES). The study using NEMURO has contributed<br />

as a part of the North Pacific Task Team (NPTT) in<br />

the Joint Global Ocean Flux Study (JGOFS). In<br />

FY, a D ecosystem model was developed. The<br />

simulated global distributions of chlorophyll, concentrations<br />

of nutrients and partial pressure of CO agree<br />

roughly with observations. A case study shows that<br />

the seasonal vertical migration of copepods affects primary<br />

production in the northwestern Pacific, and that<br />

the presence of copepods throughout the year reduces<br />

the primary production by diatoms. The globally averaged<br />

total downward flux by the vertical migration of<br />

copepods is estimated to be .GtC/yr, which is -<br />

% of that by settling particle at the depth of m.<br />

Therefore, this process would be required for realistic<br />

simulation of the marine biological cycles.<br />

We have started a study of an eddy-resolving high<br />

resolution model with /x/ degrees on the Earth<br />

Simulator, to understand effects of meso-scale eddies<br />

on the CFCs distribution. As a preliminary study using<br />

eddy-permitting high resolution model with /x/<br />

degrees, its analysis shows that uptakes in the coastal<br />

ocean and marginal seas are important globally for<br />

both CFC- and anthropogenic CO .<br />

During the last few years, the Carbon Cycle<br />

<strong>Research</strong> Group has participated in the OCMIP, and<br />

has started an experiment for interannual variability<br />

for the next phase, OCMIP.<br />

c. Paleoclimate <strong>Research</strong> Group<br />

In FY, the coupled atmosphere-ocean GCM<br />

(CGCM), which is planned to be used for the new<br />

global warming studies in the IPCC frame work, was<br />

installed on the Earth Simulator. The project is performed<br />

as one of the MEXT's sub-projects. The coupled<br />

atmosphere-ocean model without the so-called<br />

'flux adjustment' with an intermediate resolution<br />

(about km for atmosphere and to km for<br />

ocean) was developed, tuned and tested against observational<br />

data. Several test runs of transient CO <br />

increase with the latest model versions are in progress.<br />

In order to include ice sheet changes in the model<br />

in future, an ice sheet model has been developed with<br />

the collaboration of Center for Climate System<br />

<strong>Research</strong> of the University of Tokyo (CCSR). The<br />

model is applied for Greenland ice sheet and<br />

Antarctica ice sheet as well as Northern Hemisphere<br />

ice sheet that existed during the ice age.<br />

A climate model of intermediate complexity is useful<br />

not only for performing long-term variability<br />

experiments but also for interpreting CGCM results.<br />

One such model has been developed and tuned in<br />

FY for the purpose of studies such as millennium<br />

oscillation during the ice age. The model succeeds in<br />

producing a reasonable sea ice distribution and deep<br />

water formation near Norway as observed. The<br />

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