Marine Ecosystems Research Department - jamstec japan agency ...
Marine Ecosystems Research Department - jamstec japan agency ...
Marine Ecosystems Research Department - jamstec japan agency ...
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Japan <strong>Marine</strong> Science and Technology Center<br />
Frontier <strong>Research</strong> System for Global Change<br />
1000<br />
800<br />
a<br />
V base = 0.24 ms -1<br />
V base = 0.12 ms -1<br />
V base = 0.06 ms -1<br />
10000<br />
8000<br />
b V base = 2.0 ms -1<br />
V base = 1.0 ms -1<br />
V base = 0.5 ms -1<br />
Nd (cm -3 )<br />
600<br />
400<br />
Nd (cm -3 )<br />
6000<br />
4000<br />
200<br />
2000<br />
0<br />
0 200 400 600 800 1000<br />
0<br />
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000<br />
N c (0.2%) (cm -3 )<br />
N c (0.5%) (cm -3 )<br />
Fig. 7 a. Relationship between cloud droplet concentration at 100m above cloud base, N d , and<br />
the cumulative number of CCN that can be activated at 0.2% supersaturation, N c (0.2%),<br />
for three updraft velocities: 0.24, 0.12 and 0.06m s -1 .<br />
b. Relationship between the cloud droplet concentration at 100m above cloud base, N d ,<br />
and the cumulative number of CCN that can be activated at 0.5% supersaturation, N c<br />
(0.5%), for three updraft velocities: 0.5, 1.0, and 2.0m s -1 .<br />
c-. Improvement of Cloud-resolving Models and<br />
Numerical Experiments<br />
A mesoscale-convection-resolving model (MCRM),<br />
which had been developed and applied to cloud clusters<br />
associated with a Baiu front in the previous year, was<br />
used to simulate and understand typhoon Flo (T). It<br />
was shown that the MCRM could simulate rainfall distributions<br />
and other features of the typhoon much better<br />
than those obtained in an international model intercomparison<br />
(Nagata et al., ) by other researchers and<br />
operational prediction centers (Figure ). Although it is<br />
desirable to improve the MCRM further in coming years,<br />
it appears that the performance of the model has nearly<br />
attained a reasonable level with respect to parameterization<br />
(or implicit representation) of the effects of cumulus<br />
convection which is of the subgrid-scale in a model having<br />
horizontal grid sizes of ~km. On the other hand, a<br />
nonhydrostatic model, which can resolve cumulus convection<br />
with a grid size of km, was significantly<br />
improved, and used to simulate and understand a tropical<br />
squall-line. A triply-nested grid version was also developed<br />
to study efficiently weather systems such as Baiu<br />
fronts and tropical cyclones in the near future, which<br />
should also be a basis for improvement of the MCRM.<br />
c-. Understanding the Physical Processes of<br />
Mesoscale Convective Systems<br />
Numerical experiments of the mesoscale system<br />
along the Meiyu front were performed. The system is<br />
the one observed near Fuyang radar site (. E,<br />
. N) on July , . Two datasets, i.e., the<br />
LATITUDE<br />
LATITUDE<br />
QC (200) at 24 hours<br />
QC (200) at 48 hours<br />
25<br />
25<br />
4<br />
4<br />
3<br />
3<br />
20<br />
2 20<br />
2<br />
1<br />
1<br />
0<br />
0<br />
0<br />
0<br />
15<br />
15<br />
130 135 140 145<br />
130 135 140 145<br />
LONGITUDE<br />
LONGITUDE<br />
Fig. 8 Cloud water content at 200 hPa (upper panels) and lowlevel<br />
rainwater content (lower panels) in Typhoon 9019<br />
(Flo) simulated by our model (MCRM) at 24 hours (left) and<br />
48 hours (right) after the initial time.<br />
LATITUDE<br />
LATITUDE<br />
QR (SFC) at 24 hours<br />
QR (SFC) at 48 hours<br />
25<br />
25<br />
4<br />
4<br />
2<br />
2<br />
20<br />
20<br />
0<br />
0<br />
0<br />
0<br />
0<br />
0<br />
15<br />
15<br />
130 135 140 145<br />
130 135 140 145<br />
LONGITUDE<br />
LONGITUDE<br />
125